Below are lists of SNP target seats showing which constituencies can be most easily won from an opposing party relative to the latest elections.
Below is the list of SNP target seats for the 2029 general election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.
View SNP held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.
(order by percentage majority)
Rank | Constituency | Region | Majority over SNP | Swing Needed | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Gordon and Buchan | Scotland | 878 | 1.00% | |
2. | Dumfries and Galloway | Scotland | 930 | 1.02% | |
3. | Stirling and Strathallan | Scotland | 1,394 | 1.40% | |
4. | Inverness, Skye and Ross-shire West | Scotland | 2,160 | 2.25% | |
5. | Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine | Scotland | 3,441 | 3.51% | |
6. | Livingston | Scotland | 3,528 | 3.93% | |
7. | Edinburgh East and Musselburgh | Scotland | 3,715 | 4.08% | |
8. | Glenrothes and Mid Fife | Scotland | 2,954 | 4.09% | |
9. | Ayrshire North and Arran | Scotland | 3,551 | 4.20% | |
10. | Glasgow South West | Scotland | 3,285 | 4.60% | |
11. | Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale | Scotland | 4,242 | 4.80% | |
12. | Glasgow South | Scotland | 4,154 | 4.90% | |
13. | Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch | Scotland | 4,144 | 5.06% | |
14. | Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock | Scotland | 4,154 | 5.07% | |
15. | Glasgow North | Scotland | 3,539 | 5.09% | |
16. | Glasgow East | Scotland | 3,784 | 5.34% | |
17. | Falkirk | Scotland | 4,996 | 5.86% | |
18. | Kilmarnock and Loudoun | Scotland | 5,119 | 6.03% | |
19. | Glasgow North East | Scotland | 4,637 | 6.80% | |
20. | Edinburgh South West | Scotland | 6,217 | 6.81% | |
21. | Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk | Scotland | 6,599 | 7.09% | |
22. | Edinburgh North and Leith | Scotland | 7,268 | 7.35% | |
23. | Alloa and Grangemouth | Scotland | 6,122 | 7.43% | |
24. | Dunbartonshire West | Scotland | 6,010 | 7.59% | |
25. | Paisley and Renfrewshire North | Scotland | 6,333 | 7.63% | |
26. | Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West | Scotland | 6,371 | 7.89% | |
27. | Paisley and Renfrewshire South | Scotland | 6,527 | 7.91% | |
28. | Glasgow West | Scotland | 6,446 | 8.08% | |
29. | Coatbridge and Bellshill | Scotland | 6,344 | 8.19% | |
30. | Ayrshire Central | Scotland | 6,869 | 8.29% | |
31. | Renfrewshire East | Scotland | 8,421 | 8.38% | |
32. | Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy | Scotland | 7,248 | 8.88% | |
33. | Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke | Scotland | 7,085 | 9.08% | |
34. | Dunbartonshire Mid | Scotland | 9,673 | 9.17% | |
35. | Midlothian | Scotland | 8,167 | 9.25% | |
36. | Dunfermline and Dollar | Scotland | 8,241 | 9.25% | |
37. | East Kilbride and Strathaven | Scotland | 9,057 | 9.70% | |
38. | Bathgate and Linlithgow | Scotland | 8,323 | 9.89% | |
39. | Airdrie and Shotts | Scotland | 7,547 | 10.29% | |
40. | Rutherglen | Scotland | 8,767 | 10.32% | |
41. | Hamilton and Clyde Valley | Scotland | 9,472 | 11.25% | |
42. | Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross | Scotland | 10,489 | 11.39% | |
43. | East Lothian | Scotland | 13,265 | 13.79% | |
44. | Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles) | Scotland | 3,836 | 14.18% | |
45. | Edinburgh West | Scotland | 16,470 | 15.69% | |
46. | Fife North East | Scotland | 13,479 | 15.77% | |
47. | Edinburgh South | Scotland | 17,251 | 18.42% | |
48. | Orkney and Shetland | Scotland | 7,807 | 18.87% |
View SNP held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.
Below is the list of SNP target seats for the 2026 Scottish Parliament election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.
View SNP held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Scottish Parliament election.
(order by percentage majority)
Rank | Constituency | Region | Majority over SNP | Swing Needed | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Dumbarton | West Scotland | 1,483 | 1.93% | |
2. | Eastwood | West Scotland | 2,216 | 2.59% | |
3. | Shetland | Highlands and Islands | 806 | 3.38% | |
4. | Galloway and West Dumfries | South Scotland | 2,635 | 3.54% | |
5. | Aberdeenshire West | North East Scotland | 3,390 | 4.06% | |
6. | Edinburgh Southern | Lothian | 4,022 | 4.44% | |
7. | Dumfriesshire | South Scotland | 4,066 | 4.97% | |
8. | North East Fife | Mid Scotland and Fife | 7,448 | 9.25% | |
9. | Ettrick, Roxburgh and Berwickshire | South Scotland | 6,863 | 9.52% | |
10. | Edinburgh Western | Lothian | 9,885 | 10.56% | |
11. | Orkney | Highlands and Islands | 3,869 | 16.68% |
View SNP held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Scottish Parliament election.