Tactical Voting against Liberal Democrats

This is our tactical voting guide to keeping out Liberal Democrat candidates in the 2029 general election. This page takes the set of constituencies where Liberal Democrat candidates stood last time and divides them into three categories using the rules below.

Rules

We assume that tactical voting is only a good idea against a Liberal Democrat candidate in a particular constituency when, considering the current forecast, they hold the constituency and are no more than 25 percentage points ahead of the second placed candidate or, alternatively, will not win the constituency and are no more than 25 percentage points behind the winning candidate.

  1. The first table contains the constituencies which meet the above criteria.
  2. The second table contains the constituencies where we forecast that the Liberal Democrat candidate will be so far behind that it appears they cannot win.
  3. The third table contains the constituencies where we forecast that the Liberal Democrat candidate will be so far ahead that it appears they are unlikely to be beaten.

If a by-election has taken place after the last election and the boundaries have not changed, then that result is used instead of the one from the last election.

Usage Guide

In our opinion, the best way of using this guide is as follows:

  1. Pick the name of a constituency.
  2. Find which table the constituency is in.
  3. Check the recommended advice above the table.
  4. Open the link to your selected constituency and verify whether our advised tactical vote seems plausible to you.

For tactical voting against other parties see here.
For the newer (and more sophisticated) tactical voting calculator see here.

Constituencies where tactical voting may help

Our recommendation: Vote for the parties recommended in this table. If there are two such parties, the first choice we calculate is the most effective.

LondonVote For
Bermondsey and Old Southwark1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Bethnal Green and Stepney1. Minor
2. Labour
Brent West1. Labour
2. Conservative
Brentford and Isleworth1. Labour
2. Conservative
Bromley and Biggin Hill1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Carshalton and Wallington1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Cities of London and Westminster1. Conservative
2. Labour
Croydon East1. Labour
2. Conservative
Ealing Central and Acton1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Feltham and Heston1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Hampstead and Highgate1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Ilford South1. Labour
2. Minor
Kensington and Bayswater1. Conservative
2. Labour
Orpington1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Poplar and Limehouse1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Putney1. Labour
2. Conservative
Sutton and Cheam1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
East of EnglandVote For
Bedford1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Bedfordshire Mid1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Bedfordshire North1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Brentwood and Ongar1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Broadland and Fakenham1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Cambridge1. Labour
2. Green
Cambridgeshire North West1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Cambridgeshire SouthConservative
Chelmsford1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Colchester1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Ely and Cambridgeshire East1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Essex North West1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Harpenden and BerkhamstedConservative
Harwich and Essex North1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Hemel Hempstead1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Hertford and Stortford1. Labour
2. Conservative
Hertfordshire North East1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Hertfordshire South West1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Hitchin1. Labour
2. Conservative
Huntingdon1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Luton North1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Luton South and Bedfordshire South1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Maldon1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Norfolk North1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Norfolk North West1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Norfolk South1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Peterborough1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Southend East and Rochford1. Reform UK
2. Labour
Southend West and Leigh1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Stevenage1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Suffolk Central and Ipswich North1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Suffolk Coastal1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Suffolk South1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Suffolk West1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Watford1. Labour
2. Conservative
Welwyn Hatfield1. Conservative
2. Labour
South EastVote For
Aldershot1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Arundel and South Downs1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Ashford1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Aylesbury1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Banbury1. Conservative
2. Labour
Basingstoke1. Labour
2. Conservative
Beaconsfield1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Bexhill and Battle1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Bicester and Woodstock1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Bognor Regis and Littlehampton1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Bracknell1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven1. Labour
2. Green
Buckingham and Bletchley1. Conservative
2. Labour
Buckinghamshire Mid1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Canterbury1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Chesham and AmershamConservative
Crawley1. Reform UK
2. Labour
Dartford1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Didcot and Wantage1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Dorking and Horley1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Earley and Woodley1. Conservative
2. Labour
East Grinstead and Uckfield1. Conservative
2. Green
Eastleigh1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Epsom and Ewell1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Fareham and Waterlooville1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Farnham and Bordon1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Faversham and Mid Kent1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Gillingham and Rainham1. Reform UK
2. Labour
Godalming and Ash1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
GuildfordConservative
Hamble Valley1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Hampshire East1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Hampshire North East1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Hampshire North West1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Hastings and Rye1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Havant1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Henley and ThameConservative
Horsham1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Isle of Wight East1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Isle of Wight West1. Labour
2. Reform UK
MaidenheadConservative
Maidstone and Malling1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Milton Keynes Central1. Labour
2. Conservative
Milton Keynes North1. Labour
2. Conservative
New Forest East1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
New Forest West1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Newbury1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Portsmouth North1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Portsmouth South1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Reading West and Mid Berkshire1. Conservative
2. Labour
Reigate1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Romsey and Southampton North1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Runnymede and Weybridge1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Sevenoaks1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Slough1. Minor
2. Labour
Southampton Itchen1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Southampton Test1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Spelthorne1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Surrey East1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Surrey Heath1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Sussex Mid1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Sussex Weald1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Tunbridge Wells1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Windsor1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Witney1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
WokinghamConservative
Worthing West1. Conservative
2. Labour
Wycombe1. Labour
2. Conservative
South WestVote For
BathReform UK
Bournemouth East1. Labour
2. Conservative
Bournemouth West1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Bridgwater1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Bristol South1. Labour
2. Green
Camborne and Redruth1. Labour
2. Reform UK
CheltenhamConservative
Chippenham1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Christchurch1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Cornwall North1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Cornwall South East1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Cotswolds North1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Cotswolds SouthConservative
Devon Central1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Devon North1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Devon South1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Devon South West1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Dorset Mid and Poole NorthConservative
Dorset North1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Dorset South1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Dorset WestConservative
Exeter1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Exmouth and Exeter East1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Forest of Dean1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Frome and Somerset East1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Glastonbury and Somerton1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Gloucester1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Honiton and Sidmouth1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Melksham and Devizes1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Newton Abbot1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Poole1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Salisbury1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Somerset North1. Conservative
2. Labour
Somerset North East and Hanham1. Labour
2. Conservative
St Austell and Newquay1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Swindon North1. Labour
2. Conservative
Taunton and WellingtonReform UK
Tewkesbury1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Thornbury and Yate1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Tiverton and Minehead1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Torbay1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Torridge and Tavistock1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Truro and Falmouth1. Labour
2. Conservative
Weston-Super-Mare1. Reform UK
2. Labour
Wiltshire East1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Wiltshire South West1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
YeovilReform UK
East MidlandsVote For
Broxtowe1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Daventry1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Derbyshire Dales1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Derbyshire Mid1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Derbyshire South1. Reform UK
2. Labour
Erewash1. Reform UK
2. Labour
Gainsborough1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Harborough, Oadby and Wigston1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Hinckley and Bosworth1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Kettering1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Leicester East1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Leicestershire South1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Loughborough1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Northampton South1. Reform UK
2. Labour
Northamptonshire South1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
West MidlandsVote For
Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley1. Labour
2. Minor
Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North1. Reform UK
2. Workers Party
Birmingham Northfield1. Reform UK
2. Labour
Birmingham Yardley1. Workers Party
2. Reform UK
Bromsgrove1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Halesowen1. Reform UK
2. Labour
Hereford and Herefordshire South1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Kenilworth and Southam1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Lichfield1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Redditch1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Rugby1. Labour
2. Conservative
Shrewsbury1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Shropshire South1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Solihull West and Shirley1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Stafford1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Stourbridge1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Stratford-on-Avon1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Worcester1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Worcestershire West1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Wrekin, The1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Wyre Forest1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Yorkshire and the HumberVote For
Beverley and Holderness1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Bradford East1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Colne Valley1. Labour
2. Conservative
Halifax1. Reform UK
2. Labour
Harrogate and KnaresboroughConservative
Huddersfield1. Green
2. Labour
Leeds North West1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Penistone and Stocksbridge1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Sheffield Hallam1. Labour
2. Green
Skipton and Ripon1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Thirsk and Malton1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Wakefield and Rothwell1. Labour
2. Reform UK
York Outer1. Labour
2. Conservative
North EastVote For
Durham North1. Reform UK
2. Labour
Durham, City of1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Gateshead Central and Whickham1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Northumberland North1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Redcar1. Labour
2. Conservative
North WestVote For
Altrincham and Sale West1. Conservative
2. Labour
Blackburn1. Minor
2. Reform UK
Bolton West1. Reform UK
2. Labour
Burnley1. Reform UK
2. Labour
Carlisle1. Reform UK
2. Labour
Chester South and Eddisbury1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Congleton1. Conservative
2. Labour
Fylde1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Hazel Grove1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Morecambe and Lunesdale1. Labour
2. Conservative
Oldham East and Saddleworth1. Reform UK
2. Labour
Oldham West, Chadderton and Royton1. Reform UK
2. Labour
Pendle and Clitheroe1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Penrith and Solway1. Labour
2. Conservative
Preston1. Reform UK
2. Labour
Ribble Valley1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Rochdale1. Workers Party
2. Reform UK
South Ribble1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Southport1. Labour
2. Reform UK
ScotlandVote For
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine1. Conservative
2. SNP
Argyll, Bute and Lochaber South1. SNP
2. Conservative
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter RossSNP
Dunbartonshire MidSNP
Gordon and Buchan1. SNP
2. Conservative
Inverness, Skye and Ross-shire West1. SNP
2. Reform UK
WalesVote For
Bangor Aberconwy1. Labour
2. Plaid Cymru
Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Cardiff East1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Cardiff West1. Labour
2. Plaid Cymru
Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr1. Reform UK
2. Labour
Pembrokeshire Mid and South1. Conservative
2. Labour
Swansea West1. Labour
2. Reform UK

Forecasted Liberal Democrat losses where we think they will be too far behind for tactical voting against them to be worth it

Our recommendation: Vote for whichever party you like.

London
Barking
Battersea
Beckenham and Penge
Bexleyheath and Crayford
Brent East
Chelsea and Fulham
Chingford and Woodford Green
Chipping Barnet
Clapham and Brixton Hill
Croydon South
Croydon West
Dagenham and Rainham
Dulwich and West Norwood
Ealing North
Ealing Southall
East Ham
Edmonton and Winchmore Hill
Eltham and Chislehurst
Enfield North
Erith and Thamesmead
Finchley and Golders Green
Greenwich and Woolwich
Hackney North and Stoke Newington
Hackney South and Shoreditch
Hammersmith and Chiswick
Harrow East
Harrow West
Hayes and Harlington
Hendon
Holborn and St Pancras
Hornchurch and Upminster
Hornsey and Friern Barnet
Ilford North
Islington North
Islington South and Finsbury
Lewisham East
Lewisham North
Lewisham West and Dulwich East
Leyton and Wanstead
Mitcham and Morden
Old Bexley and Sidcup
Peckham
Queens Park and Maida Vale
Romford
Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner
Southgate and Wood Green
Stratford and Bow
Streatham and Croydon North
Tooting
Tottenham
Uxbridge and Ruislip South
Vauxhall and Camberwell Green
Walthamstow
West Ham and Beckton
East of England
Basildon and Billericay
Basildon South and Thurrock East
Braintree
Broxbourne
Cambridgeshire North East
Castle Point
Clacton
Epping Forest
Great Yarmouth
Harlow
Hertsmere
Ipswich
Lowestoft
Norfolk Mid
Norfolk South West
Norwich North
Norwich South
Rayleigh and Wickford
Thurrock
Waveney Valley
Witham
South East
Brighton Pavilion
Chatham and Aylesford
Dover and Deal
Folkestone and Hythe
Gosport
Gravesham
Herne Bay and Sandwich
Hove and Portslade
Oxford East
Reading Central
Rochester and Strood
Sittingbourne and Sheppey
Thanet East
Tonbridge
Weald of Kent
Worthing East and Shoreham
South West
Bristol Central
Bristol East
Bristol North East
Bristol North West
Filton and Bradley Stoke
Plymouth Moor View
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport
Stroud
Swindon South
East Midlands
Amber Valley
Ashfield
Bassetlaw
Bolsover
Boston and Skegness
Chesterfield
Corby and Northamptonshire East
Derby North
Derby South
Derbyshire North East
Gedling
Grantham and Bourne
High Peak
Leicester South
Leicester West
Leicestershire Mid
Leicestershire North West
Lincoln
Louth and Horncastle
Mansfield
Melton and Syston
Newark
Northampton North
Nottingham East
Nottingham North and Kimberley
Nottingham South
Rushcliffe
Rutland and Stamford
Sherwood Forest
Sleaford and North Hykeham
South Holland and the Deepings
Wellingborough and Rushden
West Midlands
Aldridge-Brownhills
Birmingham Edgbaston
Birmingham Erdington
Birmingham Ladywood
Birmingham Perry Barr
Birmingham Selly Oak
Burton and Uttoxeter
Cannock Chase
Coventry East
Coventry North West
Coventry South
Droitwich and Evesham
Dudley
Herefordshire North
Kingswinford and Staffordshire South
Meriden and Solihull East
Newcastle-under-Lyme
Nuneaton
Smethwick
Staffordshire Moorlands
Stoke-on-Trent Central
Stoke-on-Trent North
Stoke-on-Trent South
Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge
Sutton Coldfield
Tamworth
Telford
Tipton and Wednesbury
Walsall and Bloxwich
Warwick and Leamington
Warwickshire North and Bedworth
West Bromwich
Wolverhampton North East
Wolverhampton South East
Wolverhampton West
Yorkshire and the Humber
Barnsley North
Barnsley South
Bradford South
Bradford West
Bridlington and the Wolds
Brigg and Immingham
Calder Valley
Dewsbury and Batley
Doncaster Central
Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme
Doncaster North
Goole and Pocklington
Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes
Hull East
Hull North and Cottingham
Hull West and Haltemprice
Keighley and Ilkley
Leeds Central and Headingley
Leeds East
Leeds North East
Leeds South
Leeds South West and Morley
Leeds West and Pudsey
Normanton and Hemsworth
Ossett and Denby Dale
Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley
Rawmarsh and Conisbrough
Richmond and Northallerton
Rother Valley
Rotherham
Scarborough and Whitby
Scunthorpe
Selby
Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough
Sheffield Central
Sheffield Heeley
Sheffield South East
Shipley
Spen Valley
Wetherby and Easingwold
York Central
North East
Bishop Auckland
Blaydon and Consett
Blyth and Ashington
Cramlington and Killingworth
Darlington
Easington
Hartlepool
Hexham
Houghton and Sunderland South
Jarrow and Gateshead East
Middlesbrough and Thornaby East
Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East
Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West
Newcastle upon Tyne East and Wallsend
Newcastle upon Tyne North
Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor
South Shields
Stockton North
Stockton West
Sunderland Central
Tynemouth
Washington and Gateshead South
North West
Ashton-under-Lyne
Barrow and Furness
Birkenhead
Blackley and Middleton South
Blackpool North and Fleetwood
Blackpool South
Bolton North East
Bolton South and Walkden
Bootle
Bury North
Bury South
Cheshire Mid
Chester North and Neston
Chorley
Crewe and Nantwich
Ellesmere Port and Bromborough
Gorton and Denton
Heywood and Middleton North
Hyndburn
Knowsley
Lancashire West
Lancaster and Wyre
Leigh and Atherton
Liverpool Garston
Liverpool Riverside
Liverpool Walton
Liverpool Wavertree
Liverpool West Derby
Macclesfield
Makerfield
Manchester Central
Manchester Rusholme
Manchester Withington
Rossendale and Darwen
Runcorn and Helsby
Salford
Sefton Central
St Helens North
St Helens South and Whiston
Stalybridge and Hyde
Stockport
Stretford and Urmston
Tatton
Wallasey
Warrington North
Warrington South
Whitehaven and Workington
Widnes and Halewood
Wigan
Wirral West
Worsley and Eccles
Wythenshawe and Sale East
Scotland
Aberdeen North
Aberdeen South
Aberdeenshire North and Moray East
Airdrie and Shotts
Alloa and Grangemouth
Angus and Perthshire Glens
Arbroath and Broughty Ferry
Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock
Ayrshire Central
Ayrshire North and Arran
Bathgate and Linlithgow
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk
Coatbridge and Bellshill
Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy
Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch
Dumfries and Galloway
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale
Dunbartonshire West
Dundee Central
Dunfermline and Dollar
East Kilbride and Strathaven
East Lothian
Edinburgh East and Musselburgh
Edinburgh North and Leith
Edinburgh South
Edinburgh South West
Falkirk
Glasgow East
Glasgow North
Glasgow North East
Glasgow South
Glasgow South West
Glasgow West
Glenrothes and Mid Fife
Hamilton and Clyde Valley
Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West
Kilmarnock and Loudoun
Livingston
Midlothian
Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey
Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke
Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles)
Paisley and Renfrewshire North
Paisley and Renfrewshire South
Perth and Kinross-shire
Renfrewshire East
Rutherglen
Stirling and Strathallan
Wales
Aberafan Maesteg
Alyn and Deeside
Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney
Bridgend
Caerfyrddin
Caerphilly
Cardiff North
Cardiff South and Penarth
Ceredigion Preseli
Clwyd East
Clwyd North
Dwyfor Meirionnydd
Gower
Llanelli
Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare
Monmouthshire
Neath and Swansea East
Newport East
Newport West and Islwyn
Pontypridd
Rhondda and Ogmore
Torfaen
Vale of Glamorgan
Wrexham
Ynys Mon

Forecasted Liberal Democrat wins where we think their lead will be too large for tactical voting to make a difference

Our recommendation: Vote for whichever party you like.

London
Kingston and Surbiton
Richmond Park
Twickenham
Wimbledon
East of England
St Albans
South East
Chichester
Eastbourne
Esher and Walton
Lewes
Oxford West and Abingdon
Winchester
Woking
South West
St Ives
Wells and Mendip Hills
West Midlands
Shropshire North
North West
Cheadle
Westmorland and Lonsdale
Scotland
Edinburgh West
Fife North East
Orkney and Shetland
2029 General Election
Latest Posts
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posted 20 Oct 2024, 11:00
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posted 5 Jul 2024, 12:00