SNP Defence

Below are lists of SNP marginal seats showing which constituencies won in the latest elections can be most easily lost.

SNP Defence 2022

Below is the SNP defence list consisting of SNP held marginal seats for the 2022 general election. These marginal constituencies are ordered from the smallest to the largest swing to be defeated by the largest opposition party.

View SNP target seats for the next general election.

RankConstituencyRegionMajoritySwing to Defeat
1.Fife North EastScotland20.00%
2.Perth and North PerthshireScotland210.02%
3.Glasgow South WestScotland600.08%
4.Glasgow EastScotland750.10%
5.Airdrie and ShottsScotland1950.26%
6.Lanark and Hamilton EastScotland2660.26%
7.Motherwell and WishawScotland3180.38%
8.InverclydeScotland3840.49%
9.Dunfermline and Fife WestScotland8440.83%
10.Edinburgh South WestScotland1,0971.11%
11.Argyll and ButeScotland1,3281.38%
12.Ayrshire CentralScotland1,2671.41%
13.Edinburgh North and LeithScotland1,6251.44%
14.Glasgow NorthScotland1,0601.58%
15.Glasgow SouthScotland2,0272.27%
16.Dunbartonshire WestScotland2,2882.60%
17.Linlithgow and Falkirk EastScotland2,9192.60%
18.Paisley and Renfrewshire NorthScotland2,6132.80%
19.Paisley and Renfrewshire SouthScotland2,5413.05%
20.Glasgow CentralScotland2,2673.15%
21.Glasgow North WestScotland2,5613.30%
22.Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles)Scotland1,0073.40%
23.East Kilbride, Strathaven and LesmahagowScotland3,8663.57%
24.LivingstonScotland3,8783.69%
25.Ayrshire North and ArranScotland3,6333.83%
26.Edinburgh EastScotland3,4253.93%
27.GlenrothesScotland3,2674.04%
28.FalkirkScotland4,9234.57%
29.Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and StrathspeyScotland4,9244.66%
30.Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch EastScotland4,2644.86%
31.Aberdeen NorthScotland4,1395.63%
32.Kilmarnock and LoudounScotland6,2696.74%
33.Dundee WestScotland5,2626.80%
34.Ross, Skye and LochaberScotland5,9197.70%
35.Dundee EastScotland6,6457.74%

View SNP target seats for the next general election.

SNP Defence for the 2021 Scottish Parliament Election

Below is the SNP defence list consisting of SNP held marginal seats for the 2021 Scottish Parliament election. These marginal constituencies are ordered from the smallest to the largest swing to be defeated by the largest opposition party.

View SNP target seats for the next Scottish Parliament election.

RankConstituencyRegionMajoritySwing to Defeat
1.Perthshire South and Kinross-shireMid Scotland and Fife1,4221.97%
2.Edinburgh PentlandsLothian2,4563.68%
3.Angus North and MearnsNorth East Scotland2,4724.21%
4.Aberdeen South and North KincardineNorth East Scotland2,7554.26%
5.MorayHighlands and Islands2,8754.30%
6.Perthshire NorthMid Scotland and Fife3,3364.90%
7.CowdenbeathMid Scotland and Fife3,0415.11%
8.RutherglenGlasgow3,7435.68%
9.Caithness Sutherland and RossHighlands and Islands3,9136.07%
10.Coatbridge and ChrystonCentral Scotland3,7796.67%
11.Angus SouthNorth East Scotland4,3046.74%
12.DunfermlineMid Scotland and Fife4,5586.93%
13.Glasgow KelvinGlasgow4,0487.12%
14.Edinburgh EasternLothian5,0877.19%
15.Renfrewshire SouthWest Scotland4,4087.43%
16.Uddingston and BellshillCentral Scotland4,8098.14%
17.Aberdeen CentralNorth East Scotland4,3498.14%
18.Midlothian South, Tweeddale and LauderdaleSouth Scotland5,8688.25%
19.Aberdeenshire EastNorth East Scotland5,8378.40%
20.PaisleyWest Scotland5,1998.82%
21.ClydesdaleSouth Scotland5,9798.87%
22.Edinburgh Northern and LeithLothian6,7469.09%
23.Hamilton, Larkhall and StonehouseCentral Scotland5,4379.41%
24.Carrick, Cumnock and Doon ValleySouth Scotland6,0069.48%
25.StirlingMid Scotland and Fife6,7189.82%
26.Glasgow ProvanGlasgow4,7839.93%
27.Argyll and ButeHighlands and Islands5,97810.14%
28.Midlothian North and MusselburghLothian7,03510.14%
29.Strathkelvin and BearsdenWest Scotland8,10010.33%
30.Glasgow AnnieslandGlasgow6,15310.60%
31.Motherwell and WishawCentral Scotland6,22310.69%
32.Cunninghame SouthWest Scotland5,69311.08%
33.Clackmannanshire and DunblaneMid Scotland and Fife6,72111.30%
34.Banffshire and Buchan CoastNorth East Scotland6,58311.48%
35.Glasgow PollokGlasgow6,48211.60%
36.Airdrie and ShottsCentral Scotland6,19211.65%
37.Glasgow Maryhill and SpringburnGlasgow5,60211.86%
38.KirkcaldyMid Scotland and Fife7,39511.89%
39.Renfrewshire North and WestWest Scotland7,37311.97%
40.Almond ValleyLothian8,39312.03%
41.LinlithgowLothian9,33512.15%
42.Skye, Lochaber and BadenochHighlands and Islands9,04312.39%
43.Falkirk EastCentral Scotland8,31212.78%
44.Clydebank and MilngavieWest Scotland8,43212.84%
45.Greenock and InverclydeWest Scotland8,23012.97%
46.Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles)Highlands and Islands3,49613.24%
47.Cunninghame NorthWest Scotland8,72413.65%
48.Inverness and NairnHighlands and Islands10,85714.17%
49.Glasgow ShettlestonGlasgow7,32314.43%
50.Mid Fife and GlenrothesMid Scotland and Fife8,27614.50%
51.Glasgow CathcartGlasgow9,39015.32%
52.East KilbrideCentral Scotland10,97915.85%
53.Dundee City WestNorth East Scotland8,82815.88%
54.Kilmarnock and Irvine ValleySouth Scotland11,19416.28%
55.Cumbernauld and KilsythCentral Scotland9,47816.74%
56.Falkirk WestCentral Scotland11,28017.58%
57.Aberdeen DonsideNorth East Scotland11,63018.77%
58.Dundee City EastNorth East Scotland10,89819.16%
59.Glasgow SouthsideGlasgow9,59319.26%

View SNP target seats for the next Scottish Parliament election.

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