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Scottish Parliament Polling

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On this page are the latest Scottish Parliament election polls for the 2026 Scottish Parliament election together with uniform swing calculations of the polling averages. The seat calculations are from the 2026 Scottish Parliament swingometer.

HUNG PARLIAMENT
Labour
short by
17
65 seats needed for a majority

Here are the polling averages of the polls below together with the seat changes on uniform swings. Information on how the 2026 Scottish Parliament election polling average is calculated is available here.

Summary
SeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowGainsLossesNet
Labour2248+40-14+26
SNP6442+20-42-22
Conservative3118+5-18-13
Liberal Democrat411+70+7
Green810+20+2
Constituency
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
Labour21.59%35.35%+13.76%238+360+36
SNP47.70%34.14%-13.57%62200-42-42
Conservative21.89%14.11%-7.78%510+50+5
Liberal Democrat6.94%8.13%+1.19%45+10+1
Region
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
Labour18.00%31.41%+13.41%2010+4-14-10
SNP40.30%29.08%-11.22%222+200+20
Conservative23.46%15.14%-8.32%2680-18-18
Liberal Democrat5.05%8.80%+3.75%06+60+6
Green8.11%8.60%+0.49%810+20+2
ALBA1.65%1.65%0.00%00000
AFU0.86%0.86%0.00%00000
Swingometer

See which seats have changed hands using our Scottish Parliament seat calculator.

Seat Forecast

See a seat by seat breakdown of our prediction.

Map Options

At the bottom of this page are the most recent 2026 Scottish Parliament election polls for the next Scottish Parliament election ordered from newest to oldest. These polls should be used in conjunction with the Scottish Parliament swingometer.

Constituency Polls

SNP
Conservative
Labour
Liberal Democrat
Green
Last Day of Field WorkPollster / ClientSample SizeWeightSNPCONLABLDGRNLead
27 Jun 2024Redfield & Wilton1,2001.00331434831
25 Jun 2024Savanta / The Scotsman1,0420.903714358-2
25 Jun 2024Survation / Ballot Box Scotland1,0220.90331437844
25 Jun 2024YouGov / Sky News1,0590.90331337944
18 Jun 2024Savanta / The Scotsman1,0690.353616357-1
14 Jun 2024Norstat / The Sunday Times1,0500.35341632862
7 Jun 2024YouGov1,068-3413351051
2 Jun 2024Redfield & Wilton1,000-331732921
9 May 2024Redfield & Wilton1,078-331535932
8 May 2024Savanta / The Scotsman1,080-3518356-Tie
3 May 2024Norstat / The Sunday Times1,086-341433951
29 Apr 2024YouGov1,043-361632934
12 Apr 2024Norstat / The Sunday Times1,086-3517301055
7 Apr 2024Redfield & Wilton1,000-342132622
2 Apr 2024YouGov1,100-341532942
11 Mar 2024Redfield & Wilton1,000-351831534
4 Feb 2024Redfield & Wilton1,000-351833832
31 Jan 2024Ipsos / STV News1,005-391430749
25 Jan 2024Norstat / The Sunday Times1,007-361631755
11 Jan 2024Redfield & Wilton1,040-371832835
26 Nov 2023Ipsos1,004-4115278414
30 Oct 2023Redfield & Wilton1,092-342230824
11 Oct 2023Savanta / The Scotsman1,002-3718336-4
6 Oct 2023YouGov / Fabians1,028-372029938
5 Oct 2023Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,022-351631774
5 Oct 2023Redfield & Wilton1,094-3520291036
14 Sep 2023Opinium / Tony Blair Institute1,004-42202610316
13 Sep 2023YouGov / The Times1,103-4116298312
4 Sep 2023Redfield & Wilton1,100-391630839
18 Aug 2023Survation / True North1,022-3916348-5
8 Aug 2023YouGov1,086-4114317310
6 Aug 2023Redfield & Wilton1,050-361932824
2 Jul 2023Redfield & Wilton1,030-3321301023
28 Jun 2023Survation1,891-38173310-5
15 Jun 2023Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,007-361332974
14 Jun 2023Savanta / The Scotsman1,018-4016338-7
6 Jun 2023Redfield & Wilton1,395-362129827
21 May 2023Ipsos / STV News1,090-4217287414
3 May 2023Survation / True North1,009-3919309-9
2 May 2023Redfield & Wilton1,295-361832824
20 Apr 2023YouGov / The Times1,032-3816301028
3 Apr 2023Survation1,001-3816277-11
1 Apr 2023Redfield & Wilton1,000-38182810310
31 Mar 2023Savanta / The Scotsman1,009-3919327-7
30 Mar 2023Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,089-371730857
13 Mar 2023YouGov / Sky News1,002-4218288214
10 Mar 2023Panelbase / Scot Goes Pop1,013-391431868
5 Mar 2023Redfield & Wilton1,050-4020297211
20 Feb 2023YouGov / The Times1,017-4218288214
17 Feb 2023Survation1,034-4317298-14
17 Feb 2023Savanta / The Scotsman1,008-4317308-13
15 Feb 2023YouGov / Scottish Election Study1,239-3917288511
7 Feb 2023Survation1,070-4317297-14
26 Jan 2023YouGov / The Sunday Times1,088-4417267218
12 Jan 2023Survation / True North1,002-4617278-19
31 Dec 2022Survation / Scotland in Union1,025-4416298015
21 Dec 2022Savanta / The Scotsman1,048-4418288-16
9 Dec 2022YouGov / The Times1,090-5013257-25
5 Dec 2022Ipsos / STV News1,045-5014247326
11 Oct 2022Panelbase / Alba Party1,018-4515286317
4 Oct 2022YouGov / The Times1,067-4913268-23
4 Oct 2022Savanta ComRes / The Scotsman1,029-4717258-22
29 Sep 2022Survation / Scotland in Union1,011-4514306-15
19 Aug 2022Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,133-4717229325
1 Jul 2022Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,010-4717229325
28 Jun 2022Savanta ComRes / The Scotsman1,029-4618258-21
23 May 2022YouGov / The Times1,115-4718237224
3 May 2022Savanta ComRes / The Scotsman1,010-4618257-21
29 Apr 2022Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,009-4219247418
31 Mar 2022BMG / The Herald1,012-4421228-22
28 Mar 2022Survation / Ballot Box Scotland1,002-4620257-21
16 Mar 2022Savanta ComRes / The Scotsman1,008-4620247-22
28 Feb 2022Savanta ComRes / The Economist1,866-4721228-25
18 Jan 2022Savanta ComRes / The Scotsman1,004-4719228-25
29 Nov 2021Ipsos / STV News1,107-5219175333

Region Polls

SNP
Conservative
Labour
Green
Liberal Democrat
Last Day of Field WorkPollster / ClientSample SizeWeightSNPCONLABGRNLDLead
27 Jun 2024Redfield & Wilton1,2001.00271434897
25 Jun 2024Savanta / The Scotsman1,0420.90311729992
25 Jun 2024Survation / Ballot Box Scotland1,0220.90301634784
25 Jun 2024YouGov / Sky News1,0590.90291331992
18 Jun 2024Savanta / The Scotsman1,0690.352916291210Tie
14 Jun 2024Norstat / The Sunday Times1,0500.35281627981
7 Jun 2024YouGov1,068-291429119Tie
2 Jun 2024Redfield & Wilton1,000-311528793
9 May 2024Redfield & Wilton1,078-271433996
8 May 2024Savanta / The Scotsman1,080-26183211106
3 May 2024Norstat / The Sunday Times1,086-271728981
29 Apr 2024YouGov1,043-311728883
12 Apr 2024Norstat / The Sunday Times1,086-2819259103
7 Apr 2024Redfield & Wilton1,000-261729993
2 Apr 2024YouGov1,100-29162998Tie
11 Mar 2024Redfield & Wilton1,000-281629991
4 Feb 2024Redfield & Wilton1,000-271629992
31 Jan 2024Ipsos1,005-3313311172
25 Jan 2024Norstat / The Sunday Times1,007-301929971
11 Jan 2024Redfield & Wilton1,040-25173011105
26 Nov 2023Ipsos1,004-3514291086
30 Oct 2023Redfield & Wilton1,092-282127981
11 Oct 2023Savanta / The Scotsman1,002-2820291381
6 Oct 2023YouGov / Fabians1,028-281928117Tie
5 Oct 2023Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,022-2918301281
5 Oct 2023Redfield & Wilton1,094-26192512121
14 Sep 2023Opinium / Tony Blair Institution1,004-3518258810
13 Sep 2023YouGov / The Times1,103-3316251188
4 Sep 2023Redfield & Wilton1,100-2515301495
18 Aug 2023Survation / True North1,022-30153099Tie
8 Aug 2023YouGov1,086-3214281184
6 Aug 2023Redfield & Wilton1,050-291830991
2 Jul 2023Redfield & Wilton1,030-2919268123
28 Jun 2023Survation1,891-3018291091
15 Jun 2023Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,007-3017281282
14 Jun 2023Savanta / The Scotsman1,018-2818281311Tie
5 Jun 2023Redfield & Wilton1,395-2518251310Tie
21 May 2023Ipsos / STV News1,090-3517271258
3 May 2023Survation / True North1,009-3219261076
2 May 2023Redfield & Wilton1,295-25192713102
20 Apr 2023YouGov / The Times1,032-3017261294
3 Apr 2023Survation1,001-321723879
1 Apr 2023Redfield & Wilton1,000-30192411136
31 Mar 2023Savanta / The Scotsman1,009-3318301073
30 Mar 2023Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,089-3120271064
13 Mar 2023YouGov / Sky News1,002-35162511810
10 Mar 2023Panelbase / Scot Goes Pop1,013-3217271285
5 Mar 2023Redfield & Wilton1,050-29202610113
20 Feb 2023YouGov / The Times1,017-351827978
17 Feb 2023Survation1,034-351827888
17 Feb 2023Savanta / The Scotsman1,008-3216271495
15 Feb 2023YouGov / Scottish Election Study1,239-3317281175
7 Feb 2023Survation1,007-3317251278
26 Jan 2023YouGov / The Sunday Times1,088-3617269610
12 Jan 2023Survation / True North1,002-3318251288
31 Dec 2022Survation / Scotland in Union1,025-3315261297
21 Dec 2022Savanta / The Scotsman1,048-32182413108
9 Dec 2022YouGov / The Times1,090-40132411616
5 Dec 2022Ipsos MORI / STV News1,045-43142113622
11 Oct 2022Panelbase / Alba Party1,018-3717269711
4 Oct 2022YouGov / The Times1,067-38142412814
4 Oct 2022Savanta ComRes / The Scotsman1,029-3219261386
29 Sep 2022Survation / Scotland in Union1,011-3114271494
1 Jul 2022Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,010-4119227819
28 Jun 2022Savanta ComRes / The Scotsman1,029-3320241389
23 May 2022YouGov / The Times1,115-39182110818
3 May 2022Savanta ComRes / The Scotsman1,010-31182314108
29 Apr 2022Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,009-36202210714
31 Mar 2022BMG / The Herald1,012-33202210811
28 Mar 2022Survation / Ballot Box Scotland1,002-34192311811
16 Mar 2022Savanta ComRes / The Scotsman1,008-34202213812
28 Feb 2022Savanta ComRes / The Economist1,866-34212014813
18 Jan 2022Savanta ComRes / The Scotsman1,004-38182012918
29 Nov 2021Ipsos MORI / STV News1,107-43201512623
22 Nov 2021YouGov / The Times1,060-38191911719
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