Liberal Democrat Defence

Below are lists of Liberal Democrat marginal seats showing which constituencies won in the latest elections can be most easily lost.

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Liberal Democrat Defence 2029

Below is the Liberal Democrat defence list consisting of Liberal Democrat held marginal seats for the 2029 general election based on the 2024 boundaries. These marginal constituencies are ordered from the most vulnerable seats to the safest.


		Constituency	Region	Majority	Percent Over LD
	1	Ely and Cambridgeshire East	East of England	495	0.95%
	2	Hampshire North East	South East	634	1.14%
	3	Dorset Mid and Poole North	South West	1,352	2.73%
	4	Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe	Wales	1,472	3.16%
	5	Eastleigh	South East	1,546	3.33%
	6	Inverness, Skye and Ross-shire West	Scotland	2,160	4.49%
	7	Horsham	South East	2,517	4.54%
	8	Newton Abbot	South West	2,246	4.68%
	9	Melksham and Devizes	South West	2,401	4.69%
	10	Newbury	South East	2,377	4.86%
	11	Norfolk North	East of England	2,585	5.49%
	12	Thornbury and Yate	South West	3,014	5.65%
	13	Maidenhead	South East	2,963	5.89%
	14	Epsom and Ewell	South East	3,686	6.76%
	15	Tiverton and Minehead	South West	3,507	7.38%
	16	Sutton and Cheam	London	3,801	7.98%
	17	Witney	South East	4,339	8.58%
	18	St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire	East of England	4,621	8.74%
	19	Chelmsford	East of England	4,753	9.37%
	20	Cotswolds South	South West	4,973	9.51%
	21	Bicester and Woodstock	South East	4,958	9.87%
	22	Chesham and Amersham	South East	5,451	10.01%
	23	Dorking and Horley	South East	5,391	10.79%
	24	Didcot and Wantage	South East	6,233	11.39%
	25	Frome and Somerset East	South West	5,415	11.59%
	26	Torbay	South West	5,349	11.60%
	27	Henley and Thame	South East	6,267	11.79%
	28	Surrey Heath	South East	5,640	11.80%
	29	Sussex Mid	South East	6,662	12.49%
	30	Tewkesbury	South West	6,262	12.90%
	31	Devon North	South West	6,744	13.12%
	32	Honiton and Sidmouth	South West	6,700	13.23%
	33	Stratford-on-Avon	West Midlands	7,122	13.45%
	34	Glastonbury and Somerton	South West	6,611	13.88%
	35	Hazel Grove	North West	6,500	14.13%
	36	Devon South	South West	7,127	14.54%
	37	Cheltenham	South West	7,210	14.55%
	38	Dorset West	South West	7,789	14.81%
	39	Wokingham	South East	8,345	15.45%
	40	Harrogate and Knaresborough	Yorkshire and the Humber	8,238	15.82%
	41	Tunbridge Wells	South East	8,687	16.01%
	42	Chippenham	South West	8,138	16.44%
	43	Carshalton and Wallington	London	7,905	16.94%
	44	Guildford	South East	8,429	17.45%
	45	Dunbartonshire Mid	Scotland	9,673	18.34%
	46	Cambridgeshire South	East of England	10,641	19.39%
	47	Cornwall North	South West	9,957	19.43%
	48	Harpenden and Berkhamsted	East of England	10,708	19.71%
	49	Wells and Mendip Hills	South West	11,121	22.08%
	50	Esher and Walton	South East	12,003	22.28%
	51	Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross	Scotland	10,489	22.78%
	52	Wimbledon	London	12,610	22.93%
	53	Bath	South West	11,218	23.31%
	54	Woking	South East	11,246	23.36%
	55	Chichester	South East	12,172	23.43%
	56	Taunton and Wellington	South West	11,939	23.74%
	57	Lewes	South East	12,624	23.74%
	58	Cheadle	North West	12,235	24.12%
	59	Winchester	South East	13,821	24.22%
	60	Yeovil	South West	12,268	25.06%
	61	Eastbourne	South East	12,204	26.76%
	62	St Ives	South West	13,786	28.66%
63	Shropshire North	West Midlands	15,311	30.87%
64	Edinburgh West	Scotland	16,470	31.39%
65	Fife North East	Scotland	13,479	31.55%
66	Oxford West and Abingdon	South East	14,894	32.38%
67	Richmond Park	London	17,155	33.30%
68	Kingston and Surbiton	London	17,235	34.02%
69	Orkney and Shetland	Scotland	7,807	37.74%
70	St Albans	East of England	19,834	38.43%
71	Twickenham	London	21,457	40.01%
72	Westmorland and Lonsdale	North West	21,472	43.35%

2029 General Election

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Seat-By-Seat Forecast

Custom Swingometer 2029

LAB - Targets | Defence

CON - Targets | Defence

LD - Targets | Defence

REF - Targets | Defence

GRN - Targets | Defence

2024 General Election Results