Reform UK Target Seats

Below are lists of Reform UK target seats showing which constituencies can be most easily won from an opposing party relative to the latest elections.

Reform UK Target Seats 2029

Below is the list of Reform UK target seats for the 2029 general election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Reform UK held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

(order by swing needed)

RankConstituencyRegionMajority over REFPercent Majority
1.Sittingbourne and SheppeySouth East1,4073.43%
2.Basildon and BillericayEast of England1,5513.68%
3.LlanelliWales1,5043.69%
4.Hornchurch and UpminsterLondon1,9434.14%
5.Norfolk South WestEast of England1,8894.26%
6.HavantSouth East3,0277.18%
7.DudleyWest Midlands2,7737.75%
8.Castle PointEast of England3,2518.00%
9.Amber ValleyEast Midlands3,5548.36%
10.BridgwaterSouth West3,3688.39%
11.Montgomeryshire and GlyndwrWales3,8158.82%
12.Chatham and AylesfordSouth East3,7009.06%
13.Cannock ChaseWest Midlands4,1019.55%
14.Isle of Wight EastSouth East3,3239.75%
15.Warwickshire North and BedworthWest Midlands4,0269.83%
16.LowestoftEast of England4,1369.89%
17.TamworthWest Midlands4,3349.90%
18.Folkestone and HytheSouth East4,33510.02%
19.Maidstone and MallingSouth East4,83010.41%
20.Bridlington and the WoldsYorkshire and the Humber4,49610.47%
21.Faversham and Mid KentSouth East4,93210.59%
22.Wyre ForestWest Midlands4,80710.64%
23.AshfordSouth East5,12110.90%
24.Bognor Regis and LittlehamptonSouth East5,41611.32%
25.Rayleigh and WickfordEast of England5,62111.72%
26.Tipton and WednesburyWest Midlands3,73611.73%
27.Louth and HorncastleEast Midlands5,50611.85%
28.Staffordshire MoorlandsWest Midlands5,24512.11%
29.BurnleyNorth West4,84312.19%
30.Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull NorthWest Midlands4,19912.30%
31.Brentwood and OngarEast of England5,98012.37%
32.BraintreeEast of England6,06812.38%
33.SpelthorneSouth East5,75412.46%
34.Brigg and ImminghamYorkshire and the Humber5,31112.49%
35.Rochester and StroodSouth East5,43712.76%
36.HyndburnNorth West4,64512.77%
37.Wrekin, TheWest Midlands6,40012.79%
38.Cornwall South EastSouth West6,35912.90%
39.RomfordLondon5,71512.97%
40.Stoke-on-Trent SouthWest Midlands5,37013.12%
41.Great Grimsby and CleethorpesYorkshire and the Humber4,80313.12%
42.Hull EastYorkshire and the Humber3,92013.15%
43.DartfordSouth East5,86913.19%
44.Bradford SouthYorkshire and the Humber4,39213.29%
45.MakerfieldNorth West5,39913.41%
46.Suffolk WestEast of England6,19113.41%
47.Bexleyheath and CrayfordLondon5,85613.47%
48.Barnsley SouthYorkshire and the Humber4,74813.53%
49.Torridge and TavistockSouth West6,89713.57%
50.Herne Bay and SandwichSouth East6,64113.60%
51.Cambridgeshire North WestEast of England6,04413.61%
52.DaventryEast Midlands7,23613.63%
53.Suffolk Central and Ipswich NorthEast of England6,33813.65%
54.BromsgroveWest Midlands6,94913.79%
55.MaldonEast of England6,90613.86%
56.Newton AbbotSouth West6,70713.98%
57.Harwich and Essex NorthEast of England6,71613.98%
58.Suffolk SouthEast of England6,83014.00%
59.Walsall and BloxwichWest Midlands5,22114.04%
60.Durham NorthNorth East5,87314.13%
61.Sleaford and North HykehamEast Midlands6,86414.13%
62.Hereford and Herefordshire SouthWest Midlands6,47614.21%
63.GainsboroughEast Midlands6,72014.39%
64.Portsmouth NorthSouth East5,99414.41%
65.St Austell and NewquaySouth West6,74614.44%
66.Burton and UttoxeterWest Midlands6,61114.49%
67.BlackburnNorth West5,67414.59%
68.Aldridge-BrownhillsWest Midlands5,99814.66%
69.Leicestershire North WestEast Midlands7,19314.81%
70.RedditchWest Midlands6,29414.85%
71.RotherhamYorkshire and the Humber5,49014.87%
72.Exmouth and Exeter EastSouth West7,64314.89%
73.South Holland and the DeepingsEast Midlands6,85614.93%
74.NuneatonWest Midlands6,15714.94%
75.Dunstable and Leighton BuzzardEast of England6,90515.00%
76.Spen ValleyYorkshire and the Humber6,18815.07%
77.Broadland and FakenhamEast of England7,46315.07%
78.PooleSouth West6,73915.15%
79.Sunderland CentralNorth East6,07315.20%
80.LichfieldWest Midlands7,49815.27%
81.Dorset SouthSouth West7,49115.28%
82.Brecon, Radnor and Cwm TaweWales7,16915.40%
83.Sherwood ForestEast Midlands7,52115.46%
84.Bolton North EastNorth West6,73815.54%
85.Leicestershire SouthEast Midlands8,02915.63%
86.HalifaxYorkshire and the Humber6,32415.73%
87.RochdaleNorth West6,25415.76%
88.Old Bexley and SidcupLondon7,52615.80%
89.HarlowEast of England6,85215.80%
90.Suffolk CoastalEast of England7,82215.82%
91.Oldham East and SaddleworthNorth West6,35715.87%
92.Dover and DealSouth East7,58515.88%
93.FyldeNorth West7,62215.89%
94.Stoke-on-Trent NorthWest Midlands5,75515.92%
95.Sussex WealdSouth East7,83815.94%
96.Grantham and BourneEast Midlands7,37715.99%
97.Norfolk MidEast of England7,34316.00%
98.Bury St Edmunds and StowmarketEast of England8,15016.01%
99.Derby SouthEast Midlands6,00216.05%
100.MansfieldEast Midlands6,66316.22%
101.Beverley and HoldernessYorkshire and the Humber7,30316.27%
102.Blackpool North and FleetwoodNorth West6,83116.34%
103.BroxbourneEast of England7,02816.36%
104.Shropshire SouthWest Midlands8,45716.37%
105.Devon South WestSouth West8,55516.38%
106.Heywood and Middleton NorthNorth West6,08216.38%
107.Gillingham and RainhamSouth East6,77016.46%
108.Neath and Swansea EastWales6,62716.51%
109.Bromley and Biggin HillLondon7,72616.51%
110.Oldham West, Chadderton and RoytonNorth West6,38416.55%
111.Norfolk North WestEast of England7,40016.60%
112.AylesburySouth East8,33516.69%
113.BracknellSouth East7,33816.74%
114.Bedfordshire MidEast of England8,31816.76%
115.Wiltshire South WestSouth West7,77716.85%
116.ChristchurchSouth West7,98016.86%
117.Fareham and WaterloovilleSouth East8,47716.91%
118.Devon CentralSouth West9,04716.93%
119.HalesowenWest Midlands6,53916.95%
120.Doncaster East and the Isle of AxholmeYorkshire and the Humber6,63516.96%
121.Forest of DeanSouth West8,17917.01%
122.Pendle and ClitheroeNorth West7,95817.02%
123.Hinckley and BosworthEast Midlands8,21517.19%
124.Birmingham YardleyWest Midlands6,21417.19%
125.ThurrockEast of England6,47417.24%
126.Bexhill and BattleSouth East8,25717.29%
127.WithamEast of England8,95717.70%
128.CaerphillyWales6,78417.74%
129.GraveshamSouth East7,71317.84%
130.Houghton and Sunderland SouthNorth East7,16917.91%
131.Newcastle-under-LymeWest Midlands7,12717.99%
132.SevenoaksSouth East8,98718.01%
133.Southend West and LeighEast of England8,46618.03%
134.South ShieldsNorth East6,65318.07%
135.Stoke-on-Trent CentralWest Midlands6,40918.16%
136.Ossett and Denby DaleYorkshire and the Humber8,00818.25%
137.Meriden and Solihull EastWest Midlands8,03918.26%
138.Bolton South and WalkdenNorth West6,74318.26%
139.Kingswinford and Staffordshire SouthWest Midlands8,27118.31%
140.Scarborough and WhitbyYorkshire and the Humber8,10118.32%
141.Normanton and HemsworthYorkshire and the Humber6,66218.33%
142.Leicestershire MidEast Midlands8,81218.34%
143.Cambridgeshire North EastEast of England7,18918.35%
144.Pontefract, Castleford and KnottingleyYorkshire and the Humber6,63018.44%
145.Dagenham and RainhamLondon7,17318.46%
146.Surrey EastSouth East9,12218.54%
147.Ribble ValleyNorth West9,65318.56%
148.Pembrokeshire Mid and SouthWales8,67718.61%
149.Plymouth Moor ViewSouth West7,99518.66%
150.Melton and SystonEast Midlands8,58118.66%
151.Washington and Gateshead SouthNorth East6,91318.67%
152.Birmingham NorthfieldWest Midlands7,03418.68%
153.OrpingtonLondon8,60818.68%
154.Clwyd NorthWales7,79418.72%
155.Bishop AucklandNorth East7,57018.73%
156.StourbridgeWest Midlands7,46918.73%
157.ErewashEast Midlands8,06218.75%
158.ScunthorpeYorkshire and the Humber7,32118.75%
159.CaerfyrddinWales8,57618.81%
160.Wellingborough and RushdenEast Midlands8,27818.82%
161.Hertfordshire North EastEast of England9,89618.84%
162.Derbyshire MidEast Midlands8,99018.91%
163.KetteringEast Midlands9,54118.99%
164.Wiltshire EastSouth West8,96418.99%
165.Bangor AberconwyWales7,91719.00%
166.BolsoverEast Midlands8,06619.01%
167.Northamptonshire SouthEast Midlands10,22919.05%
168.EasingtonNorth East6,54219.06%
169.New Forest WestSouth East8,83519.07%
170.Derbyshire SouthEast Midlands8,75519.14%
171.Ashton-under-LyneNorth West6,79119.15%
172.Rossendale and DarwenNorth West8,55219.17%
173.PeterboroughEast of England8,03919.20%
174.CarlisleNorth West8,83419.21%
175.Skipton and RiponYorkshire and the Humber10,31719.30%
176.BassetlawEast Midlands8,72519.44%
177.Blackpool SouthNorth West6,84819.47%
178.Solihull West and ShirleyWest Midlands9,13519.49%
179.Derbyshire DalesEast Midlands10,03119.56%
180.Bournemouth WestSouth West7,71819.58%
181.HuntingdonEast of England10,21819.63%
182.Norfolk SouthEast of England9,77019.71%
183.Weald of KentSouth East9,99419.71%
184.Wolverhampton North EastWest Midlands6,56119.71%
185.CrawleySouth East9,00619.73%
186.Hampshire North WestSouth East10,03619.75%
187.Northampton SouthEast Midlands8,68019.77%
188.Thanet EastSouth East8,46319.81%
189.Bolton WestNorth West8,84619.83%
190.TelfordWest Midlands8,10219.89%
191.Goole and PocklingtonYorkshire and the Humber9,92719.96%
192.Hertfordshire South WestEast of England9,66820.04%
193.Rother ValleyYorkshire and the Humber8,34420.05%
194.GloucesterSouth West9,16520.06%
195.Dumfries and GallowayScotland9,21420.13%
196.Weston-Super-MareSouth West8,57520.23%
197.Alyn and DeesideWales8,79420.27%
198.Rawmarsh and ConisbroughYorkshire and the Humber6,90820.38%
199.Ely and Cambridgeshire EastEast of England10,68420.40%
200.TorfaenWales7,32220.51%
201.Southend East and RochfordEast of England8,18120.63%
202.Aberdeenshire North and Moray EastScotland7,89320.67%
203.PrestonNorth West8,26820.67%
204.Hemel HempsteadEast of England9,15520.76%
205.Dorset NorthSouth West10,31420.76%
206.Birmingham ErdingtonWest Midlands7,01920.77%
207.BridgendWales8,59520.77%
208.Northumberland NorthNorth East10,16720.82%
209.Derbyshire North EastEast Midlands9,69221.13%
210.Newport West and IslwynWales8,86821.14%
211.Merthyr Tydfil and AberdareWales7,44721.15%
212.EastleighSouth East9,81921.15%
213.Barnsley NorthYorkshire and the Humber7,81121.17%
214.Droitwich and EveshamWest Midlands10,51921.20%
215.CongletonNorth West10,63021.21%
216.Hamble ValleySouth East11,45521.21%
217.Stockton NorthNorth East7,93921.23%
218.Thirsk and MaltonYorkshire and the Humber10,58121.25%
219.Buckingham and BletchleySouth East10,13421.27%
220.Sutton ColdfieldWest Midlands10,28921.29%
221.PontypriddWales8,40221.34%
222.Essex North WestEast of England11,69221.50%
223.Reading West and Mid BerkshireSouth East10,01321.51%
224.StaffordWest Midlands9,91921.56%
225.Leigh and AthertonNorth West8,88121.57%
226.New Forest EastSouth East9,76621.59%
227.Isle of Wight WestSouth East7,40621.60%
228.HartlepoolNorth East7,69821.68%
229.Frome and Somerset EastSouth West10,13921.70%
230.Worcestershire WestWest Midlands11,88121.73%
231.Cotswolds NorthSouth West10,92421.75%
232.Uxbridge and Ruislip SouthLondon9,98921.76%
233.Rhondda and OgmoreWales7,79021.76%
234.Camborne and RedruthSouth West10,40821.78%
235.ReigateSouth East11,58221.79%
236.SouthportNorth West9,85721.88%
237.Penistone and StocksbridgeYorkshire and the Humber9,71322.09%
238.WrexhamWales8,92122.10%
239.RedcarNorth East8,44722.11%
240.HuddersfieldYorkshire and the Humber8,90522.17%
241.Newton Aycliffe and SpennymoorNorth East8,83922.18%
242.Tiverton and MineheadSouth West10,53922.19%
243.GosportSouth East9,84722.24%
244.TorbaySouth West10,27722.29%
245.Bedfordshire NorthEast of England11,54822.40%
246.Hazel GroveNorth West10,37322.55%
247.Ynys MonWales7,36722.58%
248.Blyth and AshingtonNorth East9,17322.70%
249.Clwyd EastWales10,85822.71%
250.Stalybridge and HydeNorth West8,53922.93%
251.Warrington NorthNorth West9,19022.95%
252.Wakefield and RothwellYorkshire and the Humber9,34622.99%
253.Luton South and Bedfordshire SouthEast of England8,83423.02%
254.DarlingtonNorth East9,76923.05%
255.RugbyWest Midlands11,30823.08%
256.Hertford and StortfordEast of England12,48323.11%
257.South RibbleNorth West10,84523.21%
258.BroxtoweEast Midlands11,15923.33%
259.WiganNorth West9,54923.35%
260.Newport EastWales9,00923.38%
261.Kenilworth and SouthamWest Midlands12,47523.40%
262.Southampton ItchenSouth East8,92923.46%
263.StevenageEast of England10,03123.48%
264.Swindon NorthSouth West10,37323.49%
265.Vale of GlamorganWales10,76723.50%
266.Hull West and HaltempriceYorkshire and the Humber8,97923.52%
267.Leeds South West and MorleyYorkshire and the Humber9,49423.61%
268.Bradford WestYorkshire and the Humber8,76623.64%
269.SalisburySouth West11,87523.67%
270.NewarkEast Midlands12,68823.73%
271.LoughboroughEast Midlands10,04523.77%
272.AldershotSouth East11,55423.80%
273.Crewe and NantwichNorth West11,23523.80%
274.Swansea WestWales8,51523.88%
275.Gateshead Central and WhickhamNorth East9,64423.98%
276.Gordon and BuchanScotland10,52123.99%
277.Hampshire EastSouth East12,03324.02%
278.Farnham and BordonSouth East12,73424.02%
279.Cardiff WestWales10,81624.17%
280.WatfordEast of England10,77824.24%
281.Harborough, Oadby and WigstonEast Midlands12,28224.38%
282.Jarrow and Gateshead EastNorth East8,96424.41%
283.Buckinghamshire MidSouth East13,22424.51%
284.Morecambe and LunesdaleNorth West11,79324.54%
285.Bradford EastYorkshire and the Humber9,14624.58%
286.Moray West, Nairn and StrathspeyScotland11,47124.64%
287.Corby and Northamptonshire EastEast Midlands12,26024.72%
288.Sutton and CheamLondon11,78924.76%
289.Thornbury and YateSouth West13,28624.90%
290.Runnymede and WeybridgeSouth East12,02324.92%
291.Dewsbury and BatleyYorkshire and the Humber9,48924.93%
292.Penrith and SolwayNorth West12,36225.08%
293.Somerset NorthSouth West13,53625.18%
294.Birmingham Hall Green and MoseleyWest Midlands10,49325.22%
295.WycombeSouth East11,26625.24%
296.Colne ValleyYorkshire and the Humber11,67225.25%
297.Cheshire MidNorth West10,49025.27%
298.Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and TweeddaleScotland11,17725.28%
299.BanburySouth East12,18425.29%
300.GowerWales11,95025.30%

View Reform UK held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

2029 General Election
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