UK Swingometer

This page contains the general election swingometer used to predict election results for the next general election as well as a collection of historical swingometers. This UK election seat calculator will calculate its results on a uniform swing relative to the specified election.

To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest UK election polls.

Note: The United Kingdom swingometer uses percentages for Great Britain, but takes the seats in Northern Ireland into account (as opposition seats) when calculating the majority.

Election 2019 (Swingometer 2024)

United Kingdom

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%
Labour
Win
50
seat majority
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
Labour32.90%43.55%+10.65%202350+1480+148
Conservative44.72%25.51%-19.21%3651930-172-172
Liberal Democrat11.84%11.09%-0.75%1132+22-1+21
Green2.77%5.86%+3.09%11000
SNP3.98%3.98%0.00%4851+7-4+3
Reform UK2.06%2.06%0.00%00000
Plaid Cymru0.49%0.49%0.00%430-1-1
Map Options

On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:

Labour gains
BeckenhamLondon
Bromley and ChislehurstLondon
Chelsea and FulhamLondon
Chingford and Woodford GreenLondon
Chipping BarnetLondon
Cities of London and WestminsterLondon
Croydon SouthLondon
Finchley and Golders GreenLondon
Harrow EastLondon
HendonLondon
KensingtonLondon
Uxbridge and Ruislip SouthLondon
ColchesterEast of England
Hemel HempsteadEast of England
IpswichEast of England
Norwich NorthEast of England
PeterboroughEast of England
Rochford and Southend EastEast of England
StevenageEast of England
ThurrockEast of England
WatfordEast of England
Welwyn HatfieldEast of England
AylesburySouth East
BanburySouth East
BasingstokeSouth East
CrawleySouth East
DoverSouth East
Hastings and RyeSouth East
Milton Keynes NorthSouth East
Milton Keynes SouthSouth East
Reading WestSouth East
Southampton ItchenSouth East
Thanet SouthSouth East
Worthing East and ShorehamSouth East
Worthing WestSouth East
WycombeSouth East
Bournemouth EastSouth West
Bournemouth WestSouth West
Camborne and RedruthSouth West
Filton and Bradley StokeSouth West
GloucesterSouth West
KingswoodSouth West
Plymouth Moor ViewSouth West
Somerset NorthSouth West
Somerset North EastSouth West
St Austell and NewquaySouth West
StroudSouth West
Swindon NorthSouth West
Swindon SouthSouth West
Truro and FalmouthSouth West
AshfieldEast Midlands
BassetlawEast Midlands
BolsoverEast Midlands
BroxtoweEast Midlands
CorbyEast Midlands
Derby NorthEast Midlands
Derbyshire North EastEast Midlands
ErewashEast Midlands
GedlingEast Midlands
High PeakEast Midlands
LincolnEast Midlands
LoughboroughEast Midlands
Northampton NorthEast Midlands
Northampton SouthEast Midlands
RushcliffeEast Midlands
Birmingham NorthfieldWest Midlands
BurtonWest Midlands
Halesowen and Rowley RegisWest Midlands
Newcastle-under-LymeWest Midlands
NuneatonWest Midlands
RugbyWest Midlands
Shrewsbury and AtchamWest Midlands
StaffordWest Midlands
Stoke-on-Trent CentralWest Midlands
Stoke-on-Trent NorthWest Midlands
Stoke-on-Trent SouthWest Midlands
StourbridgeWest Midlands
TelfordWest Midlands
West Bromwich EastWest Midlands
West Bromwich WestWest Midlands
Wolverhampton North EastWest Midlands
Wolverhampton South WestWest Midlands
WorcesterWest Midlands
Calder ValleyYorkshire and the Humber
Colne ValleyYorkshire and the Humber
DewsburyYorkshire and the Humber
Don ValleyYorkshire and the Humber
Elmet and RothwellYorkshire and the Humber
Great GrimsbyYorkshire and the Humber
KeighleyYorkshire and the Humber
Morley and OutwoodYorkshire and the Humber
Penistone and StocksbridgeYorkshire and the Humber
PudseyYorkshire and the Humber
Rother ValleyYorkshire and the Humber
Scarborough and WhitbyYorkshire and the Humber
ScunthorpeYorkshire and the Humber
ShipleyYorkshire and the Humber
WakefieldYorkshire and the Humber
York OuterYorkshire and the Humber
Bishop AucklandNorth East
Blyth ValleyNorth East
DarlingtonNorth East
Durham North WestNorth East
HexhamNorth East
Middlesbrough South and Cleveland EastNorth East
RedcarNorth East
SedgefieldNorth East
Stockton SouthNorth East
Altrincham and Sale WestNorth West
Barrow and FurnessNorth West
Blackpool North and CleveleysNorth West
Blackpool SouthNorth West
Bolton North EastNorth West
Bolton WestNorth West
BurnleyNorth West
Bury NorthNorth West
Bury SouthNorth West
CarlisleNorth West
CopelandNorth West
Crewe and NantwichNorth West
Heywood and MiddletonNorth West
HyndburnNorth West
LeighNorth West
MacclesfieldNorth West
Morecambe and LunesdaleNorth West
PendleNorth West
Rossendale and DarwenNorth West
South RibbleNorth West
SouthportNorth West
Warrington SouthNorth West
WorkingtonNorth West
AberconwyWales
BridgendWales
Carmarthen West and Pembrokeshire SouthWales
Clwyd SouthWales
Clwyd WestWales
DelynWales
MonmouthWales
Preseli PembrokeshireWales
Vale of ClwydWales
Vale of GlamorganWales
WrexhamWales
Ynys MonWales
East LothianScotland
Glasgow North EastScotland
Kirkcaldy and CowdenbeathScotland
Rutherglen and Hamilton WestScotland
ArfonWales
Liberal Democrat gains
Carshalton and WallingtonLondon
Sutton and CheamLondon
WimbledonLondon
Cambridgeshire SouthEast of England
Cambridgeshire South EastEast of England
Hitchin and HarpendenEast of England
EastbourneSouth East
Esher and WaltonSouth East
GuildfordSouth East
LewesSouth East
Surrey South WestSouth East
WinchesterSouth East
WokingSouth East
WokinghamSouth East
CheltenhamSouth West
St IvesSouth West
Taunton DeaneSouth West
WellsSouth West
Harrogate and KnaresboroughYorkshire and the Humber
CheadleNorth West
Hazel GroveNorth West
Brecon and RadnorshireWales
SNP gains
Aberdeenshire West and KincardineScotland
Banff and BuchanScotland
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and SelkirkScotland
Dumfries and GallowayScotland
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and TweeddaleScotland
MorayScotland
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter RossScotland
Minor gains
Devon EastSouth West

England

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

London

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

East of England

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

South East

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

South West

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

East Midlands

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

West Midlands

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

Yorkshire and the Humber

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Reform UK
%
Green
%

North East

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Reform UK
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

North West

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Reform UK
%
Green
%

Scotland

SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
Reform UK
%

Wales

Labour
%
Conservative
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Reform UK
%
Green
%

Northern Ireland

DUP
%
Sinn Fein
%
Alliance NI
%
SDLP
%
UUP
%

Election 2017 (Swingometer 2019)

Election 2015 (Swingometer 2017)

Election 2010 (Swingometer 2015)

Election 2005 (5th Boundary Review) (Swingometer 2010)

Election 2005

Election 2001 (Swingometer 2005)

Election 1997 (Swingometer 2001)

Election 1992 (Swingometer 1997)

Election 1987 (Swingometer 1992)

Election 1983 (Swingometer 1987)

Quick Links
Latest Posts