Scottish Parliament Polling

On this page are the latest Scottish Parliament election polls for the 2031 Scottish Parliament election together with uniform swing calculations of the polling averages. The seat calculations are from the 2031 Scottish Parliament swingometer.

HUNG PARLIAMENT

SNP
short by
8

65 seats needed for a majority

Here are the polling averages of the polls below together with the seat changes on uniform swings. Information on how the 2031 Scottish Parliament election polling average is calculated is available here.

Summary

		Seats		Seat Changes
Party		Then	Now	Gains	Losses	Net
	SNP	58	57	0	-1	-1
	Reform UK	17	20	+3	0	+3
	Labour	17	19	+2	0	+2
	Conservative	12	12	+1	-1	0
	Liberal Democrat	10	11	+1	0	+1
	Green	15	10	0	-5	-5

Constituency

		Votes			Seats		Seat Changes
Party		Then	Now	Change	Then	Now	Gains	Losses	Net
	SNP	38.18%	37.00%	-1.18%	57	56	0	-1	-1
	Reform UK	15.76%	18.00%	+2.24%	0	1	+1	0	+1
	Labour	19.18%	17.00%	-2.18%	3	3	0	0	0
	Conservative	11.83%	11.00%	-0.83%	4	4	0	0	0
	Liberal Democrat	11.38%	10.00%	-1.38%	7	7	0	0	0
	Green	2.29%	5.00%	+2.71%	2	2	0	0	0

Region

		Votes			Seats		Seat Changes
Party		Then	Now	Change	Then	Now	Gains	Losses	Net
	SNP	27.18%	31.00%	+3.82%	1	1	0	0	0
	Reform UK	16.65%	18.00%	+1.35%	17	19	+2	0	+2
	Labour	16.01%	17.00%	+0.99%	14	16	+2	0	+2
	Conservative	11.79%	12.00%	+0.21%	8	8	+1	-1	0
	Liberal Democrat	9.39%	11.00%	+1.61%	3	4	+1	0	+1
	Green	13.98%	9.00%	-4.98%	13	8	0	-5	-5

Swingometer

See which seats have changed hands using our Scottish Parliament seat calculator.

Seat Forecast

See a seat by seat breakdown of our prediction.

At the bottom of this page are the most recent 2031 Scottish Parliament election polls for the next Scottish Parliament election ordered from newest to oldest. These polls should be used in conjunction with the Scottish Parliament swingometer.