UK Swingometer

This page contains the general election swingometer used to predict election results for the next general election as well as a collection of historical swingometers. This UK election seat calculator will calculate its results on a uniform swing relative to the specified election. You can also override the Great Britain figures and specify Scotland and Wales separately.

To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest UK election polls.

Note: The United Kingdom swingometer takes the seats in Northern Ireland into account (as opposition seats) when calculating the majority.

Election 2024 (Swingometer 2029)

United Kingdom

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Reform UK
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

Scotland Figures (optional)

Enable
Labour
%
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Reform UK
%
Green
%

Wales Figures (optional)

Enable
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Reform UK
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Labour
Landslide
308
seat majority
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
Labour34.64%43.61%+8.97%411479+680+68
Conservative24.36%23.67%-0.69%12165+2-58-56
Reform UK14.69%14.69%0.00%530-2-2
Liberal Democrat12.56%10.02%-2.54%72690-3-3
Green6.90%5.50%-1.40%44000
SNP2.59%2.59%0.00%950-4-4
Plaid Cymru0.70%0.70%0.00%44000
Map Options

On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:

Labour gains
Bromley and Biggin HillLondon
Croydon SouthLondon
Hornchurch and UpminsterLondon
Old Bexley and SidcupLondon
RomfordLondon
Basildon and BillericayEast of England
Bedfordshire MidEast of England
BraintreeEast of England
Broadland and FakenhamEast of England
BroxbourneEast of England
Essex North WestEast of England
Harwich and Essex NorthEast of England
HuntingdonEast of England
Norfolk MidEast of England
Suffolk Central and Ipswich NorthEast of England
Suffolk SouthEast of England
Suffolk WestEast of England
Bexhill and BattleSouth East
Bognor Regis and LittlehamptonSouth East
Faversham and Mid KentSouth East
Hampshire North WestSouth East
HavantSouth East
Herne Bay and SandwichSouth East
Maidstone and MallingSouth East
ReigateSouth East
SpelthorneSouth East
BridgwaterSouth West
Devon CentralSouth West
Devon South WestSouth West
Exmouth and Exeter EastSouth West
SalisburySouth West
Wiltshire South WestSouth West
DaventryEast Midlands
GainsboroughEast Midlands
Harborough, Oadby and WigstonEast Midlands
Leicester EastEast Midlands
Leicestershire MidEast Midlands
NewarkEast Midlands
Northamptonshire SouthEast Midlands
Sleaford and North HykehamEast Midlands
BromsgroveWest Midlands
Hereford and Herefordshire SouthWest Midlands
Staffordshire MoorlandsWest Midlands
Sutton ColdfieldWest Midlands
Wrekin, TheWest Midlands
Wyre ForestWest Midlands
Beverley and HoldernessYorkshire and the Humber
Bridlington and the WoldsYorkshire and the Humber
Brigg and ImminghamYorkshire and the Humber
Goole and PocklingtonYorkshire and the Humber
Keighley and IlkleyYorkshire and the Humber
Skipton and RiponYorkshire and the Humber
Wetherby and EasingwoldYorkshire and the Humber
Stockton WestNorth East
Chester South and EddisburyNorth West
FyldeNorth West
TattonNorth West
Dumfries and GallowayScotland
Basildon South and Thurrock EastEast of England
Great YarmouthEast of England
Leicester SouthEast Midlands
Birmingham Perry BarrWest Midlands
BlackburnNorth West
Aberdeen NorthScotland
Aberdeen SouthScotland
Arbroath and Broughty FerryScotland
Dundee CentralScotland
Brecon, Radnor and Cwm TaweWales
Conservative gains
Ely and Cambridgeshire EastEast of England
Hampshire North EastSouth East

England

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Reform UK
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

London

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

East of England

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Reform UK
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

South East

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Reform UK
%
Green
%

South West

Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Labour
%
Reform UK
%
Green
%

East Midlands

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Reform UK
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

West Midlands

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Reform UK
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

Yorkshire and the Humber

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Reform UK
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%

North East

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Reform UK
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%

North West

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Reform UK
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

Scotland

Labour
%
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Reform UK
%
Green
%

Wales

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Reform UK
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

Northern Ireland

Sinn Fein
%
DUP
%
Alliance NI
%
UUP
%
SDLP
%
TUV
%

Election 2019 (New Boundaries) (Swingometer 2024)

Election 2019

Election 2017 (Swingometer 2019)

Election 2015 (Swingometer 2017)

Election 2010 (Swingometer 2015)

Election 2005 (New Boundaries) (Swingometer 2010)

Election 2005

Election 2001 (Swingometer 2005)

Election 1997 (Swingometer 2001)

Election 1992 (Swingometer 1997)

Election 1987 (Swingometer 1992)

Election 1983 (Swingometer 1987)

Election 1979 (Swingometer 1983)

Election 1974 (October) (Swingometer 1979)

Election 1974 (February) (Swingometer 1974 (October))

2029 General Election
Latest Posts
New Senedd Election System
posted 20 Oct 2024, 11:00
Historical Battlegrounds
posted 28 Jul 2024, 11:30
Website Updated with the 2024 General Election Results
posted 5 Jul 2024, 12:00