Below are lists of UUP target seats showing which constituencies can be most easily won from an opposing party relative to the latest elections.
Below is the list of UUP target seats for the 2029 general election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.
View UUP held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.
(order by percentage majority)
Rank | Constituency | Region | Majority over UUP | Swing Needed | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Antrim East | Northern Ireland | 1,986 | 2.50% | |
2. | Fermanagh and South Tyrone | Northern Ireland | 4,571 | 4.47% | |
3. | Lagan Valley | Northern Ireland | 7,461 | 9.17% | |
4. | Down North | Northern Ireland | 14,159 | 16.35% | |
5. | Strangford | Northern Ireland | 11,618 | 16.67% | |
6. | Antrim North | Northern Ireland | 7,741 | 17.70% | |
7. | Londonderry East | Northern Ireland | 8,094 | 19.18% | |
8. | Down South | Northern Ireland | 18,287 | 20.21% | |
9. | Newry and Armagh | Northern Ireland | 19,124 | 20.81% | |
10. | Belfast South and Down Mid | Northern Ireland | 18,692 | 21.49% | |
11. | Upper Bann | Northern Ireland | 17,980 | 22.33% | |
12. | Tyrone West | Northern Ireland | 20,028 | 22.92% | |
13. | Ulster Mid | Northern Ireland | 21,816 | 24.00% | |
14. | Belfast West | Northern Ireland | 20,548 | 25.85% | |
15. | Foyle | Northern Ireland | 14,225 | 26.22% | |
16. | Belfast East | Northern Ireland | 18,076 | 36.06% |
View UUP held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.