Thurrock - UK Parliament Constituency

Here are the most recent election results for the Thurrock constituency.

Note: Smaller parties may be omitted. The candidate with the largest vote who does not belong to one of the main parties is listed as 'Minor'. Votes listed for 'Other' are calculated by taking the votes from the main parties and 'Minor' away from the total votes cast.

Name	Thurrock
Region	East of England
1st in 2024		Labour
2nd in 2024		Reform UK
Swing To Lose	8.62%
Next Election Prediction	View

Note: 'Swing To Lose' is the swing needed by the 2nd placed party against the 1st placed party to win the seat.

Electoral History

Election		Party
	Election 2024	Labour
	Election 2019 (New Boundaries)	Conservative
	Election 2019	Conservative
	Election 2017	Conservative
	Election 2015	Conservative
	Election 2010	Conservative
	Election 2005 (New Boundaries)	Labour
	Election 2005	Labour
	Election 2001	Labour
	Election 1997	Labour
	Election 1992	Labour
	Election 1987	Conservative
	Election 1983	Labour
	Election 1979	Labour
	Election 1974 (October)	Labour
	Election 1974 (February)	Labour

Election 2024

View full Election 2024 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	16,050	42.73%	+9.79%
	Reform UK	9,576	25.50%	N/A
	Conservative	8,009	21.32%	-38.58%
	Green	1,632	4.35%	+2.68%
	Liberal Democrat	1,157	3.08%	-0.05%
	Workers Party	691	1.84%	N/A
	Minor	443	1.18%	N/A
Majority		6,474	17.24%
Turnout		37,558	51.17%	-9.33%
Electorate		73,405
Swing from LAB to REF			7.85%
Swing from CON to LAB			24.18%
Swing from CON to REF			32.04%
	Labour gain from Conservative

Election 2019 (New Boundaries)

View full Election 2019 (New Boundaries) results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	26,580	59.91%	+1.35%
	Labour	14,618	32.95%	-1.42%
	Liberal Democrat	1,390	3.13%	-0.05%
	Minor	1,042	2.35%	N/A
	Green	739	1.67%	-0.03%
Majority		11,962	26.96%
Turnout		44,369	60.49%	+0.90%
Electorate		73,347
Swing from LAB to CON			1.39%
Swing from LD to CON			0.70%
Swing from LAB to LD			0.69%
	Conservative hold

Election 2019

View full Election 2019 results.

Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	27,795	58.56%	+19.05%
	Labour	16,313	34.37%	-4.45%
	Liberal Democrat	1,510	3.18%	+1.60%
	Minor	1,042	2.20%	N/A
	Green	807	1.70%	N/A
Majority		11,482	24.19%
Turnout		47,467	59.59%	-4.80%
Electorate		79,659
Swing from LAB to CON			11.75%
Swing from LD to CON			8.73%
Swing from LAB to LD			3.02%
	Conservative hold

Election 2017

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	19,880	39.50%	+5.83%
	Labour	19,535	38.82%	+6.22%
	UKIP	10,112	20.09%	-11.62%
	Liberal Democrat	798	1.59%	+0.29%
Majority		345	0.69%
Turnout		50,325	64.39%	+0.49%
Electorate		78,154
Swing from CON to LAB			0.20%
Swing from UKIP to CON			8.72%
Swing from UKIP to LAB			8.92%
	Conservative hold

Election 2015

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	16,692	33.68%	-3.14%
	Labour	16,156	32.60%	-4.02%
	UKIP	15,718	31.71%	+24.31%
	Liberal Democrat	644	1.30%	-9.40%
	Minor	244	0.49%	N/A
	Others	110	0.22%	N/A
Majority		536	1.08%
Turnout		49,564	63.90%	+4.98%
Electorate		77,559
Swing from LAB to CON			0.44%
Swing from CON to UKIP			13.73%
Swing from LAB to UKIP			14.17%
	Conservative hold

Election 2010

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	16,869	36.81%	+2.18%
	Labour	16,777	36.61%	-12.01%
	Liberal Democrat	4,901	10.70%	-0.24%
	Minor	3,618	7.90%	N/A
	UKIP	3,390	7.40%	N/A
	Others	266	0.58%	N/A
Majority		92	0.20%
Turnout		45,821	58.93%	+4.00%
Electorate		77,758
Swing from LAB to CON			7.10%
Swing from LD to CON			1.21%
Swing from LAB to LD			5.88%
	Conservative gain from Labour

Election 2005 (New Boundaries)

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	20,024	48.63%	+1.39%
	Conservative	14,261	34.63%	+1.99%
	Liberal Democrat	4,505	10.94%	+0.02%
	Others	2,390	5.80%	N/A
Majority		5,763	13.99%
Turnout		41,180	54.93%	+0.15%
Electorate		74,973
Swing from LAB to CON			0.30%
Swing from LD to LAB			0.69%
Swing from LD to CON			0.98%
	Labour hold

Election 2005

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	20,636	47.23%	-9.30%
	Conservative	14,261	32.64%	+2.87%
	Liberal Democrat	4,770	10.92%	+0.62%
	Minor	2,526	5.78%	N/A
	UKIP	1,499	3.43%	+0.03%
Majority		6,375	14.59%
Turnout		43,692	54.78%	+5.96%
Electorate		79,758
Swing from LAB to CON			6.08%
Swing from LAB to LD			4.96%
Swing from LD to CON			1.12%
	Labour hold

Election 2001

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	21,121	56.53%	-6.79%
	Conservative	11,124	29.77%	+3.00%
	Liberal Democrat	3,846	10.29%	+2.15%
	UKIP	1,271	3.40%	+1.64%
Majority		9,997	26.76%
Turnout		37,362	48.82%	-17.11%
Electorate		76,524
Swing from LAB to CON			4.90%
Swing from LAB to LD			4.47%
Swing from LD to CON			0.42%
	Labour hold

Election 1997

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	29,896	63.32%	+17.47%
	Conservative	12,640	26.77%	-16.92%
	Liberal Democrat	3,843	8.14%	-1.38%
	UKIP	833	1.76%	N/A
Majority		17,256	36.55%
Turnout		47,212	65.94%	-12.17%
Electorate		71,600
Swing from CON to LAB			17.19%
Swing from LD to LAB			9.42%
Swing from CON to LD			7.77%
	Labour hold

Election 1992

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	24,791	45.86%	+4.81%
	Conservative	23,619	43.69%	+1.22%
	Liberal Democrat	5,145	9.52%	N/A
	Minor	391	0.72%	N/A
	Others	117	0.22%	N/A
Majority		1,172	2.17%
Turnout		54,063	78.11%	+6.61%
Electorate		69,211
Swing from CON to LAB			1.80%
Swing from LAB to LD			2.35%
Swing from CON to LD			4.15%
	Labour gain from Conservative

Election 1987

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Conservative	20,527	42.47%	+7.11%
	Labour	19,837	41.04%	+1.85%
	SDP-Liberal Alliance	7,970	16.49%	-5.25%
Majority		690	1.43%
Turnout		48,334	71.51%	+3.77%
Electorate		67,594
Swing from LAB to CON			2.63%
Swing from ALL to CON			6.18%
Swing from ALL to LAB			3.55%
	Conservative gain from Labour

Election 1983

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	17,600	39.19%	-9.37%
	Conservative	15,878	35.36%	-3.88%
	SDP-Liberal Alliance	9,761	21.73%	N/A
	Minor	1,220	2.72%	N/A
	Others	451	1.00%	N/A
Majority		1,722	3.83%
Turnout		44,910	67.74%	-7.38%
Electorate		66,300
Swing from LAB to CON			2.74%
Swing from LAB to ALL			15.55%
Swing from CON to ALL			12.81%
	Labour hold

Election 1979

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	33,449	48.55%	-7.01%
	Conservative	27,030	39.24%	+14.79%
	Liberal	6,445	9.36%	-10.63%
	Others	1,965	2.85%	N/A
Majority		6,419	9.32%
Turnout		68,889	75.11%	+6.56%
Electorate		91,712
Swing from LAB to CON			10.90%
Swing from LIB to LAB			1.81%
Swing from LIB to CON			12.71%
	Labour hold

Election 1974 (October)

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	34,066	55.57%	+3.42%
	Conservative	14,986	24.44%	-1.04%
	Liberal	12,255	19.99%	-2.38%
Majority		19,080	31.12%
Turnout		61,307	68.56%	-9.85%
Electorate		89,423
Swing from CON to LAB			2.23%
Swing from LIB to LAB			2.90%
Swing from LIB to CON			0.67%
	Labour hold

Election 1974 (February)

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Party		Votes	Percentage	Change
	Labour	36,217	52.15%	N/A
	Conservative	17,699	25.48%	N/A
	Liberal	15,534	22.37%	N/A
Majority		18,518	26.66%
Turnout		69,450	78.41%	N/A
Electorate		88,574

	Labour win

2029 General Election

Poll of Polls

Seat-By-Seat Forecast

Custom Swingometer 2029

LAB - Targets | Defence

CON - Targets | Defence

LD - Targets | Defence

REF - Targets | Defence

GRN - Targets | Defence

2024 General Election Results