St Ives - UK Parliament Constituency

Here are the most recent election results for the St Ives constituency.

Note: Smaller parties may be omitted. The candidate with the largest vote who does not belong to one of the main parties is listed as 'Minor'. Votes listed for 'Other' are calculated by taking the votes from the main parties and 'Minor' away from the total votes cast.

Name	St Ives
Region	South West
1st in 2024		Liberal Democrat
2nd in 2024		Conservative
Swing To Lose	14.33%
Next Election Prediction	View

Note: 'Swing To Lose' is the swing needed by the 2nd placed party against the 1st placed party to win the seat.

Electoral History

Election		Party
	Election 2024	Liberal Democrat
	Election 2019 (New Boundaries)	Conservative
	Election 2019	Conservative
	Election 2017	Conservative
	Election 2015	Conservative
	Election 2010	Liberal Democrat
	Election 2005 (New Boundaries)	Liberal Democrat
	Election 2005	Liberal Democrat
	Election 2001	Liberal Democrat
	Election 1997	Liberal Democrat
	Election 1992	Conservative
	Election 1987	Conservative
	Election 1983	Conservative
	Election 1979	Conservative
	Election 1974 (October)	Conservative
	Election 1974 (February)	Conservative

Election 2024

View full Election 2024 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Liberal Democrat	25,033	52.04%	+12.75%
	Conservative	11,247	23.38%	-25.61%
	Reform UK	6,492	13.50%	N/A
	Labour	2,788	5.80%	-3.28%
	Green	1,797	3.74%	+1.92%
	Minor	360	0.75%	N/A
	Others	389	0.81%	N/A
Majority		13,786	28.66%
Turnout		48,106	68.74%	-8.14%
Electorate		69,980
Swing from CON to LD			19.18%
Swing from LD to REF			0.37%
Swing from CON to REF			19.55%
	Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative

Election 2019 (New Boundaries)

View full Election 2019 (New Boundaries) results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	26,403	48.99%	-0.35%
	Liberal Democrat	21,176	39.29%	-1.72%
	Labour	4,893	9.08%	+2.17%
	Green	981	1.82%	-0.05%
	Minor	314	0.58%	N/A
	Others	132	0.24%	N/A
Majority		5,227	9.70%
Turnout		53,899	76.88%	+2.15%
Electorate		70,107
Swing from LD to CON			0.69%
Swing from CON to LAB			1.26%
Swing from LD to LAB			1.95%
	Conservative hold

Election 2019

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	25,365	49.34%	+6.15%
	Liberal Democrat	21,085	41.01%	-1.56%
	Labour	3,553	6.91%	-7.34%
	Green	964	1.88%	N/A
	Minor	314	0.61%	N/A
	Others	132	0.26%	N/A
Majority		4,280	8.32%
Turnout		51,413	74.73%	-1.56%
Electorate		68,795
Swing from LD to CON			3.86%
Swing from LAB to CON			6.75%
Swing from LAB to LD			2.89%
	Conservative hold

Election 2017

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	22,120	43.18%	+4.91%
	Liberal Democrat	21,808	42.57%	+9.41%
	Labour	7,298	14.25%	+4.91%
Majority		312	0.61%
Turnout		51,226	76.29%	+2.61%
Electorate		67,145
Swing from CON to LD			2.25%
Swing from CON to LAB			0.00%
Swing from LAB to LD			2.25%
	Conservative hold

Election 2015

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	18,491	38.27%	-0.71%
	Liberal Democrat	16,022	33.16%	-9.56%
	UKIP	5,720	11.84%	+6.26%
	Labour	4,510	9.34%	+1.17%
	Green	3,051	6.32%	+3.47%
	Minor	518	1.07%	N/A
Majority		2,469	5.11%
Turnout		48,312	73.68%	+5.08%
Electorate		65,570
Swing from LD to CON			4.43%
Swing from CON to UKIP			3.49%
Swing from LD to UKIP			7.91%
	Conservative gain from Liberal Democrat

Election 2010

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Liberal Democrat	19,619	42.72%	-7.40%
	Conservative	17,900	38.98%	+10.11%
	Labour	3,751	8.17%	-4.33%
	UKIP	2,560	5.57%	N/A
	Green	1,308	2.85%	N/A
	Minor	396	0.86%	N/A
	Others	387	0.84%	N/A
Majority		1,719	3.74%
Turnout		45,921	68.60%	+1.12%
Electorate		66,944
Swing from LD to CON			8.75%
Swing from LD to LAB			1.54%
Swing from LAB to CON			7.22%
	Liberal Democrat hold

Election 2005 (New Boundaries)

View full Election 2005 (New Boundaries) results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Liberal Democrat	21,701	50.13%	-0.60%
	Conservative	12,500	28.87%	+1.17%
	Labour	5,409	12.49%	-0.56%
	Others	3,682	8.51%	N/A
Majority		9,201	21.25%
Turnout		43,292	67.48%	0.00%
Electorate		64,159
Swing from LD to CON			0.89%
Swing from LD to LAB			0.02%
Swing from LAB to CON			0.87%
	Liberal Democrat hold

Election 2005

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Liberal Democrat	25,577	50.73%	-0.85%
	Conservative	13,968	27.70%	-3.47%
	Labour	6,583	13.06%	-0.27%
	UKIP	2,551	5.06%	+1.15%
	Green	1,738	3.45%	N/A
Majority		11,609	23.03%
Turnout		50,417	67.48%	+1.13%
Electorate		74,716
Swing from CON to LD			1.31%
Swing from LD to LAB			0.29%
Swing from CON to LAB			1.60%
	Liberal Democrat hold

Election 2001

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Liberal Democrat	25,413	51.58%	+7.12%
	Conservative	15,360	31.18%	+0.02%
	Labour	6,567	13.33%	-1.85%
	UKIP	1,926	3.91%	+2.86%
Majority		10,053	20.41%
Turnout		49,266	66.35%	-8.85%
Electorate		74,256
Swing from CON to LD			3.55%
Swing from LAB to LD			4.49%
Swing from LAB to CON			0.94%
	Liberal Democrat hold

Election 1997

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Liberal Democrat	23,966	44.46%	+4.41%
	Conservative	16,796	31.16%	-11.77%
	Labour	8,184	15.18%	-0.82%
	Minor	3,714	6.89%	N/A
	UKIP	567	1.05%	N/A
	Others	674	1.25%	N/A
Majority		7,170	13.30%
Turnout		53,901	75.20%	-5.10%
Electorate		71,680
Swing from CON to LD			8.09%
Swing from LAB to LD			2.62%
Swing from CON to LAB			5.47%
	Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative

Election 1992

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	24,528	42.93%	-5.42%
	Liberal Democrat	22,883	40.05%	N/A
	Labour	9,144	16.01%	-1.81%
	Minor	577	1.01%	N/A
Majority		1,645	2.88%
Turnout		57,132	80.29%	+2.82%
Electorate		71,154
Swing from CON to LD			22.73%
Swing from CON to LAB			1.80%
Swing from LAB to LD			20.93%
	Conservative hold

Election 1987

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	25,174	48.35%	-3.05%
	SDP-Liberal Alliance	17,619	33.84%	-0.93%
	Labour	9,275	17.81%	+6.58%
Majority		7,555	14.51%
Turnout		52,068	77.47%	+3.63%
Electorate		67,207
Swing from CON to ALL			1.06%
Swing from CON to LAB			4.82%
Swing from ALL to LAB			3.76%
	Conservative hold

Election 1983

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	24,297	51.40%	-2.62%
	SDP-Liberal Alliance	16,438	34.77%	N/A
	Labour	5,310	11.23%	-9.64%
	Minor	569	1.20%	N/A
	Ecology	439	0.93%	N/A
	Others	219	0.46%	N/A
Majority		7,859	16.63%
Turnout		47,272	73.85%	-3.18%
Electorate		64,012
Swing from CON to ALL			18.70%
Swing from LAB to CON			3.51%
Swing from LAB to ALL			22.21%
	Conservative hold

Election 1979

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	22,352	54.02%	+8.66%
	Labour	8,636	20.87%	-3.89%
	Liberal	8,299	20.06%	-9.82%
	Others	2,089	5.05%	N/A
Majority		13,716	33.15%
Turnout		41,376	77.03%	+3.31%
Electorate		53,715
Swing from LAB to CON			6.28%
Swing from LIB to CON			9.24%
Swing from LIB to LAB			2.97%
	Conservative hold

Election 1974 (October)

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	17,198	45.36%	+0.27%
	Liberal	11,330	29.88%	-1.83%
	Labour	9,388	24.76%	+2.00%
Majority		5,868	15.48%
Turnout		37,916	73.72%	-5.67%
Electorate		51,430
Swing from LIB to CON			1.05%
Swing from CON to LAB			0.87%
Swing from LIB to LAB			1.92%
	Conservative hold

Election 1974 (February)

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	18,290	45.09%	N/A
	Liberal	12,865	31.72%	N/A
	Labour	9,231	22.76%	N/A
	Others	177	0.44%	N/A
Majority		5,425	13.37%
Turnout		40,563	79.39%	N/A
Electorate		51,092

	Conservative win

2029 General Election

Poll of Polls

Seat-By-Seat Forecast

Custom Swingometer 2029

LAB - Targets | Defence

CON - Targets | Defence

LD - Targets | Defence

REF - Targets | Defence

GRN - Targets | Defence

2024 General Election Results