Ayrshire Central - UK Parliament Constituency

Here are the most recent election results for the Ayrshire Central constituency.

Note: Smaller parties may be omitted. The candidate with the largest vote who does not belong to one of the main parties is listed as 'Minor'. Votes listed for 'Other' are calculated by taking the votes from the main parties and 'Minor' away from the total votes cast.

Name	Ayrshire Central
Region	Scotland
1st in 2024		Labour
2nd in 2024		SNP
Swing To Lose	8.29%
Next Election Prediction	View

Note: 'Swing To Lose' is the swing needed by the 2nd placed party against the 1st placed party to win the seat.

Electoral History

Election		Party
	Election 2024	Labour
	Election 2019 (New Boundaries)	SNP
	Election 2019	SNP
	Election 2017	SNP
	Election 2015	SNP
	Election 2010	Labour
	Election 2005 (New Boundaries)	Labour
	Election 2005	Labour
	Election 1979	Labour
	Election 1974 (October)	Labour
	Election 1974 (February)	Labour

Election 2024

View full Election 2024 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	18,091	43.68%	+29.53%
	SNP	11,222	27.09%	-19.08%
	Conservative	6,147	14.84%	-19.93%
	Reform UK	3,420	8.26%	N/A
	Green	1,039	2.51%	N/A
	Liberal Democrat	983	2.37%	-2.53%
	Minor	329	0.79%	N/A
	Others	188	0.45%	N/A
Majority		6,869	16.58%
Turnout		41,419	59.67%	-7.02%
Electorate		69,413
Swing from SNP to LAB			24.31%
Swing from CON to LAB			24.73%
Swing from CON to SNP			0.43%
	Labour gain from SNP

Election 2019 (New Boundaries)

View full Election 2019 (New Boundaries) results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	SNP	21,486	46.17%	0.00%
	Conservative	16,182	34.77%	0.00%
	Labour	6,583	14.15%	0.00%
	Liberal Democrat	2,283	4.91%	0.00%
Majority		5,304	11.40%
Turnout		46,534	66.69%	-0.04%
Electorate		69,779
Swing from CON to SNP			0.00%
Swing from LAB to SNP			0.00%
Swing from LAB to CON			0.00%
	SNP hold

Election 2019

View full Election 2019 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	SNP	21,486	46.17%	+8.98%
	Conservative	16,182	34.77%	+0.39%
	Labour	6,583	14.15%	-11.94%
	Liberal Democrat	2,283	4.91%	+2.58%
Majority		5,304	11.40%
Turnout		46,534	66.72%	+1.38%
Electorate		69,742
Swing from CON to SNP			4.29%
Swing from LAB to SNP			10.46%
Swing from LAB to CON			6.16%
	SNP hold

Election 2017

View full Election 2017 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	SNP	16,771	37.20%	-15.98%
	Conservative	15,504	34.39%	+17.05%
	Labour	11,762	26.09%	-0.32%
	Liberal Democrat	1,050	2.33%	+0.52%
Majority		1,267	2.81%
Turnout		45,087	65.34%	-7.17%
Electorate		68,999
Swing from SNP to CON			16.51%
Swing from SNP to LAB			7.83%
Swing from LAB to CON			8.69%
	SNP hold

Election 2015

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	SNP	26,999	53.17%	+34.13%
	Labour	13,410	26.41%	-21.29%
	Conservative	8,803	17.34%	-3.03%
	Liberal Democrat	917	1.81%	-10.12%
	Green	645	1.27%	N/A
Majority		13,589	26.76%
Turnout		50,774	72.51%	+8.26%
Electorate		70,021
Swing from LAB to SNP			27.71%
Swing from CON to SNP			18.58%
Swing from LAB to CON			9.13%
	SNP gain from Labour

Election 2010

View full Election 2010 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	20,950	47.71%	+1.28%
	Conservative	8,943	20.36%	-1.75%
	SNP	8,364	19.05%	+7.46%
	Liberal Democrat	5,236	11.92%	-4.13%
	Minor	422	0.96%	N/A
Majority		12,007	27.34%
Turnout		43,915	64.25%	+1.79%
Electorate		68,352
Swing from CON to LAB			1.51%
Swing from LAB to SNP			3.09%
Swing from CON to SNP			4.60%
	Labour hold

Election 2005 (New Boundaries)

View full Election 2005 (New Boundaries) results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	19,905	46.43%	0.00%
	Conservative	9,482	22.12%	0.00%
	Liberal Democrat	6,881	16.05%	0.00%
	SNP	4,969	11.59%	0.00%
	Others	1,634	3.81%	N/A
Majority		10,423	24.31%
Turnout		42,871	62.46%	-0.74%
Electorate		68,643
Swing from CON to LAB			0.00%
Swing from LD to LAB			0.00%
Swing from LD to CON			0.00%
	Labour hold

Election 2005

View full Election 2005 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	19,905	46.43%	N/A
	Conservative	9,482	22.12%	N/A
	Liberal Democrat	6,881	16.05%	N/A
	SNP	4,969	11.59%	N/A
	Minor	820	1.91%	N/A
	UKIP	346	0.81%	N/A
	Others	468	1.09%	N/A
Majority		10,423	24.31%
Turnout		42,871	63.20%	N/A
Electorate		67,838

	Labour win

Election 1979

View full Election 1979 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	27,438	51.13%	+6.04%
	Conservative	15,734	29.32%	+4.57%
	SNP	5,596	10.43%	-14.11%
	Liberal	4,896	9.12%	+3.51%
Majority		11,704	21.81%
Turnout		53,664	79.75%	+0.47%
Electorate		67,288
Swing from CON to LAB			0.74%
Swing from SNP to LAB			10.08%
Swing from SNP to CON			9.34%
	Labour hold

Election 1974 (October)

View full Election 1974 (October) results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	21,188	45.09%	-3.90%
	Conservative	11,633	24.75%	-11.22%
	SNP	11,533	24.54%	+9.51%
	Liberal	2,640	5.62%	N/A
Majority		9,555	20.33%
Turnout		46,994	79.28%	-2.79%
Electorate		59,273
Swing from CON to LAB			3.66%
Swing from LAB to SNP			6.70%
Swing from CON to SNP			10.37%
	Labour hold

Election 1974 (February)

View full Election 1974 (February) results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	23,639	48.99%	N/A
	Conservative	17,362	35.98%	N/A
	SNP	7,255	15.03%	N/A
Majority		6,277	13.01%
Turnout		48,256	82.08%	N/A
Electorate		58,795

	Labour win

2029 General Election

Poll of Polls

Seat-By-Seat Forecast

Custom Swingometer 2029

LAB - Targets | Defence

CON - Targets | Defence

LD - Targets | Defence

REF - Targets | Defence

GRN - Targets | Defence

2024 General Election Results