Tactical Voting against Liberal Democrats

This is our tactical voting guide to keeping out Liberal Democrat candidates in the 2029 general election. This page takes the set of constituencies where Liberal Democrat candidates stood last time and divides them into three categories using the rules below.

Rules

We assume that tactical voting is only a good idea against a Liberal Democrat candidate in a particular constituency when, considering the current forecast, they hold the constituency and are no more than 25 percentage points ahead of the second placed candidate or, alternatively, will not win the constituency and are no more than 25 percentage points behind the winning candidate.

  1. The first table contains the constituencies which meet the above criteria.
  2. The second table contains the constituencies where we forecast that the Liberal Democrat candidate will be so far behind that it appears they cannot win.
  3. The third table contains the constituencies where we forecast that the Liberal Democrat candidate will be so far ahead that it appears they are unlikely to be beaten.

If a by-election has taken place after the last election and the boundaries have not changed, then that result is used instead of the one from the last election.

Usage Guide

In our opinion, the best way of using this guide is as follows:

  1. Pick the name of a constituency.
  2. Find which table the constituency is in.
  3. Check the recommended advice above the table.
  4. Open the link to your selected constituency and verify whether our advised tactical vote seems plausible to you.

For tactical voting against other parties see here.
For the newer (and more sophisticated) tactical voting calculator see here.

Constituencies where tactical voting may help

Our recommendation: Vote for the parties recommended in this table. If there are two such parties, the first choice we calculate is the most effective.

LondonVote For
Bermondsey and Old Southwark1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Bethnal Green and Stepney1. Minor
2. Labour
Bromley and Biggin Hill1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Carshalton and Wallington1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Cities of London and Westminster1. Labour
2. Conservative
Sutton and Cheam1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
WimbledonConservative
East of EnglandVote For
Bedfordshire Mid1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Brentwood and Ongar1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Broadland and Fakenham1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Cambridge1. Labour
2. Green
Cambridgeshire North West1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Cambridgeshire SouthConservative
Chelmsford1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Colchester1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Ely and Cambridgeshire East1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Essex North West1. Conservative
2. Labour
Harpenden and BerkhamstedConservative
Harwich and Essex North1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Hemel Hempstead1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Hertfordshire North East1. Labour
2. Conservative
Hertfordshire South West1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Huntingdon1. Conservative
2. Labour
Luton South and Bedfordshire South1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Norfolk North1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Norfolk North West1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Norfolk South1. Labour
2. Conservative
Southend West and Leigh1. Labour
2. Conservative
St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Suffolk Central and Ipswich North1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Suffolk Coastal1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Suffolk South1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Suffolk West1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Watford1. Labour
2. Reform UK
South EastVote For
Arundel and South Downs1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Aylesbury1. Conservative
2. Labour
Banbury1. Labour
2. Conservative
Beaconsfield1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Bexhill and Battle1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Bicester and Woodstock1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Bognor Regis and Littlehampton1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Bracknell1. Conservative
2. Labour
Buckingham and Bletchley1. Labour
2. Conservative
Buckinghamshire Mid1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Chesham and Amersham1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
ChichesterReform UK
Didcot and Wantage1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Dorking and Horley1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Earley and Woodley1. Conservative
2. Labour
East Grinstead and Uckfield1. Conservative
2. Green
Eastleigh1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Epsom and Ewell1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Esher and WaltonConservative
Fareham and Waterlooville1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Farnham and Bordon1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Faversham and Mid Kent1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Godalming and Ash1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
GuildfordConservative
Hamble Valley1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Hampshire East1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Hampshire North East1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Hampshire North West1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Henley and Thame1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Horsham1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Isle of Wight East1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
MaidenheadConservative
Maidstone and Malling1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
New Forest East1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
New Forest West1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Newbury1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Portsmouth North1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Reading West and Mid Berkshire1. Labour
2. Conservative
Reigate1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Romsey and Southampton North1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Runnymede and Weybridge1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Sevenoaks1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Slough1. Labour
2. Minor
Spelthorne1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Surrey East1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Surrey Heath1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Sussex Mid1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Sussex Weald1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Tunbridge Wells1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Windsor1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Witney1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
WokinghamConservative
Wycombe1. Labour
2. Conservative
South WestVote For
Bath1. Reform UK
2. Green
Bournemouth West1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Bridgwater1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
CheltenhamConservative
Chippenham1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Christchurch1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Cornwall North1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Cornwall South East1. Reform UK
2. Labour
Cotswolds North1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Cotswolds South1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Devon Central1. Conservative
2. Labour
Devon North1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Devon South1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Devon South West1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Dorset Mid and Poole NorthConservative
Dorset North1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Dorset South1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Dorset WestConservative
Exmouth and Exeter East1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Frome and Somerset East1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Glastonbury and Somerton1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Gloucester1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Honiton and Sidmouth1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Melksham and Devizes1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Newton Abbot1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Poole1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Salisbury1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Somerset North1. Conservative
2. Labour
St Austell and Newquay1. Reform UK
2. Labour
Taunton and WellingtonReform UK
Tewkesbury1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Thornbury and Yate1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Tiverton and Minehead1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Torbay1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Torridge and Tavistock1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Truro and Falmouth1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Wells and Mendip Hills1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Weston-Super-Mare1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Wiltshire East1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Wiltshire South West1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
YeovilReform UK
East MidlandsVote For
Daventry1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Derbyshire Dales1. Conservative
2. Labour
Gainsborough1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Hinckley and Bosworth1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Leicester East1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Leicestershire South1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Northamptonshire South1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
West MidlandsVote For
Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley1. Labour
2. Minor
Birmingham Yardley1. Workers Party
2. Labour
Bromsgrove1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Hereford and Herefordshire South1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Kenilworth and Southam1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Lichfield1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Shropshire South1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Solihull West and Shirley1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Stratford-on-Avon1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Worcestershire West1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Wrekin, The1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Yorkshire and the HumberVote For
Beverley and Holderness1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Harrogate and Knaresborough1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Sheffield Hallam1. Labour
2. Green
North EastVote For
Northumberland North1. Labour
2. Reform UK
North WestVote For
Burnley1. Reform UK
2. Labour
CheadleReform UK
Hazel Grove1. Reform UK
2. Labour
Oldham East and Saddleworth1. Reform UK
2. Labour
Preston1. Labour
2. Reform UK
Ribble Valley1. Conservative
2. Labour
Rochdale1. Workers Party
2. Reform UK
Southport1. Labour
2. Reform UK
ScotlandVote For
Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine1. Conservative
2. SNP
Alloa and Grangemouth1. SNP
2. Labour
Argyll, Bute and Lochaber South1. SNP
2. Conservative
Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock1. SNP
2. Conservative
Ayrshire Central1. Labour
2. SNP
Bathgate and Linlithgow1. Labour
2. SNP
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter RossSNP
Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy1. Labour
2. SNP
Dumfries and Galloway1. Conservative
2. SNP
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale1. Conservative
2. SNP
Dunbartonshire MidSNP
Dunfermline and Dollar1. Labour
2. SNP
Edinburgh North and Leith1. SNP
2. Labour
Edinburgh South West1. SNP
2. Labour
Gordon and Buchan1. Conservative
2. SNP
Inverness, Skye and Ross-shire West1. SNP
2. Reform UK
Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey1. SNP
2. Conservative
Renfrewshire East1. Labour
2. SNP
Stirling and Strathallan1. SNP
2. Labour
WalesVote For
Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Bridgend1. Reform UK
2. Plaid Cymru
Cardiff East1. Plaid Cymru
2. Reform UK
Cardiff North1. Plaid Cymru
2. Reform UK
Cardiff South and Penarth1. Green
2. Plaid Cymru
Clwyd East1. Reform UK
2. Conservative
Clwyd North1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Gower1. Reform UK
2. Plaid Cymru
Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr1. Reform UK
2. Plaid Cymru
Newport East1. Reform UK
2. Plaid Cymru
Newport West and Islwyn1. Reform UK
2. Plaid Cymru
Pembrokeshire Mid and South1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Swansea West1. Plaid Cymru
2. Reform UK
Vale of Glamorgan1. Conservative
2. Reform UK
Wrexham1. Plaid Cymru
2. Reform UK

Forecasted Liberal Democrat losses where we think they will be too far behind for tactical voting against them to be worth it

Our recommendation: Vote for whichever party you like.

London
Barking
Battersea
Beckenham and Penge
Bexleyheath and Crayford
Brent East
Brent West
Brentford and Isleworth
Chelsea and Fulham
Chingford and Woodford Green
Chipping Barnet
Clapham and Brixton Hill
Croydon East
Croydon South
Croydon West
Dagenham and Rainham
Dulwich and West Norwood
Ealing Central and Acton
Ealing North
Ealing Southall
East Ham
Edmonton and Winchmore Hill
Eltham and Chislehurst
Enfield North
Erith and Thamesmead
Feltham and Heston
Finchley and Golders Green
Greenwich and Woolwich
Hackney North and Stoke Newington
Hackney South and Shoreditch
Hammersmith and Chiswick
Hampstead and Highgate
Harrow East
Harrow West
Hayes and Harlington
Hendon
Holborn and St Pancras
Hornchurch and Upminster
Hornsey and Friern Barnet
Ilford North
Ilford South
Islington North
Islington South and Finsbury
Kensington and Bayswater
Lewisham East
Lewisham North
Lewisham West and Dulwich East
Leyton and Wanstead
Mitcham and Morden
Old Bexley and Sidcup
Orpington
Peckham
Poplar and Limehouse
Putney
Queens Park and Maida Vale
Romford
Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner
Southgate and Wood Green
Stratford and Bow
Streatham and Croydon North
Tooting
Tottenham
Uxbridge and Ruislip South
Vauxhall and Camberwell Green
Walthamstow
West Ham and Beckton
East of England
Basildon and Billericay
Basildon South and Thurrock East
Bedford
Bedfordshire North
Braintree
Broxbourne
Cambridgeshire North East
Castle Point
Clacton
Epping Forest
Great Yarmouth
Harlow
Hertford and Stortford
Hertsmere
Hitchin
Ipswich
Lowestoft
Luton North
Maldon
Norfolk Mid
Norfolk South West
Norwich North
Norwich South
Peterborough
Rayleigh and Wickford
Southend East and Rochford
Stevenage
Thurrock
Waveney Valley
Welwyn Hatfield
Witham
South East
Aldershot
Ashford
Basingstoke
Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven
Brighton Pavilion
Canterbury
Chatham and Aylesford
Crawley
Dartford
Dover and Deal
Folkestone and Hythe
Gillingham and Rainham
Gosport
Gravesham
Hastings and Rye
Havant
Herne Bay and Sandwich
Hove and Portslade
Isle of Wight West
Milton Keynes Central
Milton Keynes North
Oxford East
Portsmouth South
Reading Central
Rochester and Strood
Sittingbourne and Sheppey
Southampton Itchen
Southampton Test
Thanet East
Tonbridge
Weald of Kent
Worthing East and Shoreham
Worthing West
South West
Bournemouth East
Bristol Central
Bristol East
Bristol North East
Bristol North West
Bristol South
Camborne and Redruth
Exeter
Filton and Bradley Stoke
Forest of Dean
Plymouth Moor View
Plymouth Sutton and Devonport
Somerset North East and Hanham
Stroud
Swindon North
Swindon South
East Midlands
Amber Valley
Ashfield
Bassetlaw
Bolsover
Boston and Skegness
Broxtowe
Chesterfield
Corby and Northamptonshire East
Derby North
Derby South
Derbyshire Mid
Derbyshire North East
Derbyshire South
Erewash
Gedling
Grantham and Bourne
Harborough, Oadby and Wigston
High Peak
Kettering
Leicester South
Leicester West
Leicestershire Mid
Leicestershire North West
Lincoln
Loughborough
Louth and Horncastle
Mansfield
Melton and Syston
Newark
Northampton North
Northampton South
Nottingham East
Nottingham North and Kimberley
Nottingham South
Rushcliffe
Rutland and Stamford
Sherwood Forest
Sleaford and North Hykeham
South Holland and the Deepings
Wellingborough and Rushden
West Midlands
Aldridge-Brownhills
Birmingham Edgbaston
Birmingham Erdington
Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North
Birmingham Ladywood
Birmingham Northfield
Birmingham Perry Barr
Birmingham Selly Oak
Burton and Uttoxeter
Cannock Chase
Coventry East
Coventry North West
Coventry South
Droitwich and Evesham
Dudley
Halesowen
Herefordshire North
Kingswinford and Staffordshire South
Meriden and Solihull East
Newcastle-under-Lyme
Nuneaton
Redditch
Rugby
Shrewsbury
Smethwick
Stafford
Staffordshire Moorlands
Stoke-on-Trent Central
Stoke-on-Trent North
Stoke-on-Trent South
Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge
Stourbridge
Sutton Coldfield
Tamworth
Telford
Tipton and Wednesbury
Walsall and Bloxwich
Warwick and Leamington
Warwickshire North and Bedworth
West Bromwich
Wolverhampton North East
Wolverhampton South East
Wolverhampton West
Worcester
Wyre Forest
Yorkshire and the Humber
Barnsley North
Barnsley South
Bradford East
Bradford South
Bradford West
Bridlington and the Wolds
Brigg and Immingham
Calder Valley
Colne Valley
Dewsbury and Batley
Doncaster Central
Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme
Doncaster North
Goole and Pocklington
Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes
Halifax
Huddersfield
Hull East
Hull North and Cottingham
Hull West and Haltemprice
Keighley and Ilkley
Leeds Central and Headingley
Leeds East
Leeds North East
Leeds North West
Leeds South
Leeds South West and Morley
Leeds West and Pudsey
Normanton and Hemsworth
Ossett and Denby Dale
Penistone and Stocksbridge
Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley
Rawmarsh and Conisbrough
Richmond and Northallerton
Rother Valley
Rotherham
Scarborough and Whitby
Scunthorpe
Selby
Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough
Sheffield Central
Sheffield Heeley
Sheffield South East
Shipley
Skipton and Ripon
Spen Valley
Thirsk and Malton
Wakefield and Rothwell
Wetherby and Easingwold
York Central
York Outer
North East
Bishop Auckland
Blaydon and Consett
Blyth and Ashington
Cramlington and Killingworth
Darlington
Durham North
Durham, City of
Easington
Gateshead Central and Whickham
Hartlepool
Hexham
Houghton and Sunderland South
Jarrow and Gateshead East
Middlesbrough and Thornaby East
Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East
Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West
Newcastle upon Tyne East and Wallsend
Newcastle upon Tyne North
Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor
Redcar
South Shields
Stockton North
Stockton West
Sunderland Central
Tynemouth
Washington and Gateshead South
North West
Altrincham and Sale West
Ashton-under-Lyne
Barrow and Furness
Birkenhead
Blackburn
Blackley and Middleton South
Blackpool North and Fleetwood
Blackpool South
Bolton North East
Bolton South and Walkden
Bolton West
Bootle
Bury North
Bury South
Carlisle
Cheshire Mid
Chester North and Neston
Chester South and Eddisbury
Chorley
Congleton
Crewe and Nantwich
Ellesmere Port and Bromborough
Fylde
Gorton and Denton
Heywood and Middleton North
Hyndburn
Knowsley
Lancashire West
Lancaster and Wyre
Leigh and Atherton
Liverpool Garston
Liverpool Riverside
Liverpool Walton
Liverpool Wavertree
Liverpool West Derby
Macclesfield
Makerfield
Manchester Central
Manchester Rusholme
Manchester Withington
Morecambe and Lunesdale
Oldham West, Chadderton and Royton
Pendle and Clitheroe
Penrith and Solway
Rossendale and Darwen
Runcorn and Helsby
Salford
Sefton Central
South Ribble
St Helens North
St Helens South and Whiston
Stalybridge and Hyde
Stockport
Stretford and Urmston
Tatton
Wallasey
Warrington North
Warrington South
Whitehaven and Workington
Widnes and Halewood
Wigan
Wirral West
Worsley and Eccles
Wythenshawe and Sale East
Scotland
Aberdeen North
Aberdeen South
Aberdeenshire North and Moray East
Airdrie and Shotts
Angus and Perthshire Glens
Arbroath and Broughty Ferry
Ayrshire North and Arran
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk
Coatbridge and Bellshill
Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch
Dunbartonshire West
Dundee Central
East Kilbride and Strathaven
East Lothian
Edinburgh East and Musselburgh
Edinburgh South
Falkirk
Glasgow East
Glasgow North
Glasgow North East
Glasgow South
Glasgow South West
Glasgow West
Glenrothes and Mid Fife
Hamilton and Clyde Valley
Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West
Kilmarnock and Loudoun
Livingston
Midlothian
Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke
Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles)
Paisley and Renfrewshire North
Paisley and Renfrewshire South
Perth and Kinross-shire
Rutherglen
Wales
Aberafan Maesteg
Alyn and Deeside
Bangor Aberconwy
Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney
Caerfyrddin
Caerphilly
Cardiff West
Ceredigion Preseli
Dwyfor Meirionnydd
Llanelli
Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare
Monmouthshire
Neath and Swansea East
Pontypridd
Rhondda and Ogmore
Torfaen
Ynys Mon

Forecasted Liberal Democrat wins where we think their lead will be too large for tactical voting to make a difference

Our recommendation: Vote for whichever party you like.

London
Kingston and Surbiton
Richmond Park
Twickenham
East of England
St Albans
South East
Eastbourne
Lewes
Oxford West and Abingdon
Winchester
Woking
South West
St Ives
West Midlands
Shropshire North
North West
Westmorland and Lonsdale
Scotland
Edinburgh West
Fife North East
Orkney and Shetland
2029 General Election
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