Senedd Swingometer

This page contains the Senedd swingometer used to predict election results for the next Senedd election scheduled to be held in 2026.

We track the latest polls for the next Senedd election.

Senedd Election 2021 (Use for 2026)

Senedd Election 2016 (Use for 2021)

Senedd Election 2011 (Use for 2016)

Wales

Constituency
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
UKIP
%
Green
%
HUNG PARLIAMENT
Labour
short by
1
31 seats needed for a majority
Summary
SeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowGainsLossesNet
Labour3030000
Conservative1414000
Plaid Cymru1111000
Liberal Democrat55000
Constituency
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
Labour42.32%42.32%0.00%2828000
Conservative25.01%25.01%0.00%66000
Plaid Cymru19.27%19.27%0.00%55000
Liberal Democrat10.56%10.56%0.00%11000
Green0.16%0.16%0.00%00000
Region
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
Labour36.88%36.88%0.00%22000
Conservative22.53%22.53%0.00%88000
Plaid Cymru17.89%17.89%0.00%66000
Liberal Democrat8.05%8.05%0.00%44000
UKIP4.56%4.56%0.00%00000
Green3.44%3.44%0.00%00000
Map Options

South Wales East

Constituency
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
UKIP
%
Green
%

South Wales Central

Constituency
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Green
%
UKIP
%

South Wales West

Constituency
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
UKIP
%
Green
%

Mid and West Wales

Constituency
Plaid Cymru
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
Plaid Cymru
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
UKIP
%
Green
%

North Wales

Constituency
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Plaid Cymru
%
Liberal Democrat
%
UKIP
%
Green
%
2029 General Election
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posted 5 Jul 2024, 12:00
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posted 22 May 2024, 17:45
Seat By Seat Prediction
posted 12 May 2024, 10:15