Llanelli - UK Parliament Constituency

Here are the most recent election results for the Llanelli constituency.

Note: Smaller parties may be omitted. The candidate with the largest vote who does not belong to one of the main parties is listed as 'Minor'. Votes listed for 'Other' are calculated by taking the votes from the main parties and 'Minor' away from the total votes cast.

Name	Llanelli
Region	Wales
1st in 2024		Labour
2nd in 2024		Reform UK
Swing To Lose	1.85%
Next Election Prediction	View

Note: 'Swing To Lose' is the swing needed by the 2nd placed party against the 1st placed party to win the seat.

Electoral History

Election		Party
	Election 2024	Labour
	Election 2019 (New Boundaries)	Labour
	Election 2019	Labour
	Election 2017	Labour
	Election 2015	Labour
	Election 2010	Labour
	Election 2005 (New Boundaries)	Labour
	Election 2005	Labour
	Election 2001	Labour
	Election 1997	Labour
	Election 1992	Labour
	Election 1987	Labour
	Election 1983	Labour
	Election 1979	Labour
	Election 1974 (October)	Labour
	Election 1974 (February)	Labour

Election 2024

View full Election 2024 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	12,751	31.30%	-8.02%
	Reform UK	11,247	27.60%	+18.73%
	Plaid Cymru	9,511	23.34%	+2.20%
	Conservative	4,275	10.49%	-20.18%
	Liberal Democrat	1,254	3.08%	N/A
	Green	1,106	2.71%	N/A
	Minor	600	1.47%	N/A
Majority		1,504	3.69%
Turnout		40,744	56.96%	-5.84%
Electorate		71,536
Swing from LAB to REF			13.38%
Swing from LAB to PC			5.11%
Swing from PC to REF			8.27%
	Labour hold

Election 2019 (New Boundaries)

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	17,256	39.31%	-2.86%
	Conservative	13,463	30.67%	+0.71%
	Plaid Cymru	9,280	21.14%	+2.71%
	Reform UK	3,893	8.87%	N/A
Majority		3,793	8.64%
Turnout		43,892	62.80%	-0.38%
Electorate		69,895
Swing from LAB to CON			1.79%
Swing from LAB to PC			2.78%
Swing from CON to PC			1.00%
	Labour hold

Election 2019

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	16,125	42.18%	-11.29%
	Conservative	11,455	29.96%	+6.30%
	Plaid Cymru	7,048	18.43%	+0.21%
	Brexit Party	3,605	9.43%	N/A
Majority		4,670	12.21%
Turnout		38,233	63.18%	-4.70%
Electorate		60,518
Swing from LAB to CON			8.80%
Swing from LAB to PC			5.75%
Swing from PC to CON			3.05%
	Labour hold

Election 2017

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	21,568	53.46%	+12.12%
	Conservative	9,544	23.66%	+9.31%
	Plaid Cymru	7,351	18.22%	-4.73%
	UKIP	1,331	3.30%	-12.95%
	Liberal Democrat	548	1.36%	-0.59%
Majority		12,024	29.81%
Turnout		40,342	67.88%	+2.84%
Electorate		59,434
Swing from CON to LAB			1.40%
Swing from PC to LAB			8.42%
Swing from PC to CON			7.02%
	Labour hold

Election 2015

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	15,948	41.34%	-1.14%
	Plaid Cymru	8,853	22.95%	-6.99%
	UKIP	6,269	16.25%	+13.46%
	Conservative	5,534	14.35%	-0.02%
	Liberal Democrat	751	1.95%	-8.47%
	Green	689	1.79%	N/A
	Minor	407	1.06%	N/A
	Others	123	0.32%	N/A
Majority		7,095	18.39%
Turnout		38,574	65.03%	-2.30%
Electorate		59,314
Swing from PC to LAB			2.92%
Swing from LAB to UKIP			7.30%
Swing from PC to UKIP			10.22%
	Labour hold

Election 2010

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	15,916	42.49%	-4.46%
	Plaid Cymru	11,215	29.94%	+3.46%
	Conservative	5,381	14.36%	+0.66%
	Liberal Democrat	3,902	10.42%	-2.45%
	UKIP	1,047	2.79%	N/A
Majority		4,701	12.55%
Turnout		37,461	67.33%	+3.86%
Electorate		55,637
Swing from LAB to PC			3.96%
Swing from LAB to CON			2.56%
Swing from CON to PC			1.40%
	Labour hold

Election 2005 (New Boundaries)

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	16,593	46.95%	+0.00%
	Plaid Cymru	9,359	26.48%	+0.00%
	Conservative	4,844	13.71%	+0.00%
	Liberal Democrat	4,547	12.87%	-0.01%
Majority		7,234	20.47%
Turnout		35,343	63.48%	-0.46%
Electorate		55,680
Swing from PC to LAB			0.00%
Swing from CON to LAB			0.00%
Swing from CON to PC			0.00%
	Labour hold

Election 2005

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	16,592	46.94%	-1.64%
	Plaid Cymru	9,358	26.48%	-4.42%
	Conservative	4,844	13.71%	+4.20%
	Liberal Democrat	4,550	12.87%	+4.41%
Majority		7,234	20.47%
Turnout		35,344	63.94%	+1.68%
Electorate		55,280
Swing from PC to LAB			1.39%
Swing from LAB to CON			2.92%
Swing from PC to CON			4.31%
	Labour hold

Election 2001

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	17,586	48.58%	-9.29%
	Plaid Cymru	11,183	30.89%	+11.94%
	Conservative	3,442	9.51%	-2.63%
	Liberal Democrat	3,065	8.47%	-0.72%
	Green	515	1.42%	N/A
	Minor	407	1.12%	N/A
Majority		6,403	17.69%
Turnout		36,198	62.25%	-8.41%
Electorate		58,148
Swing from LAB to PC			10.62%
Swing from LAB to CON			3.33%
Swing from CON to PC			7.28%
	Labour hold

Election 1997

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	23,851	57.88%	+2.95%
	Plaid Cymru	7,812	18.96%	+3.39%
	Conservative	5,003	12.14%	-4.72%
	Liberal Democrat	3,788	9.19%	-3.46%
	Minor	757	1.84%	N/A
Majority		16,039	38.92%
Turnout		41,211	70.66%	-7.14%
Electorate		58,323
Swing from LAB to PC			0.22%
Swing from CON to LAB			3.83%
Swing from CON to PC			4.05%
	Labour hold

Election 1992

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	27,802	54.93%	-4.23%
	Conservative	8,532	16.86%	-0.33%
	Plaid Cymru	7,878	15.56%	+5.36%
	Liberal Democrat	6,404	12.65%	N/A
Majority		19,270	38.07%
Turnout		50,616	77.80%	-0.41%
Electorate		65,057
Swing from LAB to CON			1.95%
Swing from LAB to PC			4.80%
Swing from CON to PC			2.85%
	Labour hold

Election 1987

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	29,506	59.16%	+10.94%
	Conservative	8,571	17.18%	-2.76%
	SDP-Liberal Alliance	6,714	13.46%	-5.39%
	Plaid Cymru	5,088	10.20%	-2.01%
Majority		20,935	41.97%
Turnout		49,879	78.21%	+2.79%
Electorate		63,775
Swing from CON to LAB			6.85%
Swing from ALL to LAB			8.17%
Swing from ALL to CON			1.32%
	Labour hold

Election 1983

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	23,207	48.21%	-11.25%
	Conservative	9,601	19.95%	-0.52%
	SDP-Liberal Alliance	9,076	18.86%	N/A
	Plaid Cymru	5,880	12.22%	+4.80%
	Minor	371	0.77%	N/A
Majority		13,606	28.27%
Turnout		48,135	75.42%	-3.98%
Electorate		63,826
Swing from LAB to CON			5.36%
Swing from LAB to ALL			15.05%
Swing from CON to ALL			9.69%
	Labour hold

Election 1979

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	30,416	59.46%	+0.02%
	Conservative	10,471	20.47%	+8.09%
	Liberal	5,856	11.45%	-3.02%
	Plaid Cymru	3,793	7.42%	-6.29%
	Others	617	1.21%	N/A
Majority		19,945	38.99%
Turnout		51,153	79.39%	+2.50%
Electorate		64,429
Swing from LAB to CON			4.03%
Swing from LIB to LAB			1.52%
Swing from LIB to CON			5.55%
	Labour hold

Election 1974 (October)

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	29,474	59.44%	+1.68%
	Liberal	7,173	14.47%	+0.22%
	Plaid Cymru	6,797	13.71%	+1.69%
	Conservative	6,141	12.38%	-2.58%
Majority		22,301	44.98%
Turnout		49,585	76.90%	-1.30%
Electorate		64,483
Swing from LIB to LAB			0.73%
Swing from LAB to PC			0.01%
Swing from LIB to PC			0.74%
	Labour hold

Election 1974 (February)

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	28,941	57.76%	N/A
	Conservative	7,496	14.96%	N/A
	Liberal	7,140	14.25%	N/A
	Plaid Cymru	6,020	12.02%	N/A
	Others	507	1.01%	N/A
Majority		21,445	42.80%
Turnout		50,104	78.19%	N/A
Electorate		64,076

	Labour win

2029 General Election

Poll of Polls

Seat-By-Seat Forecast

Custom Swingometer 2029

LAB - Targets | Defence

CON - Targets | Defence

LD - Targets | Defence

REF - Targets | Defence

GRN - Targets | Defence

2024 General Election Results