UK Swingometer

This page contains the general election swingometer used to predict election results for the next general election as well as a collection of historical swingometers. This UK election seat calculator will calculate its results on a uniform swing relative to the specified election.

To get an idea of the most recent polling figures, we maintain lists of the latest UK election polls.

Note: The United Kingdom swingometer uses percentages for Great Britain, but takes the seats in Northern Ireland into account (as opposition seats) when calculating the majority.

Election 2019 (New Boundaries) (Swingometer 2024)

Election 2019

Election 2017 (Swingometer 2019)

Election 2015 (Swingometer 2017)

United Kingdom

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
HUNG PARLIAMENT
Labour
short by
43
326 seats needed for a majority
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
Liberal Democrat8.06%31.46%+23.40%880+720+72
Labour31.18%28.98%-2.20%232283+61-10+51
Conservative37.66%22.46%-15.20%3302140-116-116
UKIP12.88%7.18%-5.70%12+10+1
SNP4.85%4.85%0.00%5647+1-10-9
Green3.84%2.24%-1.60%11000
Plaid Cymru0.61%0.61%0.00%34+10+1

On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:

Labour gains
Croydon CentralLondon
Enfield SouthgateLondon
Finchley and Golders GreenLondon
Harrow EastLondon
HendonLondon
BedfordEast of England
IpswichEast of England
Norwich NorthEast of England
PeterboroughEast of England
StevenageEast of England
ThurrockEast of England
WaveneyEast of England
Brighton KemptownSouth East
DoverSouth East
Hastings and RyeSouth East
Reading EastSouth East
Southampton ItchenSouth East
Bristol North WestSouth West
Plymouth Moor ViewSouth West
Plymouth Sutton and DevonportSouth West
StroudSouth West
Swindon SouthSouth West
Amber ValleyEast Midlands
BroxtoweEast Midlands
CorbyEast Midlands
Derby NorthEast Midlands
ErewashEast Midlands
High PeakEast Midlands
LincolnEast Midlands
Northampton NorthEast Midlands
Northampton SouthEast Midlands
SherwoodEast Midlands
Cannock ChaseWest Midlands
Dudley SouthWest Midlands
Halesowen and Rowley RegisWest Midlands
NuneatonWest Midlands
TelfordWest Midlands
Warwickshire NorthWest Midlands
WorcesterWest Midlands
Calder ValleyYorkshire and the Humber
Colne ValleyYorkshire and the Humber
KeighleyYorkshire and the Humber
Morley and OutwoodYorkshire and the Humber
PudseyYorkshire and the Humber
Scarborough and WhitbyYorkshire and the Humber
Stockton SouthNorth East
Blackpool North and CleveleysNorth West
Bolton WestNorth West
Bury NorthNorth West
CarlisleNorth West
Crewe and NantwichNorth West
Morecambe and LunesdaleNorth West
PendleNorth West
Rossendale and DarwenNorth West
South RibbleNorth West
Warrington SouthNorth West
Weaver ValeNorth West
Cardiff NorthWales
GowerWales
Preseli PembrokeshireWales
Vale of ClwydWales
UKIP gains
Thanet SouthSouth East
Liberal Democrat gains
Bermondsey and Old SouthwarkLondon
Hornsey and Wood GreenLondon
CambridgeEast of England
Bristol WestSouth West
Birmingham YardleyWest Midlands
Bradford EastYorkshire and the Humber
RedcarNorth East
BurnleyNorth West
Cardiff CentralWales
Kingston and SurbitonLondon
Sutton and CheamLondon
TwickenhamLondon
Cambridgeshire SouthEast of England
Cambridgeshire South EastEast of England
ColchesterEast of England
St AlbansEast of England
WatfordEast of England
CanterburySouth East
EastbourneSouth East
EastleighSouth East
Isle of WightSouth East
LewesSouth East
Maidstone and The WealdSouth East
Oxford West and AbingdonSouth East
Portsmouth SouthSouth East
Romsey and Southampton NorthSouth East
WinchesterSouth East
BathSouth West
Bridgwater and Somerset WestSouth West
Camborne and RedruthSouth West
CheltenhamSouth West
ChippenhamSouth West
Cornwall NorthSouth West
Cornwall South EastSouth West
Cotswolds, TheSouth West
Devon NorthSouth West
Devon West and TorridgeSouth West
Dorset Mid and Poole NorthSouth West
Dorset WestSouth West
Newton AbbotSouth West
PooleSouth West
Somerton and FromeSouth West
St Austell and NewquaySouth West
St IvesSouth West
Taunton DeaneSouth West
Thornbury and YateSouth West
TorbaySouth West
Truro and FalmouthSouth West
WellsSouth West
Weston-Super-MareSouth West
YeovilSouth West
BosworthEast Midlands
Shrewsbury and AtchamWest Midlands
SolihullWest Midlands
Harrogate and KnaresboroughYorkshire and the Humber
York OuterYorkshire and the Humber
Berwick-upon-TweedNorth East
CheadleNorth West
Hazel GroveNorth West
AberconwyWales
Brecon and RadnorshireWales
MontgomeryshireWales
Aberdeenshire West and KincardineScotland
Argyll and ButeScotland
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and SelkirkScotland
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter RossScotland
Dunbartonshire EastScotland
Edinburgh WestScotland
Fife North EastScotland
GordonScotland
Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and StrathspeyScotland
Ross, Skye and LochaberScotland
SNP gains
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and TweeddaleScotland
Plaid Cymru gains
Ynys MonWales

England

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

London

Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

East of England

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

South East

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

South West

Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
UKIP
%
Green
%

East Midlands

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

West Midlands

Conservative
%
Labour
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

Yorkshire and the Humber

Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

North East

Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

North West

Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

Scotland

SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
UKIP
%
Green
%

Wales

Labour
%
Conservative
%
UKIP
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%

Northern Ireland

DUP
%
Sinn Fein
%
UUP
%
SDLP
%
Alliance NI
%

Election 2010 (Swingometer 2015)

Election 2005 (5th Boundary Review) (Swingometer 2010)

Election 2005

Election 2001 (Swingometer 2005)

Election 1997 (Swingometer 2001)

Election 1992 (Swingometer 1997)

Election 1987 (Swingometer 1992)

Election 1983 (Swingometer 1987)

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Updated Election Maps
posted 30 Mar 2024, 14:30
Updated Constituency Boundaries
posted 26 Feb 2024, 21:20
2021 Results for the Scottish Parliament and Senedd Elections
posted 8 May 2021, 20:45