Liberal Democrat Target Seats

Below are lists of Liberal Democrat target seats showing which constituencies can be most easily won from an opposing party relative to the latest elections.

Liberal Democrat Target Seats 2024

Below is the list of Liberal Democrat target seats for the 2024 general election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Liberal Democrat held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

(order by swing needed)

RankConstituencyRegionMajority over LDPercent Majority
1.Carshalton and WallingtonLondon6291.28%
2.Fife North EastScotland7281.40%
3.WimbledonLondon8391.48%
4.Sheffield HallamYorkshire and the Humber1,1081.84%
5.Cambridgeshire SouthEast of England1,4982.49%
6.CheltenhamSouth West1,4212.50%
7.Dunbartonshire MidScotland1,9863.38%
8.CheadleNorth West2,3364.18%
9.EastbourneSouth East2,1684.23%
10.Caithness, Sutherland and Easter RossScotland2,7885.29%
11.Esher and WaltonSouth East3,0155.37%
12.GuildfordSouth East3,1175.93%
13.LewesSouth East4,1267.42%
14.Hazel GroveNorth West4,2198.36%
15.Westmorland and LonsdaleNorth West5,1409.48%
16.St IvesSouth West5,2279.70%
17.Finchley and Golders GreenLondon6,62911.96%
18.Cities of London and WestminsterLondon6,30712.10%
19.WinchesterSouth East9,05014.16%
20.Taunton and WellingtonSouth West8,53615.68%
21.Harrogate and KnaresboroughYorkshire and the Humber8,78715.82%
22.CambridgeEast of England8,09916.28%
23.Ceredigion PreseliWales8,48416.42%
24.Sutton and CheamLondon8,35116.54%
25.WokingSouth East8,68317.00%
26.Brecon, Radnor and Cwm TaweWales9,09117.39%
27.EastleighSouth East8,64117.43%
28.Didcot and WantageSouth East10,02318.44%
29.Bermondsey and Old SouthwarkLondon8,51518.56%
30.Kensington and BayswaterLondon10,34618.88%
31.Dorking and HorleySouth East10,38118.89%
32.Godalming and AshSouth East10,72019.25%
33.Dorset WestSouth West12,38821.43%
34.Chelsea and FulhamLondon11,85621.64%
35.Henley and ThameSouth East11,90122.10%
36.NewburySouth East11,46022.48%
37.WokinghamSouth East12,75023.18%
38.HitchinEast of England12,62123.35%
39.Hampstead and HighgateLondon13,40023.35%
40.Durham, City ofNorth East12,31124.00%
41.Beckenham and PengeLondon14,46124.04%
42.WatfordEast of England11,71524.26%
43.St Neots and Mid CambridgeshireEast of England12,25024.48%
44.Ely and Cambridgeshire EastEast of England13,44924.69%
45.Devon SouthSouth West13,71925.32%
46.Wells and Mendip HillsSouth West14,29525.33%
47.Sussex MidSouth East13,66525.81%
48.Frome and Somerset EastSouth West12,39525.84%
49.Thornbury and YateSouth West14,53825.92%
50.ChippenhamSouth West13,20026.13%
51.Farnham and BordonSouth East13,57726.55%
52.Devon NorthSouth West14,81326.65%
53.Glastonbury and SomertonSouth West14,18326.66%
54.Tunbridge WellsSouth East14,64526.80%
55.Earley and WoodleySouth East13,77526.95%
56.Harpenden and BerkhamstedEast of England15,04426.99%
57.YeovilSouth West14,63827.04%
58.Leeds North WestYorkshire and the Humber15,09927.12%
59.Bicester and WoodstockSouth East14,20527.32%
60.PutneyLondon15,23127.43%
61.Norfolk NorthEast of England14,49228.11%
62.East LothianScotland14,47828.24%
63.ChelmsfordEast of England15,41628.64%
64.Cornwall NorthSouth West15,78329.19%
65.Romsey and Southampton NorthSouth East16,25129.36%
66.Epsom and EwellSouth East16,85629.37%
67.Surrey HeathSouth East15,55229.48%
68.AylesburySouth East17,25429.81%
69.Cowdenbeath and KirkcaldyScotland14,07429.85%
70.Argyll, Bute and Lochaber SouthScotland15,23130.03%
71.Dorset Mid and Poole NorthSouth West16,57030.18%
72.Runnymede and WeybridgeSouth East16,07230.24%
73.Cotswolds SouthSouth West16,09230.25%
74.Newcastle upon Tyne NorthNorth East16,43530.35%
75.Melksham and DevizesSouth West17,02830.54%
76.Aberdeenshire West and KincardineScotland16,49930.93%
77.York OuterYorkshire and the Humber16,95130.96%
78.HorshamSouth East17,35331.07%
79.RushcliffeEast Midlands18,67231.07%
80.BatterseaLondon17,14131.21%
81.Edinburgh North and LeithScotland18,40931.28%
82.ChesterfieldEast Midlands14,18631.39%
83.Pontefract, Castleford and KnottingleyYorkshire and the Humber12,96031.40%
84.WycombeSouth East14,90331.56%
85.Hornsey and Friern BarnetLondon16,60731.61%
86.BanburySouth East16,06231.61%
87.WitneySouth East15,67432.09%
88.Warwick and LeamingtonWest Midlands16,92032.41%
89.BurnleyNorth West15,44232.78%
90.Hull West and HaltempriceYorkshire and the Humber13,84933.27%
91.Newton AbbotSouth West17,45633.31%
92.HartlepoolNorth East13,76833.55%
93.Inverness, Skye and Ross-shire WestScotland17,04033.55%
94.MaidenheadSouth East17,10133.59%
95.Houghton and Sunderland SouthNorth East15,09433.70%
96.Chesham and AmershamSouth East18,21633.91%
97.Wakefield and RothwellYorkshire and the Humber16,66133.94%
98.Brentford and IsleworthLondon17,55334.01%
99.BedfordEast of England15,99134.31%
100.RotherhamYorkshire and the Humber14,98234.42%
101.MidlothianScotland16,64034.51%
102.Aberdeen SouthScotland17,32534.57%
103.Gordon and BuchanScotland16,47334.61%
104.Doncaster NorthYorkshire and the Humber13,91034.71%
105.Bathgate and LinlithgowScotland16,42534.79%
106.TorbaySouth West17,75134.83%
107.Gateshead Central and WhickhamNorth East14,64934.86%
108.Ealing Central and ActonLondon18,51634.95%
109.Barnsley NorthYorkshire and the Humber15,55334.97%
110.Sunderland CentralNorth East15,31135.22%
111.Doncaster CentralYorkshire and the Humber16,24035.27%
112.Normanton and HemsworthYorkshire and the Humber15,32135.33%
113.RutherglenScotland17,60135.45%
114.East Grinstead and UckfieldSouth East20,29135.45%
115.Stratford-on-AvonWest Midlands19,02035.51%
116.ReigateSouth East19,22035.52%
117.Clapham and Brixton HillLondon17,29135.55%
118.Bangor AberconwyWales17,21335.56%
119.SalisburySouth West18,84835.74%
120.Dunfermline and DollarScotland17,43135.85%
121.Truro and FalmouthSouth West19,86135.99%
122.TewkesburySouth West19,44336.10%
123.Warrington SouthNorth West19,65836.32%
124.Rawmarsh and ConisbroughYorkshire and the Humber14,74936.38%
125.Hull EastYorkshire and the Humber12,44936.67%
126.Newport West and IslwynWales17,81236.70%
127.Alyn and DeesideWales19,27936.83%
128.Montgomeryshire and GlyndwrWales18,87136.85%
129.Hampshire EastSouth East20,20036.87%
130.Hammersmith and ChiswickLondon19,66136.90%
131.Somerset NorthSouth West20,98636.91%
132.Altrincham and Sale WestNorth West20,27537.02%
133.Milton Keynes CentralSouth East19,54637.12%
134.AshfieldEast Midlands15,94837.13%
135.WindsorSouth East18,59537.17%
136.Portsmouth SouthSouth East17,65037.22%
137.Perth and Kinross-shireScotland21,05737.28%
138.Bury SouthNorth West18,51537.30%
139.Islington South and FinsburyLondon19,45837.32%
140.Durham NorthNorth East17,83937.32%
141.Renfrewshire EastScotland20,70337.40%
142.Harborough, Oadby and WigstonEast Midlands19,72537.51%
143.Washington and Gateshead SouthNorth East16,02337.53%
144.Coventry SouthWest Midlands17,56837.53%
145.Warrington NorthNorth West17,51237.62%
146.Buckingham and BletchleySouth East19,79437.62%
147.Penistone and StocksbridgeYorkshire and the Humber18,63437.63%
148.ColchesterEast of England18,48437.65%
149.Chipping BarnetLondon22,03237.71%
150.TorfaenWales16,45937.79%
151.Dumfries and GallowayScotland19,86437.84%
152.Derby NorthEast Midlands17,80937.88%
153.CaerfyrddinWales20,20537.88%
154.SouthportNorth West18,87537.90%
155.Morecambe and LunesdaleNorth West21,14538.00%
156.Edinburgh SouthScotland20,16438.02%
157.Edinburgh South WestScotland19,85938.09%
158.Coventry North WestWest Midlands18,20138.12%
159.Oldham East and SaddleworthNorth West17,66538.27%
160.Barnsley SouthYorkshire and the Humber14,37338.32%
161.ChichesterSouth East19,62238.46%
162.Bromley and Biggin HillLondon18,87238.47%
163.TootingLondon22,50638.49%
164.Cheshire MidNorth West18,08838.56%
165.ShrewsburyWest Midlands19,88038.56%
166.BridgendWales18,07838.70%
167.Leigh and AthertonNorth West17,37938.85%
168.Heywood and Middleton NorthNorth West16,49438.86%
169.Ayr, Carrick and CumnockScotland18,11438.88%
170.Cramlington and KillingworthNorth East18,81139.13%
171.Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and TweeddaleScotland19,93639.17%
172.AldershotSouth East20,38539.33%
173.Eltham and ChislehurstLondon20,11039.36%
174.BasingstokeSouth East20,16939.41%
175.Blaydon and ConsettNorth East18,51039.41%
176.Wirral WestNorth West22,11439.46%
177.Hertfordshire South WestEast of England20,08839.48%
178.Norfolk SouthEast of England20,49939.53%
179.Hampshire North EastSouth East22,43339.54%
180.Bournemouth EastSouth West19,53939.61%
181.Hamilton and Clyde ValleyScotland18,78839.62%
182.Somerset North East and HanhamSouth West22,81039.71%
183.East Kilbride and StrathavenScotland20,75539.73%
184.Maidstone and MallingSouth East19,44839.77%
185.Welwyn HatfieldEast of England20,60539.78%
186.Northumberland NorthNorth East21,01339.84%
187.GowerWales21,63039.88%
188.Reading West and Mid BerkshireSouth East19,72239.89%
189.Moray West, Nairn and StrathspeyScotland22,63439.93%
190.Surrey EastSouth East20,56539.95%
191.TynemouthNorth East21,58640.02%
192.Hull North and CottinghamYorkshire and the Humber18,04440.15%
193.Ruislip, Northwood and PinnerLondon20,99640.18%
194.BridgwaterSouth West18,12640.28%
195.Devon CentralSouth West22,86340.31%
196.HendonLondon18,39040.34%
197.Streatham and Croydon NorthLondon20,70240.35%
198.Berwickshire, Roxburgh and SelkirkScotland21,46040.38%
199.Greenwich and WoolwichLondon19,14140.43%
200.MakerfieldNorth West18,27140.48%
201.Spen ValleyYorkshire and the Humber19,13140.52%
202.South ShieldsNorth East18,56740.54%
203.Stalybridge and HydeNorth West17,19840.59%
204.Croydon SouthLondon20,84040.60%
205.Bolton North EastNorth West20,24840.62%
206.Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles)Scotland5,89440.71%
207.Newton Aycliffe and SpennymoorNorth East17,67440.75%
208.Bristol North WestSouth West23,81240.77%
209.High PeakEast Midlands22,09440.78%
210.HalifaxYorkshire and the Humber19,51740.83%
211.Clwyd NorthWales20,97840.90%
212.Hertford and StortfordEast of England23,07240.97%
213.Filton and Bradley StokeSouth West21,11040.99%
214.Airdrie and ShottsScotland19,01541.04%
215.Inverclyde and Renfrewshire WestScotland19,01341.04%
216.LivingstonScotland20,21941.05%
217.Glasgow WestScotland19,41041.07%
218.Hertfordshire North EastEast of England22,73041.08%
219.TattonNorth West22,76641.10%
220.Hamble ValleySouth East23,48841.18%
221.Birmingham NorthfieldWest Midlands18,12241.24%
222.Worsley and EcclesNorth West20,45141.26%
223.Blyth and AshingtonNorth East17,73941.26%
224.Ayrshire CentralScotland19,20341.27%
225.Rother ValleyYorkshire and the Humber18,78041.29%
226.Paisley and Renfrewshire NorthScotland19,31741.30%
227.Suffolk CoastalEast of England21,63741.32%
228.WiganNorth West18,61441.33%
229.Cotswolds NorthSouth West20,99741.34%
230.Vauxhall and Camberwell GreenLondon19,22541.40%
231.Motherwell, Wishaw and CarlukeScotland18,85741.41%
232.Croydon EastLondon20,99941.48%
233.Arundel and South DownsSouth East24,10541.49%
234.BracknellSouth East19,46741.52%
235.PeterboroughEast of England19,63941.58%
236.Hampshire North WestSouth East21,50741.61%
237.Hastings and RyeSouth East21,91241.68%
238.Dagenham and RainhamLondon18,33841.68%
239.Buckinghamshire MidSouth East22,64841.77%
240.Newport EastWales19,38741.78%
241.Southampton TestSouth East18,80741.80%
242.Tiverton and MineheadSouth West20,66541.82%
243.Wiltshire South WestSouth West19,75941.83%
244.Torridge and TavistockSouth West22,89941.89%
245.MacclesfieldNorth West22,60841.97%
246.Edinburgh East and MusselburghScotland21,94542.00%
247.Essex North WestEast of England23,22742.02%
248.Kenilworth and SouthamWest Midlands23,46542.07%
249.Runcorn and HelsbyNorth West20,37042.07%
250.Sheffield South EastYorkshire and the Humber19,73742.09%
251.Fareham and WaterloovilleSouth East21,27642.23%
252.Nottingham North and KimberleyEast Midlands18,18442.25%
253.WrexhamWales19,92042.27%
254.Glasgow SouthScotland20,52742.28%
255.Glasgow South WestScotland18,20242.31%
256.SevenoaksSouth East21,79342.33%
257.Chingford and Woodford GreenLondon23,12942.36%
258.Glasgow NorthScotland17,59842.37%
259.Oxford EastSouth East19,34742.43%
260.MonmouthshireWales22,49742.55%
261.Leicester WestEast Midlands16,43542.58%
262.Worcestershire WestWest Midlands24,49942.58%
263.Clwyd EastWales22,50142.60%
264.EasingtonNorth East16,98442.62%
265.Jarrow and Gateshead EastNorth East17,26842.63%
266.GedlingEast Midlands23,10842.71%
267.Stockton NorthNorth East18,41342.71%
268.RedcarNorth East19,10342.72%
269.Cornwall South EastSouth West22,31942.72%
270.CanterburySouth East24,52542.90%
271.LoughboroughEast Midlands22,15342.93%
272.Arbroath and Broughty FerryScotland22,38242.94%
273.Neath and Swansea EastWales19,25342.95%
274.Wolverhampton WestWest Midlands21,90943.01%
275.Bradford SouthYorkshire and the Humber17,59143.02%
276.Cardiff NorthWales23,54843.04%
277.Broadland and FakenhamEast of England22,75943.09%
278.LincolnEast Midlands21,84543.15%
279.CaerphillyWales19,46043.18%
280.Keighley and IlkleyYorkshire and the Humber22,72543.20%
281.Ashton-under-LyneNorth West17,89343.24%
282.Worthing East and ShorehamSouth East22,98043.25%
283.RochdaleNorth West18,21143.30%
284.Leeds EastYorkshire and the Humber19,25343.31%
285.Stoke-on-Trent CentralWest Midlands17,60743.36%
286.Dorset NorthSouth West23,19543.38%
287.PooleSouth West21,20543.45%
288.StroudSouth West26,37743.46%
289.Plymouth Sutton and DevonportSouth West21,43143.50%
290.Bournemouth WestSouth West19,90943.52%
291.Paisley and Renfrewshire SouthScotland20,06443.54%
292.Wolverhampton South EastWest Midlands16,65943.58%
293.Chester South and EddisburyNorth West24,25743.58%
294.WorcesterWest Midlands22,19043.60%
295.Hemel HempsteadEast of England21,39443.60%
296.Skipton and RiponYorkshire and the Humber24,78243.65%
297.SpelthorneSouth East21,64243.71%
298.West BromwichWest Midlands18,11243.77%
299.BolsoverEast Midlands20,05143.90%
300.Aberdeenshire North and Moray EastScotland20,14643.90%
301.Swindon SouthSouth West21,77643.97%
302.Stirling and StrathallanScotland25,42943.99%
303.Colne ValleyYorkshire and the Humber22,88744.02%
304.Lancaster and WyreNorth West21,73744.02%
305.Norwich SouthEast of England22,61344.07%
306.Northampton NorthEast Midlands22,52144.09%
307.Chester North and NestonNorth West23,80044.14%
308.Ayrshire North and ArranScotland21,26944.17%
309.Brent WestLondon21,38444.18%
310.Bury NorthNorth West23,64644.22%
311.Coatbridge and BellshillScotland20,35544.35%
312.Glasgow North EastScotland18,92644.35%
313.StevenageEast of England21,19644.45%
314.Whitehaven and WorkingtonNorth West21,95144.46%
315.Glasgow EastScotland18,36644.59%
316.BroxtoweEast Midlands23,81344.66%
317.St Austell and NewquaySouth West24,65644.75%
318.Leeds West and PudseyYorkshire and the Humber21,47344.77%
319.Southampton ItchenSouth East21,44944.79%
320.Camborne and RedruthSouth West23,10144.79%
321.Poplar and LimehouseLondon23,16744.84%
322.Harrow WestLondon22,33044.85%
323.Cardiff WestWales23,30244.86%
324.Norwich NorthEast of England22,85644.89%
325.ShipleyYorkshire and the Humber24,24944.90%
326.Derby SouthEast Midlands19,06944.91%
327.Milton Keynes NorthSouth East21,68744.92%
328.HexhamNorth East24,23544.93%
329.Swansea WestWales19,87544.97%
330.FalkirkScotland21,90644.97%
331.DarlingtonNorth East20,85545.04%
332.Glenrothes and Mid FifeScotland19,04545.05%
333.Birmingham EdgbastonWest Midlands20,55245.07%
334.Feltham and HestonLondon19,79145.10%
335.Aberdeen NorthScotland22,64145.17%
336.Brighton Kemptown and PeacehavenSouth East22,33545.19%
337.HuntingdonEast of England25,45345.20%
338.Bristol North EastSouth West22,10445.20%
339.PontypriddWales20,61545.23%
340.Solihull West and ShirleyWest Midlands22,69745.23%
341.Leicester EastEast Midlands21,84745.29%
342.Blackpool SouthNorth West19,21845.31%
343.Bristol SouthSouth West21,90545.38%
344.Weston-Super-MareSouth West20,82845.40%
345.IpswichEast of England22,51345.41%
346.Angus and Perthshire GlensScotland25,70645.46%
347.Dunbartonshire WestScotland21,21445.51%
348.Dwyfor MeirionnyddWales23,03145.59%
349.HyndburnNorth West19,33945.60%
350.StockportNorth West20,99445.62%
351.Crewe and NantwichNorth West22,93845.70%
352.Uxbridge and Ruislip SouthLondon23,34145.71%
353.Kilmarnock and LoudounScotland21,77245.71%
354.South RibbleNorth West22,53645.78%
355.Sefton CentralNorth West26,22545.94%
356.Worthing WestSouth East24,22046.08%
357.Birmingham ErdingtonWest Midlands19,16946.19%
358.Reading CentralSouth East23,81946.22%
359.Derbyshire DalesEast Midlands24,94046.25%
360.Leeds North EastYorkshire and the Humber23,35946.26%
361.Walsall and BloxwichWest Midlands21,11546.27%
362.Calder ValleyYorkshire and the Humber26,13346.29%
363.Folkestone and HytheSouth East20,74646.31%
364.Wythenshawe and Sale EastNorth West20,74446.35%
365.Cumbernauld and KirkintillochScotland22,39346.45%
366.Hinckley and BosworthEast Midlands22,85146.45%
367.HuddersfieldYorkshire and the Humber22,93746.47%
368.Penrith and SolwayNorth West26,02046.57%
369.Mitcham and MordenLondon24,07946.63%
370.Blaenau Gwent and RhymneyWales19,63946.66%
371.Cardiff South and PenarthWales23,50246.66%
372.St Helens NorthNorth West22,20246.68%
373.Rutland and StamfordEast Midlands25,53746.69%
374.Coventry EastWest Midlands19,93146.69%
375.Enfield NorthLondon23,78446.81%
376.Exmouth and Exeter EastSouth West26,13746.81%
377.Sussex WealdSouth East23,16446.87%
378.GloucesterSouth West23,96746.91%
379.Cardiff EastWales21,95346.93%
380.Alloa and GrangemouthScotland21,62446.97%
381.Nottingham SouthEast Midlands21,24947.09%
382.Harrow EastLondon24,62547.10%
383.Sheffield HeeleyYorkshire and the Humber21,54947.16%
384.Newcastle-under-LymeWest Midlands22,33847.16%
385.Lancashire WestNorth West24,89847.28%
386.OrpingtonLondon23,16347.31%
387.Ealing NorthLondon23,15247.48%
388.Tipton and WednesburyWest Midlands18,17647.58%
389.BassetlawEast Midlands22,73147.68%
390.Doncaster East and the Isle of AxholmeYorkshire and the Humber20,54847.69%
391.Corby and Northamptonshire EastEast Midlands25,76347.81%
392.Harwich and Essex NorthEast of England25,86747.83%
393.Southgate and Wood GreenLondon25,22347.85%
394.Dunstable and Leighton BuzzardEast of England23,13147.92%
395.Bedfordshire MidEast of England24,61447.96%
396.Bedfordshire NorthEast of England26,95747.96%
397.Queens Park and Maida ValeLondon21,50948.01%
398.Bognor Regis and LittlehamptonSouth East25,66748.11%
399.Luton South and Bedfordshire SouthEast of England21,71748.15%
400.ChristchurchSouth West25,03448.24%

View Liberal Democrat held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.

Liberal Democrat Target Seats for the 2026 Scottish Parliament Election

Below is the list of Liberal Democrat target seats for the 2026 Scottish Parliament election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Liberal Democrat held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Scottish Parliament election.

(order by swing needed)

RankConstituencyRegionMajority over LDPercent Majority
1.Caithness Sutherland and RossHighlands and Islands2,5917.02%
2.Argyll and ButeHighlands and Islands9,73429.00%
3.Strathkelvin and BearsdenWest Scotland14,38931.12%
4.Edinburgh CentralLothian13,72132.89%
5.Aberdeen South and North KincardineNorth East Scotland13,61134.89%
6.East LothianSouth Scotland16,41235.85%
7.Aberdeenshire EastNorth East Scotland14,91136.35%
8.Edinburgh PentlandsLothian14,01436.66%
9.Glasgow KelvinGlasgow13,55837.62%
10.Aberdeenshire WestNorth East Scotland16,34639.13%
11.Perthshire South and Kinross-shireMid Scotland and Fife17,30339.26%
12.Clydebank and MilngavieWest Scotland14,80039.30%
13.EastwoodWest Scotland17,00039.81%
14.Midlothian South, Tweeddale and LauderdaleSouth Scotland17,19239.95%
15.Carrick, Cumnock and Doon ValleySouth Scotland14,36540.33%
16.Skye, Lochaber and BadenochHighlands and Islands17,41440.35%
17.ClydesdaleSouth Scotland16,45240.40%
18.Aberdeen CentralNorth East Scotland12,80040.46%
19.Edinburgh SouthernLothian18,57141.03%
20.DunfermlineMid Scotland and Fife16,85241.16%

View Liberal Democrat held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Scottish Parliament election.

Liberal Democrat Target Seats for the 2026 Senedd Election

Below is the list of Liberal Democrat target seats for the 2026 Senedd election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.

View Liberal Democrat held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Senedd election.

(order by swing needed)

RankConstituencyRegionMajority over LDPercent Majority
1.Brecon and RadnorshireMid and West Wales3,82011.89%
2.Cardiff CentralSouth Wales Central7,64026.78%
3.MontgomeryshireMid and West Wales7,80631.24%
4.Carmarthen West and Pembrokeshire SouthMid and West Wales10,01631.64%
5.WrexhamNorth Wales7,69734.05%
6.Preseli PembrokeshireMid and West Wales11,34335.99%
7.MonmouthSouth Wales East13,44037.46%
8.Clwyd WestNorth Wales10,68137.66%
9.Vale of ClwydNorth Wales10,01038.42%
10.AberconwyNorth Wales9,08038.57%
11.IslwynSouth Wales East9,48638.75%
12.BridgendSouth Wales West11,60639.39%
13.PontypriddSouth Wales Central10,88339.49%
14.Swansea WestSouth Wales West9,48139.51%
15.Clwyd SouthNorth Wales9,71840.15%

View Liberal Democrat held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Senedd election.

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