This page contains the general election swingometer used to predict election results for the next general election as well as a collection of historical swingometers. This UK election seat calculator will calculate its results on a uniform swing relative to the specified election.
To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest UK election polls.
Note: The United Kingdom swingometer uses percentages for Great Britain, but takes the seats in Northern Ireland into account (as opposition seats) when calculating the majority.
Votes | Seats | Seat Changes | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Then | Now | Change | Then | Now | Gains | Losses | Net | |
Labour | 32.90% | 44.53% | +11.63% | 202 | 360 | +158 | 0 | +158 | |
Conservative | 44.72% | 24.82% | -19.90% | 365 | 182 | 0 | -183 | -183 | |
Liberal Democrat | 11.84% | 10.82% | -1.02% | 11 | 33 | +23 | -1 | +22 | |
Green | 2.77% | 6.13% | +3.36% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
SNP | 3.98% | 3.98% | 0.00% | 48 | 51 | +7 | -4 | +3 | |
Brexit Party | 2.06% | 2.06% | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Plaid Cymru | 0.49% | 0.49% | 0.00% | 4 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -1 |
On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:
Labour gainsCarshalton and Wallington | London | ||
Sutton and Cheam | London | ||
Wimbledon | London | ||
Cambridgeshire South | East of England | ||
Cambridgeshire South East | East of England | ||
Hitchin and Harpenden | East of England | ||
Eastbourne | South East | ||
Esher and Walton | South East | ||
Guildford | South East | ||
Lewes | South East | ||
Surrey South West | South East | ||
Wantage | South East | ||
Winchester | South East | ||
Woking | South East | ||
Wokingham | South East | ||
Cheltenham | South West | ||
St Ives | South West | ||
Taunton Deane | South West | ||
Wells | South West | ||
Harrogate and Knaresborough | Yorkshire and the Humber | ||
Cheadle | North West | ||
Hazel Grove | North West | ||
Brecon and Radnorshire | Wales |
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine | Scotland | ||
Banff and Buchan | Scotland | ||
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk | Scotland | ||
Dumfries and Galloway | Scotland | ||
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale | Scotland | ||
Moray | Scotland | ||
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross | Scotland |
Devon East | South West |