SNP Defence

Below are lists of SNP marginal seats showing which constituencies won in the latest elections can be most easily lost.

SNP Defence 2024

Below is the SNP defence list consisting of SNP held marginal seats for the 2024 general election. These marginal constituencies are ordered from the smallest to the largest swing to be defeated by the largest opposition party.

View SNP target seats for the next general election.

(order by percentage majority)

RankConstituencyRegionMajoritySwing to Defeat
1.Dunbartonshire EastScotland1490.14%
2.GordonScotland8190.73%
3.Kirkcaldy and CowdenbeathScotland1,2431.32%
4.Ayr, Carrick and CumnockScotland2,3292.50%
5.East LothianScotland3,8863.32%
6.Glasgow North EastScotland2,5483.76%
7.Ochil and South PerthshireScotland4,4983.89%
8.Argyll and ButeScotland4,1104.28%
9.Aberdeen SouthScotland3,9904.37%
10.AngusScotland3,7954.40%
11.Rutherglen and Hamilton WestScotland5,2304.86%
12.Lanark and Hamilton EastScotland5,1874.89%
13.Renfrewshire EastScotland5,4264.90%
14.Ayrshire CentralScotland5,3045.70%
15.Coatbridge, Chryston and BellshillScotland5,6245.83%
16.MidlothianScotland5,7055.92%
17.Airdrie and ShottsScotland5,2016.54%
18.Glasgow South WestScotland4,9006.65%
19.Perth and North PerthshireScotland7,5506.98%
20.Motherwell and WishawScotland6,2687.06%
21.Glasgow EastScotland5,5667.23%
22.Glasgow NorthScotland5,6017.74%
23.Glasgow CentralScotland6,4748.07%
24.Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles)Scotland2,4388.42%
25.StirlingScotland9,2548.79%
26.Ayrshire North and ArranScotland8,5218.85%
27.InverclydeScotland7,5129.41%
28.Glasgow SouthScotland9,0059.49%
29.Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and StrathspeyScotland10,4409.52%
30.Linlithgow and Falkirk EastScotland11,2669.75%
31.Dunfermline and Fife WestScotland10,69910.00%
32.Glasgow North WestScotland8,35910.52%
33.Dunbartonshire WestScotland9,55310.58%
34.Edinburgh North and LeithScotland12,80810.79%
35.Edinburgh EastScotland10,41710.89%
36.Edinburgh South WestScotland11,98211.49%
37.East Kilbride, Strathaven and LesmahagowScotland13,32211.82%
38.Ross, Skye and LochaberScotland9,44311.84%
39.Paisley and Renfrewshire NorthScotland11,90211.98%
40.LivingstonScotland13,43512.30%
41.Paisley and Renfrewshire SouthScotland10,67912.39%
42.Kilmarnock and LoudounScotland12,65913.29%
43.FalkirkScotland14,94813.38%
44.GlenrothesScotland11,75714.15%
45.Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch EastScotland12,97614.20%
46.Dundee WestScotland12,25914.74%
47.Dundee EastScotland13,37514.77%
48.Aberdeen NorthScotland12,67016.93%

View SNP target seats for the next general election.

SNP Defence for the 2026 Scottish Parliament Election

Below is the SNP defence list consisting of SNP held marginal seats for the 2026 Scottish Parliament election. These marginal constituencies are ordered from the smallest to the largest swing to be defeated by the largest opposition party.

View SNP target seats for the next Scottish Parliament election.

(order by percentage majority)

RankConstituencyRegionMajoritySwing to Defeat
1.AyrSouth Scotland1700.20%
2.Banffshire and Buchan CoastNorth East Scotland7721.17%
3.East LothianSouth Scotland1,1791.29%
4.Aberdeen South and North KincardineNorth East Scotland1,6712.14%
5.Perthshire South and Kinross-shireMid Scotland and Fife1,9482.21%
6.Aberdeenshire EastNorth East Scotland1,8892.30%
7.Caithness Sutherland and RossHighlands and Islands2,5913.51%
8.MorayHighlands and Islands3,1643.85%
9.Angus North and MearnsNorth East Scotland3,5094.97%
10.Perthshire NorthMid Scotland and Fife4,0535.05%
11.Edinburgh PentlandsLothian3,8975.10%
12.ClydesdaleSouth Scotland4,5785.62%
13.Edinburgh CentralLothian4,7325.67%
14.Carrick, Cumnock and Doon ValleySouth Scotland4,3376.09%
15.Hamilton, Larkhall and StonehouseCentral Scotland4,5826.31%
16.RutherglenGlasgow5,1666.44%
17.Clydebank and MilngavieWest Scotland5,2747.00%
18.Uddingston and BellshillCentral Scotland5,3067.37%
19.Glasgow KelvinGlasgow5,4587.57%
20.Angus SouthNorth East Scotland6,1177.92%
21.Midlothian South, Tweeddale and LauderdaleSouth Scotland6,8267.93%
22.StirlingMid Scotland and Fife6,8958.43%
23.Airdrie and ShottsCentral Scotland5,4688.56%
24.PaisleyWest Scotland6,0758.69%
25.CowdenbeathMid Scotland and Fife6,0138.80%
26.Midlothian North and MusselburghLothian7,9069.28%
27.Renfrewshire North and WestWest Scotland7,3079.57%
28.Falkirk EastCentral Scotland7,5859.76%
29.Glasgow AnnieslandGlasgow6,5889.93%
30.Inverness and NairnHighlands and Islands9,1149.96%
31.Renfrewshire SouthWest Scotland7,10610.24%
32.Aberdeen CentralNorth East Scotland6,59410.42%
33.Cunninghame NorthWest Scotland7,77610.46%
34.Glasgow PollokGlasgow7,10510.51%
35.DunfermlineMid Scotland and Fife8,66410.58%
36.East KilbrideCentral Scotland8,67210.64%
37.LinlithgowLothian10,10510.78%
38.Clackmannanshire and DunblaneMid Scotland and Fife7,55110.80%
39.KirkcaldyMid Scotland and Fife7,83111.13%
40.Greenock and InverclydeWest Scotland8,17411.24%
41.Motherwell and WishawCentral Scotland7,81311.44%
42.Edinburgh EasternLothian10,11711.71%
43.Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles)Highlands and Islands3,44111.86%
44.Glasgow ProvanGlasgow7,23012.02%
45.Edinburgh Northern and LeithLothian11,56912.35%
46.Strathkelvin and BearsdenWest Scotland11,48412.42%
47.Glasgow ShettlestonGlasgow8,02512.50%
48.Aberdeen DonsideNorth East Scotland9,02612.57%
49.Coatbridge and ChrystonCentral Scotland9,43713.19%
50.Cunninghame SouthWest Scotland7,95213.20%
51.Argyll and ButeHighlands and Islands8,96313.35%
52.Glasgow CathcartGlasgow10,39613.62%
53.Glasgow Maryhill and SpringburnGlasgow7,92414.22%
54.Kilmarnock and Irvine ValleySouth Scotland11,68114.38%
55.Glasgow SouthsideGlasgow9,45614.41%
56.Almond ValleyLothian12,13014.52%
57.Cumbernauld and KilsythCentral Scotland9,84114.70%
58.Falkirk WestCentral Scotland11,83914.95%
59.Mid Fife and GlenrothesMid Scotland and Fife10,23415.66%
60.Skye, Lochaber and BadenochHighlands and Islands15,86118.38%
61.Dundee City WestNorth East Scotland12,91920.09%
62.Dundee City EastNorth East Scotland13,33720.54%

View SNP target seats for the next Scottish Parliament election.

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