UKIP Target Seats

Below are lists of UKIP target seats showing which constituencies can be most easily won from an opposing party relative to the specified election.

Historical

Brexit Party

UKIP

SDP-Liberal Alliance

Liberal

Options

UKIP Target Seats 2019

Below is the list of UKIP target seats for the 2019 general election based on the 2017 boundaries. The list is ordered from the most vulnerable seats to the safest.

		Region	Majority Over UKIP	Swing To Win
1	Thurrock	East of England	9,768	18.72%
2	Hartlepool	North East	17,168	22.75%
3	Rotherham	Yorkshire and the Humber	18,088	23.85%
4	Eastleigh	South East	27,412	23.93%
5	Isle of Wight	South East	36,269	24.35%
6	Burnley	North West	16,360	24.84%
7	Llanelli	Wales	20,237	25.08%
8	Folkestone and Hythe	South East	29,632	25.17%
9	Torbay	South West	25,928	25.33%
10	Taunton Deane	South West	31,899	25.39%
11	Blaydon	North East	24,520	25.50%
12	Totnes	South West	25,732	25.59%
13	Hereford and Herefordshire South	West Midlands	25,851	25.60%
14	Hull East	Yorkshire and the Humber	18,782	25.63%
15	Brighton Pavilion	South East	29,509	25.69%
16	Caerphilly	Wales	21,232	25.71%
17	Basildon South and Thurrock East	East of England	23,618	25.74%
18	Bridgwater and Somerset West	South West	30,009	25.75%
19	Barnsley East	Yorkshire and the Humber	21,033	25.79%
20	Hull West and Hessle	Yorkshire and the Humber	16,943	25.80%
21	Devon Central	South West	29,952	25.89%
22	Woking	South East	28,742	26.01%
23	Sheffield South East	Yorkshire and the Humber	22,700	26.03%
24	Wantage	South East	33,175	26.08%
25	Ynys Mon	Wales	15,019	26.12%
26	Spelthorne	South East	26,396	26.34%
27	Pontypridd	Wales	21,032	26.36%
28	Birmingham Yardley	West Midlands	23,482	26.38%
29	Neath	Wales	20,294	26.50%
30	Maidstone and The Weald	South East	27,523	26.62%
31	Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford	Yorkshire and the Humber	26,238	26.67%
32	Clacton	East of England	23,674	26.81%
33	Houghton and Sunderland South	North East	22,286	26.86%
34	Chelmsford	East of England	28,880	26.92%
35	Hornchurch and Upminster	London	30,248	26.96%
36	Washington and Sunderland West	North East	21,878	26.96%
37	Witney	South East	32,859	26.97%
38	Surrey South West	South East	32,600	26.97%
39	Bolton South East	North West	22,897	27.05%
40	South Shields	North East	22,072	27.07%
41	Torfaen	Wales	20,644	27.07%
42	Dwyfor Meirionnydd	Wales	13,073	27.10%
43	Tunbridge Wells	South East	29,392	27.11%
44	Doncaster North	Yorkshire and the Humber	22,973	27.15%
45	Durham North	North East	23,509	27.16%
46	Islwyn	Wales	19,633	27.20%
47	Huntingdon	East of England	30,735	27.23%
48	Reigate	South East	29,354	27.27%
49	Yorkshire East	Yorkshire and the Humber	29,456	27.30%
50	Nottingham North	East Midlands	20,934	27.32%
51	Romford	London	27,321	27.35%
52	Cambridgeshire North West	East of England	35,011	27.36%
53	Rochdale	North West	27,394	27.37%
54	Carmarthen East and Dinefwr	Wales	15,142	27.38%
55	Sussex Mid	South East	33,831	27.45%
56	Ceredigion	Wales	11,021	27.45%
57	Blaenau Gwent	Wales	17,814	27.50%
58	Durham, City of	North East	25,656	27.51%
59	Broadland	East of England	30,812	27.52%
60	Harwich and Essex North	East of England	28,236	27.61%
61	Norfolk Mid	East of England	30,736	27.61%
62	Ashford	South East	33,100	27.64%
63	Bognor Regis and Littlehampton	South East	28,415	27.67%
64	Barnsley Central	Yorkshire and the Humber	21,643	27.68%
65	Havant	South East	25,665	27.71%
66	Brecon and Radnorshire	Wales	19,505	27.74%
67	Sheffield Heeley	Yorkshire and the Humber	24,547	27.75%
68	Orkney and Shetland	Scotland	11,029	27.78%
69	Aylesbury	South East	31,017	27.78%
70	Ashton-under-Lyne	North West	22,127	27.82%
71	Hertfordshire South West	East of England	33,835	27.89%
72	Salisbury	South West	29,761	27.91%
73	Solihull	West Midlands	31,694	27.93%
74	Surrey East	South East	33,083	27.94%
75	Boston and Skegness	East Midlands	23,963	27.94%
76	Aldershot	South East	25,159	27.95%
77	Bracknell	South East	31,361	28.05%
78	Wigan	North West	26,825	28.21%
79	Hemsworth	Yorkshire and the Humber	23,149	28.24%
80	Basildon and Billericay	East of England	25,373	28.24%
81	Cardiff West	Wales	25,727	28.26%
82	Suffolk West	East of England	29,253	28.27%
83	Harborough	East Midlands	28,774	28.38%
84	Esher and Walton	South East	34,037	28.44%
85	Falkirk	Scotland	20,240	28.47%
86	Devon South West	South West	30,094	28.47%
87	Sunderland Central	North East	22,847	28.49%
88	Bristol South	South West	30,994	28.50%
89	Cynon Valley	Wales	18,133	28.51%
90	Horsham	South East	35,373	28.53%
91	Henley	South East	32,595	28.54%
92	Leicester West	East Midlands	21,417	28.55%
93	Dartford	South East	28,666	28.55%
94	Leeds East	Yorkshire and the Humber	23,686	28.58%
95	Buckingham	South East	30,131	28.60%
96	Suffolk Central and Ipswich North	East of England	32,357	28.62%
97	Redcar	North East	21,673	28.64%
98	Thirsk and Malton	Yorkshire and the Humber	32,040	28.64%
99	Chichester	South East	34,382	28.69%
100	Leicestershire South	East Midlands	32,560	28.72%

2029 General Election

Poll of Polls

Seat-By-Seat Forecast

Custom Swingometer 2029

LAB - Targets | Defence

CON - Targets | Defence

LD - Targets | Defence

REF - Targets | Defence

GRN - Targets | Defence

2024 General Election Results