Brexit Party Target Seats

Below are lists of Brexit Party target seats showing which constituencies can be most easily won from an opposing party relative to the latest elections.

Brexit Party Target Seats 2025

Below is the list of Brexit Party target seats for the 2025 general election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Brexit Party held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

(order by percentage majority)

Rank		Region	Majority	Swing Needed
1.	Barnsley East	Yorkshire and the Humber	3,217	4.23%
2.	Barnsley Central	Yorkshire and the Humber	3,571	4.84%
3.	Hartlepool	North East	4,861	5.92%
4.	Doncaster North	Yorkshire and the Humber	7,446	12.47%
5.	Easington	North East	8,979	12.98%
6.	South Shields	North East	10,827	14.29%
7.	Blaenau Gwent	Wales	8,647	14.31%
8.	Islwyn	Wales	10,522	15.32%
9.	Rotherham	Yorkshire and the Humber	8,611	15.40%
10.	Hull West and Hessle	Yorkshire and the Humber	7,746	15.60%
11.	Torfaen	Wales	9,804	16.31%
12.	Caerphilly	Wales	13,528	16.86%
13.	Ceredigion	Wales	13,145	17.00%
14.	Houghton and Sunderland South	North East	10,045	17.41%
15.	Jarrow	North East	14,241	17.48%
16.	Hull East	Yorkshire and the Humber	6,949	17.60%
17.	Hull North	Yorkshire and the Humber	12,262	17.93%
18.	Washington and Sunderland West	North East	10,502	18.07%
19.	Doncaster Central	Yorkshire and the Humber	9,796	18.08%
20.	Wentworth and Dearne	Yorkshire and the Humber	9,723	18.19%
21.	Blaydon	North East	13,961	18.45%
22.	Wigan	North West	15,083	18.55%
23.	Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford	Yorkshire and the Humber	10,265	18.63%
24.	Rother Valley	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,706	19.28%
25.	Neath	Wales	12,736	19.31%
26.	Tyneside North	North East	19,797	20.30%
27.	St Helens North	North West	19,474	20.47%
28.	Llanelli	Wales	12,520	20.53%
29.	Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney	Wales	13,309	20.64%
30.	Ogmore	Wales	14,611	20.64%
31.	Cynon Valley	Wales	12,488	20.65%
32.	Rhondda	Wales	12,382	20.89%
33.	Makerfield	North West	14,137	21.23%
34.	Hemsworth	Yorkshire and the Humber	10,530	21.30%
35.	Edinburgh North and Leith	Scotland	25,367	21.37%
36.	Don Valley	Yorkshire and the Humber	13,362	21.42%
37.	Swansea East	Wales	14,563	21.68%
38.	Durham North	North East	13,946	21.81%
39.	Pontypridd	Wales	14,464	21.96%
40.	Aberavon	Wales	13,900	22.00%
41.	Middlesbrough	North East	15,039	22.05%
42.	Sheffield Heeley	Yorkshire and the Humber	17,937	22.06%
43.	Bassetlaw	East Midlands	22,712	22.34%
44.	Ashfield	East Midlands	16,730	22.45%
45.	Linlithgow and Falkirk East	Scotland	24,294	22.55%
46.	Rochdale	North West	20,608	23.06%
47.	Ross, Skye and Lochaber	Scotland	18,553	23.27%
48.	Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough	Yorkshire and the Humber	18,514	23.38%
49.	Swansea West	Wales	16,510	23.43%
50.	Edinburgh South West	Scotland	24,205	23.45%
51.	Stockport	North West	19,777	23.70%
52.	Sunderland Central	North East	13,289	23.75%
53.	Hampstead and Kilburn	London	27,396	23.87%
54.	Oldham West and Royton	North West	21,263	23.93%
55.	Newcastle upon Tyne North	North East	17,023	23.95%
56.	St Helens South and Whiston	North West	24,104	23.95%
57.	Wythenshawe and Sale East	North West	21,138	24.00%
58.	Glenrothes	Scotland	19,958	24.02%
59.	Ynys Mon	Wales	10,775	24.09%
60.	Salford and Eccles	North West	24,465	24.16%
61.	Leeds North West	Yorkshire and the Humber	22,667	24.18%
62.	Leeds West	Yorkshire and the Humber	19,501	24.21%
63.	Cardiff West	Wales	22,289	24.48%
64.	Penistone and Stocksbridge	Yorkshire and the Humber	19,388	24.59%
65.	Birmingham Yardley	West Midlands	21,133	24.76%
66.	Durham, City of	North East	17,279	25.08%
67.	Cardiff South and Penarth	Wales	25,383	25.09%
68.	Sheffield South East	Yorkshire and the Humber	14,881	25.22%
69.	Dundee West	Scotland	21,084	25.35%
70.	Newcastle upon Tyne Central	North East	19,026	25.39%
71.	Great Grimsby	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,772	25.51%
72.	Nottingham South	East Midlands	24,574	25.53%
73.	Aberdeen North	Scotland	19,197	25.66%
74.	Bermondsey and Old Southwark	London	30,106	25.68%
75.	Norwich South	East of England	26,110	25.84%
76.	Ealing Central and Acton	London	27,468	25.85%
77.	Warley	West Midlands	19,432	26.09%
78.	York Central	Yorkshire and the Humber	25,833	26.09%
79.	Denton and Reddish	North West	16,278	26.18%
80.	Sefton Central	North West	26,829	26.36%
81.	Chesterfield	East Midlands	13,400	26.44%
82.	Dwyfor Meirionnydd	Wales	12,671	26.50%
83.	Streatham	London	30,352	26.85%
84.	Bolsover	East Midlands	17,640	26.86%
85.	Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey	Scotland	25,169	26.87%
86.	Islington South and Finsbury	London	25,761	26.94%
87.	Bolton South East	North West	18,548	26.97%
88.	Leeds North East	Yorkshire and the Humber	27,255	26.99%
89.	Barking	London	24,033	27.00%
90.	Luton South	East of England	20,186	27.17%
91.	Greenwich and Woolwich	London	28,957	27.26%
92.	Oxford East	South East	26,989	27.34%
93.	Blackley and Broughton	North West	21,151	27.38%
94.	Tooting	London	30,349	27.43%
95.	Vauxhall	London	30,974	27.49%
96.	Norfolk North	East of England	28,053	27.60%
97.	Halton	North West	25,603	27.71%
98.	Birkenhead	North West	23,501	27.76%
99.	Leeds Central	Yorkshire and the Humber	27,414	27.81%
100.	Sedgefield	North East	16,091	27.85%
101.	Brighton Pavilion	South East	32,381	27.92%
102.	Hammersmith	London	29,100	28.00%
103.	Birmingham Selly Oak	West Midlands	26,278	28.03%
104.	Leeds East	Yorkshire and the Humber	16,483	28.04%
105.	Glasgow South	Scotland	22,313	28.05%
106.	Cambridge	East of England	24,735	28.10%
107.	Westminster North	London	22,822	28.11%
108.	Slough	South East	27,989	28.11%
109.	Hornsey and Wood Green	London	34,363	28.12%
110.	Hove	South East	31,765	28.16%
111.	Buckingham	South East	35,749	28.17%
112.	Preston	North West	19,071	28.22%
113.	Burnley	North West	12,358	28.23%
114.	Lewisham East	London	25,427	28.37%
115.	Stretford and Urmston	North West	28,427	28.39%
116.	Bradford East	Yorkshire and the Humber	25,125	28.43%
117.	Bristol South	South West	25,570	28.46%
118.	Nottingham North	East Midlands	14,651	28.77%
119.	Carmarthen East and Dinefwr	Wales	13,628	28.83%
120.	Bristol East	South West	25,836	28.84%
121.	Ashton-under-Lyne	North West	15,393	28.85%
122.	Mitcham and Morden	London	26,762	29.25%
123.	Blackburn	North West	26,270	29.36%
124.	Ealing Southall	London	24,811	29.39%
125.	Cardiff Central	Wales	24,599	29.41%
126.	Stalybridge and Hyde	North West	15,434	29.48%
127.	Lewisham West and Penge	London	30,800	29.56%
128.	Bath	South West	27,777	29.64%
129.	Birmingham Perry Barr	West Midlands	25,212	29.91%
130.	Wallasey	North West	27,864	29.97%
131.	Orkney and Shetland	Scotland	9,481	30.11%
132.	Brentford and Isleworth	London	28,101	30.15%
133.	Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath	Scotland	15,436	30.19%
134.	Redcar	North East	15,896	30.29%
135.	Poplar and Limehouse	London	37,167	30.33%
136.	Bishop Auckland	North East	21,567	30.36%
137.	Nottingham East	East Midlands	24,392	30.49%
138.	Bristol West	South West	46,159	30.56%
139.	Glasgow North	Scotland	16,662	30.56%
140.	Luton North	East of England	22,281	30.60%
141.	Coventry North East	West Midlands	21,302	30.62%
142.	Sheffield Hallam	Yorkshire and the Humber	18,147	30.65%
143.	Stoke-on-Trent North	West Midlands	18,600	30.68%
144.	Ellesmere Port and Neston	North West	23,863	30.97%
145.	Derby South	East Midlands	19,210	31.07%
146.	Stockton North	North East	13,821	31.09%
147.	Scunthorpe	Yorkshire and the Humber	18,262	31.29%
148.	Worsley and Eccles South	North West	17,222	31.32%
149.	Holborn and St Pancras	London	35,609	31.35%
150.	Sheffield Central	Yorkshire and the Humber	31,999	31.43%

View Brexit Party held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

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