Green Target Seats

Below are lists of Green target seats showing which constituencies can be most easily won from an opposing party relative to the latest elections.

Green Target Seats 2024

Below is the list of Green target seats for the 2024 general election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Green held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

(order by swing needed)

RankConstituencyRegionMajority over GRNPercent Majority
1.Ceredigion PreseliWales15,38229.77%
2.Sheffield HallamYorkshire and the Humber19,20531.88%
3.Bristol CentralSouth West16,69632.47%
4.Cowdenbeath and KirkcaldyScotland15,46732.81%
5.Beckenham and PengeLondon21,70236.08%
6.Barnsley NorthYorkshire and the Humber16,09036.17%
7.Dunbartonshire MidScotland21,26336.19%
8.Edinburgh WestScotland19,95836.27%
9.Houghton and Sunderland SouthNorth East16,51336.86%
10.Doncaster CentralYorkshire and the Humber17,08637.11%
11.Kensington and BayswaterLondon20,62537.63%
12.Durham, City ofNorth East19,30937.65%
13.ChesterfieldEast Midlands17,02337.67%
14.StroudSouth West22,87637.69%
15.Normanton and HemsworthYorkshire and the Humber16,37037.75%
16.AshfieldEast Midlands16,27537.89%
17.Caithness, Sutherland and Easter RossScotland20,16238.24%
18.Doncaster NorthYorkshire and the Humber15,33838.28%
19.StrangfordNorthern Ireland15,41138.39%
20.Cities of London and WestminsterLondon20,01038.40%
21.Isle of Wight WestSouth East14,70438.59%
22.BurnleyNorth West18,20938.66%
23.Tyrone WestNorthern Ireland17,08338.92%
24.Hull EastYorkshire and the Humber13,34939.32%
25.Sunderland CentralNorth East17,12439.39%
26.WimbledonLondon22,47939.53%
27.Leeds North WestYorkshire and the Humber22,04539.60%
28.Rawmarsh and ConisbroughYorkshire and the Humber16,05539.60%
29.Washington and Gateshead SouthNorth East16,96839.74%
30.Barnsley SouthYorkshire and the Humber14,91139.75%
31.Newport West and IslwynWales19,33939.84%
32.Antrim EastNorthern Ireland16,13340.18%
33.WycombeSouth East19,00440.25%
34.Heywood and Middleton NorthNorth West17,08540.25%
35.Newcastle upon Tyne NorthNorth East21,83740.33%
36.Warwick and LeamingtonWest Midlands21,09640.41%
37.TorfaenWales17,65040.53%
38.Edinburgh North and LeithScotland23,85340.53%
39.RotherhamYorkshire and the Humber17,64940.55%
40.Coventry North WestWest Midlands19,47540.79%
41.Bathgate and LinlithgowScotland19,27740.83%
42.Carshalton and WallingtonLondon20,06340.86%
43.South ShieldsNorth East18,75040.94%
44.Blaydon and ConsettNorth East19,23540.96%
45.Durham NorthNorth East19,63241.07%
46.Hull West and HaltempriceYorkshire and the Humber17,24441.42%
47.Warrington NorthNorth West19,31441.49%
48.Stalybridge and HydeNorth West17,61441.57%
49.Coventry SouthWest Midlands19,48241.62%
50.Bury SouthNorth West20,67441.65%
51.WatfordEast of England20,16041.74%
52.Oldham East and SaddleworthNorth West19,31041.83%
53.Cramlington and KillingworthNorth East20,13941.89%
54.PutneyLondon23,31541.99%
55.Dunfermline and DollarScotland20,45142.06%
56.BridgendWales19,66342.10%
57.BroxtoweEast Midlands22,47742.15%
58.BedfordEast of England19,73942.36%
59.Bristol North WestSouth West24,81942.49%
60.Wirral WestNorth West23,90242.65%
61.MakerfieldNorth West19,26642.68%
62.Derby NorthEast Midlands20,21342.99%
63.Leigh and AthertonNorth West19,25643.05%
64.Vale of GlamorganWales21,55443.11%
65.Airdrie and ShottsScotland19,99143.14%
66.Dagenham and RainhamLondon19,00243.19%
67.Frome and Somerset EastSouth West20,72943.21%
68.Hamilton and Clyde ValleyScotland20,52543.28%
69.CambridgeEast of England21,53243.29%
70.Gateshead Central and WhickhamNorth East18,19643.30%
71.Edinburgh SouthScotland22,96643.31%
72.Cambridgeshire SouthEast of England26,05743.37%
73.Bolton North EastNorth West21,63343.40%
74.Isle of Wight EastSouth East15,77343.41%
75.Lancaster and WyreNorth West21,49143.52%
76.Nottingham North and KimberleyEast Midlands18,73143.52%
77.CaerphillyWales19,61943.53%
78.Birmingham NorthfieldWest Midlands19,16343.61%
79.Rother ValleyYorkshire and the Humber19,85143.64%
80.HalifaxYorkshire and the Humber20,87343.67%
81.High PeakEast Midlands23,69643.74%
82.Finchley and Golders GreenLondon24,26043.78%
83.Glasgow NorthScotland18,20143.82%
84.WiganNorth West19,74343.83%
85.Wakefield and RothwellYorkshire and the Humber21,53243.86%
86.BatterseaLondon24,09343.87%
87.Eltham and ChislehurstLondon22,42043.89%
88.Worsley and EcclesNorth West21,79843.98%
89.Hampstead and HighgateLondon25,24243.99%
90.Hull North and CottinghamYorkshire and the Humber19,78644.03%
91.Ashton-under-LyneNorth West18,22744.05%
92.Truro and FalmouthSouth West24,32044.08%
93.Bradford SouthYorkshire and the Humber18,10344.27%
94.TynemouthNorth East23,89044.29%
95.Warrington SouthNorth West24,06944.47%
96.East Kilbride and StrathavenScotland23,23744.48%
97.Spen ValleyYorkshire and the Humber21,05644.60%
98.Moray West, Nairn and StrathspeyScotland25,29244.62%
99.Newton Aycliffe and SpennymoorNorth East19,37044.66%
100.LivingstonScotland22,00344.67%

View Green held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

Green Target Seats for the 2026 Scottish Parliament Election

Below is the list of Green target seats for the 2026 Scottish Parliament election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Green held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Scottish Parliament election.

(order by swing needed)

RankConstituencyRegionMajority over GRNPercent Majority
1.Glasgow KelvinGlasgow5,45815.14%
2.Edinburgh CentralLothian12,35529.62%
3.Edinburgh Northern and LeithLothian16,32734.86%
4.Aberdeen CentralNorth East Scotland12,13038.34%
5.Midlothian South, Tweeddale and LauderdaleSouth Scotland17,65341.02%
6.Inverness and NairnHighlands and Islands19,15741.89%
7.CowdenbeathMid Scotland and Fife15,15544.35%
8.Galloway and West DumfriesSouth Scotland16,51644.41%
9.Glasgow ProvanGlasgow13,54745.05%
10.PaisleyWest Scotland15,91145.51%
11.Ettrick, Roxburgh and BerwickshireSouth Scotland17,48048.50%
12.Glasgow PollokGlasgow16,51248.86%

View Green held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Scottish Parliament election.

Green Target Seats for the 2026 Senedd Election

Below is the list of Green target seats for the 2026 Senedd election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Green held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Senedd election.

(order by swing needed)

RankConstituencyRegionMajority over GRNPercent Majority
1.Brecon and RadnorshireMid and West Wales11,18534.83%
2.MonmouthSouth Wales East13,33237.15%
3.NeathSouth Wales West10,62838.54%
4.PontypriddSouth Wales Central10,85639.40%
5.Cardiff CentralSouth Wales Central11,54840.47%
6.Vale of GlamorganSouth Wales Central17,40540.58%
7.Swansea WestSouth Wales West10,01741.75%
8.Cardiff NorthSouth Wales Central17,39142.78%
9.Newport WestSouth Wales East12,94543.74%
10.GowerSouth Wales West14,54343.85%
11.Cardiff WestSouth Wales Central16,37844.83%
12.Cardiff South and PenarthSouth Wales Central16,51045.37%
13.CeredigionMid and West Wales15,59050.69%

View Green held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Senedd election.

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