Tactical Voting against Sinn Fein

This is our Tactical Voting Guide against Sinn Fein candidates for the 2022 general election. This page takes the set of constituencies where Sinn Fein candidates stood last time and divides them into three categories using the rules below.

Rules

We assume that tactical voting is only a good idea against a Sinn Fein candidate in a particular constituency when, in the last election, they held the constituency and were no more than 25 percentage points ahead of the second placed candidate or did not win the constituency and were no more than 25 percentage points behind the winning candidate.

  1. The first table contains the constituencies which meet the above criteria.
  2. The second table contains the constituencies where the previous Sinn Fein candidate was so far behind that it appears they cannot win.
  3. The third table contains the constituencies where the previous Sinn Fein candidate was so far ahead that it appears they are unlikely to be beaten.

If a by-election has taken place after the last election then that result is used instead of the one from the last election.

Usage Guide

In my opinion, the best way of using this guide is as follows:

  1. Pick the name of a constituency.
  2. Find which table the constituency is in.
  3. Check the recommended advice above the table.
  4. Open the link to your selected constituency and verify whether our advised tactical vote seems plausible to you.

For tactical voting against other parties see here.

Constituencies where tactical voting may help

Our recommendation: Vote for the parties recommended in this table. If there are two such parties, the first choice is probably the most effective.

Northern IrelandVote For
Antrim South1. DUP
2. UUP
Belfast NorthDUP
Belfast South1. DUP
2. SDLP
Down South1. SDLP
2. DUP
Fermanagh and South TyroneUUP
Foyle1. SDLP
2. DUP
Londonderry East1. DUP
2. SDLP
Newry and ArmaghDUP
Tyrone WestDUP
Upper Bann1. DUP
2. UUP

Non-Sinn Fein constituencies where they are too far behind for tactical voting against them to be worth it

Our recommendation: Vote for whichever party you like.

Northern Ireland
Antrim East
Antrim North
Belfast East
Down North
Lagan Valley
Strangford

Sinn Fein held constituencies where their lead is probably too large for tactical voting to make a difference

Our recommendation: Vote for whichever party you like.

Northern Ireland
Belfast West
Ulster Mid
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