UKIP Target Seats

Below are lists of UKIP target seats showing which constituencies can be most easily won from an opposing party relative to the specified election.

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UKIP Target Seats 2019

Below is the list of UKIP target seats for the 2019 general election based on the 2017 boundaries. The list is ordered from the most vulnerable seats to the safest.

RankConstituencyRegionMajority over UKIPSwing Needed
1.ThurrockEast of England9,76818.72%
2.HartlepoolNorth East17,16822.75%
3.RotherhamYorkshire and the Humber18,08823.85%
4.EastleighSouth East27,41223.93%
5.Isle of WightSouth East36,26924.35%
6.BurnleyNorth West16,36024.84%
7.LlanelliWales20,23725.08%
8.Folkestone and HytheSouth East29,63225.17%
9.TorbaySouth West25,92825.33%
10.Taunton DeaneSouth West31,89925.39%
11.BlaydonNorth East24,52025.50%
12.TotnesSouth West25,73225.59%
13.Hereford and Herefordshire SouthWest Midlands25,85125.60%
14.Hull EastYorkshire and the Humber18,78225.63%
15.Brighton PavilionSouth East29,50925.69%
16.CaerphillyWales21,23225.71%
17.Basildon South and Thurrock EastEast of England23,61825.74%
18.Bridgwater and Somerset WestSouth West30,00925.75%
19.Barnsley EastYorkshire and the Humber21,03325.79%
20.Hull West and HessleYorkshire and the Humber16,94325.80%
21.Devon CentralSouth West29,95225.89%
22.WokingSouth East28,74226.01%
23.Sheffield South EastYorkshire and the Humber22,70026.03%
24.WantageSouth East33,17526.08%
25.Ynys MonWales15,01926.12%
26.SpelthorneSouth East26,39626.34%
27.PontypriddWales21,03226.36%
28.Birmingham YardleyWest Midlands23,48226.38%
29.NeathWales20,29426.50%
30.Maidstone and The WealdSouth East27,52326.62%
31.Normanton, Pontefract and CastlefordYorkshire and the Humber26,23826.67%
32.ClactonEast of England23,67426.81%
33.Houghton and Sunderland SouthNorth East22,28626.86%
34.ChelmsfordEast of England28,88026.92%
35.Hornchurch and UpminsterLondon30,24826.96%
36.Washington and Sunderland WestNorth East21,87826.96%
37.WitneySouth East32,85926.97%
38.Surrey South WestSouth East32,60026.97%
39.Bolton South EastNorth West22,89727.05%
40.South ShieldsNorth East22,07227.07%
41.TorfaenWales20,64427.07%
42.Dwyfor MeirionnyddWales13,07327.10%
43.Tunbridge WellsSouth East29,39227.11%
44.Doncaster NorthYorkshire and the Humber22,97327.15%
45.Durham NorthNorth East23,50927.16%
46.IslwynWales19,63327.20%
47.HuntingdonEast of England30,73527.23%
48.ReigateSouth East29,35427.27%
49.Yorkshire EastYorkshire and the Humber29,45627.30%
50.Nottingham NorthEast Midlands20,93427.32%
51.RomfordLondon27,32127.35%
52.Cambridgeshire North WestEast of England35,01127.36%
53.RochdaleNorth West27,39427.37%
54.Carmarthen East and DinefwrWales15,14227.38%
55.Sussex MidSouth East33,83127.45%
56.CeredigionWales11,02127.45%
57.Blaenau GwentWales17,81427.50%
58.Durham, City ofNorth East25,65627.51%
59.BroadlandEast of England30,81227.52%
60.Harwich and Essex NorthEast of England28,23627.61%
61.Norfolk MidEast of England30,73627.61%
62.AshfordSouth East33,10027.64%
63.Bognor Regis and LittlehamptonSouth East28,41527.67%
64.Barnsley CentralYorkshire and the Humber21,64327.68%
65.HavantSouth East25,66527.71%
66.Brecon and RadnorshireWales19,50527.74%
67.Sheffield HeeleyYorkshire and the Humber24,54727.75%
68.Orkney and ShetlandScotland11,02927.78%
69.AylesburySouth East31,01727.78%
70.Ashton-under-LyneNorth West22,12727.82%
71.Hertfordshire South WestEast of England33,83527.89%
72.SalisburySouth West29,76127.91%
73.SolihullWest Midlands31,69427.93%
74.Surrey EastSouth East33,08327.94%
75.Boston and SkegnessEast Midlands23,96327.94%
76.AldershotSouth East25,15927.95%
77.BracknellSouth East31,36128.05%
78.WiganNorth West26,82528.21%
79.HemsworthYorkshire and the Humber23,14928.24%
80.Basildon and BillericayEast of England25,37328.24%
81.Cardiff WestWales25,72728.26%
82.Suffolk WestEast of England29,25328.27%
83.HarboroughEast Midlands28,77428.38%
84.Esher and WaltonSouth East34,03728.44%
85.FalkirkScotland20,24028.47%
86.Devon South WestSouth West30,09428.47%
87.Sunderland CentralNorth East22,84728.49%
88.Bristol SouthSouth West30,99428.50%
89.Cynon ValleyWales18,13328.51%
90.HorshamSouth East35,37328.53%
91.HenleySouth East32,59528.54%
92.Leicester WestEast Midlands21,41728.55%
93.DartfordSouth East28,66628.55%
94.Leeds EastYorkshire and the Humber23,68628.58%
95.BuckinghamSouth East30,13128.60%
96.Suffolk Central and Ipswich NorthEast of England32,35728.62%
97.RedcarNorth East21,67328.64%
98.Thirsk and MaltonYorkshire and the Humber32,04028.64%
99.ChichesterSouth East34,38228.69%
100.Leicestershire SouthEast Midlands32,56028.72%
2029 General Election
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