Labour Target Seats

Below are lists of Labour target seats showing which constituencies can be most easily won from an opposing party relative to the latest elections.

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Labour Target Seats 2029

Below is the list of Labour target seats for the 2029 general election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Labour held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

(order by swing needed)

Rank		Region	Majority over LAB	Percent Majority
1.	Basildon and Billericay	East of England	20	0.05%
2.	Devon Central	South West	61	0.11%
3.	Havant	South East	92	0.22%
4.	Exmouth and Exeter East	South West	121	0.24%
5.	Basildon South and Thurrock East	East of England	98	0.25%
6.	Beverley and Holderness	Yorkshire and the Humber	124	0.28%
7.	Blackburn	North West	132	0.34%
8.	Bromley and Biggin Hill	London	302	0.65%
9.	Fylde	North West	561	1.17%
10.	Birmingham Perry Barr	West Midlands	507	1.35%
11.	Broadland and Fakenham	East of England	719	1.45%
12.	Dundee Central	Scotland	675	1.74%
13.	Wrekin, The	West Midlands	883	1.77%
14.	Wyre Forest	West Midlands	812	1.80%
15.	Arbroath and Broughty Ferry	Scotland	859	1.95%
16.	Tatton	North West	1,136	2.19%
17.	Leicester South	East Midlands	979	2.34%
18.	Harwich and Essex North	East of England	1,162	2.42%
19.	Bedfordshire Mid	East of England	1,321	2.66%
20.	Staffordshire Moorlands	West Midlands	1,175	2.71%
21.	Hereford and Herefordshire South	West Midlands	1,279	2.81%
22.	Huntingdon	East of England	1,499	2.88%
23.	Skipton and Ripon	Yorkshire and the Humber	1,650	3.09%
24.	Faversham and Mid Kent	South East	1,469	3.15%
25.	Romford	London	1,463	3.32%
26.	Bridgwater	South West	1,349	3.36%
27.	Spelthorne	South East	1,590	3.44%
28.	Great Yarmouth	East of England	1,426	3.50%
29.	Keighley and Ilkley	Yorkshire and the Humber	1,625	3.52%
30.	Maidstone and Malling	South East	1,674	3.61%
31.	Bognor Regis and Littlehampton	South East	1,765	3.69%
32.	Dumfries and Galloway	Scotland	1,760	3.84%
33.	Devon South West	South West	2,112	4.04%
34.	Aberdeen North	Scotland	1,760	4.18%
35.	Stockton West	North East	2,139	4.40%
36.	Leicestershire Mid	East Midlands	2,201	4.58%
37.	Croydon South	London	2,313	4.68%
38.	Harborough, Oadby and Wigston	East Midlands	2,378	4.72%
39.	Essex North West	East of England	2,610	4.80%
40.	Hornchurch and Upminster	London	2,321	4.95%
41.	Herne Bay and Sandwich	South East	2,499	5.12%
42.	Sutton Coldfield	West Midlands	2,543	5.26%
43.	Bexhill and Battle	South East	2,657	5.56%
44.	Daventry	East Midlands	3,012	5.67%
45.	Chester South and Eddisbury	North West	3,057	5.82%
46.	Bromsgrove	West Midlands	3,016	5.98%
47.	Reigate	South East	3,187	5.99%
48.	Suffolk South	East of England	3,047	6.24%
49.	Hampshire North West	South East	3,288	6.47%
50.	Broxbourne	East of England	2,858	6.65%
51.	Norfolk Mid	East of England	3,054	6.65%
52.	Newark	East Midlands	3,572	6.68%
53.	Northamptonshire South	East Midlands	3,687	6.87%
54.	Wiltshire South West	South West	3,243	7.02%
55.	Suffolk West	East of England	3,247	7.03%
56.	Goole and Pocklington	Yorkshire and the Humber	3,572	7.18%
57.	Bridlington and the Wolds	Yorkshire and the Humber	3,125	7.28%
58.	Old Bexley and Sidcup	London	3,548	7.45%
59.	Braintree	East of England	3,670	7.49%
60.	Gainsborough	East Midlands	3,532	7.57%
61.	Salisbury	South West	3,807	7.59%
62.	Brigg and Immingham	Yorkshire and the Humber	3,243	7.63%
63.	Aberdeen South	Scotland	3,758	8.11%
64.	Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe	Wales	3,832	8.23%
65.	Sleaford and North Hykeham	East Midlands	4,346	8.95%
66.	Ynys Mon	Wales	2,971	9.11%
67.	Suffolk Central and Ipswich North	East of England	4,290	9.24%
68.	Wetherby and Easingwold	Yorkshire and the Humber	4,846	9.27%
69.	Leicester East	East Midlands	4,426	9.47%
70.	Grantham and Bourne	East Midlands	4,496	9.75%
71.	Chingford and Woodford Green	London	4,757	9.81%
72.	Solihull West and Shirley	West Midlands	4,620	9.86%
73.	Caerfyrddin	Wales	4,535	9.94%
74.	Wiltshire East	South West	4,716	9.99%
75.	Witham	East of England	5,145	10.17%
76.	Torridge and Tavistock	South West	5,284	10.40%
77.	Meriden and Solihull East	West Midlands	4,584	10.41%
78.	Aldridge-Brownhills	West Midlands	4,294	10.50%
79.	Bedfordshire North	East of England	5,414	10.50%
80.	Leicestershire South	East Midlands	5,506	10.72%
81.	Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale	Scotland	4,859	10.99%
82.	Orpington	London	5,118	11.11%
83.	Norfolk North West	East of England	4,954	11.12%
84.	Melton and Syston	East Midlands	5,396	11.73%
85.	New Forest West	South East	5,600	12.09%
86.	Fareham and Waterlooville	South East	6,079	12.13%
87.	Isle of Wight East	South East	4,163	12.22%
88.	Kenilworth and Southam	West Midlands	6,574	12.33%
89.	Rayleigh and Wickford	East of England	5,933	12.37%
90.	Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge	West Midlands	5,466	12.78%
91.	Epping Forest	East of England	5,682	13.61%
92.	Gosport	South East	6,054	13.67%
93.	Brentwood and Ongar	East of England	6,649	13.76%
94.	Ashfield	East Midlands	5,508	13.81%
95.	Kingswinford and Staffordshire South	West Midlands	6,303	13.95%
96.	Hazel Grove	North West	6,500	14.13%
97.	Hertfordshire South West	East of England	6,821	14.14%
98.	Windsor	South East	6,457	14.27%
99.	Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey	Scotland	6,702	14.40%
100.	Islington North	London	7,247	14.79%
101.	Castle Point	East of England	6,030	14.84%
102.	Louth and Horncastle	East Midlands	6,966	14.99%
103.	Surrey East	South East	7,450	15.14%
104.	Thirsk and Malton	Yorkshire and the Humber	7,550	15.16%
105.	Ely and Cambridgeshire East	East of England	7,967	15.21%
106.	Argyll, Bute and Lochaber South	Scotland	6,997	15.60%
107.	Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner	London	7,581	16.10%
108.	Weald of Kent	South East	8,422	16.61%
109.	Hertsmere	East of England	7,992	16.65%
110.	Newton Abbot	South West	8,086	16.85%
111.	Sussex Weald	South East	8,519	17.32%
112.	Runnymede and Weybridge	South East	8,479	17.57%
113.	Cotswolds North	South West	8,833	17.59%
114.	East Grinstead and Uckfield	South East	8,879	17.62%
115.	Hinckley and Bosworth	East Midlands	8,431	17.64%
116.	Droitwich and Evesham	West Midlands	8,995	18.13%
117.	Dewsbury and Batley	Yorkshire and the Humber	6,934	18.21%
118.	South Holland and the Deepings	East Midlands	8,376	18.24%
119.	New Forest East	South East	8,495	18.78%
120.	Maldon	East of England	9,557	19.17%
121.	Sutton and Cheam	London	9,146	19.21%
122.	Eastleigh	South East	8,965	19.31%
123.	Christchurch	South West	9,179	19.39%
124.	Boston and Skegness	East Midlands	7,891	19.51%
125.	Perth and Kinross-shire	Scotland	9,910	19.79%
126.	Hamble Valley	South East	10,918	20.22%
127.	Buckinghamshire Mid	South East	10,979	20.35%
128.	Shropshire South	West Midlands	10,689	20.69%
129.	Worcestershire West	West Midlands	11,448	20.93%
130.	Cambridgeshire North East	East of England	8,238	21.03%
131.	Rutland and Stamford	East Midlands	10,394	21.40%
132.	Dunbartonshire Mid	Scotland	11,356	21.53%
133.	Frome and Somerset East	South West	10,164	21.76%
134.	Farnham and Bordon	South East	11,623	21.92%
135.	Sussex Mid	South East	11,739	22.01%
136.	Tonbridge	South East	11,166	22.19%
137.	Gordon and Buchan	Scotland	9,732	22.19%
138.	Bicester and Woodstock	South East	11,183	22.27%
139.	Arundel and South Downs	South East	12,219	22.32%
140.	Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine	Scotland	11,031	22.53%
141.	Epsom and Ewell	South East	12,349	22.65%
142.	Sevenoaks	South East	11,526	23.10%
143.	Bath	South West	11,218	23.31%
144.	Beaconsfield	South East	11,278	23.63%
145.	Wimbledon	London	13,057	23.75%
146.	St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire	East of England	12,599	23.82%
147.	Bristol Central	South West	10,407	24.00%
148.	Harrow East	London	11,680	24.45%
149.	Inverness, Skye and Ross-shire West	Scotland	11,913	24.79%
150.	Aberdeenshire North and Moray East	Scotland	9,579	25.08%
151.	Richmond and Northallerton	Yorkshire and the Humber	12,185	25.11%
152.	Didcot and Wantage	South East	13,748	25.12%
153.	Angus and Perthshire Glens	Scotland	12,343	26.07%
154.	Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk	Scotland	12,561	26.98%
155.	Hampshire East	South East	13,542	27.03%
156.	Brighton Pavilion	South East	14,290	27.29%
157.	Chelmsford	East of England	14,106	27.81%
158.	Dorset North	South West	13,838	27.85%
159.	Horsham	South East	15,653	28.20%
160.	Hampshire North East	South East	16,121	29.02%
161.	Tiverton and Minehead	South West	14,001	29.48%
162.	Thornbury and Yate	South West	15,758	29.53%
163.	Clacton	East of England	13,777	29.98%
164.	Carshalton and Wallington	London	14,018	30.04%
165.	Melksham and Devizes	South West	15,444	30.16%
166.	Romsey and Southampton North	South East	15,253	30.49%
167.	Cheadle	North West	15,772	31.09%
168.	Witney	South East	16,059	31.75%
169.	Maidenhead	South East	16,129	32.05%
170.	Tunbridge Wells	South East	17,483	32.23%
171.	Waveney Valley	East of England	15,846	32.29%
172.	Newbury	South East	15,983	32.67%
173.	Dorking and Horley	South East	16,868	33.76%
174.	Tewkesbury	South West	16,432	33.85%
175.	Torbay	South West	15,661	33.96%
176.	Dorset Mid and Poole North	South West	16,876	34.08%
177.	Norfolk North	East of England	16,610	35.31%
178.	Ceredigion Preseli	Wales	16,352	35.32%
179.	Cambridgeshire South	East of England	19,598	35.71%
180.	Edinburgh West	Scotland	18,791	35.81%
181.	Devon North	South West	18,604	36.18%
182.	Glastonbury and Somerton	South West	17,253	36.21%
183.	Cotswolds South	South West	19,019	36.37%
184.	Herefordshire North	West Midlands	18,531	36.80%
185.	Stratford-on-Avon	West Midlands	19,697	37.19%
186.	Godalming and Ash	South East	20,545	37.56%
187.	Chippenham	South West	18,627	37.62%
188.	Oxford West and Abingdon	South East	17,433	37.90%
189.	Harrogate and Knaresborough	Yorkshire and the Humber	19,823	38.07%
190.	Kingston and Surbiton	London	19,309	38.11%
191.	Surrey Heath	South East	18,239	38.17%
192.	Henley and Thame	South East	20,330	38.25%
193.	Chesham and Amersham	South East	20,920	38.42%
194.	Dwyfor Meirionnydd	Wales	15,876	39.30%
195.	Guildford	South East	19,006	39.35%
196.	Honiton and Sidmouth	South West	20,060	39.60%
197.	Devon South	South West	19,474	39.74%
198.	Wells and Mendip Hills	South West	20,095	39.90%
199.	Woking	South East	19,575	40.66%
200.	Wokingham	South East	22,112	40.95%
201.	Taunton and Wellington	South West	20,779	41.32%
202.	Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross	Scotland	19,327	41.97%
203.	Cornwall North	South West	21,946	42.16%
204.	Yeovil	South West	20,763	42.42%
205.	Harpenden and Berkhamsted	East of England	23,221	42.74%
206.	Chichester	South East	22,365	43.05%
207.	Twickenham	London	23,492	43.80%
208.	Lewes	South East	23,321	43.86%
209.	Cheltenham	South West	22,411	45.24%
210.	Fife North East	Scotland	19,358	45.31%
211.	Dorset West	South West	23,913	45.46%
212.	Richmond Park	London	23,480	45.58%
213.	Shropshire North	West Midlands	22,791	45.96%
214.	Eastbourne	South East	21,053	46.16%
215.	St Ives	South West	22,245	46.24%
216.	St Albans	East of England	24,033	46.56%
217.	Winchester	South East	26,916	47.16%
218.	Esher and Walton	South East	25,469	47.27%
219.	Orkney and Shetland	Scotland	9,899	47.85%
220.	Westmorland and Lonsdale	North West	28,755	58.05%

View Labour held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

Labour Target Seats for the 2026 Scottish Parliament Election

Below is the list of Labour target seats for the 2026 Scottish Parliament election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Labour held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Scottish Parliament election.

(order by swing needed)

Rank		Region	Majority over LAB	Percent Majority
1.	East Lothian	South Scotland	1,179	2.58%
2.	Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse	Central Scotland	4,582	12.63%
3.	Rutherglen	Glasgow	5,166	12.88%
4.	Clydebank and Milngavie	West Scotland	5,274	14.00%
5.	Uddingston and Bellshill	Central Scotland	5,306	14.74%
6.	Glasgow Kelvin	Glasgow	5,930	16.45%
7.	Airdrie and Shotts	Central Scotland	5,468	17.13%
8.	Paisley	West Scotland	6,075	17.37%
9.	Cowdenbeath	Mid Scotland and Fife	6,013	17.59%
10.	Midlothian North and Musselburgh	Lothian	7,906	18.57%
11.	Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley	South Scotland	6,636	18.63%
12.	Renfrewshire North and West	West Scotland	7,307	19.14%
13.	Falkirk East	Central Scotland	7,585	19.53%
14.	Glasgow Anniesland	Glasgow	6,588	19.86%
15.	Renfrewshire South	West Scotland	7,106	20.48%
16.	Glasgow Pollok	Glasgow	7,105	21.03%
17.	Dunfermline	Mid Scotland and Fife	8,664	21.16%
18.	Clydesdale	South Scotland	8,636	21.21%
19.	East Kilbride	Central Scotland	8,672	21.27%
20.	Linlithgow	Lothian	10,105	21.56%
21.	Kirkcaldy	Mid Scotland and Fife	7,831	22.26%
22.	Greenock and Inverclyde	West Scotland	8,174	22.47%
23.	Edinburgh Central	Lothian	9,437	22.62%
24.	Motherwell and Wishaw	Central Scotland	7,813	22.88%
25.	Edinburgh Eastern	Lothian	10,117	23.42%
26.	Clackmannanshire and Dunblane	Mid Scotland and Fife	8,212	23.50%
27.	Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles)	Highlands and Islands	3,441	23.72%
28.	Glasgow Provan	Glasgow	7,230	24.04%
29.	Edinburgh Pentlands	Lothian	9,229	24.14%
30.	Edinburgh Northern and Leith	Lothian	11,569	24.70%

View Labour held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Scottish Parliament election.

Labour Target Seats for the 2026 Senedd Election

Below is the list of Labour target seats for the 2026 Senedd election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Labour held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Senedd election.

(order by swing needed)

Rank		Region	Majority over LAB	Percent Majority
1.	Vale of Clwyd	North Wales	366	1.40%
2.	Carmarthen West and Pembrokeshire South	Mid and West Wales	936	2.96%
3.	Preseli Pembrokeshire	Mid and West Wales	1,400	4.44%
4.	Monmouth	South Wales East	3,845	10.72%
5.	Clwyd West	North Wales	3,685	12.99%
6.	Aberconwy	North Wales	3,844	16.33%
7.	Carmarthen East and Dinefwr	Mid and West Wales	6,813	20.49%
8.	Brecon and Radnorshire	Mid and West Wales	7,761	24.17%
9.	Dwyfor Meirionnydd	Mid and West Wales	7,788	32.70%
10.	Montgomeryshire	Mid and West Wales	8,437	33.77%
11.	Ynys Mon	North Wales	10,206	36.80%
12.	Arfon	North Wales	8,652	39.78%
13.	Ceredigion	Mid and West Wales	13,601	44.22%

View Labour held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Senedd election.

2029 General Election

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Seat-By-Seat Forecast

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LAB - Targets | Defence

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REF - Targets | Defence

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2024 General Election Results