On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the UK General Election 2029 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats and votes:
| REF | LAB | CON | GRN | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 343 | 112 | 36 | 7 | 77 |
| Change | ▲338 | ▼299 | ▼85 | ▲3 | ▲5 |
| Votes | 30.8% | 18.4% | 17.5% | 13.8% | 12.7% |
| Change | ▲16.1% | ▼16.3% | ▼6.8% | ▲6.9% | ▲0.1% |
This polling average and seat forecast is based on the latest UK General Election 2029 polls.
| From | To | Percent |
|---|---|---|
LAB | REF | 16.2% |
LAB | GRN | 11.6% |
CON | REF | 11.5% |
LAB | LD | 8.2% |
LD | REF | 8.0% |
CON | GRN | 6.9% |
LAB | CON | 4.7% |
GRN | REF | 4.6% |
CON | LD | 3.5% |
LD | GRN | 3.4% |
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Scottish Parliament Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| SNP | CON | LAB | GRN | LD | REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 57 | 12 | 17 | 16 | 10 | 17 |
| Change | ▼7 | ▼19 | ▼5 | ▲8 | ▲6 | ▲17 |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Scottish Parliament Election 2026 polls.
On a uniform national swing, our polling average for the Senedd Election 2026 would give the following result:
This result is based on the following distribution of seats:
| LAB | CON | PC | REF | LD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | 27 | 9 | 26 | 32 | 0 |
| Change | ▼20 | ▼19 | ▲5 | ▲32 | - |
This seat forecast is based on the latest Senedd Election 2026 polls.