Welsh Westminster Polls

On this page are the latest Welsh Westminster polls for the 2024 general election together with a uniform swing calculation of the polling average. The seat and majority calculations are lifted directly from the 2024 General Election Swingometer for Wales.

Note: General Elections are scheduled to be held a maximum of 5 years from the first meeting of parliament plus 25 working days in accordance with the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022. We will refer to the election as if it were to be held in 2024 unless it becomes clear that an early general election will happen.

Here is the polling average of the polls below together with the seat changes on a uniform swing. Information on how the polling average is calculated is available here.

VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
Labour40.93%43.00%+2.07%1825+70+7
Conservative36.08%19.00%-17.08%1230-9-9
Reform UK5.43%15.00%+9.57%00000
Plaid Cymru9.92%14.00%+4.08%24+20+2
Green1.02%6.00%+4.98%00000
Liberal Democrat5.97%3.00%-2.97%00000
Seat Gains and Losses

See which seats have changed hands using our seat calculator.

Map Options

At the bottom of this page are the most recent Welsh Westminster polls for the 2024 general election ordered from newest to oldest. These polls should be used in conjunction with the Welsh Westminster swingometer. Pollsters ask the participants how they would vote if there were a general election tomorrow, or words to that effect.

Polls

Labour
Conservative
Plaid Cymru
Liberal Democrat
Reform UK
Green
Last Day of Field WorkPollster / ClientSample SizeWeightLABCONPCLDRefUKGRNLead
19 May 2024Redfield & Wilton9001.00431914315624
23 Apr 2024Redfield & Wilton840-401814618422
24 Mar 2024Redfield & Wilton878-491610515533
18 Feb 2024Redfield & Wilton874-452210513523
26 Jan 2024Redfield & Wilton1,100-482010412428
2024 General Election
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