Cardiff West - UK Parliament Constituency

Here are the most recent election results for the Cardiff West constituency.

Note: Smaller parties may be omitted. The candidate with the largest vote who does not belong to one of the main parties is listed as 'Minor'. Votes listed for 'Other' are calculated by taking the votes from the main parties and 'Minor' away from the total votes cast.

Name	Cardiff West
Region	Wales
1st in 2024		Labour
2nd in 2024		Plaid Cymru
Swing To Lose	7.84%
Next Election Prediction	View

Note: 'Swing To Lose' is the swing needed by the 2nd placed party against the 1st placed party to win the seat.

Electoral History

Election		Party
	Election 2024	Labour
	Election 2019 (New Boundaries)	Labour
	Election 2019	Labour
	Election 2017	Labour
	Election 2015	Labour
	Election 2010	Labour
	Election 2005 (New Boundaries)	Labour
	Election 2005	Labour
	Election 2001	Labour
	Election 1997	Labour
	Election 1992	Labour
	Election 1987	Labour
	Election 1983	Conservative
	Election 1979	Speaker
	Election 1974 (October)	Labour
	Election 1974 (February)	Labour

Election 2024

View full Election 2024 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	16,442	36.74%	-13.42%
	Plaid Cymru	9,423	21.05%	+12.55%
	Conservative	6,835	15.27%	-14.58%
	Reform UK	5,626	12.57%	+8.88%
	Green	3,157	7.05%	+4.86%
	Liberal Democrat	1,921	4.29%	-1.00%
	Minor	1,041	2.33%	N/A
	Others	312	0.70%	N/A
Majority		7,019	15.68%
Turnout		44,757	59.30%	-10.94%
Electorate		75,473
Swing from LAB to PC			12.98%
Swing from CON to LAB			0.58%
Swing from CON to PC			13.56%
	Labour hold

Election 2019 (New Boundaries)

View full Election 2019 (New Boundaries) results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	26,051	50.15%	-1.62%
	Conservative	15,505	29.85%	+1.87%
	Plaid Cymru	4,419	8.51%	+0.14%
	Liberal Democrat	2,749	5.29%	-0.62%
	Reform UK	1,917	3.69%	N/A
	Green	1,141	2.20%	-0.26%
	Minor	159	0.31%	N/A
Majority		10,546	20.30%
Turnout		51,941	70.24%	+2.84%
Electorate		73,947
Swing from LAB to CON			1.74%
Swing from LAB to PC			0.88%
Swing from PC to CON			0.86%
	Labour hold

Election 2019

View full Election 2019 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	23,908	51.77%	-4.90%
	Conservative	12,922	27.98%	-1.77%
	Plaid Cymru	3,864	8.37%	-1.11%
	Liberal Democrat	2,731	5.91%	+3.31%
	Brexit Party	1,619	3.51%	N/A
	Green	1,133	2.45%	N/A
Majority		10,986	23.79%
Turnout		46,177	67.40%	-2.43%
Electorate		68,508
Swing from LAB to CON			1.56%
Swing from LAB to PC			1.89%
Swing from CON to PC			0.33%
	Labour hold

Election 2017

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	26,425	56.67%	+16.02%
	Conservative	13,874	29.75%	+4.60%
	Plaid Cymru	4,418	9.47%	-4.45%
	Liberal Democrat	1,214	2.60%	-2.12%
	UKIP	698	1.50%	-9.74%
Majority		12,551	26.92%
Turnout		46,629	69.83%	+4.24%
Electorate		66,775
Swing from CON to LAB			5.71%
Swing from PC to LAB			10.23%
Swing from PC to CON			4.52%
	Labour hold

Election 2015

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	17,803	40.65%	-0.59%
	Conservative	11,014	25.15%	-4.50%
	Plaid Cymru	6,096	13.92%	+6.92%
	UKIP	4,923	11.24%	+8.51%
	Liberal Democrat	2,069	4.72%	-12.82%
	Green	1,704	3.89%	+2.06%
	Minor	183	0.42%	N/A
Majority		6,789	15.50%
Turnout		43,792	65.59%	+0.36%
Electorate		66,762
Swing from CON to LAB			1.95%
Swing from LAB to PC			3.76%
Swing from CON to PC			5.71%
	Labour hold

Election 2010

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	16,894	41.25%	-2.80%
	Conservative	12,143	29.65%	+6.46%
	Liberal Democrat	7,186	17.54%	-0.31%
	Plaid Cymru	2,868	7.00%	-5.53%
	UKIP	1,117	2.73%	N/A
	Green	750	1.83%	N/A
Majority		4,751	11.60%
Turnout		40,958	65.23%	+7.24%
Electorate		62,787
Swing from LAB to CON			4.63%
Swing from LAB to LD			1.24%
Swing from LD to CON			3.39%
	Labour hold

Election 2005 (New Boundaries)

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	16,598	44.04%	-1.47%
	Conservative	8,739	23.19%	+1.31%
	Liberal Democrat	6,730	17.86%	+0.32%
	Plaid Cymru	4,724	12.54%	+0.05%
	Others	894	2.37%	N/A
Majority		7,859	20.85%
Turnout		37,685	58.00%	+0.33%
Electorate		64,977
Swing from LAB to CON			1.39%
Swing from LAB to LD			0.90%
Swing from LD to CON			0.49%
	Labour hold

Election 2005

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	15,729	45.51%	-9.04%
	Conservative	7,562	21.88%	+0.54%
	Liberal Democrat	6,060	17.53%	+4.45%
	Plaid Cymru	4,316	12.49%	+2.82%
	UKIP	727	2.10%	+0.75%
	Minor	167	0.48%	N/A
Majority		8,167	23.63%
Turnout		34,561	57.67%	-0.75%
Electorate		59,931
Swing from LAB to CON			4.79%
Swing from LAB to LD			6.75%
Swing from CON to LD			1.96%
	Labour hold

Election 2001

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	18,594	54.56%	-5.77%
	Conservative	7,273	21.34%	-0.18%
	Liberal Democrat	4,458	13.08%	+2.24%
	Plaid Cymru	3,296	9.67%	+4.83%
	UKIP	462	1.36%	N/A
Majority		11,321	33.22%
Turnout		34,083	58.41%	-10.79%
Electorate		58,348
Swing from LAB to CON			2.79%
Swing from LAB to LD			4.00%
Swing from CON to LD			1.21%
	Labour hold

Election 1997

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	24,297	60.32%	+7.12%
	Conservative	8,669	21.52%	-11.34%
	Liberal Democrat	4,366	10.84%	-0.11%
	Plaid Cymru	1,949	4.84%	+2.26%
	Minor	996	2.47%	N/A
Majority		15,628	38.80%
Turnout		40,277	69.21%	-8.31%
Electorate		58,198
Swing from CON to LAB			9.23%
Swing from LD to LAB			3.61%
Swing from CON to LD			5.62%
	Labour hold

Election 1992

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	24,306	53.20%	+7.67%
	Conservative	15,015	32.87%	-3.60%
	Liberal Democrat	5,002	10.95%	N/A
	Plaid Cymru	1,177	2.58%	+0.93%
	Minor	184	0.40%	N/A
Majority		9,291	20.34%
Turnout		45,684	77.51%	-0.32%
Electorate		58,936
Swing from CON to LAB			5.64%
Swing from LAB to LD			1.64%
Swing from CON to LD			7.28%
	Labour hold

Election 1987

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	20,329	45.53%	+11.92%
	Conservative	16,284	36.47%	-1.49%
	SDP-Liberal Alliance	7,300	16.35%	-9.14%
	Plaid Cymru	736	1.65%	-0.43%
Majority		4,045	9.06%
Turnout		44,649	77.84%	+8.21%
Electorate		57,363
Swing from CON to LAB			6.71%
Swing from ALL to LAB			10.53%
Swing from ALL to CON			3.82%
	Labour gain from Conservative

Election 1983

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	15,472	37.96%	N/A
	Labour	13,698	33.61%	N/A
	SDP-Liberal Alliance	10,388	25.49%	N/A
	Plaid Cymru	848	2.08%	-8.28%
	Ecology	352	0.86%	N/A
Majority		1,774	4.35%
Turnout		40,758	69.63%	+8.85%
Electorate		58,538
Swing from LAB to CON			2.18%
Swing from ALL to CON			6.24%
Swing from ALL to LAB			4.06%
	Conservative gain from Speaker

Election 1979

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Speaker	27,035	85.57%	N/A
	Plaid Cymru	3,272	10.36%	+4.83%
	Others	1,287	4.07%	N/A
Majority		23,763	75.21%
Turnout		31,594	60.78%	-8.96%
Electorate		51,982
Swing from PC to SPKR			40.37%
Swing from OTH to SPKR			40.75%
Swing from OTH to PC			0.38%
	Speaker gain from Labour

Election 1974 (October)

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	18,153	49.99%	+5.99%
	Conservative	11,481	31.62%	-3.57%
	Liberal	4,669	12.86%	-2.44%
	Plaid Cymru	2,008	5.53%	+0.02%
Majority		6,672	18.37%
Turnout		36,311	69.73%	-3.84%
Electorate		52,070
Swing from CON to LAB			4.78%
Swing from LIB to LAB			4.22%
Swing from CON to LIB			0.56%
	Labour hold

Election 1974 (February)

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	16,712	44.00%	N/A
	Conservative	13,366	35.19%	N/A
	Liberal	5,812	15.30%	N/A
	Plaid Cymru	2,093	5.51%	N/A
Majority		3,346	8.81%
Turnout		37,983	73.57%	N/A
Electorate		51,626

	Labour win

2029 General Election

Poll of Polls

Seat-By-Seat Forecast

Custom Swingometer 2029

LAB - Targets | Defence

CON - Targets | Defence

LD - Targets | Defence

REF - Targets | Defence

GRN - Targets | Defence

2024 General Election Results