Below are lists of Alliance NI target seats showing which constituencies can be most easily won from an opposing party relative to the latest elections.
Below is the list of Alliance NI target seats for the 2025 general election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.
View Alliance NI held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.
(order by percentage majority)
Rank | Constituency | Region | Majority | Swing Needed | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Belfast East | Northern Ireland | 1,819 | 2.14% | |
2. | Lagan Valley | Northern Ireland | 6,499 | 7.16% | |
3. | Antrim East | Northern Ireland | 6,706 | 9.00% | |
4. | Strangford | Northern Ireland | 7,071 | 9.43% | |
5. | Antrim South | Northern Ireland | 6,959 | 9.94% | |
6. | Londonderry East | Northern Ireland | 9,844 | 12.52% | |
7. | Upper Bann | Northern Ireland | 14,068 | 14.06% | |
8. | Tyrone West | Northern Ireland | 12,565 | 15.25% | |
9. | Down South | Northern Ireland | 9,221 | 15.27% | |
10. | Newry and Armagh | Northern Ireland | 16,076 | 15.83% | |
11. | Antrim North | Northern Ireland | 14,629 | 16.60% | |
12. | Ulster Mid | Northern Ireland | 16,947 | 18.99% | |
13. | Belfast South | Northern Ireland | 20,293 | 21.43% | |
14. | Belfast West | Northern Ireland | 18,984 | 24.48% | |
15. | Foyle | Northern Ireland | 25,614 | 27.17% | |
16. | Belfast North | Northern Ireland | 18,254 | 33.26% | |
17. | Fermanagh and South Tyrone | Northern Ireland | 19,336 | 37.98% |
View Alliance NI held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.