Stratford-on-Avon - UK Parliament Constituency

Here are the most recent election results for the Stratford-on-Avon constituency.

Note: Smaller parties may be omitted. The candidate with the largest vote who does not belong to one of the main parties is listed as 'Minor'. Votes listed for 'Other' are calculated by taking the votes from the main parties and 'Minor' away from the total votes cast.

Name	Stratford-on-Avon
Region	West Midlands
1st in 2024		Liberal Democrat
2nd in 2024		Conservative
Swing To Lose	6.72%
Next Election Prediction	View

Note: 'Swing To Lose' is the swing needed by the 2nd placed party against the 1st placed party to win the seat.

Electoral History

Election		Party
	Election 2024	Liberal Democrat
	Election 2019 (New Boundaries)	Conservative
	Election 2019	Conservative
	Election 2017	Conservative
	Election 2015	Conservative
	Election 2010	Conservative
	Election 2005 (New Boundaries)	Conservative
	Election 2005	Conservative
	Election 2001	Conservative
	Election 1997	Conservative
	Election 1992	Conservative
	Election 1987	Conservative
	Election 1983	Conservative
	Election 1979	Conservative
	Election 1974 (October)	Conservative
	Election 1974 (February)	Conservative

Election 2024

View full Election 2024 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Liberal Democrat	23,450	44.28%	+19.60%
	Conservative	16,328	30.83%	-29.36%
	Reform UK	7,753	14.64%	N/A
	Labour	3,753	7.09%	-4.25%
	Green	1,197	2.26%	-1.53%
	Minor	292	0.55%	N/A
	Others	186	0.35%	N/A
Majority		7,122	13.45%
Turnout		52,959	69.94%	-4.05%
Electorate		75,725
Swing from CON to LD			24.48%
Swing from REF to LD			2.48%
Swing from CON to REF			22.00%
	Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative

Election 2019 (New Boundaries)

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	32,236	60.19%	-0.38%
	Liberal Democrat	13,216	24.68%	+0.39%
	Labour	6,074	11.34%	+0.04%
	Green	2,031	3.79%	-0.04%
Majority		19,020	35.51%
Turnout		53,557	73.99%	-0.37%
Electorate		72,388
Swing from CON to LD			0.38%
Swing from CON to LAB			0.21%
Swing from LAB to LD			0.17%
	Conservative hold

Election 2019

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	33,343	60.57%	-1.60%
	Liberal Democrat	13,371	24.29%	+12.19%
	Labour	6,222	11.30%	-10.97%
	Green	2,112	3.84%	+1.28%
Majority		19,972	36.28%
Turnout		55,048	74.35%	+1.97%
Electorate		74,037
Swing from CON to LD			6.89%
Swing from LAB to CON			4.69%
Swing from LAB to LD			11.58%
	Conservative hold

Election 2017

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	32,657	62.17%	+4.50%
	Labour	11,699	22.27%	+9.29%
	Liberal Democrat	6,357	12.10%	+0.09%
	Green	1,345	2.56%	-1.57%
	Minor	255	0.49%	N/A
	Others	219	0.42%	N/A
Majority		20,958	39.90%
Turnout		52,532	72.39%	+0.22%
Electorate		72,572
Swing from CON to LAB			2.40%
Swing from LD to CON			2.21%
Swing from LD to LAB			4.60%
	Conservative hold

Election 2015

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	29,674	57.67%	+6.12%
	UKIP	6,798	13.21%	+9.56%
	Labour	6,677	12.98%	+3.46%
	Liberal Democrat	6,182	12.01%	-17.08%
	Green	2,128	4.14%	+3.09%
Majority		22,876	44.45%
Turnout		51,459	72.17%	-0.54%
Electorate		71,304
Swing from CON to UKIP			1.72%
Swing from LAB to CON			1.33%
Swing from LAB to UKIP			3.05%
	Conservative hold

Election 2010

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	26,052	51.55%	+0.67%
	Liberal Democrat	14,706	29.10%	+2.01%
	Labour	4,809	9.51%	-5.93%
	UKIP	1,846	3.65%	N/A
	Minor	1,097	2.17%	N/A
	Green	527	1.04%	N/A
	English Democrat	473	0.94%	N/A
	Others	1,032	2.04%	N/A
Majority		11,346	22.45%
Turnout		50,542	72.70%	+3.97%
Electorate		69,517
Swing from CON to LD			0.67%
Swing from LAB to CON			3.30%
Swing from LAB to LD			3.97%
	Conservative hold

Election 2005 (New Boundaries)

View full Election 2005 (New Boundaries) results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	22,958	50.87%	+1.68%
	Liberal Democrat	12,224	27.09%	-1.19%
	Labour	6,970	15.45%	-1.97%
	Others	2,975	6.59%	N/A
Majority		10,734	23.79%
Turnout		45,127	68.73%	-0.16%
Electorate		65,654
Swing from LD to CON			1.43%
Swing from LAB to CON			1.83%
Swing from LAB to LD			0.39%
	Conservative hold

Election 2005

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	28,652	49.20%	-1.07%
	Liberal Democrat	16,468	28.28%	-0.50%
	Labour	10,145	17.42%	+0.73%
	UKIP	1,621	2.78%	+0.63%
	Green	1,354	2.32%	+0.22%
Majority		12,184	20.92%
Turnout		58,240	68.89%	+4.47%
Electorate		84,540
Swing from CON to LD			0.29%
Swing from CON to LAB			0.90%
Swing from LD to LAB			0.62%
	Conservative hold

Election 2001

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	27,606	50.27%	+2.01%
	Liberal Democrat	15,804	28.78%	+3.24%
	Labour	9,164	16.69%	-3.85%
	UKIP	1,184	2.16%	+1.26%
	Green	1,156	2.11%	N/A
Majority		11,802	21.49%
Turnout		54,914	64.42%	-11.83%
Electorate		85,241
Swing from CON to LD			0.61%
Swing from LAB to CON			2.93%
Swing from LAB to LD			3.54%
	Conservative hold

Election 1997

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	29,967	48.26%	-10.96%
	Liberal Democrat	15,861	25.54%	+0.00%
	Labour	12,754	20.54%	+7.40%
	Minor	2,064	3.32%	N/A
	UKIP	556	0.90%	N/A
	Others	897	1.44%	N/A
Majority		14,106	22.72%
Turnout		62,099	76.26%	-5.82%
Electorate		81,434
Swing from CON to LD			5.48%
Swing from CON to LAB			9.18%
Swing from LD to LAB			3.70%
	Conservative hold

Election 1992

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	40,251	59.22%	-2.72%
	Liberal Democrat	17,359	25.54%	N/A
	Labour	8,932	13.14%	+2.94%
	Green	729	1.07%	N/A
	Minor	573	0.84%	N/A
	Others	130	0.19%	N/A
Majority		22,892	33.68%
Turnout		67,974	82.08%	+5.61%
Electorate		82,818
Swing from CON to LD			14.13%
Swing from CON to LAB			2.83%
Swing from LAB to LD			11.30%
	Conservative hold

Election 1987

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	38,483	61.93%	+1.03%
	SDP-Liberal Alliance	17,318	27.87%	-0.98%
	Labour	6,335	10.20%	-0.06%
Majority		21,165	34.06%
Turnout		62,136	76.46%	+3.54%
Electorate		81,263
Swing from ALL to CON			1.00%
Swing from LAB to CON			0.55%
Swing from ALL to LAB			0.46%
	Conservative hold

Election 1983

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	34,041	60.90%	+0.50%
	SDP-Liberal Alliance	16,124	28.85%	N/A
	Labour	5,731	10.25%	-7.35%
Majority		17,917	32.05%
Turnout		55,896	72.92%	-3.75%
Electorate		76,649
Swing from CON to ALL			14.18%
Swing from LAB to CON			3.92%
Swing from LAB to ALL			18.10%
	Conservative hold

Election 1979

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	35,470	60.41%	+9.45%
	Liberal	12,916	22.00%	-5.35%
	Labour	10,334	17.60%	-4.10%
Majority		22,554	38.41%
Turnout		58,720	76.67%	+2.61%
Electorate		76,588
Swing from LIB to CON			7.40%
Swing from LAB to CON			6.78%
Swing from LIB to LAB			0.62%
	Conservative hold

Election 1974 (October)

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	27,123	50.96%	-0.81%
	Liberal	14,555	27.34%	-1.69%
	Labour	11,551	21.70%	+2.50%
Majority		12,568	23.61%
Turnout		53,229	74.06%	-7.54%
Electorate		71,877
Swing from LIB to CON			0.44%
Swing from CON to LAB			1.66%
Swing from LIB to LAB			2.10%
	Conservative hold

Election 1974 (February)

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	30,106	51.77%	N/A
	Liberal	16,885	29.03%	N/A
	Labour	11,165	19.20%	N/A
Majority		13,221	22.73%
Turnout		58,156	81.60%	N/A
Electorate		71,271

	Conservative win

2029 General Election

Poll of Polls

Seat-By-Seat Forecast

Custom Swingometer 2029

LAB - Targets | Defence

CON - Targets | Defence

LD - Targets | Defence

REF - Targets | Defence

GRN - Targets | Defence

2024 General Election Results