SNP Target Seats

Below are lists of SNP target seats showing which constituencies can be most easily won from an opposing party relative to the latest elections.

SNP Target Seats 2029

Below is the list of SNP target seats for the 2029 general election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View SNP held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

(order by percentage majority)

RankConstituencyRegionMajority over SNPSwing Needed
1.Gordon and BuchanScotland8781.00%
2.Dumfries and GallowayScotland9301.02%
3.Stirling and StrathallanScotland1,3941.40%
4.Inverness, Skye and Ross-shire WestScotland2,1602.25%
5.Aberdeenshire West and KincardineScotland3,4413.51%
6.LivingstonScotland3,5283.93%
7.Edinburgh East and MusselburghScotland3,7154.08%
8.Glenrothes and Mid FifeScotland2,9544.09%
9.Ayrshire North and ArranScotland3,5514.20%
10.Glasgow South WestScotland3,2854.60%
11.Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and TweeddaleScotland4,2424.80%
12.Glasgow SouthScotland4,1544.90%
13.Cumbernauld and KirkintillochScotland4,1445.06%
14.Ayr, Carrick and CumnockScotland4,1545.07%
15.Glasgow NorthScotland3,5395.09%
16.Glasgow EastScotland3,7845.34%
17.FalkirkScotland4,9965.86%
18.Kilmarnock and LoudounScotland5,1196.03%
19.Glasgow North EastScotland4,6376.80%
20.Edinburgh South WestScotland6,2176.81%
21.Berwickshire, Roxburgh and SelkirkScotland6,5997.09%
22.Edinburgh North and LeithScotland7,2687.35%
23.Alloa and GrangemouthScotland6,1227.43%
24.Dunbartonshire WestScotland6,0107.59%
25.Paisley and Renfrewshire NorthScotland6,3337.63%
26.Inverclyde and Renfrewshire WestScotland6,3717.89%
27.Paisley and Renfrewshire SouthScotland6,5277.91%
28.Glasgow WestScotland6,4468.08%
29.Coatbridge and BellshillScotland6,3448.19%
30.Ayrshire CentralScotland6,8698.29%
31.Renfrewshire EastScotland8,4218.38%
32.Cowdenbeath and KirkcaldyScotland7,2488.88%
33.Motherwell, Wishaw and CarlukeScotland7,0859.08%
34.Dunbartonshire MidScotland9,6739.17%
35.MidlothianScotland8,1679.25%
36.Dunfermline and DollarScotland8,2419.25%
37.East Kilbride and StrathavenScotland9,0579.70%
38.Bathgate and LinlithgowScotland8,3239.89%
39.Airdrie and ShottsScotland7,54710.29%
40.RutherglenScotland8,76710.32%
41.Hamilton and Clyde ValleyScotland9,47211.25%
42.Caithness, Sutherland and Easter RossScotland10,48911.39%
43.East LothianScotland13,26513.79%
44.Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles)Scotland3,83614.18%
45.Edinburgh WestScotland16,47015.69%
46.Fife North EastScotland13,47915.77%
47.Edinburgh SouthScotland17,25118.42%
48.Orkney and ShetlandScotland7,80718.87%

View SNP held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

SNP Target Seats for the 2026 Scottish Parliament Election

Below is the list of SNP target seats for the 2026 Scottish Parliament election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View SNP held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Scottish Parliament election.

(order by percentage majority)

RankConstituencyRegionMajority over SNPSwing Needed
1.DumbartonWest Scotland1,4831.93%
2.EastwoodWest Scotland2,2162.59%
3.ShetlandHighlands and Islands8063.38%
4.Galloway and West DumfriesSouth Scotland2,6353.54%
5.Aberdeenshire WestNorth East Scotland3,3904.06%
6.Edinburgh SouthernLothian4,0224.44%
7.DumfriesshireSouth Scotland4,0664.97%
8.North East FifeMid Scotland and Fife7,4489.25%
9.Ettrick, Roxburgh and BerwickshireSouth Scotland6,8639.52%
10.Edinburgh WesternLothian9,88510.56%
11.OrkneyHighlands and Islands3,86916.68%

View SNP held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Scottish Parliament election.

2029 General Election
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