Thornbury and Yate - UK Parliament Constituency

Here are the most recent election results for the Thornbury and Yate constituency.

Note: Smaller parties may be omitted. The candidate with the largest vote who does not belong to one of the main parties is listed as 'Minor'. Votes listed for 'Other' are calculated by taking the votes from the main parties and 'Minor' away from the total votes cast.

Name	Thornbury and Yate
Region	South West
1st in 2024		Liberal Democrat
2nd in 2024		Conservative
Swing To Lose	2.82%
Next Election Prediction	View

Note: 'Swing To Lose' is the swing needed by the 2nd placed party against the 1st placed party to win the seat.

Electoral History

Election		Party
	Election 2024	Liberal Democrat
	Election 2019 (New Boundaries)	Conservative
	Election 2019	Conservative
	Election 2017	Conservative
	Election 2015	Conservative
	Election 2010	Liberal Democrat
	Election 2005 (New Boundaries)	Liberal Democrat

Election 2024

View full Election 2024 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Liberal Democrat	20,815	39.00%	+6.44%
	Conservative	17,801	33.36%	-25.13%
	Reform UK	7,529	14.11%	N/A
	Labour	5,057	9.48%	+0.74%
	Green	2,165	4.06%	+3.83%
Majority		3,014	5.65%
Turnout		53,367	68.25%	-6.59%
Electorate		78,195
Swing from CON to LD			15.78%
Swing from LD to REF			3.83%
Swing from CON to REF			19.62%
	Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative

Election 2019 (New Boundaries)

View full Election 2019 (New Boundaries) results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	32,798	58.48%	+0.67%
	Liberal Democrat	18,260	32.56%	-1.58%
	Labour	4,899	8.74%	+0.68%
	Green	126	0.22%	N/A
Majority		14,538	25.92%
Turnout		56,083	74.84%	-0.34%
Electorate		74,935
Swing from LD to CON			1.12%
Swing from CON to LAB			0.01%
Swing from LD to LAB			1.13%
	Conservative hold

Election 2019

View full Election 2019 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	30,202	57.81%	+2.56%
	Liberal Democrat	17,833	34.13%	+2.69%
	Labour	4,208	8.05%	-4.00%
Majority		12,369	23.68%
Turnout		52,243	75.18%	+0.52%
Electorate		69,492
Swing from CON to LD			0.07%
Swing from LAB to CON			3.28%
Swing from LAB to LD			3.35%
	Conservative hold

Election 2017

View full Election 2017 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	28,008	55.25%	+14.23%
	Liberal Democrat	15,937	31.44%	-6.50%
	Labour	6,112	12.06%	+4.29%
	Green	633	1.25%	-1.46%
Majority		12,071	23.81%
Turnout		50,690	74.66%	+1.15%
Electorate		67,892
Swing from LD to CON			10.37%
Swing from LAB to CON			4.97%
Swing from LD to LAB			5.39%
	Conservative hold

Election 2015

View full Election 2015 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	19,924	41.02%	+3.87%
	Liberal Democrat	18,429	37.94%	-13.96%
	UKIP	5,126	10.55%	+7.01%
	Labour	3,775	7.77%	+0.75%
	Green	1,316	2.71%	N/A
Majority		1,495	3.08%
Turnout		48,570	73.52%	-1.73%
Electorate		66,066
Swing from LD to CON			8.92%
Swing from CON to UKIP			1.57%
Swing from LD to UKIP			10.49%
	Conservative gain from Liberal Democrat

Election 2010

View full Election 2010 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Liberal Democrat	25,032	51.91%	-2.75%
	Conservative	17,916	37.15%	+6.08%
	Labour	3,385	7.02%	-3.66%
	UKIP	1,709	3.54%	N/A
	Minor	126	0.26%	N/A
	Others	58	0.12%	N/A
Majority		7,116	14.76%
Turnout		48,226	75.24%	+3.05%
Electorate		64,092
Swing from LD to CON			4.41%
Swing from LAB to LD			0.46%
Swing from LAB to CON			4.87%
	Liberal Democrat hold

Election 2005 (New Boundaries)

View full Election 2005 (New Boundaries) results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Liberal Democrat	25,466	54.65%	N/A
	Conservative	14,478	31.07%	N/A
	Labour	4,975	10.68%	N/A
	Others	1,677	3.60%	N/A
Majority		10,988	23.58%
Turnout		46,596	72.20%	N/A
Electorate		64,541

	Liberal Democrat win

2029 General Election

Poll of Polls

Seat-By-Seat Forecast

Custom Swingometer 2029

LAB - Targets | Defence

CON - Targets | Defence

LD - Targets | Defence

REF - Targets | Defence

GRN - Targets | Defence

2024 General Election Results