Below are lists of Alliance NI target seats showing which constituencies can be most easily won from an opposing party relative to the latest elections.
Below is the list of Alliance NI target seats for the 2029 general election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.
View Alliance NI held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.
(order by percentage majority)
| Rank | Constituency | Region | Majority over APNI | Swing Needed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Antrim East | Northern Ireland | 1,306 | 1.65% | |
| 2. | Belfast East | Northern Ireland | 2,676 | 3.13% | |
| 3. | Strangford | Northern Ireland | 5,131 | 6.59% | |
| 4. | Down North | Northern Ireland | 7,305 | 8.44% | |
| 5. | Antrim South | Northern Ireland | 11,737 | 13.68% | |
| 6. | Belfast South and Down Mid | Northern Ireland | 12,506 | 14.38% | |
| 7. | Antrim North | Northern Ireland | 7,154 | 16.28% | |
| 8. | Upper Bann | Northern Ireland | 15,320 | 16.71% | |
| 9. | Down South | Northern Ireland | 16,511 | 18.25% | |
| 10. | Londonderry East | Northern Ireland | 7,772 | 18.40% | |
| 11. | Belfast North | Northern Ireland | 13,400 | 19.25% | |
| 12. | Newry and Armagh | Northern Ireland | 19,607 | 21.34% | |
| 13. | Tyrone West | Northern Ireland | 20,424 | 23.37% | |
| 14. | Ulster Mid | Northern Ireland | 22,084 | 24.30% | |
| 15. | Belfast West | Northern Ireland | 19,932 | 25.08% | |
| 16. | Foyle | Northern Ireland | 14,379 | 26.63% | |
| 17. | Fermanagh and South Tyrone | Northern Ireland | 22,424 | 34.95% | |
View Alliance NI held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.