Below are lists of Reform UK target seats showing which constituencies can be most easily won from an opposing party relative to the latest elections.
Below is the list of Reform UK target seats for the 2024 general election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.
View Reform UK held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.
Rank | Constituency | Region | Majority over RefUK | Percent Majority | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Barnsley North | Yorkshire and the Humber | 4,002 | 9.00% | |
2. | Hartlepool | North East | 4,861 | 11.85% | |
3. | Barnsley South | Yorkshire and the Humber | 4,720 | 12.58% | |
4. | Doncaster North | Yorkshire and the Humber | 7,205 | 17.98% | |
5. | Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 9,241 | 22.39% | |
6. | Rotherham | Yorkshire and the Humber | 10,291 | 23.65% | |
7. | Doncaster Central | Yorkshire and the Humber | 10,951 | 23.78% | |
8. | Rawmarsh and Conisbrough | Yorkshire and the Humber | 9,714 | 23.96% | |
9. | Houghton and Sunderland South | North East | 10,801 | 24.11% | |
10. | Normanton and Hemsworth | Yorkshire and the Humber | 10,543 | 24.31% | |
11. | Hull East | Yorkshire and the Humber | 8,424 | 24.81% | |
12. | Ceredigion Preseli | Wales | 13,982 | 27.06% | |
13. | Easington | North East | 11,404 | 28.62% | |
14. | Washington and Gateshead South | North East | 12,306 | 28.82% | |
15. | Hull West and Haltemprice | Yorkshire and the Humber | 12,080 | 29.02% | |
16. | South Shields | North East | 13,467 | 29.41% | |
17. | Ynys Mon | Wales | 10,775 | 29.48% | |
18. | Torfaen | Wales | 12,874 | 29.56% | |
19. | Chesterfield | East Midlands | 13,400 | 29.66% | |
20. | Llanelli | Wales | 13,363 | 30.45% | |
21. | Sunderland Central | North East | 13,289 | 30.57% | |
22. | Sheffield Hallam | Yorkshire and the Humber | 19,363 | 32.15% | |
23. | Caerphilly | Wales | 14,496 | 32.16% | |
24. | Makerfield | North West | 14,530 | 32.19% | |
25. | Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney | Wales | 13,641 | 32.41% | |
26. | Newport West and Islwyn | Wales | 15,985 | 32.93% | |
27. | Durham North | North East | 15,775 | 33.00% | |
28. | Burnley | North West | 15,694 | 33.32% | |
29. | Wigan | North West | 15,083 | 33.49% | |
30. | Ashfield | East Midlands | 14,701 | 34.23% | |
31. | Blaydon and Consett | North East | 16,101 | 34.28% | |
32. | Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy | Scotland | 16,183 | 34.32% | |
33. | Durham, City of | North East | 17,615 | 34.34% | |
34. | Rother Valley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 15,661 | 34.43% | |
35. | Heywood and Middleton North | North West | 14,700 | 34.63% | |
36. | Caerfyrddin | Wales | 18,868 | 35.37% | |
37. | Hull North and Cottingham | Yorkshire and the Humber | 16,102 | 35.83% | |
38. | Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross | Scotland | 18,988 | 36.02% | |
39. | Sheffield South East | Yorkshire and the Humber | 16,891 | 36.02% | |
40. | Cramlington and Killingworth | North East | 17,476 | 36.35% | |
41. | Stalybridge and Hyde | North West | 15,434 | 36.43% | |
42. | Alyn and Deeside | Wales | 19,237 | 36.75% | |
43. | Oldham East and Saddleworth | North West | 17,108 | 37.06% | |
44. | Leigh and Atherton | North West | 16,838 | 37.64% | |
45. | Stockton North | North East | 16,240 | 37.67% | |
46. | Dagenham and Rainham | London | 16,763 | 38.10% | |
47. | Edinburgh West | Scotland | 20,987 | 38.14% | |
48. | Pontypridd | Wales | 17,399 | 38.17% | |
49. | Kensington and Bayswater | London | 20,941 | 38.20% | |
50. | Neath and Swansea East | Wales | 17,137 | 38.23% | |
51. | Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor | North East | 16,640 | 38.37% | |
52. | Bolton North East | North West | 19,177 | 38.47% | |
53. | Warrington North | North West | 17,950 | 38.56% | |
54. | Blyth and Ashington | North East | 16,579 | 38.56% | |
55. | Newcastle upon Tyne North | North East | 20,912 | 38.62% | |
56. | Bridgend | Wales | 18,094 | 38.74% | |
57. | Ashton-under-Lyne | North West | 16,149 | 39.03% | |
58. | Bangor Aberconwy | Wales | 18,900 | 39.04% | |
59. | Bolsover | East Midlands | 17,872 | 39.13% | |
60. | Penistone and Stocksbridge | Yorkshire and the Humber | 19,388 | 39.15% | |
61. | Beckenham and Penge | London | 23,654 | 39.33% | |
62. | Worsley and Eccles | North West | 19,517 | 39.38% | |
63. | Wimbledon | London | 22,478 | 39.52% | |
64. | Jarrow and Gateshead East | North East | 16,074 | 39.68% | |
65. | Bradford South | Yorkshire and the Humber | 16,238 | 39.71% | |
66. | Coventry North West | West Midlands | 18,962 | 39.72% | |
67. | Bury South | North West | 19,727 | 39.74% | |
68. | Halifax | Yorkshire and the Humber | 19,006 | 39.76% | |
69. | Cities of London and Westminster | London | 20,917 | 40.14% | |
70. | Carshalton and Wallington | London | 19,779 | 40.28% | |
71. | Nottingham North and Kimberley | East Midlands | 17,375 | 40.37% | |
72. | Leeds North West | Yorkshire and the Humber | 22,582 | 40.56% | |
73. | Fife North East | Scotland | 21,187 | 40.60% | |
74. | Dwyfor Meirionnydd | Wales | 20,552 | 40.68% | |
75. | Orkney and Shetland | Scotland | 9,481 | 40.94% | |
76. | St Helens North | North West | 19,474 | 40.95% | |
77. | Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare | Wales | 17,671 | 40.99% | |
78. | Redcar | North East | 18,340 | 41.01% | |
79. | Bathgate and Linlithgow | Scotland | 19,402 | 41.09% | |
80. | Leeds East | Yorkshire and the Humber | 18,278 | 41.12% | |
81. | Derby North | East Midlands | 19,351 | 41.16% | |
82. | Newport East | Wales | 19,195 | 41.36% | |
83. | Coventry South | West Midlands | 19,372 | 41.39% | |
84. | Wolverhampton South East | West Midlands | 15,853 | 41.47% | |
85. | Wakefield and Rothwell | Yorkshire and the Humber | 20,436 | 41.63% | |
86. | Warrington South | North West | 22,612 | 41.77% | |
87. | Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme | Yorkshire and the Humber | 18,008 | 41.80% | |
88. | Warwick and Leamington | West Midlands | 21,892 | 41.93% | |
89. | Peterborough | East of England | 19,853 | 42.03% | |
90. | Birmingham Northfield | West Midlands | 18,474 | 42.04% | |
91. | Gower | Wales | 22,949 | 42.32% | |
92. | Rochdale | North West | 17,928 | 42.63% | |
93. | Bedford | East of England | 19,869 | 42.63% | |
94. | Plymouth Sutton and Devonport | South West | 21,048 | 42.73% | |
95. | Wrexham | Wales | 20,155 | 42.77% | |
96. | Tynemouth | North East | 23,112 | 42.85% | |
97. | Stoke-on-Trent Central | West Midlands | 17,402 | 42.85% | |
98. | Spen Valley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 20,259 | 42.91% | |
99. | Edinburgh North and Leith | Scotland | 25,265 | 42.93% | |
100. | Wirral West | North West | 24,073 | 42.95% | |
101. | Gateshead Central and Whickham | North East | 18,158 | 43.21% | |
102. | Cambridgeshire South | East of England | 26,070 | 43.39% | |
103. | Hyndburn | North West | 18,409 | 43.41% | |
104. | West Bromwich | West Midlands | 18,017 | 43.54% | |
105. | Bassetlaw | East Midlands | 20,768 | 43.56% | |
106. | High Peak | East Midlands | 23,667 | 43.69% | |
107. | Clwyd East | Wales | 23,151 | 43.83% | |
108. | Gedling | East Midlands | 23,717 | 43.84% | |
109. | Clwyd North | Wales | 22,528 | 43.92% | |
110. | Runcorn and Helsby | North West | 21,315 | 44.02% | |
111. | Argyll, Bute and Lochaber South | Scotland | 22,349 | 44.06% | |
112. | Blackpool South | North West | 18,706 | 44.10% | |
113. | Stroud | South West | 26,824 | 44.20% | |
114. | Putney | London | 24,577 | 44.26% | |
115. | Eltham and Chislehurst | London | 22,619 | 44.28% | |
116. | Dunfermline and Dollar | Scotland | 21,535 | 44.29% | |
117. | Eastbourne | South East | 22,729 | 44.34% | |
118. | Aberafan Maesteg | Wales | 19,715 | 44.38% | |
119. | Broxtowe | East Midlands | 23,719 | 44.48% | |
120. | Swansea West | Wales | 19,687 | 44.54% | |
121. | Perth and Kinross-shire | Scotland | 25,160 | 44.54% | |
122. | Bury North | North West | 23,839 | 44.58% | |
123. | Rhondda and Ogmore | Wales | 19,047 | 44.76% | |
124. | Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe | Wales | 23,404 | 44.77% | |
125. | Leicester West | East Midlands | 17,287 | 44.79% | |
126. | Tipton and Wednesbury | West Midlands | 17,137 | 44.86% | |
127. | Aberdeen South | Scotland | 22,488 | 44.87% | |
128. | Wolverhampton West | West Midlands | 22,867 | 44.89% | |
129. | Hazel Grove | North West | 22,684 | 44.97% | |
130. | Glasgow South West | Scotland | 19,399 | 45.09% | |
131. | Chelsea and Fulham | London | 24,734 | 45.15% | |
132. | Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey | Scotland | 25,620 | 45.20% | |
133. | Derby South | East Midlands | 19,210 | 45.24% | |
134. | Luton South and Bedfordshire South | East of England | 20,445 | 45.33% | |
135. | Birmingham Erdington | West Midlands | 18,845 | 45.41% | |
136. | Cambridge | East of England | 22,642 | 45.52% | |
137. | Leeds West and Pudsey | Yorkshire and the Humber | 21,890 | 45.63% | |
138. | Battersea | London | 25,107 | 45.72% | |
139. | Lincoln | East Midlands | 23,188 | 45.80% | |
140. | Cheshire Mid | North West | 21,520 | 45.88% | |
141. | Sheffield Heeley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 20,976 | 45.90% | |
142. | Southampton Test | South East | 20,665 | 45.93% | |
143. | Darlington | North East | 21,310 | 46.02% | |
144. | Lancaster and Wyre | North West | 22,793 | 46.16% | |
145. | Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough | Yorkshire and the Humber | 18,922 | 46.21% | |
146. | Hampstead and Highgate | London | 26,619 | 46.39% | |
147. | Croydon East | London | 23,503 | 46.43% | |
148. | Edinburgh South West | Scotland | 24,205 | 46.43% | |
149. | Glenrothes and Mid Fife | Scotland | 19,637 | 46.45% | |
150. | Cardiff West | Wales | 24,134 | 46.46% |
View Reform UK held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.