SNP Defence

Below are lists of SNP marginal seats showing which constituencies won in the latest elections can be most easily lost.

SNP Defence 2024

Below is the SNP defence list consisting of SNP held marginal seats for the 2024 general election. These marginal constituencies are ordered from the smallest to the largest swing to be defeated by the largest opposition party.

View SNP target seats for the next general election.

(order by percentage majority)

RankConstituencyRegionMajoritySwing to Defeat
1.Fife North EastScotland7280.70%
2.Dunbartonshire MidScotland1,9861.69%
3.Perth and Kinross-shireScotland2,3642.09%
4.East LothianScotland2,2072.15%
5.Ayr, Carrick and CumnockScotland2,3292.50%
6.Moray West, Nairn and StrathspeyScotland2,9062.56%
7.Caithness, Sutherland and Easter RossScotland2,7882.64%
8.Cowdenbeath and KirkcaldyScotland3,2203.41%
9.Argyll, Bute and Lochaber SouthScotland4,8974.83%
10.Renfrewshire EastScotland5,4264.90%
11.Glasgow North EastScotland4,2775.01%
12.Angus and Perthshire GlensScotland6,0055.31%
13.Aberdeen SouthScotland5,4635.45%
14.Coatbridge and BellshillScotland5,0845.54%
15.Ayrshire CentralScotland5,3045.70%
16.Airdrie and ShottsScotland5,3245.74%
17.RutherglenScotland5,8555.90%
18.MidlothianScotland5,7055.92%
19.Glasgow South WestScotland5,5336.43%
20.Glasgow NorthScotland5,5826.72%
21.Stirling and StrathallanScotland8,5567.40%
22.Glasgow EastScotland6,2767.62%
23.Hamilton and Clyde ValleyScotland7,7588.18%
24.Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles)Scotland2,4388.42%
25.Ayrshire North and ArranScotland8,5218.85%
26.Motherwell, Wishaw and CarlukeScotland8,2949.11%
27.Bathgate and LinlithgowScotland8,6719.18%
28.Glasgow SouthScotland9,1519.42%
29.Inverclyde and Renfrewshire WestScotland8,9339.64%
30.Glasgow WestScotland9,72810.29%
31.Arbroath and Broughty FerryScotland10,77710.34%
32.Dunfermline and DollarScotland10,07310.36%
33.Dunbartonshire WestScotland9,84110.56%
34.Edinburgh North and LeithScotland12,98311.03%
35.Glenrothes and Mid FifeScotland9,35211.06%
36.Edinburgh East and MusselburghScotland11,79611.29%
37.Edinburgh South WestScotland11,98211.49%
38.Paisley and Renfrewshire SouthScotland11,02311.96%
39.Cumbernauld and KirkintillochScotland12,00512.45%
40.Paisley and Renfrewshire NorthScotland11,75312.56%
41.East Kilbride and StrathavenScotland13,16912.60%
42.LivingstonScotland12,42412.61%
43.Inverness, Skye and Ross-shire WestScotland12,86512.67%
44.FalkirkScotland12,57812.91%
45.Kilmarnock and LoudounScotland12,65913.29%
46.Alloa and GrangemouthScotland12,72713.82%
47.Aberdeen NorthScotland14,21014.17%
48.Dundee CentralScotland15,22116.31%

View SNP target seats for the next general election.

SNP Defence for the 2026 Scottish Parliament Election

Below is the SNP defence list consisting of SNP held marginal seats for the 2026 Scottish Parliament election. These marginal constituencies are ordered from the smallest to the largest swing to be defeated by the largest opposition party.

View SNP target seats for the next Scottish Parliament election.

(order by percentage majority)

RankConstituencyRegionMajoritySwing to Defeat
1.AyrSouth Scotland1700.20%
2.Banffshire and Buchan CoastNorth East Scotland7721.17%
3.East LothianSouth Scotland1,1791.29%
4.Aberdeen South and North KincardineNorth East Scotland1,6712.14%
5.Perthshire South and Kinross-shireMid Scotland and Fife1,9482.21%
6.Aberdeenshire EastNorth East Scotland1,8892.30%
7.Caithness Sutherland and RossHighlands and Islands2,5913.51%
8.MorayHighlands and Islands3,1643.85%
9.Angus North and MearnsNorth East Scotland3,5094.97%
10.Perthshire NorthMid Scotland and Fife4,0535.05%
11.Edinburgh PentlandsLothian3,8975.10%
12.ClydesdaleSouth Scotland4,5785.62%
13.Edinburgh CentralLothian4,7325.67%
14.Carrick, Cumnock and Doon ValleySouth Scotland4,3376.09%
15.Hamilton, Larkhall and StonehouseCentral Scotland4,5826.31%
16.RutherglenGlasgow5,1666.44%
17.Clydebank and MilngavieWest Scotland5,2747.00%
18.Uddingston and BellshillCentral Scotland5,3067.37%
19.Glasgow KelvinGlasgow5,4587.57%
20.Angus SouthNorth East Scotland6,1177.92%
21.Midlothian South, Tweeddale and LauderdaleSouth Scotland6,8267.93%
22.StirlingMid Scotland and Fife6,8958.43%
23.Airdrie and ShottsCentral Scotland5,4688.56%
24.PaisleyWest Scotland6,0758.69%
25.CowdenbeathMid Scotland and Fife6,0138.80%
26.Midlothian North and MusselburghLothian7,9069.28%
27.Renfrewshire North and WestWest Scotland7,3079.57%
28.Falkirk EastCentral Scotland7,5859.76%
29.Glasgow AnnieslandGlasgow6,5889.93%
30.Inverness and NairnHighlands and Islands9,1149.96%
31.Renfrewshire SouthWest Scotland7,10610.24%
32.Aberdeen CentralNorth East Scotland6,59410.42%
33.Cunninghame NorthWest Scotland7,77610.46%
34.Glasgow PollokGlasgow7,10510.51%
35.DunfermlineMid Scotland and Fife8,66410.58%
36.East KilbrideCentral Scotland8,67210.64%
37.LinlithgowLothian10,10510.78%
38.Clackmannanshire and DunblaneMid Scotland and Fife7,55110.80%
39.KirkcaldyMid Scotland and Fife7,83111.13%
40.Greenock and InverclydeWest Scotland8,17411.24%
41.Motherwell and WishawCentral Scotland7,81311.44%
42.Edinburgh EasternLothian10,11711.71%
43.Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles)Highlands and Islands3,44111.86%
44.Glasgow ProvanGlasgow7,23012.02%
45.Edinburgh Northern and LeithLothian11,56912.35%
46.Strathkelvin and BearsdenWest Scotland11,48412.42%
47.Glasgow ShettlestonGlasgow8,02512.50%
48.Aberdeen DonsideNorth East Scotland9,02612.57%
49.Coatbridge and ChrystonCentral Scotland9,43713.19%
50.Cunninghame SouthWest Scotland7,95213.20%
51.Argyll and ButeHighlands and Islands8,96313.35%
52.Glasgow CathcartGlasgow10,39613.62%
53.Glasgow Maryhill and SpringburnGlasgow7,92414.22%
54.Kilmarnock and Irvine ValleySouth Scotland11,68114.38%
55.Glasgow SouthsideGlasgow9,45614.41%
56.Almond ValleyLothian12,13014.52%
57.Cumbernauld and KilsythCentral Scotland9,84114.70%
58.Falkirk WestCentral Scotland11,83914.95%
59.Mid Fife and GlenrothesMid Scotland and Fife10,23415.66%
60.Skye, Lochaber and BadenochHighlands and Islands15,86118.38%
61.Dundee City WestNorth East Scotland12,91920.09%
62.Dundee City EastNorth East Scotland13,33720.54%

View SNP target seats for the next Scottish Parliament election.

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