Tactical Voting against SNP

This is our tactical voting guide to keeping out SNP candidates in the 2024 general election. This page takes the set of constituencies where SNP candidates stood last time and divides them into three categories using the rules below.

Rules

We assume that tactical voting is only a good idea against a SNP candidate in a particular constituency when, in the last election, they held the constituency and were no more than 40 percentage points ahead of the second placed candidate or did not win the constituency and were no more than 40 percentage points behind the winning candidate.

  1. The first table contains the constituencies which meet the above criteria.
  2. The second table contains the constituencies where the previous SNP candidate was so far behind that it appears they cannot win.
  3. The third table contains the constituencies where the previous SNP candidate was so far ahead that it appears they are unlikely to be beaten.

If a by-election has taken place after the last election then that result is used instead of the one from the last election.

Usage Guide

In my opinion, the best way of using this guide is as follows:

  1. Pick the name of a constituency.
  2. Find which table the constituency is in.
  3. Check the recommended advice above the table.
  4. Open the link to your selected constituency and verify whether our advised tactical vote seems plausible to you.

For tactical voting against other parties see here.
For the newer (and more sophisticated) tactical voting calculator see here.

Constituencies where tactical voting may help

Our recommendation: Vote for the parties recommended in this table. If there are two such parties, the first choice is probably the most effective.

ScotlandVote For
Aberdeen NorthConservative
Aberdeen South1. Conservative
2. Liberal Democrat
Aberdeenshire North and Moray East1. Conservative
2. Liberal Democrat
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine1. Conservative
2. Liberal Democrat
Airdrie and Shotts1. Labour
2. Conservative
Alloa and Grangemouth1. Conservative
2. Labour
Angus and Perthshire GlensConservative
Arbroath and Broughty FerryConservative
Argyll, Bute and Lochaber South1. Conservative
2. Liberal Democrat
Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock1. Conservative
2. Labour
Ayrshire Central1. Conservative
2. Labour
Ayrshire North and Arran1. Conservative
2. Labour
Bathgate and Linlithgow1. Conservative
2. Labour
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk1. Conservative
2. Liberal Democrat
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross1. Liberal Democrat
2. Conservative
Coatbridge and Bellshill1. Labour
2. Conservative
Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy1. Labour
2. Conservative
Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch1. Labour
2. Conservative
Dumfries and Galloway1. Conservative
2. Labour
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale1. Conservative
2. Labour
Dunbartonshire Mid1. Liberal Democrat
2. Conservative
Dunbartonshire West1. Labour
2. Conservative
Dundee CentralLabour
Dunfermline and Dollar1. Labour
2. Conservative
East Kilbride and Strathaven1. Labour
2. Conservative
East Lothian1. Labour
2. Conservative
Edinburgh East and Musselburgh1. Labour
2. Conservative
Edinburgh North and Leith1. Labour
2. Conservative
Edinburgh South1. Labour
2. Conservative
Edinburgh South West1. Conservative
2. Labour
Edinburgh West1. Liberal Democrat
2. Conservative
Falkirk1. Conservative
2. Labour
Fife North East1. Liberal Democrat
2. Conservative
Glasgow East1. Labour
2. Conservative
Glasgow North1. Labour
2. Conservative
Glasgow North East1. Labour
2. Conservative
Glasgow South1. Labour
2. Conservative
Glasgow South West1. Labour
2. Conservative
Glasgow West1. Labour
2. Conservative
Glenrothes and Mid Fife1. Labour
2. Conservative
Gordon and Buchan1. Conservative
2. Liberal Democrat
Hamilton and Clyde Valley1. Labour
2. Conservative
Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West1. Labour
2. Conservative
Inverness, Skye and Ross-shire West1. Conservative
2. Liberal Democrat
Kilmarnock and Loudoun1. Conservative
2. Labour
Livingston1. Labour
2. Conservative
Midlothian1. Labour
2. Conservative
Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey1. Conservative
2. Liberal Democrat
Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke1. Labour
2. Conservative
Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles)1. Labour
2. Conservative
Orkney and Shetland1. Liberal Democrat
2. Conservative
Paisley and Renfrewshire North1. Labour
2. Conservative
Paisley and Renfrewshire South1. Labour
2. Conservative
Perth and Kinross-shire1. Conservative
2. Liberal Democrat
Renfrewshire East1. Conservative
2. Labour
Rutherglen1. Labour
2. Conservative
Stirling and StrathallanConservative

Non-SNP constituencies where they are too far behind for tactical voting against them to be worth it

There are no such constituencies.

SNP held constituencies where their lead is probably too large for tactical voting to make a difference

There are no such constituencies.

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posted 30 Mar 2024, 14:30
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