Caerphilly - UK Parliament Constituency

Here are the most recent election results for the Caerphilly constituency.

Note: Smaller parties may be omitted. The candidate with the largest vote who does not belong to one of the main parties is listed as 'Minor'. Votes listed for 'Other' are calculated by taking the votes from the main parties and 'Minor' away from the total votes cast.

NameCaerphilly
RegionWales
1st in 2019Labour
2nd in 2019Conservative
Swing To Lose7.66%
Next Election PredictionView

Note: 'Swing To Lose' is the swing needed by the 2nd placed party against the 1st placed party to win the seat.

Electoral History

ElectionParty
Election 2019 (New Boundaries)Labour
Election 2019Labour
Election 2017Labour
Election 2015Labour
Election 2010Labour
Election 2005 (5th Boundary Review)Labour
Election 2005Labour
Election 2001Labour
Election 1997Labour
Election 1992Labour
Election 1987Labour
Election 1983Labour

Election 2019 (New Boundaries)

View full Election 2019 (New Boundaries) results.

PartyVotesPercentageChange
Labour19,78343.89%-1.02%
Conservative12,88228.58%+0.70%
Plaid Cymru6,63014.71%-1.30%
Reform UK5,28711.73%N/A
Liberal Democrat3230.72%N/A
Green1640.36%N/A
Majority6,90115.31%-
Turnout45,06962.20%-1.31%
Electorate72,458--
Swing from Labour to Conservative-0.86%-
Labour hold

Election 2019

View full Election 2019 results.

PartyVotesPercentageChange
Labour18,01844.91%-9.55%
Conservative11,18527.88%+2.67%
Plaid Cymru6,42416.01%+1.58%
Brexit Party4,49011.19%N/A
Majority6,83317.03%-
Turnout40,11763.51%-0.63%
Electorate63,166--
Swing from Labour to Conservative-6.11%-
Labour hold

Election 2017

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PartyVotesPercentageChange
Labour22,49154.46%+10.12%
Conservative10,41325.21%+8.62%
Plaid Cymru5,96214.44%-0.20%
UKIP1,2593.05%-16.29%
Liberal Democrat7251.76%-0.57%
Green4471.08%-1.24%
Majority12,07829.25%-
Turnout41,29764.14%+0.81%
Electorate64,381--
Swing from Conservative to Labour-0.75%-
Labour hold

Election 2015

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PartyVotesPercentageChange
Labour17,86444.35%-0.56%
UKIP7,79119.34%+16.99%
Conservative6,68316.59%-0.52%
Plaid Cymru5,89514.63%-2.06%
Green9372.33%N/A
Liberal Democrat9352.32%-12.38%
Minor1780.44%N/A
Majority10,07325.01%-
Turnout40,28363.34%+1.05%
Electorate63,603--
Swing from Labour to UKIP-8.78%-
Labour hold

Election 2010

View full Election 2010 results.

PartyVotesPercentageChange
Labour17,37744.91%-10.44%
Conservative6,62217.11%+2.12%
Plaid Cymru6,46016.70%-1.13%
Liberal Democrat5,68814.70%+4.52%
Minor1,6354.23%N/A
UKIP9102.35%N/A
Majority10,75527.80%-
Turnout38,69262.28%+3.68%
Electorate62,122--
Swing from Labour to Conservative-6.28%-
Labour hold

Election 2005 (5th Boundary Review)

View full Election 2005 (5th Boundary Review) results.

PartyVotesPercentageChange
Labour20,27255.35%-1.21%
Plaid Cymru6,52917.83%+0.41%
Conservative5,49014.99%+0.43%
Liberal Democrat3,72710.18%+0.33%
Others6061.65%N/A
Majority13,74337.52%-
Turnout36,62458.60%-0.69%
Electorate62,496--
Swing from Labour to Plaid Cymru-0.81%-
Labour hold

Election 2005

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PartyVotesPercentageChange
Labour22,19056.57%-1.63%
Plaid Cymru6,83117.41%-3.63%
Conservative5,71114.56%+3.19%
Liberal Democrat3,8619.84%+0.45%
Minor6361.62%N/A
Majority15,35939.15%-
Turnout39,22959.29%+1.84%
Electorate66,162--
Swing from Plaid Cymru to Labour-1.00%-
Labour hold

Election 2001

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PartyVotesPercentageChange
Labour22,59758.19%-9.62%
Plaid Cymru8,17221.05%+11.36%
Conservative4,41311.36%+0.63%
Liberal Democrat3,6499.40%+1.17%
Majority14,42537.15%-
Turnout38,83157.45%-12.60%
Electorate67,593--
Swing from Labour to Plaid Cymru-10.49%-
Labour hold

Election 1997

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PartyVotesPercentageChange
Labour30,69767.81%+4.16%
Conservative4,85810.73%-7.42%
Plaid Cymru4,3839.68%+0.01%
Liberal Democrat3,7248.23%-0.30%
Minor1,3372.95%N/A
Others2700.60%N/A
Majority25,83957.08%-
Turnout45,26970.05%-7.12%
Electorate64,621--
Swing from Conservative to Labour-5.79%-
Labour hold

Election 1992

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PartyVotesPercentageChange
Labour31,71363.65%+5.21%
Conservative9,04118.15%-1.26%
Plaid Cymru4,8219.68%+1.62%
Liberal Democrat4,2478.52%N/A
Majority22,67245.51%-
Turnout49,82277.18%+0.63%
Electorate64,555--
Swing from Conservative to Labour-3.24%-
Labour hold

Election 1987

View full Election 1987 results.

PartyVotesPercentageChange
Labour28,69858.44%+12.83%
Conservative9,53119.41%-0.24%
SDP-Liberal Alliance6,92314.10%-7.08%
Plaid Cymru3,9558.05%-5.51%
Majority19,16739.03%-
Turnout49,10776.55%+2.04%
Electorate64,154--
Swing from Conservative to Labour-6.54%-
Labour hold

Election 1983

View full Election 1983 results.

PartyVotesPercentageChange
Labour21,57045.61%N/A
SDP-Liberal Alliance10,01721.18%N/A
Conservative9,29519.65%N/A
Plaid Cymru6,41413.56%N/A
Majority11,55324.43%-
Turnout47,29674.51%N/A
Electorate63,479--
Swing-N/A-
Labour win
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