Below are lists of Alliance NI target seats showing which constituencies can be most easily won from an opposing party relative to the specified election.
Historical
Below is the list of Alliance NI target seats for the 2029 general election based on the 2024 boundaries. The list is ordered from the most vulnerable seats to the safest.
Rank | Constituency | Region | Majority over APNI | Swing Needed | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Antrim East | Northern Ireland | 1,306 | 1.65% | |
2. | Belfast East | Northern Ireland | 2,676 | 3.13% | |
3. | Strangford | Northern Ireland | 5,131 | 6.59% | |
4. | Down North | Northern Ireland | 7,305 | 8.44% | |
5. | Antrim South | Northern Ireland | 11,737 | 13.68% | |
6. | Belfast South and Down Mid | Northern Ireland | 12,506 | 14.38% | |
7. | Antrim North | Northern Ireland | 7,154 | 16.28% | |
8. | Upper Bann | Northern Ireland | 15,320 | 16.71% | |
9. | Down South | Northern Ireland | 16,511 | 18.25% | |
10. | Londonderry East | Northern Ireland | 7,772 | 18.40% | |
11. | Belfast North | Northern Ireland | 13,400 | 19.25% | |
12. | Newry and Armagh | Northern Ireland | 19,607 | 21.34% | |
13. | Tyrone West | Northern Ireland | 20,424 | 23.37% | |
14. | Ulster Mid | Northern Ireland | 22,084 | 24.30% | |
15. | Belfast West | Northern Ireland | 19,932 | 25.08% | |
16. | Foyle | Northern Ireland | 14,379 | 26.63% | |
17. | Fermanagh and South Tyrone | Northern Ireland | 22,424 | 34.95% |