Below are lists of Conservative target seats showing which constituencies can be most easily won from an opposing party relative to the latest elections.
Below is the list of Conservative target seats for the 2024 general election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.
View Conservative held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.
Rank | Constituency | Region | Majority | Percent Majority | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Bedford | East of England | 145 | 0.31% | |
2. | Coventry North West | West Midlands | 208 | 0.44% | |
3. | Alyn and Deeside | Wales | 213 | 0.50% | |
4. | Dagenham and Rainham | London | 293 | 0.67% | |
5. | Coventry South | West Midlands | 401 | 0.89% | |
6. | Weaver Vale | North West | 562 | 1.11% | |
7. | Warwick and Leamington | West Midlands | 789 | 1.46% | |
8. | Gordon | Scotland | 819 | 1.46% | |
9. | Wansbeck | North East | 814 | 2.01% | |
10. | Newport West | Wales | 902 | 2.08% | |
11. | Stockton North | North East | 1,027 | 2.50% | |
12. | Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford | Yorkshire and the Humber | 1,276 | 2.64% | |
13. | Hemsworth | Yorkshire and the Humber | 1,180 | 2.69% | |
14. | Canterbury | South East | 1,836 | 3.05% | |
15. | Chesterfield | East Midlands | 1,451 | 3.21% | |
16. | Warrington North | North West | 1,509 | 3.23% | |
17. | Oldham East and Saddleworth | North West | 1,499 | 3.25% | |
18. | Westmorland and Lonsdale | North West | 1,934 | 3.67% | |
19. | Wolverhampton South East | West Midlands | 1,235 | 3.69% | |
20. | Hull East | Yorkshire and the Humber | 1,239 | 3.82% | |
21. | Gower | Wales | 1,837 | 4.13% | |
22. | Carmarthen East and Dinefwr | Wales | 1,809 | 4.41% | |
23. | Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock | Scotland | 2,329 | 5.00% | |
24. | Wentworth and Dearne | Yorkshire and the Humber | 2,165 | 5.21% | |
25. | Lancaster and Fleetwood | North West | 2,380 | 5.26% | |
26. | Doncaster Central | Yorkshire and the Humber | 2,278 | 5.48% | |
27. | Newport East | Wales | 1,992 | 5.49% | |
28. | Halifax | Yorkshire and the Humber | 2,569 | 5.53% | |
29. | Doncaster North | Yorkshire and the Humber | 2,370 | 5.82% | |
30. | Bradford South | Yorkshire and the Humber | 2,346 | 5.90% | |
31. | Batley and Spen | Yorkshire and the Humber | 3,525 | 6.66% | |
32. | Sunderland Central | North East | 2,964 | 6.82% | |
33. | Stalybridge and Hyde | North West | 2,946 | 6.95% | |
34. | Wirral West | North West | 3,003 | 7.00% | |
35. | Worsley and Eccles South | North West | 3,219 | 7.20% | |
36. | Eltham | London | 3,197 | 7.32% | |
37. | Ochil and South Perthshire | Scotland | 4,498 | 7.78% | |
38. | Houghton and Sunderland South | North East | 3,115 | 7.82% | |
39. | Walsall South | West Midlands | 3,456 | 8.14% | |
40. | Argyll and Bute | Scotland | 4,110 | 8.55% | |
41. | Tynemouth | North East | 4,857 | 8.67% | |
42. | Aberdeen South | Scotland | 3,990 | 8.74% | |
43. | Rotherham | Yorkshire and the Humber | 3,121 | 8.75% | |
44. | Hartlepool | North East | 3,595 | 8.76% | |
45. | Angus | Scotland | 3,795 | 8.79% | |
46. | Sheffield Hallam | Yorkshire and the Humber | 5,013 | 8.81% | |
47. | Plymouth Sutton and Devonport | South West | 4,757 | 8.95% | |
48. | Erith and Thamesmead | London | 3,758 | 9.08% | |
49. | Hull West and Hessle | Yorkshire and the Humber | 2,856 | 9.11% | |
50. | Enfield Southgate | London | 4,450 | 9.41% | |
51. | Battersea | London | 5,668 | 9.45% | |
52. | Putney | London | 4,774 | 9.46% | |
53. | East Lothian | Scotland | 5,633 | 9.63% | |
54. | Lanark and Hamilton East | Scotland | 5,187 | 9.77% | |
55. | Renfrewshire East | Scotland | 5,426 | 9.80% | |
56. | Washington and Sunderland West | North East | 3,723 | 9.92% | |
57. | Torfaen | Wales | 3,742 | 10.07% | |
58. | Bristol North West | South West | 5,692 | 10.19% | |
59. | Sheffield South East | Yorkshire and the Humber | 4,289 | 10.21% | |
60. | Birmingham Erdington | West Midlands | 3,601 | 10.22% | |
61. | Durham, City of | North East | 5,025 | 10.28% | |
62. | Barnsley East | Yorkshire and the Humber | 3,952 | 10.38% | |
63. | Ilford North | London | 5,218 | 10.41% | |
64. | Reading East | South East | 5,924 | 10.59% | |
65. | Makerfield | North West | 4,740 | 10.71% | |
66. | St Albans | East of England | 6,293 | 10.93% | |
67. | Croydon Central | London | 5,949 | 11.01% | |
68. | Ashton-under-Lyne | North West | 4,263 | 11.05% | |
69. | Durham North | North East | 4,742 | 11.24% | |
70. | Chester, City of | North West | 6,164 | 11.30% | |
71. | Portsmouth South | South East | 5,363 | 11.31% | |
72. | Ayrshire Central | Scotland | 5,304 | 11.40% | |
73. | Huddersfield | Yorkshire and the Humber | 4,937 | 11.79% | |
74. | Richmond Park | London | 7,766 | 11.94% | |
75. | Blaydon | North East | 5,531 | 12.11% | |
76. | Leicester West | East Midlands | 4,212 | 12.11% | |
77. | Leicester East | East Midlands | 6,019 | 12.18% | |
78. | Llanelli | Wales | 4,670 | 12.21% | |
79. | Newcastle upon Tyne North | North East | 5,765 | 12.27% | |
80. | Nottingham North | East Midlands | 4,490 | 12.71% | |
81. | Cardiff North | Wales | 6,982 | 13.26% | |
82. | Birmingham Edgbaston | West Midlands | 5,614 | 13.26% | |
83. | Southampton Test | South East | 6,213 | 13.81% | |
84. | Perth and North Perthshire | Scotland | 7,550 | 13.96% | |
85. | Wirral South | North West | 6,105 | 14.02% | |
86. | Leeds East | Yorkshire and the Humber | 5,531 | 14.16% | |
87. | Derby South | East Midlands | 6,019 | 14.18% | |
88. | Enfield North | London | 6,492 | 14.41% | |
89. | Wigan | North West | 6,728 | 14.94% | |
90. | Pontypridd | Wales | 5,887 | 15.07% | |
91. | Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath | Scotland | 7,119 | 15.15% | |
92. | Oxford West and Abingdon | South East | 8,943 | 15.20% | |
93. | Neath | Wales | 5,637 | 15.34% | |
94. | Brent North | London | 8,079 | 15.57% | |
95. | Ceredigion | Wales | 6,329 | 15.78% | |
96. | Lancashire West | North West | 8,336 | 15.83% | |
97. | Dwyfor Meirionnydd | Wales | 4,740 | 15.84% | |
98. | Islwyn | Wales | 5,464 | 15.91% | |
99. | Denton and Reddish | North West | 6,175 | 16.00% | |
100. | Feltham and Heston | London | 7,859 | 16.44% | |
101. | Brighton Kemptown | South East | 8,061 | 16.61% | |
102. | Caerphilly | Wales | 6,833 | 17.03% | |
103. | Kingston and Surbiton | London | 10,489 | 17.24% | |
104. | Coventry North East | West Midlands | 7,692 | 17.31% | |
105. | Jarrow | North East | 7,120 | 17.48% | |
106. | Stirling | Scotland | 9,254 | 17.59% | |
107. | Ayrshire North and Arran | Scotland | 8,521 | 17.70% | |
108. | Bristol South | South West | 9,859 | 17.86% | |
109. | Ellesmere Port and Neston | North West | 8,764 | 17.98% | |
110. | Brentford and Isleworth | London | 10,514 | 18.03% | |
111. | Harrow West | London | 8,692 | 18.14% | |
112. | Exeter | South West | 10,403 | 18.51% | |
113. | Bolton South East | North West | 7,598 | 18.71% | |
114. | Barnsley Central | Yorkshire and the Humber | 6,912 | 18.73% | |
115. | Gateshead | North East | 7,200 | 18.88% | |
116. | Tyneside North | North East | 9,561 | 18.96% | |
117. | Easington | North East | 6,581 | 19.03% | |
118. | Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey | Scotland | 10,440 | 19.05% | |
119. | Linlithgow and Falkirk East | Scotland | 11,266 | 19.50% | |
120. | Midlothian | Scotland | 9,566 | 19.84% | |
121. | Sheffield Heeley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 8,520 | 19.96% | |
122. | Rochdale | North West | 9,668 | 20.38% | |
123. | Bristol East | South West | 10,794 | 20.70% | |
124. | Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross | Scotland | 6,529 | 20.76% | |
125. | Luton South | East of England | 8,756 | 20.82% | |
126. | Hayes and Harlington | London | 9,261 | 21.05% | |
127. | Luton North | East of England | 9,247 | 21.71% | |
128. | Leeds North West | Yorkshire and the Humber | 10,749 | 21.81% | |
129. | Twickenham | London | 14,121 | 21.89% | |
130. | Ogmore | Wales | 7,805 | 22.05% | |
131. | Hull North | Yorkshire and the Humber | 7,593 | 22.20% | |
132. | Swansea West | Wales | 8,116 | 22.65% | |
133. | Edinburgh West | Scotland | 12,483 | 22.89% | |
134. | Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles) | Scotland | 3,315 | 22.90% | |
135. | Edinburgh South West | Scotland | 11,982 | 22.98% | |
136. | Dunbartonshire East | Scotland | 12,217 | 23.04% | |
137. | Wythenshawe and Sale East | North West | 10,396 | 23.23% | |
138. | Dunfermline and Fife West | Scotland | 12,520 | 23.41% | |
139. | Bath | South West | 12,322 | 23.63% | |
140. | Swansea East | Wales | 7,970 | 23.74% | |
141. | Cardiff West | Wales | 10,986 | 23.79% | |
142. | Stockport | North West | 10,039 | 24.07% | |
143. | Ealing Central and Acton | London | 13,300 | 24.27% | |
144. | Paisley and Renfrewshire North | Scotland | 12,136 | 24.43% | |
145. | Tooting | London | 14,307 | 24.47% | |
146. | Livingston | Scotland | 13,435 | 24.61% | |
147. | Middlesbrough | North East | 8,395 | 24.62% | |
148. | Norwich South | East of England | 12,760 | 24.69% | |
149. | Ealing North | London | 12,269 | 24.72% | |
150. | Hampstead and Kilburn | London | 14,188 | 24.72% | |
151. | Birmingham Yardley | West Midlands | 10,659 | 24.98% | |
152. | Oldham West and Royton | North West | 11,127 | 25.04% | |
153. | Westminster North | London | 10,759 | 25.07% | |
154. | Birmingham Selly Oak | West Midlands | 12,414 | 25.10% | |
155. | East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow | Scotland | 14,152 | 25.12% | |
156. | Edinburgh North and Leith | Scotland | 14,925 | 25.15% | |
157. | Cardiff South and Penarth | Wales | 12,737 | 25.18% | |
158. | South Shields | North East | 9,585 | 25.30% | |
159. | St Helens North | North West | 12,209 | 25.67% | |
160. | Nottingham South | East Midlands | 12,568 | 26.11% | |
161. | Leeds West | Yorkshire and the Humber | 10,564 | 26.23% | |
162. | Kilmarnock and Loudoun | Scotland | 12,659 | 26.58% | |
163. | Slough | South East | 13,640 | 26.73% | |
164. | Falkirk | Scotland | 14,948 | 26.75% | |
165. | York Central | Yorkshire and the Humber | 13,545 | 27.36% | |
166. | Airdrie and Shotts | Scotland | 10,918 | 27.45% | |
167. | Cynon Valley | Wales | 8,822 | 29.18% | |
168. | Rutherglen and Hamilton West | Scotland | 15,721 | 29.22% | |
169. | Dundee East | Scotland | 13,375 | 29.54% | |
170. | Sefton Central | North West | 15,122 | 29.72% | |
171. | Arfon | Wales | 8,706 | 29.94% | |
172. | Fife North East | Scotland | 13,802 | 30.08% | |
173. | Blaenau Gwent | Wales | 9,113 | 30.16% | |
174. | Hove | South East | 17,044 | 30.22% | |
175. | Motherwell and Wishaw | Scotland | 13,472 | 30.33% | |
176. | Warley | West Midlands | 11,511 | 30.91% | |
177. | Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough | Yorkshire and the Humber | 12,274 | 30.99% | |
178. | Ross, Skye and Lochaber | Scotland | 12,363 | 31.01% | |
179. | Edinburgh South | Scotland | 15,584 | 31.34% | |
180. | Salford and Eccles | North West | 16,327 | 32.25% | |
181. | Cambridge | East of England | 17,434 | 32.45% | |
182. | Paisley and Renfrewshire South | Scotland | 14,066 | 32.65% | |
183. | Inverclyde | Scotland | 13,030 | 32.65% | |
184. | Newcastle upon Tyne Central | North East | 12,278 | 32.76% | |
185. | Stretford and Urmston | North West | 16,417 | 32.79% | |
186. | Glasgow East | Scotland | 12,648 | 32.87% | |
187. | Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney | Wales | 10,606 | 32.89% | |
188. | Aberavon | Wales | 10,490 | 33.20% | |
189. | Leeds North East | Yorkshire and the Humber | 17,089 | 33.84% | |
190. | Aberdeen North | Scotland | 12,670 | 33.87% | |
191. | Hammersmith | London | 17,847 | 34.34% | |
192. | Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill | Scotland | 16,567 | 34.36% | |
193. | Glasgow North West | Scotland | 13,656 | 34.37% | |
194. | Glenrothes | Scotland | 14,314 | 34.45% | |
195. | Barking | London | 15,427 | 34.67% | |
196. | Edinburgh East | Scotland | 16,616 | 34.75% | |
197. | Greenwich and Woolwich | London | 18,464 | 34.76% | |
198. | Orkney and Shetland | Scotland | 8,094 | 34.95% | |
199. | Glasgow South | Scotland | 16,592 | 34.97% | |
200. | Dunbartonshire West | Scotland | 15,960 | 35.36% |
View Conservative held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.
Below is the list of Conservative target seats for the 2021 Scottish Parliament election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.
View Conservative held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Scottish Parliament election.
Rank | Constituency | Region | Majority | Percent Majority | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Perthshire South and Kinross-shire | Mid Scotland and Fife | 1,422 | 3.93% | |
2. | Edinburgh Pentlands | Lothian | 2,456 | 7.36% | |
3. | Angus North and Mearns | North East Scotland | 2,472 | 8.41% | |
4. | Aberdeen South and North Kincardine | North East Scotland | 2,755 | 8.52% | |
5. | Moray | Highlands and Islands | 2,875 | 8.60% | |
6. | Edinburgh Southern | Lothian | 3,625 | 9.47% | |
7. | Perthshire North | Mid Scotland and Fife | 3,336 | 9.80% | |
8. | Angus South | North East Scotland | 4,304 | 13.48% | |
9. | East Lothian | South Scotland | 5,284 | 13.94% | |
10. | Midlothian South, Tweeddale and Lauderdale | South Scotland | 5,868 | 16.49% | |
11. | Aberdeenshire East | North East Scotland | 5,837 | 16.80% | |
12. | Clydesdale | South Scotland | 5,979 | 17.73% | |
13. | Stirling | Mid Scotland and Fife | 6,718 | 19.65% | |
14. | Strathkelvin and Bearsden | West Scotland | 8,100 | 20.67% | |
15. | Aberdeen Central | North East Scotland | 5,626 | 21.07% | |
16. | Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley | South Scotland | 7,024 | 22.17% | |
17. | Banffshire and Buchan Coast | North East Scotland | 6,583 | 22.95% | |
18. | Renfrewshire North and West | West Scotland | 7,373 | 23.93% | |
19. | Clackmannanshire and Dunblane | Mid Scotland and Fife | 7,232 | 24.31% | |
20. | Dumbarton | West Scotland | 8,631 | 25.69% | |
21. | Dunfermline | Mid Scotland and Fife | 8,460 | 25.71% | |
22. | Argyll and Bute | Highlands and Islands | 7,721 | 26.19% | |
23. | Glasgow Kelvin | Glasgow | 7,618 | 26.78% | |
24. | North East Fife | Mid Scotland and Fife | 9,282 | 27.25% | |
25. | Cunninghame North | West Scotland | 8,724 | 27.29% | |
26. | Edinburgh Western | Lothian | 10,959 | 27.56% | |
27. | Caithness Sutherland and Ross | Highlands and Islands | 9,025 | 28.02% | |
28. | Inverness and Nairn | Highlands and Islands | 10,857 | 28.33% | |
29. | Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse | Central Scotland | 8,349 | 28.90% | |
30. | Edinburgh Northern and Leith | Lothian | 11,241 | 30.30% |
View Conservative held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Scottish Parliament election.
Below is the list of Conservative target seats for the 2021 Welsh Assembly election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.
View Conservative held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Welsh Assembly election.
Rank | Constituency | Region | Majority | Percent Majority | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Vale of Glamorgan | South Wales Central | 777 | 2.06% | |
2. | Vale of Clwyd | North Wales | 768 | 3.18% | |
3. | Gower | South Wales West | 1,829 | 6.06% | |
4. | Wrexham | North Wales | 1,325 | 6.51% | |
5. | Cardiff North | South Wales Central | 3,667 | 9.79% | |
6. | Clwyd South | North Wales | 3,016 | 13.61% | |
7. | Newport West | South Wales East | 4,115 | 14.83% | |
8. | Delyn | North Wales | 3,582 | 15.47% | |
9. | Cardiff West | South Wales Central | 5,764 | 18.04% | |
10. | Bridgend | South Wales West | 5,623 | 20.94% | |
11. | Cardiff South and Penarth | South Wales Central | 6,921 | 22.86% | |
12. | Swansea West | South Wales West | 5,080 | 22.88% | |
13. | Pontypridd | South Wales Central | 6,102 | 24.08% | |
14. | Alyn and Deeside | North Wales | 5,364 | 24.72% | |
15. | Torfaen | South Wales East | 5,757 | 25.05% | |
16. | Newport East | South Wales East | 5,461 | 26.40% | |
17. | Caerphilly | South Wales East | 7,172 | 26.45% | |
18. | Brecon and Radnorshire | Mid and West Wales | 8,170 | 26.90% | |
19. | Neath | South Wales West | 7,289 | 28.74% | |
20. | Cardiff Central | South Wales Central | 7,699 | 29.53% |
View Conservative held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Welsh Assembly election.