Hayes and Harlington - UK Parliament Constituency

Here are the most recent election results for the Hayes and Harlington constituency.

Note: Smaller parties may be omitted. The candidate with the largest vote who does not belong to one of the main parties is listed as 'Minor'. Votes listed for 'Other' are calculated by taking the votes from the main parties and 'Minor' away from the total votes cast.

Name	Hayes and Harlington
Region	London
1st in 2024		Labour
2nd in 2024		Conservative
Swing To Lose	15.70%
Next Election Prediction	View

Note: 'Swing To Lose' is the swing needed by the 2nd placed party against the 1st placed party to win the seat.

Electoral History

Election		Party
	Election 2024	Labour
	Election 2019 (New Boundaries)	Labour
	Election 2019	Labour
	Election 2017	Labour
	Election 2015	Labour
	Election 2010	Labour
	Election 2005 (New Boundaries)	Labour
	Election 2005	Labour
	Election 2001	Labour
	Election 1997	Labour
	Election 1992	Conservative
	Election 1987	Conservative
	Election 1983	Conservative
	Election 1979	Labour
	Election 1974 (October)	Labour
	Election 1974 (February)	Labour

Election 2024

View full Election 2024 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	20,405	53.26%	-2.54%
	Conservative	8,374	21.86%	-12.89%
	Reform UK	4,114	10.74%	+7.80%
	Green	2,131	5.56%	+3.88%
	Workers Party	1,975	5.15%	N/A
	Liberal Democrat	1,316	3.43%	-0.99%
Majority		12,031	31.40%
Turnout		38,315	51.50%	-8.86%
Electorate		74,404
Swing from CON to LAB			5.17%
Swing from LAB to REF			5.17%
Swing from CON to REF			10.34%
	Labour hold

Election 2019 (New Boundaries)

View full Election 2019 (New Boundaries) results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	24,545	55.79%	0.00%
	Conservative	15,284	34.74%	0.00%
	Liberal Democrat	1,947	4.43%	0.00%
	Reform UK	1,292	2.94%	N/A
	Green	739	1.68%	0.00%
	Minor	187	0.43%	N/A
Majority		9,261	21.05%
Turnout		43,994	60.35%	-0.45%
Electorate		72,897
Swing from CON to LAB			0.00%
Swing from LD to LAB			0.00%
Swing from LD to CON			0.00%
	Labour hold

Election 2019

View full Election 2019 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	24,545	55.79%	-10.72%
	Conservative	15,284	34.74%	+6.12%
	Liberal Democrat	1,947	4.43%	+3.17%
	Brexit Party	1,292	2.94%	N/A
	Green	739	1.68%	+0.49%
	Minor	187	0.43%	N/A
Majority		9,261	21.05%
Turnout		43,994	60.80%	-4.44%
Electorate		72,357
Swing from LAB to CON			8.42%
Swing from LAB to LD			6.95%
Swing from LD to CON			1.48%
	Labour hold

Election 2017

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	31,796	66.52%	+6.94%
	Conservative	13,681	28.62%	+3.89%
	UKIP	1,153	2.41%	-9.55%
	Liberal Democrat	601	1.26%	-0.71%
	Green	571	1.19%	-0.57%
Majority		18,115	37.90%
Turnout		47,802	65.24%	+5.07%
Electorate		73,268
Swing from CON to LAB			1.53%
Swing from UKIP to LAB			8.24%
Swing from UKIP to CON			6.72%
	Labour hold

Election 2015

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	26,843	59.58%	+4.75%
	Conservative	11,143	24.73%	-4.71%
	UKIP	5,388	11.96%	N/A
	Liberal Democrat	888	1.97%	-6.77%
	Green	794	1.76%	+0.95%
Majority		15,700	34.85%
Turnout		45,056	60.18%	-0.53%
Electorate		74,874
Swing from CON to LAB			4.73%
Swing from LAB to UKIP			3.60%
Swing from CON to UKIP			8.33%
	Labour hold

Election 2010

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	23,377	54.83%	-1.76%
	Conservative	12,553	29.44%	+1.55%
	Liberal Democrat	3,726	8.74%	-0.50%
	Minor	1,520	3.56%	N/A
	English Democrat	464	1.09%	N/A
	Green	348	0.82%	N/A
	Others	649	1.52%	N/A
Majority		10,824	25.39%
Turnout		42,637	60.71%	+4.03%
Electorate		70,231
Swing from LAB to CON			1.65%
Swing from LAB to LD			0.63%
Swing from LD to CON			1.02%
	Labour hold

Election 2005 (New Boundaries)

View full Election 2005 (New Boundaries) results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	20,797	56.59%	-2.10%
	Conservative	10,252	27.89%	+2.69%
	Liberal Democrat	3,396	9.24%	-0.56%
	Others	2,308	6.28%	N/A
Majority		10,545	28.69%
Turnout		36,753	56.68%	+0.30%
Electorate		64,840
Swing from LAB to CON			2.40%
Swing from LAB to LD			0.77%
Swing from LD to CON			1.63%
	Labour hold

Election 2005

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	19,009	58.69%	-6.98%
	Conservative	8,162	25.20%	+1.09%
	Liberal Democrat	3,174	9.80%	+3.76%
	Minor	830	2.56%	N/A
	UKIP	552	1.70%	N/A
	Green	442	1.36%	N/A
	Others	220	0.68%	N/A
Majority		10,847	33.49%
Turnout		32,389	56.38%	+0.09%
Electorate		57,449
Swing from LAB to CON			4.03%
Swing from LAB to LD			5.37%
Swing from CON to LD			1.33%
	Labour hold

Election 2001

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	21,279	65.67%	+3.71%
	Conservative	7,813	24.11%	-3.06%
	Liberal Democrat	1,958	6.04%	-1.38%
	Minor	705	2.18%	N/A
	Others	648	2.00%	N/A
Majority		13,466	41.56%
Turnout		32,403	56.29%	-16.01%
Electorate		57,561
Swing from CON to LAB			3.39%
Swing from LD to LAB			2.55%
Swing from CON to LD			0.84%
	Labour hold

Election 1997

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	25,458	61.96%	+17.17%
	Conservative	11,167	27.18%	-17.73%
	Liberal Democrat	3,049	7.42%	-2.88%
	Minor	778	1.89%	N/A
	Others	639	1.56%	N/A
Majority		14,291	34.78%
Turnout		41,091	72.31%	-6.56%
Electorate		56,829
Swing from CON to LAB			17.45%
Swing from LD to LAB			10.03%
Swing from CON to LD			7.42%
	Labour gain from Conservative

Election 1992

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	19,489	44.91%	-4.31%
	Labour	19,436	44.79%	+9.31%
	Liberal Democrat	4,472	10.30%	N/A
Majority		53	0.12%
Turnout		43,397	78.87%	+4.37%
Electorate		55,024
Swing from CON to LAB			6.81%
Swing from CON to LD			7.31%
Swing from LAB to LD			0.50%
	Conservative hold

Election 1987

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	21,355	49.22%	+8.93%
	Labour	15,390	35.47%	+5.55%
	SDP-Liberal Alliance	6,641	15.31%	-13.69%
Majority		5,965	13.75%
Turnout		43,386	74.50%	+3.63%
Electorate		58,240
Swing from LAB to CON			1.69%
Swing from ALL to CON			11.31%
Swing from ALL to LAB			9.62%
	Conservative hold

Election 1983

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	16,451	40.29%	-0.18%
	Labour	12,217	29.92%	-18.39%
	SDP-Liberal Alliance	11,842	29.00%	N/A
	Minor	324	0.79%	N/A
Majority		4,234	10.37%
Turnout		40,834	70.87%	-4.14%
Electorate		57,620
Swing from LAB to CON			9.10%
Swing from CON to ALL			14.59%
Swing from LAB to ALL			23.69%
	Conservative gain from Labour

Election 1979

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	20,350	48.30%	-3.88%
	Conservative	17,048	40.47%	+12.51%
	Liberal	3,900	9.26%	-7.04%
	Others	831	1.97%	N/A
Majority		3,302	7.84%
Turnout		42,129	75.01%	+5.50%
Electorate		56,165
Swing from LAB to CON			8.19%
Swing from LIB to LAB			1.58%
Swing from LIB to CON			9.77%
	Labour hold

Election 1974 (October)

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	20,291	52.18%	-6.53%
	Conservative	10,871	27.96%	-6.86%
	Liberal	6,336	16.29%	N/A
	Others	1,387	3.57%	N/A
Majority		9,420	24.23%
Turnout		38,885	69.50%	-6.30%
Electorate		55,946
Swing from CON to LAB			0.16%
Swing from LAB to LIB			11.41%
Swing from CON to LIB			11.57%
	Labour hold

Election 1974 (February)

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	24,682	58.71%	N/A
	Conservative	14,634	34.81%	N/A
	Others	2,721	6.47%	N/A
Majority		10,048	23.90%
Turnout		42,037	75.81%	N/A
Electorate		55,451

	Labour win

2029 General Election

Poll of Polls

Seat-By-Seat Forecast

Custom Swingometer 2029

LAB - Targets | Defence

CON - Targets | Defence

LD - Targets | Defence

REF - Targets | Defence

GRN - Targets | Defence

2024 General Election Results