Caerphilly - Senedd Constituency

Here are the most recent election results for the Caerphilly constituency.

Note: Smaller parties may be omitted. The candidate with the largest vote who does not belong to one of the main parties is listed as 'Minor'. Votes listed for 'Other' are calculated by taking the votes from the main parties and 'Minor' away from the total votes cast.

NameCaerphilly
RegionSouth Wales East
1st in 2021Labour
2nd in 2021Plaid Cymru
Swing To Lose8.78%
Next Election PredictionView

Note: 'Swing To Lose' is the swing needed by the 2nd placed party against the 1st placed party to win the seat.

Electoral History

ElectionParty
Senedd Election 2021Labour
Senedd Election 2016Labour
Senedd Election 2011Labour

Senedd Election 2021

View full Senedd Election 2021 results.

PartyVotesPercentageChange
Labour13,28945.96%+10.61%
Plaid Cymru8,21128.40%-1.14%
Conservative5,01317.34%+8.44%
Abolish the Welsh Assembly1,1193.87%N/A
Liberal Democrat7872.72%+1.30%
Reform UK4951.71%N/A
Majority5,07817.56%
Turnout28,91443.84%+0.42%
Electorate65,958
Swing from
PC
to
LAB
5.88%
Swing from
CON
to
LAB
1.09%
Swing from
PC
to
CON
4.79%
Labour hold

Senedd Election 2016

View full Senedd Election 2016 results.

PartyVotesPercentageChange
Labour9,58435.35%-13.62%
Plaid Cymru8,00929.54%-0.17%
UKIP5,95421.96%N/A
Conservative2,4128.90%-4.28%
Green7702.84%N/A
Liberal Democrat3861.42%-2.73%
Majority1,5755.81%
Turnout27,11543.42%+2.21%
Electorate62,449
Swing from
LAB
to
PC
6.72%
Swing from
LAB
to
UKIP
17.79%
Swing from
PC
to
UKIP
11.07%
Labour hold

Senedd Election 2011

View full Senedd Election 2011 results.

PartyVotesPercentageChange
Labour12,52148.97%N/A
Plaid Cymru7,59729.71%N/A
Conservative3,36813.17%N/A
Liberal Democrat1,0624.15%N/A
BNP1,0224.00%N/A
Majority4,92419.26%
Turnout25,57041.21%N/A
Electorate62,049
Labour win
2029 General Election
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