Liberal Democrat Target Seats

Below are lists of Liberal Democrat target seats showing which constituencies can be most easily won from an opposing party relative to the latest elections.

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Liberal Democrat Target Seats 2029

Below is the list of Liberal Democrat target seats for the 2029 general election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Liberal Democrat held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

(order by swing needed)

Rank		Region	Majority over LD	Percent Majority
1.	Godalming and Ash	South East	891	1.63%
2.	Farnham and Bordon	South East	1,349	2.54%
3.	Hampshire East	South East	1,275	2.54%
4.	Shropshire South	West Midlands	1,624	3.14%
5.	Dorset North	South West	1,589	3.20%
6.	Romsey and Southampton North	South East	2,191	4.38%
7.	Exmouth and Exeter East	South West	3,341	6.51%
8.	Cotswolds North	South West	3,357	6.68%
9.	Torridge and Tavistock	South West	3,950	7.77%
10.	Burnley	North West	3,420	8.61%
11.	Hamble Valley	South East	4,802	8.89%
12.	Hertfordshire South West	East of England	4,456	9.23%
13.	Aylesbury	South East	4,641	9.29%
14.	Salisbury	South West	5,285	10.53%
15.	Buckinghamshire Mid	South East	5,872	10.88%
16.	Sevenoaks	South East	5,440	10.90%
17.	Hinckley and Bosworth	East Midlands	5,408	11.31%
18.	Beaconsfield	South East	5,455	11.43%
19.	Spelthorne	South East	5,328	11.54%
20.	Worcestershire West	West Midlands	6,547	11.97%
21.	Sussex Weald	South East	6,842	13.91%
22.	Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr	Wales	6,239	14.42%
23.	Cornwall South East	South West	7,386	14.99%
24.	Windsor	South East	6,944	15.35%
25.	Dorset South	South West	7,642	15.58%
26.	Christchurch	South West	7,455	15.75%
27.	Runnymede and Weybridge	South East	7,627	15.81%
28.	Sheffield Hallam	Yorkshire and the Humber	8,189	15.87%
29.	Fareham and Waterlooville	South East	8,028	16.02%
30.	Devon Central	South West	8,599	16.09%
31.	Bridgwater	South West	6,500	16.20%
32.	Gordon and Buchan	Scotland	7,111	16.22%
33.	Kenilworth and Southam	West Midlands	8,931	16.75%
34.	Maidstone and Malling	South East	7,771	16.75%
35.	East Grinstead and Uckfield	South East	8,480	16.83%
36.	Leicester East	East Midlands	8,197	17.55%
37.	Surrey East	South East	8,669	17.62%
38.	Suffolk Coastal	East of England	8,725	17.64%
39.	New Forest West	South East	8,226	17.75%
40.	Solihull West and Shirley	West Midlands	8,368	17.85%
41.	Bromsgrove	West Midlands	9,142	18.14%
42.	Wiltshire South West	South West	8,412	18.22%
43.	Watford	East of England	8,131	18.29%
44.	Wiltshire East	South West	8,645	18.32%
45.	Argyll, Bute and Lochaber South	Scotland	8,223	18.33%
46.	Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard	East of England	8,479	18.41%
47.	Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley	West Midlands	8,087	19.44%
48.	Poole	South West	8,661	19.47%
49.	Suffolk South	East of England	9,658	19.79%
50.	Hampshire North West	South East	10,144	19.96%
51.	Isle of Wight East	South East	6,877	20.18%
52.	Bermondsey and Old Southwark	London	7,787	20.71%
53.	Leicestershire South	East Midlands	10,643	20.72%
54.	Norfolk South West	East of England	9,229	20.82%
55.	Daventry	East Midlands	11,117	20.94%
56.	Hereford and Herefordshire South	West Midlands	9,546	20.95%
57.	Suffolk Central and Ipswich North	East of England	9,737	20.97%
58.	Birmingham Yardley	West Midlands	7,641	21.14%
59.	Norfolk North West	East of England	9,605	21.55%
60.	Broadland and Fakenham	East of England	10,796	21.80%
61.	Bognor Regis and Littlehampton	South East	10,597	22.16%
62.	Arundel and South Downs	South East	12,134	22.17%
63.	Somerset North	South West	12,017	22.35%
64.	New Forest East	South East	10,214	22.58%
65.	Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine	Scotland	11,086	22.64%
66.	Reigate	South East	12,049	22.67%
67.	Bracknell	South East	10,015	22.85%
68.	Faversham and Mid Kent	South East	10,658	22.87%
69.	Havant	South East	9,711	23.02%
70.	Wrekin, The	West Midlands	11,563	23.12%
71.	Cardiff East	Wales	9,097	23.25%
72.	Norfolk South	East of England	11,607	23.41%
73.	Devon South West	South West	12,365	23.67%
74.	Bethnal Green and Stepney	London	11,119	23.84%
75.	St Austell and Newquay	South West	11,153	23.87%
76.	Reading West and Mid Berkshire	South East	11,170	24.00%
77.	Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey	Scotland	11,176	24.01%
78.	Essex North West	East of England	13,305	24.46%
79.	Hertfordshire North East	East of England	12,895	24.55%
80.	Brentwood and Ongar	East of England	11,922	24.67%
81.	Bromley and Biggin Hill	London	11,577	24.74%
82.	Gainsborough	East Midlands	11,635	24.92%
83.	Suffolk West	East of England	11,530	24.98%
84.	Dumfries and Galloway	Scotland	11,435	24.98%
85.	Derbyshire Dales	East Midlands	12,899	25.16%
86.	Basildon and Billericay	East of England	10,613	25.19%
87.	Southport	North West	11,384	25.26%
88.	Blackburn	North West	9,829	25.28%
89.	Ribble Valley	North West	13,176	25.33%
90.	Bournemouth West	South West	10,054	25.51%
91.	Gloucester	South West	11,713	25.63%
92.	Rochdale	North West	10,211	25.73%
93.	Huntingdon	East of England	13,436	25.82%
94.	Sittingbourne and Sheppey	South East	10,598	25.85%
95.	Wyre Forest	West Midlands	11,680	25.86%
96.	Bedfordshire Mid	East of England	12,844	25.88%
97.	Northumberland North	North East	12,686	25.97%
98.	Cambridgeshire North West	East of England	11,593	26.10%
99.	Earley and Woodley	South East	12,067	26.28%
100.	Cambridge	East of England	11,078	26.31%
101.	Wycombe	South East	11,799	26.43%
102.	Northamptonshire South	East Midlands	14,202	26.45%
103.	Aberdeen South	Scotland	12,292	26.52%
104.	Bexhill and Battle	South East	12,713	26.62%
105.	Hemel Hempstead	East of England	11,748	26.63%
106.	Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket	East of England	13,591	26.71%
107.	Oldham East and Saddleworth	North West	10,705	26.72%
108.	Harwich and Essex North	East of England	12,961	26.98%
109.	Beverley and Holderness	Yorkshire and the Humber	12,115	26.98%
110.	Preston	North West	10,811	27.03%
111.	Maldon	East of England	13,492	27.07%
112.	Ashford	South East	12,817	27.28%
113.	Bridlington and the Wolds	Yorkshire and the Humber	11,749	27.36%
114.	Skipton and Ripon	Yorkshire and the Humber	14,639	27.39%
115.	Hornchurch and Upminster	London	12,879	27.45%
116.	Harborough, Oadby and Wigston	East Midlands	13,882	27.55%
117.	Portsmouth North	South East	11,464	27.56%
118.	Chester South and Eddisbury	North West	14,475	27.58%
119.	Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale	Scotland	12,199	27.59%
120.	Colchester	East of England	12,411	27.64%
121.	Orpington	London	12,776	27.73%
122.	Lichfield	West Midlands	13,660	27.82%
123.	Peterborough	East of England	11,672	27.88%
124.	Buckingham and Bletchley	South East	13,302	27.92%
125.	Aberdeenshire North and Moray East	Scotland	10,673	27.95%
126.	Cities of London and Westminster	London	10,967	27.97%
127.	Bedfordshire North	East of England	14,428	27.98%
128.	Basildon South and Thurrock East	East of England	11,107	28.08%
129.	Chatham and Aylesford	South East	11,514	28.19%
130.	Llanelli	Wales	11,497	28.22%
131.	Truro and Falmouth	South West	14,231	28.31%
132.	Aberdeen North	Scotland	11,950	28.39%
133.	Thirsk and Malton	Yorkshire and the Humber	14,165	28.45%
134.	Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North	West Midlands	9,713	28.45%
135.	Rayleigh and Wickford	East of England	13,688	28.53%
136.	Forest of Dean	South West	13,769	28.63%
137.	Fylde	North West	13,797	28.77%
138.	Stirling and Strathallan	Scotland	14,326	28.78%
139.	Southend West and Leigh	East of England	13,565	28.88%
140.	Slough	South East	12,606	29.13%
141.	Swansea West	Wales	10,394	29.15%
142.	Luton South and Bedfordshire South	East of England	11,193	29.16%
143.	Halifax	Yorkshire and the Humber	11,776	29.28%
144.	Banbury	South East	14,116	29.30%
145.	Tatton	North West	15,342	29.56%
146.	Bradford West	Yorkshire and the Humber	10,968	29.58%
147.	Weston-Super-Mare	South West	12,554	29.62%
148.	Braintree	East of England	14,535	29.65%
149.	Dartford	South East	13,208	29.69%
150.	Durham North	North East	12,354	29.72%
151.	Norfolk Mid	East of England	13,644	29.73%
152.	Herne Bay and Sandwich	South East	14,534	29.77%
153.	Redditch	West Midlands	12,645	29.84%
154.	Droitwich and Evesham	West Midlands	14,844	29.92%
155.	Bangor Aberconwy	Wales	12,484	29.97%
156.	Pendle and Clitheroe	North West	14,090	30.14%
157.	Hyndburn	North West	10,976	30.18%
158.	Arbroath and Broughty Ferry	Scotland	13,332	30.22%
159.	Pembrokeshire Mid and South	Wales	14,133	30.31%
160.	Witham	East of England	15,388	30.41%
161.	Perth and Kinross-shire	Scotland	15,247	30.45%
162.	Meriden and Solihull East	West Midlands	13,439	30.52%
163.	Romford	London	13,444	30.52%
164.	Broxbourne	East of England	13,122	30.55%
165.	Epping Forest	East of England	12,770	30.58%
166.	Isle of Wight West	South East	10,514	30.66%
167.	Folkestone and Hythe	South East	13,284	30.72%
168.	Hertford and Stortford	East of England	16,641	30.81%
169.	Caerfyrddin	Wales	14,059	30.83%
170.	Morecambe and Lunesdale	North West	14,834	30.87%
171.	Rutland and Stamford	East Midlands	14,996	30.87%
172.	Stoke-on-Trent South	West Midlands	12,644	30.88%
173.	Penrith and Solway	North West	15,244	30.93%
174.	Oldham West, Chadderton and Royton	North West	11,961	31.01%
175.	Lowestoft	East of England	12,975	31.02%
176.	Ilford North	London	14,559	31.05%
177.	Sleaford and North Hykeham	East Midlands	15,084	31.06%
178.	Bexleyheath and Crayford	London	13,513	31.09%
179.	Ynys Mon	Wales	10,151	31.11%
180.	Croydon South	London	15,373	31.13%
181.	Gosport	South East	13,791	31.15%
182.	Dudley	West Midlands	11,159	31.17%
183.	Northampton South	East Midlands	13,697	31.20%
184.	Altrincham and Sale West	North West	16,071	31.23%
185.	Goole and Pocklington	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,601	31.36%
186.	Leicestershire North West	East Midlands	15,242	31.38%
187.	Shrewsbury	West Midlands	16,210	31.44%
188.	Walsall and Bloxwich	West Midlands	11,697	31.45%
189.	Clwyd North	Wales	13,109	31.49%
190.	Derbyshire Mid	East Midlands	14,985	31.52%
191.	Rochester and Strood	South East	13,509	31.71%
192.	Tamworth	West Midlands	13,887	31.71%
193.	Chelsea and Fulham	London	14,945	31.72%
194.	Worcester	West Midlands	14,636	31.79%
195.	Leicester South	East Midlands	13,314	31.82%
196.	Leicestershire Mid	East Midlands	15,291	31.82%
197.	Staffordshire Moorlands	West Midlands	13,811	31.89%
198.	Camborne and Redruth	South West	15,247	31.91%
199.	Burton and Uttoxeter	West Midlands	14,559	31.91%
200.	Ceredigion Preseli	Wales	14,789	31.94%
201.	Grantham and Bourne	East Midlands	14,743	31.96%
202.	Weald of Kent	South East	16,227	32.00%
203.	Milton Keynes Central	South East	15,278	32.01%
204.	Birmingham Perry Barr	West Midlands	12,001	32.02%
205.	Congleton	North West	16,090	32.10%
206.	Uxbridge and Ruislip South	London	14,847	32.34%
207.	Tonbridge	South East	16,283	32.35%
208.	Gillingham and Rainham	South East	13,314	32.36%
209.	Aldershot	South East	15,712	32.37%
210.	Louth and Horncastle	East Midlands	15,077	32.44%
211.	Cardiff West	Wales	14,521	32.44%
212.	Durham, City of	North East	13,211	32.52%
213.	Melton and Syston	East Midlands	14,979	32.57%
214.	Great Yarmouth	East of England	13,283	32.60%
215.	Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk	Scotland	15,186	32.62%
216.	Bradford East	Yorkshire and the Humber	12,188	32.75%
217.	Hull East	Yorkshire and the Humber	9,795	32.85%
218.	Bradford South	Yorkshire and the Humber	10,879	32.92%
219.	Sutton Coldfield	West Midlands	15,915	32.93%
220.	Broxtowe	East Midlands	15,754	32.93%
221.	Carlisle	North West	15,147	32.94%
222.	Gateshead Central and Whickham	North East	13,258	32.97%
223.	Warwickshire North and Bedworth	West Midlands	13,499	32.97%
224.	Somerset North East and Hanham	South West	16,861	32.98%
225.	Chingford and Woodford Green	London	16,006	32.99%
226.	Wetherby and Easingwold	Yorkshire and the Humber	17,246	33.00%
227.	Luton North	East of England	12,787	33.00%
228.	Halesowen	West Midlands	12,762	33.08%
229.	Southend East and Rochford	East of England	13,126	33.10%
230.	Kettering	East Midlands	16,652	33.15%
231.	Sunderland Central	North East	13,250	33.16%
232.	Rugby	West Midlands	16,281	33.22%
233.	Huddersfield	Yorkshire and the Humber	13,360	33.26%
234.	Canterbury	South East	15,719	33.28%
235.	Amber Valley	East Midlands	14,156	33.28%
236.	Hitchin	East of England	17,154	33.30%
237.	Stevenage	East of England	14,231	33.32%
238.	Poplar and Limehouse	London	14,346	33.32%
239.	Caerphilly	Wales	12,750	33.35%
240.	Crawley	South East	15,248	33.41%
241.	Old Bexley and Sidcup	London	15,983	33.55%
242.	Newark	East Midlands	17,942	33.56%
243.	Derbyshire North East	East Midlands	15,432	33.65%
244.	Hendon	London	13,889	33.67%
245.	Nuneaton	West Midlands	13,876	33.67%
246.	Kensington and Bayswater	London	14,115	33.68%
247.	Angus and Perthshire Glens	Scotland	15,986	33.76%
248.	South Holland and the Deepings	East Midlands	15,517	33.78%
249.	Bolton North East	North West	14,659	33.81%
250.	Dundee Central	Scotland	13,142	33.83%
251.	Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock	Scotland	13,849	33.83%
252.	Bournemouth East	South West	15,234	33.92%
253.	Derby South	East Midlands	12,696	33.95%
254.	Brigg and Immingham	Yorkshire and the Humber	14,463	34.02%
255.	Cannock Chase	West Midlands	14,642	34.09%
256.	Ealing Central and Acton	London	16,284	34.09%
257.	Derbyshire South	East Midlands	15,600	34.11%
258.	Edinburgh North and Leith	Scotland	16,926	34.21%
259.	Dover and Deal	South East	16,345	34.21%
260.	Croydon East	London	14,978	34.21%
261.	Edinburgh South West	Scotland	15,649	34.27%
262.	Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven	South East	13,944	34.27%
263.	Heywood and Middleton North	North West	12,767	34.38%
264.	Erewash	East Midlands	14,798	34.41%
265.	Southampton Itchen	South East	13,098	34.42%
266.	Brent West	London	14,245	34.43%
267.	Stourbridge	West Midlands	13,731	34.43%
268.	Harlow	East of England	14,963	34.51%
269.	Bolton West	North West	15,397	34.52%
270.	Cambridgeshire North East	East of England	13,530	34.54%
271.	York Outer	Yorkshire and the Humber	17,665	34.57%
272.	Aldridge-Brownhills	West Midlands	14,146	34.58%
273.	Welwyn Hatfield	East of England	16,760	34.59%
274.	Leeds North West	Yorkshire and the Humber	17,241	34.64%
275.	Milton Keynes North	South East	15,953	34.70%
276.	Loughborough	East Midlands	14,688	34.76%
277.	Clwyd East	Wales	16,625	34.76%
278.	Castle Point	East of England	14,144	34.81%
279.	Wrexham	Wales	14,059	34.82%
280.	Exeter	South West	14,024	34.89%
281.	Birmingham Northfield	West Midlands	13,138	34.89%
282.	Gravesham	South East	15,089	34.90%
283.	Worthing West	South East	17,811	34.93%
284.	Sherwood Forest	East Midlands	17,003	34.94%
285.	Boston and Skegness	East Midlands	14,145	34.96%
286.	Tipton and Wednesbury	West Midlands	11,163	35.05%
287.	Darlington	North East	14,886	35.13%
288.	Vale of Glamorgan	Wales	16,128	35.19%
289.	Ossett and Denby Dale	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,447	35.21%
290.	Bedford	East of England	14,317	35.21%
291.	Newcastle-under-Lyme	West Midlands	14,005	35.35%
292.	Southampton Test	South East	12,693	35.45%
293.	Hampstead and Highgate	London	17,251	35.53%
294.	Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme	Yorkshire and the Humber	13,956	35.66%
295.	Brentford and Isleworth	London	16,144	35.67%
296.	Kingswinford and Staffordshire South	West Midlands	16,119	35.68%
297.	Spen Valley	Yorkshire and the Humber	14,651	35.68%
298.	Rother Valley	Yorkshire and the Humber	14,848	35.69%
299.	Wakefield and Rothwell	Yorkshire and the Humber	14,524	35.72%
300.	Scarborough and Whitby	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,859	35.86%
301.	Swindon North	South West	15,844	35.87%
302.	Portsmouth South	South East	13,971	35.89%
303.	Hastings and Rye	South East	16,548	35.98%
304.	Neath and Swansea East	Wales	14,453	36.01%
305.	South Ribble	North West	16,868	36.10%
306.	Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner	London	17,023	36.15%
307.	Basingstoke	South East	17,746	36.22%
308.	Livingston	Scotland	16,299	36.35%
309.	Bristol South	South West	15,800	36.40%
310.	Bridgend	Wales	15,070	36.42%
311.	Newport West and Islwyn	Wales	15,322	36.52%
312.	Stafford	West Midlands	16,855	36.63%
313.	Colne Valley	Yorkshire and the Humber	16,963	36.70%
314.	Bassetlaw	East Midlands	16,480	36.72%
315.	Thanet East	South East	15,689	36.73%
316.	Wellingborough and Rushden	East Midlands	16,164	36.75%
317.	Feltham and Heston	London	14,318	36.82%
318.	Monmouthshire	Wales	18,731	36.84%
319.	Putney	London	18,170	36.86%
320.	Blackpool North and Fleetwood	North West	15,426	36.90%
321.	Ilford South	London	15,197	36.91%
322.	Edinburgh East and Musselburgh	Scotland	16,841	36.95%
323.	Hertsmere	East of England	17,741	36.96%
324.	Redcar	North East	14,121	36.97%
325.	Bolsover	East Midlands	15,719	37.04%
326.	Cardiff South and Penarth	Wales	14,520	37.06%
327.	Penistone and Stocksbridge	Yorkshire and the Humber	16,303	37.08%
328.	Plymouth Moor View	South West	15,899	37.10%
329.	Mansfield	East Midlands	15,249	37.11%
330.	Bolton South and Walkden	North West	13,709	37.12%
331.	Pontypridd	Wales	14,619	37.12%
332.	Newport East	Wales	14,325	37.18%
333.	Scunthorpe	Yorkshire and the Humber	14,542	37.24%
334.	Cardiff North	Wales	17,681	37.24%
335.	South Shields	North East	13,720	37.26%
336.	Chipping Barnet	London	18,971	37.30%
337.	Ayrshire North and Arran	Scotland	15,816	37.42%
338.	Rotherham	Yorkshire and the Humber	13,847	37.49%
339.	Finchley and Golders Green	London	18,482	37.50%
340.	Dewsbury and Batley	Yorkshire and the Humber	14,301	37.57%
341.	Alyn and Deeside	Wales	16,330	37.63%
342.	Lincoln	East Midlands	15,890	37.69%
343.	Stoke-on-Trent North	West Midlands	13,668	37.81%
344.	Birmingham Ladywood	West Midlands	13,847	37.86%
345.	Gower	Wales	17,887	37.87%
346.	Torfaen	Wales	13,532	37.90%
347.	Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East	North East	14,436	37.95%
348.	Corby and Northamptonshire East	East Midlands	18,829	37.97%
349.	Newcastle upon Tyne North	North East	18,504	38.06%
350.	Rossendale and Darwen	North West	17,006	38.11%
351.	Keighley and Ilkley	Yorkshire and the Humber	17,619	38.16%
352.	Northampton North	East Midlands	15,958	38.17%
353.	Ipswich	East of England	16,858	38.25%
354.	Filton and Bradley Stoke	South West	19,309	38.34%
355.	Rushcliffe	East Midlands	22,158	38.37%
356.	Makerfield	North West	15,467	38.41%
357.	Leicester West	East Midlands	13,619	38.48%
358.	Dunfermline and Dollar	Scotland	17,155	38.52%
359.	Harrow West	London	17,429	38.52%
360.	Cheshire Mid	North West	15,992	38.53%
361.	Battersea	London	18,157	38.56%
362.	Worthing East and Shoreham	South East	18,940	38.59%
363.	Richmond and Northallerton	Yorkshire and the Humber	18,737	38.61%
364.	Glasgow South	Scotland	16,380	38.65%
365.	Eltham and Chislehurst	London	17,646	38.73%
366.	Birmingham Edgbaston	West Midlands	14,497	38.73%
367.	Bishop Auckland	North East	15,663	38.74%
368.	Glasgow North	Scotland	13,513	38.90%
369.	Reading Central	South East	17,635	38.94%
370.	Warrington South	North West	19,372	39.00%
371.	Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes	Yorkshire and the Humber	14,300	39.05%
372.	Bristol East	South West	18,035	39.11%
373.	Birmingham Selly Oak	West Midlands	15,047	39.16%
374.	Calder Valley	Yorkshire and the Humber	19,459	39.23%
375.	Waveney Valley	East of England	19,253	39.23%
376.	Crewe and Nantwich	North West	18,551	39.31%
377.	Stockton West	North East	19,169	39.41%
378.	Leeds South West and Morley	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,883	39.50%
379.	Stoke-on-Trent Central	West Midlands	13,951	39.53%
380.	Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge	West Midlands	16,928	39.58%
381.	Stratford and Bow	London	17,219	39.64%
382.	Thurrock	East of England	14,893	39.65%
383.	Norwich South	East of England	17,907	39.71%
384.	Glenrothes and Mid Fife	Scotland	14,390	39.82%
385.	Hull North and Cottingham	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,234	39.85%
386.	Wolverhampton North East	West Midlands	13,280	39.89%
387.	Manchester Withington	North West	16,654	39.91%
388.	Barrow and Furness	North West	16,857	39.93%
389.	Warrington North	North West	15,993	39.94%
390.	Ashton-under-Lyne	North West	14,164	39.94%
391.	Hull West and Haltemprice	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,250	39.94%
392.	Dagenham and Rainham	London	15,538	39.98%
393.	Bury North	North West	18,308	40.22%
394.	Wirral West	North West	20,101	40.24%
395.	Herefordshire North	West Midlands	20,300	40.31%
396.	Chesterfield	East Midlands	16,763	40.34%
397.	Birmingham Erdington	West Midlands	13,646	40.38%
398.	Falkirk	Scotland	17,251	40.47%
399.	Bristol North East	South West	17,040	40.58%
400.	West Ham and Beckton	London	14,828	40.79%
401.	Beckenham and Penge	London	21,317	40.82%
402.	Warwick and Leamington	West Midlands	20,094	40.84%
403.	Streatham and Croydon North	London	18,201	40.85%
404.	Telford	West Midlands	16,652	40.88%
405.	Norwich North	East of England	18,721	40.91%
406.	Glasgow South West	Scotland	14,594	40.92%
407.	Stalybridge and Hyde	North West	15,240	40.92%
408.	Oxford East	South East	16,104	40.93%
409.	Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West	North East	16,929	40.94%
410.	Alloa and Grangemouth	Scotland	16,888	40.99%
411.	Leyton and Wanstead	London	17,940	41.02%
412.	Derby North	East Midlands	16,797	41.05%
413.	Bristol North West	South West	19,899	41.06%
414.	Stroud	South West	22,694	41.10%
415.	Nottingham South	East Midlands	13,520	41.12%
416.	Wolverhampton West	West Midlands	17,955	41.13%
417.	Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare	Wales	14,515	41.22%
418.	Ashfield	East Midlands	16,443	41.23%
419.	Ayrshire Central	Scotland	17,108	41.30%
420.	Houghton and Sunderland South	North East	16,547	41.33%
421.	Bury South	North West	17,451	41.34%
422.	Stockport	North West	18,063	41.35%
423.	Lancaster and Wyre	North West	17,786	41.36%
424.	Renfrewshire East	Scotland	20,785	41.38%
425.	Glasgow East	Scotland	14,671	41.39%
426.	Hexham	North East	21,612	41.70%
427.	Barking	London	15,212	41.70%
428.	Coventry South	West Midlands	17,830	41.73%
429.	Clacton	East of England	19,209	41.80%
430.	Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy	Scotland	17,069	41.82%
431.	Bathgate and Linlithgow	Scotland	17,603	41.85%
432.	Leeds Central and Headingley	Yorkshire and the Humber	13,242	41.91%
433.	Ealing North	London	18,120	41.91%
434.	Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch	Scotland	17,219	42.02%
435.	Macclesfield	North West	22,190	42.03%
436.	Clapham and Brixton Hill	London	18,005	42.13%
437.	Shipley	Yorkshire and the Humber	20,397	42.23%
438.	Coventry North West	West Midlands	17,765	42.27%
439.	High Peak	East Midlands	20,826	42.32%
440.	Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor	North East	16,903	42.42%
441.	Southgate and Wood Green	London	19,412	42.50%
442.	West Bromwich	West Midlands	15,558	42.65%
443.	Selby	Yorkshire and the Humber	20,996	42.66%
444.	Gedling	East Midlands	20,805	42.70%
445.	Sheffield South East	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,289	42.74%
446.	Stockton North	North East	15,995	42.77%
447.	Midlothian	Scotland	18,891	42.77%
448.	Kilmarnock and Loudoun	Scotland	18,205	42.86%
449.	Hammersmith and Chiswick	London	19,781	42.98%
450.	Doncaster Central	Yorkshire and the Humber	16,316	43.00%
451.	Ealing Southall	London	20,168	43.08%
452.	Newcastle upon Tyne East and Wallsend	North East	18,235	43.09%
453.	Holborn and St Pancras	London	16,648	43.13%
454.	Manchester Central	North West	17,133	43.13%
455.	Nottingham North and Kimberley	East Midlands	15,144	43.26%
456.	Wigan	North West	17,709	43.30%
457.	Worsley and Eccles	North West	18,426	43.31%
458.	Enfield North	London	18,851	43.34%
459.	Edmonton and Winchmore Hill	London	17,799	43.36%
460.	Glasgow West	Scotland	17,305	43.37%
461.	Barnsley South	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,227	43.40%
462.	Washington and Gateshead South	North East	16,080	43.43%
463.	East Lothian	Scotland	20,906	43.46%
464.	Queens Park and Maida Vale	London	16,709	43.58%
465.	Leeds East	Yorkshire and the Humber	17,165	43.58%
466.	Plymouth Sutton and Devonport	South West	18,354	43.60%
467.	Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West	Scotland	17,672	43.80%
468.	Paisley and Renfrewshire North	Scotland	18,187	43.80%
469.	Normanton and Hemsworth	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,956	43.90%
470.	St Helens South and Whiston	North West	16,720	43.96%
471.	Glasgow North East	Scotland	15,047	44.14%
472.	Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,876	44.15%
473.	Middlesbrough and Thornaby East	North East	15,201	44.18%
474.	Islington South and Finsbury	London	18,901	44.21%
475.	Paisley and Renfrewshire South	Scotland	18,268	44.25%
476.	Brent East	London	16,735	44.27%
477.	Swindon South	South West	19,833	44.28%
478.	Stretford and Urmston	North West	20,426	44.40%
479.	Croydon West	London	16,945	44.45%
480.	Hartlepool	North East	15,842	44.61%
481.	Leigh and Atherton	North West	18,374	44.63%
482.	Blaydon and Consett	North East	18,887	44.74%
483.	Leeds West and Pudsey	Yorkshire and the Humber	17,233	44.77%
484.	Cramlington and Killingworth	North East	20,376	44.89%
485.	Tynemouth	North East	21,782	44.99%
486.	Smethwick	West Midlands	15,840	45.11%
487.	Blackpool South	North West	15,875	45.13%
488.	Chester North and Neston	North West	20,182	45.16%
489.	Sheffield Heeley	Yorkshire and the Humber	17,367	45.17%
490.	Rhondda and Ogmore	Wales	16,183	45.20%
491.	Vauxhall and Camberwell Green	London	16,979	45.23%
492.	Sheffield Central	Yorkshire and the Humber	14,395	45.26%
493.	Rawmarsh and Conisbrough	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,475	45.64%
494.	Islington North	London	22,459	45.83%
495.	Lancashire West	North West	20,262	45.84%
496.	Blyth and Ashington	North East	18,597	46.03%
497.	Hornsey and Friern Barnet	London	22,436	46.12%
498.	Coventry East	West Midlands	17,081	46.15%
499.	Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough	Yorkshire and the Humber	14,607	46.21%
500.	East Kilbride and Strathaven	Scotland	21,608	46.26%
501.	Salford	North West	18,380	46.29%
502.	Hamilton and Clyde Valley	Scotland	19,509	46.36%
503.	Rutherglen	Scotland	19,746	46.48%
504.	Easington	North East	15,963	46.51%
505.	Hove and Portslade	South East	24,163	46.55%
506.	Jarrow and Gateshead East	North East	17,116	46.60%
507.	Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles)	Scotland	6,310	46.64%
508.	Dunbartonshire West	Scotland	18,473	46.67%
509.	Leeds North East	Yorkshire and the Humber	21,092	46.70%
510.	Birkenhead	North West	20,176	46.78%
511.	Tooting	London	24,771	46.79%
512.	Barnsley North	Yorkshire and the Humber	17,274	46.82%
513.	Gorton and Denton	North West	17,156	46.93%
514.	Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke	Scotland	18,346	47.01%
515.	Greenwich and Woolwich	London	20,134	47.13%
516.	Aberafan Maesteg	Wales	16,922	47.33%
517.	Mitcham and Morden	London	21,463	47.43%
518.	Edinburgh South	Scotland	22,230	47.47%
519.	Wythenshawe and Sale East	North West	18,611	47.56%
520.	Runcorn and Helsby	North West	20,209	47.85%
521.	Wolverhampton South East	West Midlands	16,042	48.06%
522.	Coatbridge and Bellshill	Scotland	18,620	48.08%
523.	St Helens North	North West	19,485	48.14%
524.	East Ham	London	18,360	48.45%
525.	Blackley and Middleton South	North West	15,272	48.73%
526.	Nottingham East	East Midlands	17,753	48.77%
527.	Doncaster North	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,186	48.98%
528.	Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney	Wales	14,759	49.32%
529.	Airdrie and Shotts	Scotland	18,146	49.49%
530.	York Central	Yorkshire and the Humber	21,486	49.59%
531.	Leeds South	Yorkshire and the Humber	15,777	49.80%
532.	Hayes and Harlington	London	19,089	49.82%
533.	Harrow East	London	23,955	50.14%
534.	Lewisham North	London	22,183	50.23%
535.	Whitehaven and Workington	North West	21,055	50.32%
536.	Erith and Thamesmead	London	20,374	50.46%
537.	Dwyfor Meirionnydd	Wales	20,407	50.52%
538.	Liverpool Garston	North West	21,271	50.65%
539.	Sefton Central	North West	24,142	50.88%
540.	Liverpool Wavertree	North West	20,318	51.03%
541.	Lewisham West and Dulwich East	London	23,848	51.38%
542.	Peckham	London	20,089	51.78%
543.	Brighton Pavilion	South East	27,205	51.95%
544.	Ellesmere Port and Bromborough	North West	21,858	52.09%
545.	Lewisham East	London	21,175	52.11%
546.	Dulwich and West Norwood	London	23,871	52.60%
547.	Tottenham	London	21,138	52.65%
548.	Wallasey	North West	22,831	53.41%
549.	Bristol Central	South West	23,377	53.91%
550.	Hackney South and Shoreditch	London	22,728	54.50%
551.	Walthamstow	London	25,436	55.47%
552.	Hackney North and Stoke Newington	London	22,793	55.65%
553.	Liverpool Riverside	North West	18,495	57.12%
554.	Widnes and Halewood	North West	21,891	57.43%
555.	Liverpool West Derby	North West	24,026	63.22%
556.	Knowsley	North West	23,011	63.84%
557.	Bootle	North West	25,428	65.40%
558.	Liverpool Walton	North West	25,087	68.01%

View Liberal Democrat held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

Liberal Democrat Target Seats for the 2026 Scottish Parliament Election

Below is the list of Liberal Democrat target seats for the 2026 Scottish Parliament election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Liberal Democrat held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Scottish Parliament election.

(order by swing needed)

Rank		Region	Majority over LD	Percent Majority
1.	Caithness Sutherland and Ross	Highlands and Islands	2,591	7.02%
2.	Argyll and Bute	Highlands and Islands	9,734	29.00%
3.	Strathkelvin and Bearsden	West Scotland	14,389	31.12%
4.	Edinburgh Central	Lothian	13,721	32.89%
5.	Aberdeen South and North Kincardine	North East Scotland	13,611	34.89%
6.	East Lothian	South Scotland	16,412	35.85%
7.	Aberdeenshire East	North East Scotland	14,911	36.35%
8.	Edinburgh Pentlands	Lothian	14,014	36.66%
9.	Glasgow Kelvin	Glasgow	13,558	37.62%
10.	Aberdeenshire West	North East Scotland	16,346	39.13%
11.	Perthshire South and Kinross-shire	Mid Scotland and Fife	17,303	39.26%
12.	Clydebank and Milngavie	West Scotland	14,800	39.30%
13.	Eastwood	West Scotland	17,000	39.81%
14.	Midlothian South, Tweeddale and Lauderdale	South Scotland	17,192	39.95%
15.	Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley	South Scotland	14,365	40.33%
16.	Skye, Lochaber and Badenoch	Highlands and Islands	17,414	40.35%
17.	Clydesdale	South Scotland	16,452	40.40%
18.	Aberdeen Central	North East Scotland	12,800	40.46%
19.	Edinburgh Southern	Lothian	18,571	41.03%
20.	Dunfermline	Mid Scotland and Fife	16,852	41.16%

View Liberal Democrat held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Scottish Parliament election.

Liberal Democrat Target Seats for the 2026 Senedd Election

Below is the list of Liberal Democrat target seats for the 2026 Senedd election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Liberal Democrat held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Senedd election.

(order by swing needed)

Rank		Region	Majority over LD	Percent Majority
1.	Brecon and Radnorshire	Mid and West Wales	3,820	11.89%
2.	Cardiff Central	South Wales Central	7,640	26.78%
3.	Montgomeryshire	Mid and West Wales	7,806	31.24%
4.	Carmarthen West and Pembrokeshire South	Mid and West Wales	10,016	31.64%
5.	Wrexham	North Wales	7,697	34.05%
6.	Preseli Pembrokeshire	Mid and West Wales	11,343	35.99%
7.	Monmouth	South Wales East	13,440	37.46%
8.	Clwyd West	North Wales	10,681	37.66%
9.	Vale of Clwyd	North Wales	10,010	38.42%
10.	Aberconwy	North Wales	9,080	38.57%
11.	Islwyn	South Wales East	9,486	38.75%
12.	Bridgend	South Wales West	11,606	39.39%
13.	Pontypridd	South Wales Central	10,883	39.49%
14.	Swansea West	South Wales West	9,481	39.51%
15.	Clwyd South	North Wales	9,718	40.15%

View Liberal Democrat held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Senedd election.

2029 General Election

Poll of Polls

Seat-By-Seat Forecast

Custom Swingometer 2029

LAB - Targets | Defence

CON - Targets | Defence

LD - Targets | Defence

REF - Targets | Defence

GRN - Targets | Defence

2024 General Election Results