On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | LAB | CON | LD | GRN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 314 | 143 | 36 | 77 | 5 |
| Change | ▲309 | ▼268 | ▼85 | ▲5 | ▲1 |
| Votes | 30.0% | 20.5% | 17.3% | 13.9% | 10.1% |
| Change | ▲15.3% | ▼14.2% | ▼7.1% | ▲1.3% | ▲3.2% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 14.7% |
CON | REF | 11.2% |
LAB | GRN | 8.7% |
LAB | LD | 7.7% |
LD | REF | 7.0% |
GRN | REF | 6.0% |
CON | GRN | 5.2% |
CON | LD | 4.2% |
LAB | CON | 3.5% |
LD | GRN | 1.0% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 59 | 13 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
| Change | ▼5 | ▼18 | ▼4 | ▲4 | ▲6 | ▲17 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 16 | 8 | 37 | 33 | 2 |
| Change | ▼31 | ▼20 | ▲16 | ▲33 | ▲2 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.