UK Swingometer

This page contains the general election swingometer used to predict election results for the next general election as well as a collection of historical swingometers. This UK election seat calculator will calculate its results on a uniform swing relative to the specified election. You can also override the Great Britain figures and specify Scotland and Wales separately.

To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest UK election polls.

Note: The United Kingdom swingometer takes the seats in Northern Ireland into account (as opposition seats) when calculating the majority.

Election 2019 (New Boundaries) (Swingometer 2024)

United Kingdom

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

Scotland Figures (optional)

Enable
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

Wales Figures (optional)

Enable
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Reform UK
%
Green
%
Labour
Landslide
148
seat majority
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
Labour32.87%44.15%+11.27%200399+1990+199
Conservative44.69%24.10%-20.59%372184+2-190-188
Liberal Democrat11.83%9.83%-2.00%832+240+24
Green2.77%5.59%+2.83%11000
SNP3.98%2.52%-1.46%48110-37-37
Reform UK2.06%2.07%+0.01%00000
Plaid Cymru0.49%0.58%+0.09%23+10+1
Map Options

On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:

Conservative gains
Moray West, Nairn and StrathspeyScotland
Perth and Kinross-shireScotland
Labour gains
Bexleyheath and CrayfordLondon
Bromley and Biggin HillLondon
Chelsea and FulhamLondon
Chingford and Woodford GreenLondon
Chipping BarnetLondon
Cities of London and WestminsterLondon
Croydon SouthLondon
Eltham and ChislehurstLondon
Finchley and Golders GreenLondon
Harrow EastLondon
HendonLondon
Ruislip, Northwood and PinnerLondon
Uxbridge and Ruislip SouthLondon
ColchesterEast of England
Dunstable and Leighton BuzzardEast of England
Harwich and Essex NorthEast of England
Hemel HempsteadEast of England
Hertford and StortfordEast of England
Hertfordshire North EastEast of England
HitchinEast of England
IpswichEast of England
LowestoftEast of England
Norwich NorthEast of England
PeterboroughEast of England
Southend East and RochfordEast of England
Southend West and LeighEast of England
St Neots and Mid CambridgeshireEast of England
StevenageEast of England
ThurrockEast of England
WatfordEast of England
Welwyn HatfieldEast of England
AylesburySouth East
BanburySouth East
BasingstokeSouth East
BracknellSouth East
Buckingham and BletchleySouth East
CrawleySouth East
DartfordSouth East
Dover and DealSouth East
Earley and WoodleySouth East
Folkestone and HytheSouth East
Gillingham and RainhamSouth East
GraveshamSouth East
Hastings and RyeSouth East
Isle of Wight WestSouth East
Milton Keynes CentralSouth East
Milton Keynes NorthSouth East
Rochester and StroodSouth East
Southampton ItchenSouth East
Thanet EastSouth East
Worthing East and ShorehamSouth East
Worthing WestSouth East
WycombeSouth East
Bournemouth EastSouth West
Bournemouth WestSouth West
Camborne and RedruthSouth West
Devon CentralSouth West
Filton and Bradley StokeSouth West
Forest of DeanSouth West
Frome and Somerset EastSouth West
GloucesterSouth West
Plymouth Moor ViewSouth West
Somerset NorthSouth West
Somerset North East and HanhamSouth West
St Austell and NewquaySouth West
StroudSouth West
Swindon NorthSouth West
Swindon SouthSouth West
Truro and FalmouthSouth West
Weston-Super-MareSouth West
AshfieldEast Midlands
BassetlawEast Midlands
BolsoverEast Midlands
BroxtoweEast Midlands
Corby and Northamptonshire EastEast Midlands
Derby NorthEast Midlands
Derbyshire MidEast Midlands
Derbyshire North EastEast Midlands
ErewashEast Midlands
GedlingEast Midlands
Harborough, Oadby and WigstonEast Midlands
High PeakEast Midlands
LincolnEast Midlands
LoughboroughEast Midlands
Northampton NorthEast Midlands
Northampton SouthEast Midlands
RushcliffeEast Midlands
Sherwood ForestEast Midlands
Birmingham NorthfieldWest Midlands
Burton and UttoxeterWest Midlands
DudleyWest Midlands
HalesowenWest Midlands
Newcastle-under-LymeWest Midlands
NuneatonWest Midlands
RugbyWest Midlands
ShrewsburyWest Midlands
StaffordWest Midlands
Stoke-on-Trent CentralWest Midlands
Stoke-on-Trent NorthWest Midlands
Stoke-on-Trent SouthWest Midlands
StourbridgeWest Midlands
TelfordWest Midlands
Tipton and WednesburyWest Midlands
Walsall and BloxwichWest Midlands
West BromwichWest Midlands
Wolverhampton North EastWest Midlands
Wolverhampton WestWest Midlands
WorcesterWest Midlands
Calder ValleyYorkshire and the Humber
Colne ValleyYorkshire and the Humber
Doncaster East and the Isle of AxholmeYorkshire and the Humber
Great Grimsby and CleethorpesYorkshire and the Humber
Hull West and HaltempriceYorkshire and the Humber
Keighley and IlkleyYorkshire and the Humber
Leeds North WestYorkshire and the Humber
Leeds South West and MorleyYorkshire and the Humber
Ossett and Denby DaleYorkshire and the Humber
Penistone and StocksbridgeYorkshire and the Humber
Rother ValleyYorkshire and the Humber
Scarborough and WhitbyYorkshire and the Humber
ScunthorpeYorkshire and the Humber
SelbyYorkshire and the Humber
ShipleyYorkshire and the Humber
Spen ValleyYorkshire and the Humber
Wakefield and RothwellYorkshire and the Humber
York OuterYorkshire and the Humber
Bishop AucklandNorth East
DarlingtonNorth East
HexhamNorth East
Middlesbrough South and Cleveland EastNorth East
Newton Aycliffe and SpennymoorNorth East
Northumberland NorthNorth East
RedcarNorth East
Stockton WestNorth East
Altrincham and Sale WestNorth West
Barrow and FurnessNorth West
Blackpool North and FleetwoodNorth West
Blackpool SouthNorth West
Bolton North EastNorth West
Bolton WestNorth West
BurnleyNorth West
Bury NorthNorth West
Bury SouthNorth West
CarlisleNorth West
Cheshire MidNorth West
Crewe and NantwichNorth West
HyndburnNorth West
Lancaster and WyreNorth West
Leigh and AthertonNorth West
MacclesfieldNorth West
Morecambe and LunesdaleNorth West
Pendle and ClitheroeNorth West
Penrith and SolwayNorth West
Ribble ValleyNorth West
Rossendale and DarwenNorth West
South RibbleNorth West
SouthportNorth West
Whitehaven and WorkingtonNorth West
Bangor AberconwyWales
BridgendWales
Clwyd EastWales
Clwyd NorthWales
MonmouthshireWales
Pembrokeshire Mid and SouthWales
Vale of GlamorganWales
WrexhamWales
Ynys MonWales
Airdrie and ShottsScotland
Ayr, Carrick and CumnockScotland
Ayrshire CentralScotland
Bathgate and LinlithgowScotland
Coatbridge and BellshillScotland
Cowdenbeath and KirkcaldyScotland
Cumbernauld and KirkintillochScotland
Dunbartonshire WestScotland
Dundee CentralScotland
Dunfermline and DollarScotland
East Kilbride and StrathavenScotland
East LothianScotland
Edinburgh East and MusselburghScotland
Edinburgh North and LeithScotland
Glasgow EastScotland
Glasgow NorthScotland
Glasgow North EastScotland
Glasgow SouthScotland
Glasgow South WestScotland
Glasgow WestScotland
Glenrothes and Mid FifeScotland
Hamilton and Clyde ValleyScotland
Inverclyde and Renfrewshire WestScotland
Kilmarnock and LoudounScotland
LivingstonScotland
MidlothianScotland
Motherwell, Wishaw and CarlukeScotland
Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles)Scotland
Paisley and Renfrewshire NorthScotland
Paisley and Renfrewshire SouthScotland
Renfrewshire EastScotland
RutherglenScotland
Liberal Democrat gains
Carshalton and WallingtonLondon
Sutton and CheamLondon
WimbledonLondon
Cambridgeshire SouthEast of England
Didcot and WantageSouth East
Dorking and HorleySouth East
EastbourneSouth East
EastleighSouth East
Esher and WaltonSouth East
Godalming and AshSouth East
GuildfordSouth East
LewesSouth East
WinchesterSouth East
WokingSouth East
CheltenhamSouth West
St IvesSouth West
Taunton and WellingtonSouth West
Harrogate and KnaresboroughYorkshire and the Humber
CheadleNorth West
Hazel GroveNorth West
Westmorland and LonsdaleNorth West
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter RossScotland
Dunbartonshire MidScotland
Fife North EastScotland
Plaid Cymru gains
CaerfyrddinWales
Minor gains
Exmouth and Exeter EastSouth West

England

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

London

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

East of England

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

South East

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

South West

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

East Midlands

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

West Midlands

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

Yorkshire and the Humber

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Reform UK
%
Green
%

North East

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Reform UK
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

North West

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Reform UK
%
Green
%

Scotland

SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

Wales

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Reform UK
%
Green
%

Northern Ireland

DUP
%
Sinn Fein
%
Alliance NI
%
SDLP
%
UUP
%

Election 2019

Election 2017 (Swingometer 2019)

Election 2015 (Swingometer 2017)

Election 2010 (Swingometer 2015)

Election 2005 (New Boundaries) (Swingometer 2010)

Election 2005

Election 2001 (Swingometer 2005)

Election 1997 (Swingometer 2001)

Election 1992 (Swingometer 1997)

Election 1987 (Swingometer 1992)

Election 1983 (Swingometer 1987)

Election 1979 (Swingometer 1983)

Election 1974 (October) (Swingometer 1979)

Election 1974 (February) (Swingometer 1974 (October))

2024 General Election
Latest Posts
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posted 22 May 2024, 17:45
Seat By Seat Prediction
posted 12 May 2024, 10:15
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posted 27 Apr 2024, 19:45