Vale of Glamorgan - UK Parliament Constituency

Here are the most recent election results for the Vale of Glamorgan constituency.

Note: Smaller parties may be omitted. The candidate with the largest vote who does not belong to one of the main parties is listed as 'Minor'. Votes listed for 'Other' are calculated by taking the votes from the main parties and 'Minor' away from the total votes cast.

Name	Vale of Glamorgan
Region	Wales
1st in 2024		Labour
2nd in 2024		Conservative
Swing To Lose	4.60%
Next Election Prediction	View

Note: 'Swing To Lose' is the swing needed by the 2nd placed party against the 1st placed party to win the seat.

Electoral History

Election		Party
	Election 2024	Labour
	Election 2019 (New Boundaries)	Conservative
	Election 2019	Conservative
	Election 2017	Conservative
	Election 2015	Conservative
	Election 2010	Conservative
	Election 2005 (New Boundaries)	Labour
	Election 2005	Labour
	Election 2001	Labour
	Election 1997	Labour
	Election 1992	Conservative
	Election 1987	Conservative
	Election 1983	Conservative

Election 2024

View full Election 2024 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	17,740	38.71%	-5.23%
	Conservative	13,524	29.51%	-19.57%
	Reform UK	6,973	15.22%	N/A
	Plaid Cymru	3,245	7.08%	N/A
	Green	1,881	4.10%	-1.86%
	Liberal Democrat	1,612	3.52%	N/A
	Minor	669	1.46%	N/A
	Others	182	0.40%	N/A
Majority		4,216	9.20%
Turnout		45,826	61.62%	-9.37%
Electorate		74,374
Swing from CON to LAB			7.17%
Swing from LAB to REF			10.22%
Swing from CON to REF			17.39%
	Labour gain from Conservative

Election 2019 (New Boundaries)

View full Election 2019 (New Boundaries) results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	24,535	49.08%	-0.74%
	Labour	21,969	43.94%	+0.62%
	Green	2,981	5.96%	+0.03%
	Minor	508	1.02%	N/A
Majority		2,566	5.13%
Turnout		49,993	70.99%	-0.65%
Electorate		70,426
Swing from CON to LAB			0.68%
Swing from CON to GRN			0.39%
Swing from GRN to LAB			0.30%
	Conservative hold

Election 2019

View full Election 2019 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	27,305	49.82%	+2.35%
	Labour	23,743	43.32%	-0.07%
	Green	3,251	5.93%	+5.15%
	Minor	508	0.93%	N/A
Majority		3,562	6.50%
Turnout		54,807	71.64%	-1.00%
Electorate		76,508
Swing from LAB to CON			1.21%
Swing from CON to GRN			1.40%
Swing from LAB to GRN			2.61%
	Conservative hold

Election 2017

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	25,501	47.47%	+1.45%
	Labour	23,311	43.40%	+10.78%
	Plaid Cymru	2,295	4.27%	-1.32%
	Liberal Democrat	1,020	1.90%	-0.65%
	UKIP	868	1.62%	-9.09%
	Green	419	0.78%	-1.27%
	Minor	177	0.33%	N/A
	Others	127	0.24%	N/A
Majority		2,190	4.08%
Turnout		53,718	72.63%	+2.17%
Electorate		73,959
Swing from CON to LAB			4.67%
Swing from PC to CON			1.38%
Swing from PC to LAB			6.05%
	Conservative hold

Election 2015

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	23,607	46.02%	+4.23%
	Labour	16,727	32.61%	-0.34%
	UKIP	5,489	10.70%	+7.56%
	Plaid Cymru	2,869	5.59%	+0.11%
	Liberal Democrat	1,309	2.55%	-12.66%
	Green	1,054	2.05%	+1.12%
	Minor	238	0.46%	N/A
Majority		6,880	13.41%
Turnout		51,293	70.46%	+1.15%
Electorate		72,794
Swing from LAB to CON			2.28%
Swing from CON to UKIP			1.67%
Swing from LAB to UKIP			3.95%
	Conservative hold

Election 2010

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	20,341	41.80%	+4.59%
	Labour	16,034	32.95%	-8.37%
	Liberal Democrat	7,403	15.21%	+2.17%
	Plaid Cymru	2,667	5.48%	+0.10%
	UKIP	1,529	3.14%	N/A
	Green	457	0.94%	N/A
	Minor	236	0.48%	N/A
Majority		4,307	8.85%
Turnout		48,667	69.32%	+0.80%
Electorate		70,211
Swing from LAB to CON			6.48%
Swing from LD to CON			1.21%
Swing from LAB to LD			5.27%
	Conservative gain from Labour

Election 2005 (New Boundaries)

View full Election 2005 (New Boundaries) results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	19,321	41.32%	+0.15%
	Conservative	17,398	37.21%	-0.14%
	Liberal Democrat	6,098	13.04%	+0.07%
	Plaid Cymru	2,514	5.38%	+0.26%
	Others	1,430	3.06%	N/A
Majority		1,923	4.11%
Turnout		46,761	68.52%	-0.41%
Electorate		68,245
Swing from CON to LAB			0.15%
Swing from LD to LAB			0.04%
Swing from CON to LD			0.10%
	Labour hold

Election 2005

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	19,481	41.17%	-4.26%
	Conservative	17,673	37.34%	+2.32%
	Liberal Democrat	6,140	12.97%	+0.76%
	Plaid Cymru	2,423	5.12%	-1.23%
	UKIP	840	1.77%	+0.78%
	Minor	605	1.28%	N/A
	Others	162	0.34%	N/A
Majority		1,808	3.82%
Turnout		47,324	68.93%	+1.56%
Electorate		68,657
Swing from LAB to CON			3.29%
Swing from LAB to LD			2.51%
Swing from LD to CON			0.78%
	Labour hold

Election 2001

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	20,524	45.42%	-8.47%
	Conservative	15,824	35.02%	+0.67%
	Liberal Democrat	5,521	12.22%	+3.05%
	Plaid Cymru	2,867	6.35%	+3.76%
	UKIP	448	0.99%	N/A
Majority		4,700	10.40%
Turnout		45,184	67.37%	-12.85%
Electorate		67,071
Swing from LAB to CON			4.57%
Swing from LAB to LD			5.76%
Swing from CON to LD			1.19%
	Labour hold

Election 1997

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	29,054	53.89%	+9.59%
	Conservative	18,522	34.35%	-9.98%
	Liberal Democrat	4,945	9.17%	-0.06%
	Plaid Cymru	1,393	2.58%	+0.46%
Majority		10,532	19.53%
Turnout		53,914	80.21%	-1.72%
Electorate		67,213
Swing from CON to LAB			9.78%
Swing from LD to LAB			4.82%
Swing from CON to LD			4.96%
	Labour gain from Conservative

Election 1992

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	24,220	44.34%	-2.45%
	Labour	24,201	44.30%	+9.59%
	Liberal Democrat	5,045	9.24%	N/A
	Plaid Cymru	1,160	2.12%	+0.30%
Majority		19	0.03%
Turnout		54,626	81.93%	+2.64%
Electorate		66,673
Swing from CON to LAB			6.02%
Swing from CON to LD			5.84%
Swing from LD to LAB			0.18%
	Conservative hold

Election 1987

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	24,229	46.79%	-1.25%
	Labour	17,978	34.72%	+8.94%
	SDP-Liberal Alliance	8,633	16.67%	-7.23%
	Plaid Cymru	946	1.83%	-0.46%
Majority		6,251	12.07%
Turnout		51,786	79.29%	+5.08%
Electorate		65,310
Swing from CON to LAB			5.10%
Swing from ALL to CON			2.99%
Swing from ALL to LAB			8.09%
	Conservative hold

Election 1983

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	22,421	48.04%	N/A
	Labour	12,028	25.77%	N/A
	SDP-Liberal Alliance	11,154	23.90%	N/A
	Plaid Cymru	1,068	2.29%	N/A
Majority		10,393	22.27%
Turnout		46,671	74.22%	N/A
Electorate		62,885

	Conservative win

2029 General Election

Poll of Polls

Seat-By-Seat Forecast

Custom Swingometer 2029

LAB - Targets | Defence

CON - Targets | Defence

LD - Targets | Defence

REF - Targets | Defence

GRN - Targets | Defence

2024 General Election Results