On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 276 | 76 | 133 | 7 | 79 |
| Change | ▲271 | ▼45 | ▼278 | ▲3 | ▲7 |
| Votes | 28.2% | 19.6% | 18.2% | 14.3% | 12.8% |
| Change | ▲13.5% | ▼4.7% | ▼16.4% | ▲7.4% | ▲0.2% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 14.9% |
LAB | GRN | 11.9% |
CON | REF | 9.1% |
LAB | LD | 8.3% |
LD | REF | 6.6% |
CON | GRN | 6.1% |
LAB | CON | 5.8% |
LD | GRN | 3.6% |
GRN | REF | 3.0% |
CON | LD | 2.5% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 59 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 8 | 24 |
| Change | ▼5 | ▼20 | ▼9 | ▲6 | ▲4 | ▲24 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 16 | 8 | 36 | 32 | 1 |
| Change | ▼31 | ▼20 | ▲15 | ▲32 | ▲1 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.