Scottish Parliament Swingometer

This page contains the Scottish Parliament swingometer used to predict election results for the next Scottish election scheduled to be held in 2026.

We track the latest polls for the next Scottish election.

Scottish Parliament Election 2021 (Use for 2026)

Scotland

Constituency
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
ALBA
%
AFU
%
HUNG PARLIAMENT
Labour
short by
23
65 seats needed for a majority
Summary
SeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowGainsLossesNet
Labour2242+25-5+20
SNP6442+5-27-22
Conservative3123+6-14-8
Liberal Democrat412+80+8
Green810+20+2
Constituency
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
SNP47.70%35.00%-12.70%62350-27-27
Labour21.59%31.00%+9.41%222+200+20
Conservative21.89%18.00%-3.89%511+60+6
Liberal Democrat6.94%5.00%-1.94%45+10+1
Region
VotesSeatsSeat Changes
PartyThenNowChangeThenNowGainsLossesNet
Labour18.00%29.00%+11.00%2020+5-50
SNP40.30%28.00%-12.30%27+50+5
Conservative23.46%16.00%-7.46%26120-14-14
Liberal Democrat5.05%9.00%+3.95%07+70+7
Green8.11%9.00%+0.89%810+20+2
ALBA1.65%1.65%0.00%00000
AFU0.86%0.86%+0.00%00000
Map Options

On the current prediction the seats that will change hands are as follows:

Conservative gains
MorayHighlands and Islands
Perthshire South and Kinross-shireMid Scotland and Fife
Aberdeen South and North KincardineNorth East Scotland
Aberdeenshire EastNorth East Scotland
Banffshire and Buchan CoastNorth East Scotland
AyrSouth Scotland
Labour gains
Airdrie and ShottsCentral Scotland
East KilbrideCentral Scotland
Falkirk EastCentral Scotland
Hamilton, Larkhall and StonehouseCentral Scotland
Uddingston and BellshillCentral Scotland
Glasgow AnnieslandGlasgow
Glasgow KelvinGlasgow
Glasgow PollokGlasgow
RutherglenGlasgow
LinlithgowLothian
Midlothian North and MusselburghLothian
CowdenbeathMid Scotland and Fife
DunfermlineMid Scotland and Fife
Carrick, Cumnock and Doon ValleySouth Scotland
ClydesdaleSouth Scotland
East LothianSouth Scotland
Clydebank and MilngavieWest Scotland
PaisleyWest Scotland
Renfrewshire North and WestWest Scotland
Renfrewshire SouthWest Scotland
Liberal Democrat gains
Caithness Sutherland and RossHighlands and Islands

Central Scotland

Constituency
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
ALBA
%
AFU
%

Glasgow

Constituency
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
ALBA
%
AFU
%

Highlands and Islands

Constituency
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Labour
%
Region
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Labour
%
Green
%
ALBA
%
AFU
%

Lothian

Constituency
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
ALBA
%
AFU
%

Mid Scotland and Fife

Constituency
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
ALBA
%
AFU
%

North East Scotland

Constituency
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
ALBA
%
AFU
%

South Scotland

Constituency
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
SNP
%
Conservative
%
Labour
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
AFU
%
ALBA
%

West Scotland

Constituency
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Liberal Democrat
%
Region
SNP
%
Labour
%
Conservative
%
Green
%
Liberal Democrat
%
ALBA
%
AFU
%

Scottish Parliament Election 2016 (Use for 2021)

Scottish Parliament Election 2011 (Use for 2016)

Quick Links
Latest Posts
Updated Election Maps
posted 30 Mar 2024, 14:30
Updated Constituency Boundaries
posted 26 Feb 2024, 21:20
2021 Results for the Scottish Parliament and Senedd Elections
posted 8 May 2021, 20:45