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Scottish Parliament Polling

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On this page are the latest Scottish Parliament election polls for the 2026 Scottish Parliament election together with uniform swing calculations of the polling averages. The seat calculations are from the 2026 Scottish Parliament swingometer.

HUNG PARLIAMENT
SNP
short by
24
65 seats needed for a majority

Here are the polling averages of the polls below together with the seat changes on uniform swings. Information on how the 2026 Scottish Parliament election polling average is calculated is available here.

Summary
SeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowGainsLossesNet
SNP6441+7-30-23
Labour2235+26-13+13
Conservative3116+5-20-15
Reform UK015+150+15
Liberal Democrat412+80+8
Green810+20+2
Constituency
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
SNP47.70%31.46%-16.24%62330-29-29
Labour21.59%28.21%+6.61%225+230+23
Conservative21.89%12.51%-9.38%510+50+5
Liberal Democrat6.94%8.03%+1.09%45+10+1
Region
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
SNP40.30%28.90%-11.40%28+7-1+6
Labour18.00%25.59%+7.59%2010+3-13-10
Conservative23.46%13.03%-10.44%2660-20-20
Reform UK0.21%10.90%+10.68%015+150+15
Green8.11%9.08%+0.96%810+20+2
Liberal Democrat5.05%9.08%+4.03%07+70+7
ALBA1.65%2.95%+1.30%00000
Swingometer

See which seats have changed hands using our Scottish Parliament seat calculator.

Seat Forecast

See a seat by seat breakdown of our prediction.

Map Options

At the bottom of this page are the most recent 2026 Scottish Parliament election polls for the next Scottish Parliament election ordered from newest to oldest. These polls should be used in conjunction with the Scottish Parliament swingometer.

Constituency Polls

SNP
Conservative
Labour
Liberal Democrat
Green
Last Day of Field WorkPollster / ClientSample SizeWeightSNPCONLABLDGRNLead
13 Sep 2024Survation / Progress Scotland2,0591.0031133186Tie
11 Sep 2024Opinium / The Sunday Times1,0280.90321225877
29 Aug 2024Survation / Scotland in Union1,0210.05311230961
27 Jun 2024Redfield & Wilton1,200-331434831
25 Jun 2024Savanta / The Scotsman1,042-3714358-2
25 Jun 2024Survation / Ballot Box Scotland1,022-331437844
25 Jun 2024YouGov / Sky News1,059-331337944
18 Jun 2024Savanta / The Scotsman1,069-3616357-1
14 Jun 2024Norstat / The Sunday Times1,050-341632862
7 Jun 2024YouGov1,068-3413351051
2 Jun 2024Redfield & Wilton1,000-331732921
9 May 2024Redfield & Wilton1,078-331535932
8 May 2024Savanta / The Scotsman1,080-3518356-Tie
3 May 2024Norstat / The Sunday Times1,086-341433951
29 Apr 2024YouGov1,043-361632934
12 Apr 2024Norstat / The Sunday Times1,086-3517301055
7 Apr 2024Redfield & Wilton1,000-342132622
2 Apr 2024YouGov1,100-341532942
11 Mar 2024Redfield & Wilton1,000-351831534
4 Feb 2024Redfield & Wilton1,000-351833832
31 Jan 2024Ipsos / STV News1,005-391430749
25 Jan 2024Survation / True North1,029-351631854
25 Jan 2024Norstat / The Sunday Times1,007-361631755
11 Jan 2024Redfield & Wilton1,040-371832835
26 Nov 2023Ipsos1,004-4115278414
30 Oct 2023Redfield & Wilton1,092-342230824
11 Oct 2023Savanta / The Scotsman1,002-3718336-4
6 Oct 2023YouGov / Fabians1,028-372029938
5 Oct 2023Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,022-351631774
5 Oct 2023Redfield & Wilton1,094-3520291036
14 Sep 2023Opinium / Tony Blair Institute1,004-42202610316
13 Sep 2023YouGov / The Times1,103-4116298312
4 Sep 2023Redfield & Wilton1,100-391630839
18 Aug 2023Survation / True North1,022-3916348-5
8 Aug 2023YouGov1,086-4114317310
6 Aug 2023Redfield & Wilton1,050-361932824
2 Jul 2023Redfield & Wilton1,030-3321301023
28 Jun 2023Survation1,891-38173310-5
15 Jun 2023Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,007-361332974
14 Jun 2023Savanta / The Scotsman1,018-4016338-7
6 Jun 2023Redfield & Wilton1,395-362129827
21 May 2023Ipsos / STV News1,090-4217287414
3 May 2023Survation / True North1,009-3919309-9
2 May 2023Redfield & Wilton1,295-361832824
20 Apr 2023YouGov / The Times1,032-3816301028
3 Apr 2023Survation1,001-3816277-11
1 Apr 2023Redfield & Wilton1,000-38182810310
31 Mar 2023Savanta / The Scotsman1,009-3919327-7
30 Mar 2023Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,089-371730857
13 Mar 2023YouGov / Sky News1,002-4218288214
10 Mar 2023Panelbase / Scot Goes Pop1,013-391431868
5 Mar 2023Redfield & Wilton1,050-4020297211
20 Feb 2023YouGov / The Times1,017-4218288214
17 Feb 2023Survation1,034-4317298-14
17 Feb 2023Savanta / The Scotsman1,008-4317308-13
15 Feb 2023YouGov / Scottish Election Study1,239-3917288511
7 Feb 2023Survation1,070-4317297-14
26 Jan 2023YouGov / The Sunday Times1,088-4417267218
12 Jan 2023Survation / True North1,002-4617278-19
31 Dec 2022Survation / Scotland in Union1,025-4416298015
21 Dec 2022Savanta / The Scotsman1,048-4418288-16
9 Dec 2022YouGov / The Times1,090-5013257-25
5 Dec 2022Ipsos / STV News1,045-5014247326
11 Oct 2022Panelbase / Alba Party1,018-4515286317
4 Oct 2022YouGov / The Times1,067-4913268-23
4 Oct 2022Savanta ComRes / The Scotsman1,029-4717258-22
29 Sep 2022Survation / Scotland in Union1,011-4514306-15
19 Aug 2022Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,133-4717229325
1 Jul 2022Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,010-4717229325
28 Jun 2022Savanta ComRes / The Scotsman1,029-4618258-21
23 May 2022YouGov / The Times1,115-4718237224
3 May 2022Savanta ComRes / The Scotsman1,010-4618257-21
29 Apr 2022Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,009-4219247418
31 Mar 2022BMG / The Herald1,012-4421228-22
28 Mar 2022Survation / Ballot Box Scotland1,002-4620257-21

Region Polls

SNP
Conservative
Labour
Green
Liberal Democrat
ALBA
Reform UK
Last Day of Field WorkPollster / ClientSample SizeWeightSNPCONLABGRNLDALBAREFLead
13 Sep 2024Survation / Progress Scotland2,0591.0028142610103102
11 Sep 2024Opinium / The Sunday Times1,0280.9030122588-125
29 Aug 2024Survation / Scotland in Union1,0210.052712281010291
22 Aug 2024Norstat / The Sunday Times1,011-2814288759Tie
27 Jun 2024Redfield & Wilton1,200-27143489167
25 Jun 2024Savanta / The Scotsman1,042-31172999--2
25 Jun 2024Survation / Ballot Box Scotland1,022-301634782-4
25 Jun 2024YouGov / Sky News1,059-29133199172
18 Jun 2024Savanta / The Scotsman1,069-2916291210--Tie
14 Jun 2024Norstat / The Sunday Times1,050-28162798571
7 Jun 2024YouGov1,068-29142911925Tie
2 Jun 2024Redfield & Wilton1,000-31152879463
9 May 2024Redfield & Wilton1,078-27143399356
8 May 2024Savanta / The Scotsman1,080-2618321110--6
3 May 2024Norstat / The Sunday Times1,086-27172898461
29 Apr 2024YouGov1,043-31172888333
12 Apr 2024Norstat / The Sunday Times1,086-281925910343
7 Apr 2024Redfield & Wilton1,000-26172999353
2 Apr 2024YouGov1,100-2916299835Tie
11 Mar 2024Redfield & Wilton1,000-28162999351
4 Feb 2024Redfield & Wilton1,000-27162999352
31 Jan 2024Ipsos1,005-331331117122
25 Jan 2024Survation / True North1,029-311629983-2
25 Jan 2024Norstat / The Sunday Times1,007-30192997321
11 Jan 2024Redfield & Wilton1,040-2517301110245
26 Nov 2023Ipsos1,004-351429108006
30 Oct 2023Redfield & Wilton1,092-28212798001
11 Oct 2023Savanta / The Scotsman1,002-282029138001
6 Oct 2023YouGov / Fabians1,028-28192811700Tie
5 Oct 2023Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,022-291830128001
5 Oct 2023Redfield & Wilton1,094-2619251212001
14 Sep 2023Opinium / Tony Blair Institution1,004-351825880010
13 Sep 2023YouGov / The Times1,103-331625118008
4 Sep 2023Redfield & Wilton1,100-251530149005
18 Aug 2023Survation / True North1,022-3015309900Tie
8 Aug 2023YouGov1,086-321428118004
6 Aug 2023Redfield & Wilton1,050-29183099001
2 Jul 2023Redfield & Wilton1,030-291926812003
28 Jun 2023Survation1,891-301829109001
15 Jun 2023Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,007-301728128002
14 Jun 2023Savanta / The Scotsman1,018-281828131100Tie
5 Jun 2023Redfield & Wilton1,395-251825131000Tie
21 May 2023Ipsos / STV News1,090-351727125008
3 May 2023Survation / True North1,009-321926107006
2 May 2023Redfield & Wilton1,295-2519271310002
20 Apr 2023YouGov / The Times1,032-301726129004
3 Apr 2023Survation1,001-32172387009
1 Apr 2023Redfield & Wilton1,000-3019241113006
31 Mar 2023Savanta / The Scotsman1,009-331830107003
30 Mar 2023Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,089-312027106004
13 Mar 2023YouGov / Sky News1,002-3516251180010
10 Mar 2023Panelbase / Scot Goes Pop1,013-321727128005
5 Mar 2023Redfield & Wilton1,050-2920261011003
20 Feb 2023YouGov / The Times1,017-35182797008
17 Feb 2023Survation1,034-35182788008
17 Feb 2023Savanta / The Scotsman1,008-321627149005
15 Feb 2023YouGov / Scottish Election Study1,239-331728117005
7 Feb 2023Survation1,007-331725127008
26 Jan 2023YouGov / The Sunday Times1,088-361726960010
12 Jan 2023Survation / True North1,002-331825128008
31 Dec 2022Survation / Scotland in Union1,025-331526129007
21 Dec 2022Savanta / The Scotsman1,048-3218241310008
9 Dec 2022YouGov / The Times1,090-4013241160016
5 Dec 2022Ipsos MORI / STV News1,045-4314211360022
11 Oct 2022Panelbase / Alba Party1,018-371726970011
4 Oct 2022YouGov / The Times1,067-3814241280014
4 Oct 2022Savanta ComRes / The Scotsman1,029-321926138006
29 Sep 2022Survation / Scotland in Union1,011-311427149004
1 Jul 2022Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,010-411922780019
28 Jun 2022Savanta ComRes / The Scotsman1,029-332024138009
23 May 2022YouGov / The Times1,115-3918211080018
3 May 2022Savanta ComRes / The Scotsman1,010-3118231410008
29 Apr 2022Panelbase / The Sunday Times1,009-3620221070014
31 Mar 2022BMG / The Herald1,012-3320221080011
28 Mar 2022Survation / Ballot Box Scotland1,002-3419231180011
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