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Scottish Parliament Polling

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On this page are the latest Scottish Parliament election polls for the 2026 Scottish Parliament election together with uniform swing calculations of the polling averages. The seat calculations are from the 2026 Scottish Parliament swingometer.

HUNG PARLIAMENT
SNP
short by
5
65 seats needed for a majority

Here are the polling averages of the polls below together with the seat changes on uniform swings. Information on how the 2026 Scottish Parliament election polling average is calculated is available here.

Summary
SeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowGainsLossesNet
SNP64600-4-4
Reform UK019+190+19
Labour2217+1-6-5
Green814+60+6
Conservative31100-21-21
Liberal Democrat49+50+5
Constituency
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
SNP47.70%37.06%-10.64%62600-2-2
Labour21.59%18.45%-3.14%23+10+1
Reform UK0.00%17.53%+17.53%00000
Conservative21.89%11.62%-10.27%55000
Liberal Democrat6.94%11.39%+4.46%45+10+1
Green1.29%1.71%+0.42%00000
Region
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
SNP40.30%26.67%-13.63%200-2-2
Reform UK0.21%18.73%+18.51%019+190+19
Labour18.00%15.72%-2.28%20140-6-6
Green8.11%14.24%+6.13%814+60+6
Conservative23.46%11.40%-12.06%2650-21-21
Liberal Democrat5.05%10.22%+5.17%04+40+4
ALBA1.65%1.65%0.00%00000
Swingometer

See which seats have changed hands using our Scottish Parliament seat calculator.

Seat Forecast

See a seat by seat breakdown of our prediction.

Map Options

At the bottom of this page are the most recent 2026 Scottish Parliament election polls for the next Scottish Parliament election ordered from newest to oldest. These polls should be used in conjunction with the Scottish Parliament swingometer.

Constituency Polls

SNP
Conservative
Labour
Liberal Democrat
Green
Reform UK
Last Day of Field WorkPollster / ClientSample SizeWeightSNPCONLABLDGRNREFLead
6 May 2026Find Out Now2,0011.004110151211724
5 May 2026YouGov / The Times6,4530.953910181121821
5 May 2026Survation5,0250.953912191021720
4 May 2026Ipsos / STV News1,2250.903511201121815
4 May 2026More in Common-0.903213201321812
30 Apr 2026Norstat / The Sunday Times1,0020.703614201111616
26 Apr 2026More in Common4,1240.303513171321916
23 Apr 2026Survation / Diffley Partnership1,0120.153812181022018
21 Apr 2026Survation / Ballot Box Scotland1,008-3513201012015
20 Apr 2026Find Out Now / Scot Goes Pop1,002-3591410121619
13 Apr 2026JL Partners / The Telegraph2,018-321020991812
12 Apr 2026More in Common5,124-3312181212112
10 Apr 2026More in Common1,008-3212191171813
8 Apr 2026YouGov / Sky News3,925-418181021922
1 Apr 2026Norstat / The Sunday Times1,006-3411191081515
23 Mar 2026Survation / Diffley Partnership1,060-351119881916
6 Mar 2026Lord Ashcroft Polls2,089-3991210111425
25 Feb 2026Survation / Diffley Partnership1,017-371218961719
25 Feb 2026Ipsos / STV News1,096-369201071616
19 Feb 2026Find Out Now / The National1,002-367129102115
18 Feb 2026YouGov / Scottish Elections Study1,517-34101410111816
13 Feb 2026Norstat / The Sunday Times1,001-351017881916
10 Feb 2026More in Common1,035-3311191161814
4 Feb 2026More in Common1,017-3511181051916
16 Jan 2026Norstat / The Sunday Times1,016-351119971716
14 Jan 2026YouGov1,113-3410151092014
12 Jan 2026Survation / True North835-341316981915
19 Dec 2025Find Out Now / The National1,000-34914992113
3 Dec 2025Ipsos / STV News1,061-351116991817
14 Oct 2025Survation / The Herald2,043-23101887221
8 Oct 2025Find Out Now / Alba Party1,165-358171091618
25 Sep 2025Norstat / The Sunday Times1,010-3410171172014
21 Sep 2025Find Out Now / The National1,282-33101411101914
16 Sep 2025Survation / Scotland in Union2,051-371120751817
1 Sep 2025More in Common1,104-3712171251620
19 Jun 2025YouGov / Scottish Elections Study1,178-3210201081712
18 Jun 2025Ipsos / STV News1,066-341023991411
30 May 2025Norstat / The Sunday Times1,007-331319871814
5 May 2025Survation / True North1,020-3311191151914
22 Apr 2025Survation / Diffley Partnership1,005-361322951414
11 Apr 2025Find Out Now / The National1,417-3512141291221
13 Mar 2025Survation / Quantum Communications1,012-341223841711
20 Jan 2025Find Out Now / The Sunday Herald1,334-31121910101312
14 Jan 2025Norstat / The Times1,026-3515181161417
13 Jan 2025Survation / Holyrood Sources1,024-351422861313
24 Dec 2024Find Out Now / The National1,774-351519971116
6 Dec 2024Norstat / The Times1,013-3714211051216
15 Nov 2024Survation / Progress Scotland3,016-32142796105
1 Nov 2024Norstat / The Times1,013-3315231061110
13 Sep 2024Survation / Progress Scotland2,059-3113318610Tie
11 Sep 2024Opinium / The Sunday Times1,028-32122587127
29 Aug 2024Survation / Scotland in Union1,021-3112309691
22 Aug 2024The Sunday Times1,011-3312308593
27 Jun 2024Redfield & Wilton1,200-3314348361
25 Jun 2024Savanta / The Scotsman1,042-3714358--2
25 Jun 2024Survation / Ballot Box Scotland1,022-33143784-4
18 Jun 2024Savanta / The Scotsman1,069-3616357--1
14 Jun 2024Norstat / The Sunday Times1,050-3416328672
7 Jun 2024YouGov1,068-34133510551
2 Jun 2024Redfield & Wilton1,000-3317329261
9 May 2024Redfield & Wilton1,078-3315359352
8 May 2024Savanta / The Scotsman1,080-3518356--Tie
3 May 2024Norstat / The Sunday Times1,086-3414339561
29 Apr 2024YouGov1,043-3616329334
12 Apr 2024Norstat / The Sunday Times1,086-35173010545
7 Apr 2024Redfield & Wilton1,000-3421326252
2 Apr 2024YouGov1,100-3415329452
11 Mar 2024Redfield & Wilton1,000-3518315354
4 Feb 2024Redfield & Wilton1,000-3518338352
31 Jan 2024Ipsos / STV News1,005-3914307429
25 Jan 2024Survation / True North1,029-35163185-4
25 Jan 2024Norstat / The Sunday Times1,007-3616317525
11 Jan 2024Redfield & Wilton1,040-3718328345
26 Nov 2023Ipsos1,004-41152784-14
30 Oct 2023Redfield & Wilton1,092-34223082-4

Region Polls

SNP
Conservative
Labour
Green
Liberal Democrat
ALBA
Reform UK
Last Day of Field WorkPollster / ClientSample SizeWeightSNPCONLABGRNLDALBAREFLead
6 May 2026Find Out Now2,0011.002611121711-188
5 May 2026YouGov / The Times6,4530.95281116159-199
5 May 2026Survation5,0250.95291316158-1712
4 May 2026Ipsos / STV News1,2250.902610151711-188
4 May 2026More in Common-0.902310191012-221
30 Apr 2026Norstat / The Sunday Times1,0020.702814171210-1711
26 Apr 2026More in Common4,1240.302611151112-224
23 Apr 2026Survation / Diffley Partnership1,0020.15291217129-1910
21 Apr 2026Survation / Ballot Box Scotland1,008-291317118-1910
20 Apr 2026Find Out Now / Scot Goes Pop1,002-2710122011-177
13 Apr 2026JL Partners / The Telegraph2,018-271219129-207
12 Apr 2026More in Common5,124-2912161012-1910
10 Apr 2026More in Common1,008-2713171112-1710
1 Apr 2026Norstat / The Sunday Times1,006-3010171210-1513
23 Mar 2026Survation / Diffley Partnership1,068-321317118-1814
6 Mar 2026Lord Ashcroft Polls / 20892,089-31101217911514
25 Feb 2026Survation / Diffley Partnership1,017-3313179911716
25 Feb 2026Ipsos / STV News1,096-26111916101147
19 Feb 2026Find Out Now / The National1,002-2910121492209
18 Feb 2026YouGov / Scottish Elections Study1,517-28101416101199
13 Feb 2026Norstat / The Sunday Times1,001-30111711731911
10 Feb 2026More in Common1,035-31121691221615
4 Feb 2026More in Common1,017-2512199131205
16 Jan 2026Norstat / The Sunday Times1,016-1912171194162
14 Jan 2026YouGov1,113-2911151291209
12 Jan 2026Survation / True North835-28131891131810
19 Dec 2025Find Out Now / The National1,000-3010121393219
3 Dec 2025Ipsos / STV News1,061-281218177-1710
14 Oct 2025Survation / The Herald2,043-29121710102209
8 Oct 2025Find Out Now / Alba Party1,165-21111516106165
25 Sep 2025Norstat / The Sunday Times1,010-29131881041811
21 Sep 2025Find Out Now / The National1,282-2511151595169
16 Sep 2025Survation / Scotland in Union2,051-31131881121613
19 Jun 2025YouGov / Scottish Elections Study1,178-29102110103188
18 Jun 2025Ipsos / STV News1,066-2610221582164
30 May 2025Norstat / The Sunday Times1,007-28151891031610
5 May 2025Survation / True North1,020-2912189103209
22 Apr 2025Survation / Diffley Partnership1,005-2816221082126
11 Apr 2025Find Out Now / The National1,417-251515141271010
13 Mar 2025Survation / Quantum Communications1,012-291320893169
20 Jan 2025Find Out Now / The Sunday Herald1,334-251315131371110
14 Jan 2025Norstat / The Times1,026-301517101141313
13 Jan 2025Survation / Holyrood Sources1,024-31142191021310
24 Dec 2024Find Out Now / The National1,774-26141713106119
7 Dec 2024Norstat / The Times1,013-32161881051214
15 Nov 2024Survation / Progress Scotland3,016-2715251093112
1 Nov 2024Norstat / The Times1,013-291422993117
13 Sep 2024Survation / Progress Scotland2,059-28142610103102
11 Sep 2024Opinium / The Sunday Times1,028-30122588-125
29 Aug 2024Survation / Scotland in Union1,021-2712281010291
22 Aug 2024Norstat / The Sunday Times1,011-2814288759Tie
27 Jun 2024Redfield & Wilton1,200-27143489167
25 Jun 2024Savanta / The Scotsman1,042-31172999--2
25 Jun 2024Survation / Ballot Box Scotland1,022-301634782-4
18 Jun 2024Savanta / The Scotsman1,069-2916291210--Tie
14 Jun 2024Norstat / The Sunday Times1,050-28162798571
7 Jun 2024YouGov1,068-29142911925Tie
2 Jun 2024Redfield & Wilton1,000-31152879463
9 May 2024Redfield & Wilton1,078-27143399356
8 May 2024Savanta / The Scotsman1,080-2618321110--6
3 May 2024Norstat / The Sunday Times1,086-27172898461
29 Apr 2024YouGov1,043-31172888333
12 Apr 2024Norstat / The Sunday Times1,086-281925910343
7 Apr 2024Redfield & Wilton1,000-26172999353
2 Apr 2024YouGov1,100-2916299835Tie
11 Mar 2024Redfield & Wilton1,000-28162999351
4 Feb 2024Redfield & Wilton1,000-27162999352
31 Jan 2024Ipsos1,005-331331117122
25 Jan 2024Survation / True North1,029-311629983-2
25 Jan 2024Norstat / The Sunday Times1,007-30192997321
11 Jan 2024Redfield & Wilton1,040-2517301110245
26 Nov 2023Ipsos1,004-351429108006
30 Oct 2023Redfield & Wilton1,092-28212798001
11 Oct 2023Savanta / The Scotsman1,002-282029138001
6 Oct 2023YouGov / Fabians1,028-28192811700Tie
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