On this page is the EU Parliament swingometer for the UK. Its purpose is to help predict the UK election result for the next European Parliament election. This EU seat calculator bases its results on a uniform swing relative to a specified election.
To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest European Parliament election polls.
Note: The UK has withdrawn from the EU so the 2024 European Parliament election for the UK is purely theoretical.
| Votes | Seats | Seat Changes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Then | Now | Change | Then | Now | Gains | Losses | Net | |
| UKIP | 27.49% | 27.49% | 0.00% | 24 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Labour | 25.40% | 25.40% | 0.00% | 20 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Conservative | 23.93% | 23.93% | 0.00% | 19 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Green | 7.87% | 7.87% | 0.00% | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Liberal Democrat | 6.87% | 6.87% | 0.00% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| SNP | 2.46% | 2.46% | 0.00% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Plaid Cymru | 0.71% | 0.71% | 0.00% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Brexit Party | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Change UK | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |