Below are lists of Conservative target seats showing which constituencies can be most easily won from an opposing party relative to the latest elections.
Below is the list of Conservative target seats for the 2029 general election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.
View Conservative held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.
| Rank | Constituency | Region | Majority over CON | Percent Majority | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Hendon | London | 15 | 0.04% | |
| 2. | Poole | South West | 18 | 0.04% | |
| 3. | Cambridgeshire North West | East of England | 39 | 0.09% | |
| 4. | Peterborough | East of England | 118 | 0.28% | |
| 5. | Chelsea and Fulham | London | 152 | 0.32% | |
| 6. | Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East | North East | 214 | 0.56% | |
| 7. | Forest of Dean | South West | 278 | 0.58% | |
| 8. | Derbyshire Dales | East Midlands | 350 | 0.68% | |
| 9. | Sittingbourne and Sheppey | South East | 355 | 0.87% | |
| 10. | Ely and Cambridgeshire East | East of England | 495 | 0.95% | |
| 11. | Hampshire North East | South East | 634 | 1.14% | |
| 12. | Somerset North | South West | 639 | 1.19% | |
| 13. | Aylesbury | South East | 630 | 1.26% | |
| 14. | Uxbridge and Ruislip South | London | 587 | 1.28% | |
| 15. | Norfolk South West | East of England | 630 | 1.42% | |
| 16. | Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard | East of England | 667 | 1.45% | |
| 17. | Stoke-on-Trent South | West Midlands | 627 | 1.53% | |
| 18. | Ribble Valley | North West | 856 | 1.65% | |
| 19. | Lichfield | West Midlands | 810 | 1.65% | |
| 20. | Bracknell | South East | 784 | 1.79% | |
| 21. | Earley and Woodley | South East | 848 | 1.85% | |
| 22. | Redditch | West Midlands | 789 | 1.86% | |
| 23. | Portsmouth North | South East | 780 | 1.88% | |
| 24. | Pendle and Clitheroe | North West | 902 | 1.93% | |
| 25. | Ynys Mon | Wales | 637 | 1.95% | |
| 26. | Leicestershire North West | East Midlands | 1,012 | 2.08% | |
| 27. | Dorset South | South West | 1,048 | 2.14% | |
| 28. | Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey | Scotland | 1,001 | 2.15% | |
| 29. | Suffolk Coastal | East of England | 1,070 | 2.16% | |
| 30. | Rother Valley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 998 | 2.40% | |
| 31. | Aberdeenshire North and Moray East | Scotland | 942 | 2.47% | |
| 32. | Dartford | South East | 1,192 | 2.68% | |
| 33. | Dorset Mid and Poole North | South West | 1,352 | 2.73% | |
| 34. | Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket | East of England | 1,452 | 2.85% | |
| 35. | Clwyd North | Wales | 1,196 | 2.87% | |
| 36. | Reading West and Mid Berkshire | South East | 1,361 | 2.92% | |
| 37. | Tamworth | West Midlands | 1,382 | 3.16% | |
| 38. | Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe | Wales | 1,472 | 3.16% | |
| 39. | Eastleigh | South East | 1,546 | 3.33% | |
| 40. | Hertfordshire North East | East of England | 1,923 | 3.66% | |
| 41. | Ashford | South East | 1,779 | 3.79% | |
| 42. | Derbyshire North East | East Midlands | 1,753 | 3.82% | |
| 43. | Cornwall South East | South West | 1,911 | 3.88% | |
| 44. | Derbyshire Mid | East Midlands | 1,878 | 3.95% | |
| 45. | Pembrokeshire Mid and South | Wales | 1,878 | 4.03% | |
| 46. | Southend West and Leigh | East of England | 1,949 | 4.15% | |
| 47. | Horsham | South East | 2,517 | 4.54% | |
| 48. | Hyndburn | North West | 1,687 | 4.64% | |
| 49. | Newton Abbot | South West | 2,246 | 4.68% | |
| 50. | Melksham and Devizes | South West | 2,401 | 4.69% | |
| 51. | Lowestoft | East of England | 2,016 | 4.82% | |
| 52. | Newbury | South East | 2,377 | 4.86% | |
| 53. | Bexleyheath and Crayford | London | 2,114 | 4.86% | |
| 54. | Chatham and Aylesford | South East | 1,998 | 4.89% | |
| 55. | Burton and Uttoxeter | West Midlands | 2,266 | 4.97% | |
| 56. | Boston and Skegness | East Midlands | 2,010 | 4.97% | |
| 57. | Buckingham and Bletchley | South East | 2,421 | 5.08% | |
| 58. | Basildon South and Thurrock East | East of England | 2,019 | 5.11% | |
| 59. | St Austell and Newquay | South West | 2,470 | 5.29% | |
| 60. | Dudley | West Midlands | 1,900 | 5.31% | |
| 61. | Warwickshire North and Bedworth | West Midlands | 2,198 | 5.37% | |
| 62. | Darlington | North East | 2,298 | 5.42% | |
| 63. | Norfolk North | East of England | 2,585 | 5.49% | |
| 64. | Thornbury and Yate | South West | 3,014 | 5.65% | |
| 65. | Norfolk South | East of England | 2,826 | 5.70% | |
| 66. | Chipping Barnet | London | 2,914 | 5.73% | |
| 67. | Harlow | East of England | 2,504 | 5.78% | |
| 68. | Maidenhead | South East | 2,963 | 5.89% | |
| 69. | Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme | Yorkshire and the Humber | 2,311 | 5.91% | |
| 70. | Gravesham | South East | 2,712 | 6.27% | |
| 71. | Monmouthshire | Wales | 3,338 | 6.57% | |
| 72. | Congleton | North West | 3,387 | 6.76% | |
| 73. | Banbury | South East | 3,256 | 6.76% | |
| 74. | Epsom and Ewell | South East | 3,686 | 6.76% | |
| 75. | Rochester and Strood | South East | 2,930 | 6.88% | |
| 76. | Cities of London and Westminster | London | 2,708 | 6.91% | |
| 77. | Kensington and Bayswater | London | 2,903 | 6.93% | |
| 78. | Hexham | North East | 3,713 | 7.16% | |
| 79. | Cannock Chase | West Midlands | 3,125 | 7.28% | |
| 80. | Tiverton and Minehead | South West | 3,507 | 7.38% | |
| 81. | Gloucester | South West | 3,431 | 7.51% | |
| 82. | Kettering | East Midlands | 3,820 | 7.60% | |
| 83. | Stourbridge | West Midlands | 3,073 | 7.71% | |
| 84. | Worthing West | South East | 3,949 | 7.74% | |
| 85. | Welwyn Hatfield | East of England | 3,799 | 7.84% | |
| 86. | Sutton and Cheam | London | 3,801 | 7.98% | |
| 87. | Altrincham and Sale West | North West | 4,174 | 8.11% | |
| 88. | Bournemouth West | South West | 3,224 | 8.18% | |
| 89. | Perth and Kinross-shire | Scotland | 4,127 | 8.24% | |
| 90. | Nuneaton | West Midlands | 3,479 | 8.44% | |
| 91. | Aberdeen South | Scotland | 3,913 | 8.44% | |
| 92. | Mansfield | East Midlands | 3,485 | 8.48% | |
| 93. | Witney | South East | 4,339 | 8.58% | |
| 94. | Folkestone and Hythe | South East | 3,729 | 8.62% | |
| 95. | Redcar | North East | 3,323 | 8.70% | |
| 96. | St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire | East of England | 4,621 | 8.74% | |
| 97. | Hertford and Stortford | East of England | 4,748 | 8.79% | |
| 98. | Rugby | West Midlands | 4,428 | 9.04% | |
| 99. | Scunthorpe | Yorkshire and the Humber | 3,542 | 9.07% | |
| 100. | Derbyshire South | East Midlands | 4,168 | 9.11% | |
| 101. | Brent West | London | 3,793 | 9.17% | |
| 102. | Vale of Glamorgan | Wales | 4,216 | 9.20% | |
| 103. | Isle of Wight West | South East | 3,177 | 9.27% | |
| 104. | Northampton South | East Midlands | 4,071 | 9.27% | |
| 105. | Swindon North | South West | 4,103 | 9.29% | |
| 106. | Finchley and Golders Green | London | 4,581 | 9.29% | |
| 107. | Chelmsford | East of England | 4,753 | 9.37% | |
| 108. | Cotswolds South | South West | 4,973 | 9.51% | |
| 109. | Gillingham and Rainham | South East | 3,972 | 9.65% | |
| 110. | Clwyd East | Wales | 4,622 | 9.67% | |
| 111. | Bicester and Woodstock | South East | 4,958 | 9.87% | |
| 112. | Stafford | West Midlands | 4,595 | 9.99% | |
| 113. | Chesham and Amersham | South East | 5,451 | 10.01% | |
| 114. | Southend East and Rochford | East of England | 4,027 | 10.15% | |
| 115. | Wycombe | South East | 4,591 | 10.29% | |
| 116. | Angus and Perthshire Glens | Scotland | 4,870 | 10.29% | |
| 117. | Ossett and Denby Dale | Yorkshire and the Humber | 4,542 | 10.35% | |
| 118. | Northumberland North | North East | 5,067 | 10.37% | |
| 119. | Weston-Super-Mare | South West | 4,409 | 10.40% | |
| 120. | Somerset North East and Hanham | South West | 5,319 | 10.40% | |
| 121. | Watford | East of England | 4,723 | 10.62% | |
| 122. | Tipton and Wednesbury | West Midlands | 3,385 | 10.63% | |
| 123. | Penrith and Solway | North West | 5,257 | 10.67% | |
| 124. | Great Yarmouth | East of England | 4,351 | 10.68% | |
| 125. | Colne Valley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 4,963 | 10.74% | |
| 126. | Dorking and Horley | South East | 5,391 | 10.79% | |
| 127. | Hemel Hempstead | East of England | 4,857 | 11.01% | |
| 128. | Bolton West | North West | 4,945 | 11.09% | |
| 129. | Blackpool North and Fleetwood | North West | 4,647 | 11.11% | |
| 130. | Sherwood Forest | East Midlands | 5,443 | 11.19% | |
| 131. | Carlisle | North West | 5,200 | 11.31% | |
| 132. | Halesowen | West Midlands | 4,364 | 11.31% | |
| 133. | Didcot and Wantage | South East | 6,233 | 11.39% | |
| 134. | Waveney Valley | East of England | 5,594 | 11.40% | |
| 135. | Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr | Wales | 4,934 | 11.41% | |
| 136. | Burnley | North West | 4,540 | 11.43% | |
| 137. | Crawley | South East | 5,235 | 11.47% | |
| 138. | Frome and Somerset East | South West | 5,415 | 11.59% | |
| 139. | Torbay | South West | 5,349 | 11.60% | |
| 140. | Herefordshire North | West Midlands | 5,894 | 11.70% | |
| 141. | Aldershot | South East | 5,683 | 11.71% | |
| 142. | Loughborough | East Midlands | 4,960 | 11.74% | |
| 143. | Henley and Thame | South East | 6,267 | 11.79% | |
| 144. | Surrey Heath | South East | 5,640 | 11.80% | |
| 145. | Amber Valley | East Midlands | 5,021 | 11.81% | |
| 146. | Milton Keynes North | South East | 5,430 | 11.81% | |
| 147. | Bangor Aberconwy | Wales | 4,972 | 11.93% | |
| 148. | Morecambe and Lunesdale | North West | 5,815 | 12.10% | |
| 149. | Bournemouth East | South West | 5,479 | 12.20% | |
| 150. | Scarborough and Whitby | Yorkshire and the Humber | 5,408 | 12.23% | |
| 151. | Wellingborough and Rushden | East Midlands | 5,486 | 12.47% | |
| 152. | Sussex Mid | South East | 6,662 | 12.49% | |
| 153. | Barrow and Furness | North West | 5,324 | 12.61% | |
| 154. | Rossendale and Darwen | North West | 5,628 | 12.61% | |
| 155. | Corby and Northamptonshire East | East Midlands | 6,331 | 12.77% | |
| 156. | Newcastle-under-Lyme | West Midlands | 5,069 | 12.79% | |
| 157. | Southport | North West | 5,789 | 12.85% | |
| 158. | Bassetlaw | East Midlands | 5,768 | 12.85% | |
| 159. | Ilford North | London | 6,028 | 12.86% | |
| 160. | Rushcliffe | East Midlands | 7,426 | 12.86% | |
| 161. | Tewkesbury | South West | 6,262 | 12.90% | |
| 162. | Plymouth Moor View | South West | 5,604 | 13.08% | |
| 163. | Devon North | South West | 6,744 | 13.12% | |
| 164. | Honiton and Sidmouth | South West | 6,700 | 13.23% | |
| 165. | Basingstoke | South East | 6,484 | 13.24% | |
| 166. | Stratford-on-Avon | West Midlands | 7,122 | 13.45% | |
| 167. | Erewash | East Midlands | 5,859 | 13.62% | |
| 168. | Hitchin | East of England | 7,109 | 13.80% | |
| 169. | Glastonbury and Somerton | South West | 6,611 | 13.88% | |
| 170. | Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock | Scotland | 5,683 | 13.88% | |
| 171. | Argyll, Bute and Lochaber South | Scotland | 6,232 | 13.89% | |
| 172. | South Ribble | North West | 6,501 | 13.91% | |
| 173. | Stoke-on-Trent North | West Midlands | 5,082 | 14.06% | |
| 174. | Birmingham Northfield | West Midlands | 5,389 | 14.31% | |
| 175. | Devon South | South West | 7,127 | 14.54% | |
| 176. | Cheltenham | South West | 7,210 | 14.55% | |
| 177. | Caerfyrddin | Wales | 6,695 | 14.68% | |
| 178. | Harrow West | London | 6,642 | 14.68% | |
| 179. | Wrexham | Wales | 5,948 | 14.73% | |
| 180. | Dorset West | South West | 7,789 | 14.81% | |
| 181. | Stirling and Strathallan | Scotland | 7,387 | 14.84% | |
| 182. | Bolsover | East Midlands | 6,323 | 14.90% | |
| 183. | Spen Valley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 6,217 | 15.14% | |
| 184. | Bury North | North West | 6,944 | 15.25% | |
| 185. | Milton Keynes Central | South East | 7,291 | 15.28% | |
| 186. | Bolton North East | North West | 6,653 | 15.34% | |
| 187. | Wokingham | South East | 8,345 | 15.45% | |
| 188. | Worcester | West Midlands | 7,116 | 15.46% | |
| 189. | Stevenage | East of England | 6,618 | 15.49% | |
| 190. | Halifax | Yorkshire and the Humber | 6,269 | 15.59% | |
| 191. | Croydon East | London | 6,825 | 15.59% | |
| 192. | Walsall and Bloxwich | West Midlands | 5,835 | 15.69% | |
| 193. | Harrogate and Knaresborough | Yorkshire and the Humber | 8,238 | 15.82% | |
| 194. | Tunbridge Wells | South East | 8,687 | 16.01% | |
| 195. | Southampton Itchen | South East | 6,105 | 16.04% | |
| 196. | High Peak | East Midlands | 7,908 | 16.07% | |
| 197. | Truro and Falmouth | South West | 8,151 | 16.22% | |
| 198. | Wolverhampton North East | West Midlands | 5,422 | 16.29% | |
| 199. | Thanet East | South East | 6,971 | 16.32% | |
| 200. | Camborne and Redruth | South West | 7,806 | 16.34% | |
| 201. | Chippenham | South West | 8,138 | 16.44% | |
| 202. | Bishop Auckland | North East | 6,672 | 16.50% | |
| 203. | Slough | South East | 7,209 | 16.66% | |
| 204. | Ipswich | East of England | 7,403 | 16.80% | |
| 205. | Carshalton and Wallington | London | 7,905 | 16.94% | |
| 206. | Macclesfield | North West | 9,120 | 17.28% | |
| 207. | Guildford | South East | 8,429 | 17.45% | |
| 208. | Broxtowe | East Midlands | 8,403 | 17.57% | |
| 209. | Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North | West Midlands | 6,021 | 17.64% | |
| 210. | Shipley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 8,603 | 17.81% | |
| 211. | Luton South and Bedfordshire South | East of England | 6,858 | 17.87% | |
| 212. | Dover and Deal | South East | 8,570 | 17.94% | |
| 213. | Wolverhampton West | West Midlands | 7,868 | 18.02% | |
| 214. | Hazel Grove | North West | 8,317 | 18.08% | |
| 215. | Oldham East and Saddleworth | North West | 7,253 | 18.10% | |
| 216. | Blackburn | North West | 7,044 | 18.11% | |
| 217. | Calder Valley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 8,991 | 18.12% | |
| 218. | Clacton | East of England | 8,405 | 18.29% | |
| 219. | Canterbury | South East | 8,653 | 18.32% | |
| 220. | Colchester | East of England | 8,250 | 18.37% | |
| 221. | York Outer | Yorkshire and the Humber | 9,391 | 18.38% | |
| 222. | Eltham and Chislehurst | London | 8,429 | 18.50% | |
| 223. | Hastings and Rye | South East | 8,653 | 18.81% | |
| 224. | Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes | Yorkshire and the Humber | 7,067 | 19.30% | |
| 225. | Luton North | East of England | 7,510 | 19.38% | |
| 226. | Cambridgeshire South | East of England | 10,641 | 19.39% | |
| 227. | Worthing East and Shoreham | South East | 9,519 | 19.40% | |
| 228. | Harpenden and Berkhamsted | East of England | 10,708 | 19.71% | |
| 229. | Arbroath and Broughty Ferry | Scotland | 8,740 | 19.81% | |
| 230. | Filton and Bradley Stoke | South West | 10,000 | 19.85% | |
| 231. | Penistone and Stocksbridge | Yorkshire and the Humber | 8,739 | 19.88% | |
| 232. | Wirral West | North West | 9,998 | 20.02% | |
| 233. | Feltham and Heston | London | 7,944 | 20.43% | |
| 234. | Aberdeen North | Scotland | 8,652 | 20.55% | |
| 235. | Crewe and Nantwich | North West | 9,727 | 20.61% | |
| 236. | Stroud | South West | 11,388 | 20.62% | |
| 237. | Cornwall North | South West | 10,767 | 20.68% | |
| 238. | Selby | Yorkshire and the Humber | 10,195 | 20.71% | |
| 239. | Llanelli | Wales | 8,476 | 20.80% | |
| 240. | Lincoln | East Midlands | 8,793 | 20.86% | |
| 241. | Leeds South West and Morley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 8,423 | 20.95% | |
| 242. | Bradford South | Yorkshire and the Humber | 6,980 | 21.12% | |
| 243. | Birmingham Yardley | West Midlands | 7,641 | 21.14% | |
| 244. | Huddersfield | Yorkshire and the Humber | 8,542 | 21.27% | |
| 245. | Thurrock | East of England | 8,041 | 21.41% | |
| 246. | Swindon South | South West | 9,606 | 21.44% | |
| 247. | Cardiff West | Wales | 9,607 | 21.46% | |
| 248. | Cheshire Mid | North West | 8,927 | 21.51% | |
| 249. | Lancaster and Wyre | North West | 9,253 | 21.51% | |
| 250. | Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley | West Midlands | 8,953 | 21.52% | |
| 251. | Northampton North | East Midlands | 9,014 | 21.56% | |
| 252. | Brentford and Isleworth | London | 9,824 | 21.71% | |
| 253. | Derby North | East Midlands | 8,915 | 21.79% | |
| 254. | Preston | North West | 8,794 | 21.99% | |
| 255. | Shrewsbury | West Midlands | 11,355 | 22.02% | |
| 256. | Rochdale | North West | 8,754 | 22.06% | |
| 257. | Wells and Mendip Hills | South West | 11,121 | 22.08% | |
| 258. | Bury South | North West | 9,361 | 22.18% | |
| 259. | Esher and Walton | South East | 12,003 | 22.28% | |
| 260. | Birmingham Edgbaston | West Midlands | 8,368 | 22.36% | |
| 261. | Warrington South | North West | 11,340 | 22.83% | |
| 262. | Wimbledon | London | 12,610 | 22.93% | |
| 263. | Bedford | East of England | 9,430 | 23.19% | |
| 264. | Telford | West Midlands | 9,484 | 23.29% | |
| 265. | Heywood and Middleton North | North West | 8,646 | 23.29% | |
| 266. | Woking | South East | 11,246 | 23.36% | |
| 267. | Bradford West | Yorkshire and the Humber | 8,669 | 23.38% | |
| 268. | Chichester | South East | 12,172 | 23.43% | |
| 269. | Bridgend | Wales | 9,752 | 23.57% | |
| 270. | Cardiff North | Wales | 11,207 | 23.61% | |
| 271. | Leicester South | East Midlands | 9,919 | 23.70% | |
| 272. | Norwich North | East of England | 10,850 | 23.71% | |
| 273. | Taunton and Wellington | South West | 11,939 | 23.74% | |
| 274. | Lewes | South East | 12,624 | 23.74% | |
| 275. | Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven | South East | 9,663 | 23.75% | |
| 276. | Oldham West, Chadderton and Royton | North West | 9,166 | 23.76% | |
| 277. | Coventry South | West Midlands | 10,201 | 23.87% | |
| 278. | Leeds North West | Yorkshire and the Humber | 11,896 | 23.90% | |
| 279. | Cheadle | North West | 12,235 | 24.12% | |
| 280. | Alyn and Deeside | Wales | 10,503 | 24.20% | |
| 281. | Winchester | South East | 13,821 | 24.22% | |
| 282. | Birmingham Perry Barr | West Midlands | 9,076 | 24.22% | |
| 283. | Durham North | North East | 10,070 | 24.23% | |
| 284. | Stockton North | North East | 9,100 | 24.33% | |
| 285. | Hartlepool | North East | 8,647 | 24.35% | |
| 286. | Gedling | East Midlands | 11,881 | 24.39% | |
| 287. | Gower | Wales | 11,567 | 24.49% | |
| 288. | Beckenham and Penge | London | 12,905 | 24.71% | |
| 289. | Stoke-on-Trent Central | West Midlands | 8,729 | 24.74% | |
| 290. | Leicester West | East Midlands | 8,777 | 24.80% | |
| 291. | Dagenham and Rainham | London | 9,645 | 24.82% | |
| 292. | Derby South | East Midlands | 9,311 | 24.90% | |
| 293. | Yeovil | South West | 12,268 | 25.06% | |
| 294. | Doncaster Central | Yorkshire and the Humber | 9,551 | 25.17% | |
| 295. | Warwick and Leamington | West Midlands | 12,412 | 25.23% | |
| 296. | Ilford South | London | 10,395 | 25.25% | |
| 297. | Putney | London | 12,488 | 25.33% | |
| 298. | Stalybridge and Hyde | North West | 9,448 | 25.37% | |
| 299. | Bath | South West | 12,224 | 25.40% | |
| 300. | Newport West and Islwyn | Wales | 10,699 | 25.50% | |
| 301. | Battersea | London | 12,039 | 25.57% | |
| 302. | Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor | North East | 10,199 | 25.60% | |
| 303. | Newport East | Wales | 9,883 | 25.65% | |
| 304. | Wakefield and Rothwell | Yorkshire and the Humber | 10,451 | 25.71% | |
| 305. | Ayrshire North and Arran | Scotland | 10,867 | 25.71% | |
| 306. | Chesterfield | East Midlands | 10,820 | 26.04% | |
| 307. | Southampton Test | South East | 9,333 | 26.07% | |
| 308. | West Bromwich | West Midlands | 9,554 | 26.19% | |
| 309. | Torfaen | Wales | 9,439 | 26.44% | |
| 310. | Caerphilly | Wales | 10,153 | 26.55% | |
| 311. | Chester North and Neston | North West | 11,870 | 26.56% | |
| 312. | Coventry North West | West Midlands | 11,174 | 26.59% | |
| 313. | Eastbourne | South East | 12,204 | 26.76% | |
| 314. | Renfrewshire East | Scotland | 13,441 | 26.76% | |
| 315. | Londonderry East | Northern Ireland | 11,319 | 27.42% | |
| 316. | Nottingham North and Kimberley | East Midlands | 9,693 | 27.69% | |
| 317. | Birmingham Erdington | West Midlands | 9,372 | 27.73% | |
| 318. | Sunderland Central | North East | 11,121 | 27.83% | |
| 319. | Reading Central | South East | 12,637 | 27.90% | |
| 320. | Bradford East | Yorkshire and the Humber | 10,648 | 28.61% | |
| 321. | St Ives | South West | 13,786 | 28.66% | |
| 322. | Hull West and Haltemprice | Yorkshire and the Humber | 10,951 | 28.68% | |
| 323. | Edinburgh South West | Scotland | 13,105 | 28.70% | |
| 324. | Ayrshire Central | Scotland | 11,944 | 28.84% | |
| 325. | Ealing North | London | 12,519 | 28.96% | |
| 326. | Middlesbrough and Thornaby East | North East | 10,064 | 29.25% | |
| 327. | Enfield North | London | 12,736 | 29.28% | |
| 328. | Ealing Central and Acton | London | 13,995 | 29.30% | |
| 329. | Doncaster North | Yorkshire and the Humber | 9,126 | 29.44% | |
| 330. | Bolton South and Walkden | North West | 10,923 | 29.58% | |
| 331. | Exeter | South West | 11,937 | 29.70% | |
| 332. | Leeds East | Yorkshire and the Humber | 11,712 | 29.73% | |
| 333. | South Shields | North East | 10,994 | 29.86% | |
| 334. | Bethnal Green and Stepney | London | 13,976 | 29.96% | |
| 335. | Birmingham Selly Oak | West Midlands | 11,537 | 30.03% | |
| 336. | Dewsbury and Batley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 11,459 | 30.10% | |
| 337. | Cramlington and Killingworth | North East | 13,682 | 30.14% | |
| 338. | Bristol North East | South West | 12,788 | 30.46% | |
| 339. | Cardiff East | Wales | 11,920 | 30.47% | |
| 340. | Cardiff South and Penarth | Wales | 11,969 | 30.55% | |
| 341. | Warrington North | North West | 12,244 | 30.58% | |
| 342. | Edmonton and Winchmore Hill | London | 12,632 | 30.78% | |
| 343. | Lancashire West | North West | 13,625 | 30.83% | |
| 344. | Hampstead and Highgate | London | 14,970 | 30.83% | |
| 345. | Shropshire North | West Midlands | 15,311 | 30.87% | |
| 346. | Bristol East | South West | 14,313 | 31.04% | |
| 347. | Bristol South | South West | 13,574 | 31.27% | |
| 348. | Nottingham South | East Midlands | 10,294 | 31.31% | |
| 349. | Hayes and Harlington | London | 12,031 | 31.40% | |
| 350. | Swansea West | Wales | 11,225 | 31.48% | |
| 351. | Ashton-under-Lyne | North West | 11,200 | 31.58% | |
| 352. | Pontypridd | Wales | 12,450 | 31.62% | |
| 353. | Worsley and Eccles | North West | 13,486 | 31.70% | |
| 354. | Tynemouth | North East | 15,455 | 31.92% | |
| 355. | Poplar and Limehouse | London | 13,797 | 32.05% | |
| 356. | Leeds West and Pudsey | Yorkshire and the Humber | 12,392 | 32.19% | |
| 357. | Oxford West and Abingdon | South East | 14,894 | 32.38% | |
| 358. | Blackpool South | North West | 11,412 | 32.44% | |
| 359. | Neath and Swansea East | Wales | 13,032 | 32.47% | |
| 360. | Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 11,683 | 32.49% | |
| 361. | Inverness, Skye and Ross-shire West | Scotland | 15,657 | 32.58% | |
| 362. | Coventry East | West Midlands | 12,068 | 32.60% | |
| 363. | Barking | London | 11,933 | 32.71% | |
| 364. | Leigh and Atherton | North West | 13,488 | 32.76% | |
| 365. | Whitehaven and Workington | North West | 13,718 | 32.79% | |
| 366. | Plymouth Sutton and Devonport | South West | 13,922 | 33.07% | |
| 367. | Livingston | Scotland | 14,855 | 33.13% | |
| 368. | Hammersmith and Chiswick | London | 15,290 | 33.22% | |
| 369. | Houghton and Sunderland South | North East | 13,323 | 33.28% | |
| 370. | Richmond Park | London | 17,155 | 33.30% | |
| 371. | Wolverhampton South East | West Midlands | 11,146 | 33.39% | |
| 372. | Southgate and Wood Green | London | 15,300 | 33.50% | |
| 373. | Ealing Southall | London | 15,793 | 33.73% | |
| 374. | Normanton and Hemsworth | Yorkshire and the Humber | 12,280 | 33.78% | |
| 375. | Gateshead Central and Whickham | North East | 13,617 | 33.86% | |
| 376. | Portsmouth South | South East | 13,214 | 33.94% | |
| 377. | Kingston and Surbiton | London | 17,235 | 34.02% | |
| 378. | Durham, City of | North East | 13,910 | 34.24% | |
| 379. | Sheffield Hallam | Yorkshire and the Humber | 17,670 | 34.24% | |
| 380. | Makerfield | North West | 13,823 | 34.33% | |
| 381. | Blyth and Ashington | North East | 13,909 | 34.43% | |
| 382. | Brent East | London | 13,047 | 34.51% | |
| 383. | Cambridge | East of England | 14,541 | 34.54% | |
| 384. | Ashfield | East Midlands | 13,791 | 34.58% | |
| 385. | Falkirk | Scotland | 14,767 | 34.64% | |
| 386. | Hull East | Yorkshire and the Humber | 10,332 | 34.65% | |
| 387. | Norwich South | East of England | 15,678 | 34.77% | |
| 388. | West Ham and Beckton | London | 12,653 | 34.81% | |
| 389. | Sheffield South East | Yorkshire and the Humber | 12,458 | 34.83% | |
| 390. | Smethwick | West Midlands | 12,312 | 35.06% | |
| 391. | Stretford and Urmston | North West | 16,150 | 35.11% | |
| 392. | Washington and Gateshead South | North East | 13,028 | 35.19% | |
| 393. | Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West | North East | 14,647 | 35.42% | |
| 394. | Edinburgh North and Leith | Scotland | 17,551 | 35.47% | |
| 395. | Edinburgh East and Musselburgh | Scotland | 16,192 | 35.53% | |
| 396. | Hull North and Cottingham | Yorkshire and the Humber | 13,583 | 35.53% | |
| 397. | Leeds North East | Yorkshire and the Humber | 16,083 | 35.61% | |
| 398. | Bristol North West | South West | 17,285 | 35.67% | |
| 399. | Rawmarsh and Conisbrough | Yorkshire and the Humber | 12,116 | 35.74% | |
| 400. | Blaydon and Consett | North East | 15,108 | 35.79% | |
| 401. | Dundee Central | Scotland | 13,975 | 35.97% | |
| 402. | Alloa and Grangemouth | Scotland | 14,912 | 36.19% | |
| 403. | Leyton and Wanstead | London | 15,909 | 36.38% | |
| 404. | Birmingham Ladywood | West Midlands | 13,340 | 36.47% | |
| 405. | Newcastle upon Tyne North | North East | 17,762 | 36.53% | |
| 406. | Kilmarnock and Loudoun | Scotland | 15,528 | 36.56% | |
| 407. | Ceredigion Preseli | Wales | 16,975 | 36.66% | |
| 408. | Tooting | London | 19,487 | 36.81% | |
| 409. | Wigan | North West | 15,091 | 36.90% | |
| 410. | Stratford and Bow | London | 16,031 | 36.91% | |
| 411. | Runcorn and Helsby | North West | 15,602 | 36.94% | |
| 412. | Bermondsey and Old Southwark | London | 13,978 | 37.17% | |
| 413. | Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare | Wales | 13,104 | 37.21% | |
| 414. | Croydon West | London | 14,226 | 37.32% | |
| 415. | East Lothian | Scotland | 18,020 | 37.46% | |
| 416. | Barnsley South | Yorkshire and the Humber | 13,152 | 37.49% | |
| 417. | Oxford East | South East | 14,802 | 37.62% | |
| 418. | Dunbartonshire Mid | Scotland | 19,897 | 37.73% | |
| 419. | Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy | Scotland | 15,459 | 37.88% | |
| 420. | Easington | North East | 13,021 | 37.94% | |
| 421. | Glasgow South | Scotland | 16,079 | 37.94% | |
| 422. | Glasgow North | Scotland | 13,289 | 38.25% | |
| 423. | Dunfermline and Dollar | Scotland | 17,039 | 38.26% | |
| 424. | St Albans | East of England | 19,834 | 38.43% | |
| 425. | Stockport | North West | 16,820 | 38.50% | |
| 426. | Sefton Central | North West | 18,282 | 38.53% | |
| 427. | Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough | Yorkshire and the Humber | 12,232 | 38.69% | |
| 428. | Glenrothes and Mid Fife | Scotland | 14,021 | 38.80% | |
| 429. | Wythenshawe and Sale East | North West | 15,204 | 38.85% | |
| 430. | Glasgow East | Scotland | 13,836 | 39.04% | |
| 431. | Hamilton and Clyde Valley | Scotland | 16,431 | 39.04% | |
| 432. | Queens Park and Maida Vale | London | 15,038 | 39.22% | |
| 433. | Bathgate and Linlithgow | Scotland | 16,630 | 39.53% | |
| 434. | Strangford | Northern Ireland | 15,413 | 39.61% | |
| 435. | Hove and Portslade | South East | 20,579 | 39.64% | |
| 436. | Glasgow South West | Scotland | 14,165 | 39.71% | |
| 437. | Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West | Scotland | 16,068 | 39.82% | |
| 438. | Twickenham | London | 21,457 | 40.01% | |
| 439. | Streatham and Croydon North | London | 17,904 | 40.19% | |
| 440. | Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch | Scotland | 16,574 | 40.45% | |
| 441. | Paisley and Renfrewshire North | Scotland | 16,902 | 40.71% | |
| 442. | Leeds South | Yorkshire and the Humber | 12,945 | 40.86% | |
| 443. | Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney | Wales | 12,251 | 40.94% | |
| 444. | East Kilbride and Strathaven | Scotland | 19,135 | 40.97% | |
| 445. | Midlothian | Scotland | 18,232 | 41.28% | |
| 446. | Erith and Thamesmead | London | 16,682 | 41.31% | |
| 447. | East Ham | London | 15,694 | 41.42% | |
| 448. | St Helens North | North West | 16,777 | 41.45% | |
| 449. | Mitcham and Morden | London | 18,761 | 41.46% | |
| 450. | Sheffield Heeley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 15,988 | 41.59% | |
| 451. | St Helens South and Whiston | North West | 15,862 | 41.70% | |
| 452. | Holborn and St Pancras | London | 16,108 | 41.73% | |
| 453. | Aberafan Maesteg | Wales | 14,935 | 41.77% | |
| 454. | Newcastle upon Tyne East and Wallsend | North East | 17,678 | 41.77% | |
| 455. | Paisley and Renfrewshire South | Scotland | 17,364 | 42.06% | |
| 456. | Rhondda and Ogmore | Wales | 15,068 | 42.08% | |
| 457. | Barnsley North | Yorkshire and the Humber | 15,527 | 42.09% | |
| 458. | Jarrow and Gateshead East | North East | 15,502 | 42.21% | |
| 459. | Dwyfor Meirionnydd | Wales | 17,076 | 42.27% | |
| 460. | Glasgow West | Scotland | 16,901 | 42.36% | |
| 461. | Glasgow North East | Scotland | 14,457 | 42.41% | |
| 462. | Nottingham East | East Midlands | 15,569 | 42.77% | |
| 463. | Gorton and Denton | North West | 15,667 | 42.85% | |
| 464. | Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke | Scotland | 16,753 | 42.93% | |
| 465. | Leeds Central and Headingley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 13,616 | 43.10% | |
| 466. | Westmorland and Lonsdale | North West | 21,472 | 43.35% | |
| 467. | Down South | Northern Ireland | 19,652 | 43.44% | |
| 468. | Manchester Central | North West | 17,361 | 43.70% | |
| 469. | Blackley and Middleton South | North West | 13,791 | 44.00% | |
| 470. | Salford | North West | 17,549 | 44.20% | |
| 471. | York Central | Yorkshire and the Humber | 19,154 | 44.21% | |
| 472. | Birkenhead | North West | 19,230 | 44.58% | |
| 473. | Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles) | Scotland | 6,045 | 44.69% | |
| 474. | Sheffield Central | Yorkshire and the Humber | 14,230 | 44.74% | |
| 475. | Edinburgh South | Scotland | 20,975 | 44.79% | |
| 476. | Greenwich and Woolwich | London | 19,136 | 44.80% | |
| 477. | Rutherglen | Scotland | 19,040 | 44.82% | |
| 478. | Dunbartonshire West | Scotland | 17,838 | 45.06% | |
| 479. | Ellesmere Port and Bromborough | North West | 18,976 | 45.22% | |
| 480. | Islington North | London | 22,170 | 45.24% | |
| 481. | Edinburgh West | Scotland | 23,748 | 45.26% | |
| 482. | Islington South and Finsbury | London | 19,362 | 45.29% | |
| 483. | Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross | Scotland | 20,876 | 45.34% | |
| 484. | Wallasey | North West | 19,687 | 46.06% | |
| 485. | Manchester Rusholme | North West | 13,376 | 46.07% | |
| 486. | Coatbridge and Bellshill | Scotland | 17,909 | 46.24% | |
| 487. | Clapham and Brixton Hill | London | 19,806 | 46.34% | |
| 488. | Airdrie and Shotts | Scotland | 17,175 | 46.84% | |
| 489. | Lewisham East | London | 19,245 | 47.36% | |
| 490. | Manchester Withington | North West | 19,786 | 47.41% | |
| 491. | Brighton Pavilion | South East | 24,834 | 47.43% | |
| 492. | Newry and Armagh | Northern Ireland | 22,216 | 48.36% | |
| 493. | Vauxhall and Camberwell Green | London | 18,719 | 49.87% | |
| 494. | Hornsey and Friern Barnet | London | 24,524 | 50.42% | |
| 495. | Fife North East | Scotland | 21,718 | 50.83% | |
| 496. | Hackney North and Stoke Newington | London | 20,898 | 51.02% | |
| 497. | Liverpool Garston | North West | 21,567 | 51.36% | |
| 498. | Lewisham North | London | 22,766 | 51.55% | |
| 499. | Lewisham West and Dulwich East | London | 23,929 | 51.56% | |
| 500. | Tottenham | London | 20,746 | 51.67% | |
| 501. | Dulwich and West Norwood | London | 23,483 | 51.75% | |
| 502. | Tyrone West | Northern Ireland | 22,620 | 51.77% | |
| 503. | Bristol Central | South West | 22,541 | 51.98% | |
| 504. | Orkney and Shetland | Scotland | 10,806 | 52.23% | |
| 505. | Widnes and Halewood | North West | 19,977 | 52.41% | |
| 506. | Peckham | London | 20,537 | 52.93% | |
| 507. | Liverpool Wavertree | North West | 21,190 | 53.22% | |
| 508. | Walthamstow | London | 24,819 | 54.12% | |
| 509. | Hackney South and Shoreditch | London | 22,648 | 54.31% | |
| 510. | Liverpool Riverside | North West | 18,884 | 58.32% | |
| 511. | Liverpool West Derby | North West | 23,736 | 62.45% | |
| 512. | Knowsley | North West | 22,747 | 63.10% | |
| 513. | Bootle | North West | 25,055 | 64.44% | |
| 514. | Liverpool Walton | North West | 24,750 | 67.10% | |
View Conservative held marginal seats vulnerable at the next general election.
Below is the list of Conservative target seats for the 2026 Scottish Parliament election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.
View Conservative held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Scottish Parliament election.
| Rank | Constituency | Region | Majority over CON | Percent Majority | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Ayr | South Scotland | 170 | 0.39% | |
| 2. | Banffshire and Buchan Coast | North East Scotland | 772 | 2.34% | |
| 3. | Aberdeen South and North Kincardine | North East Scotland | 1,671 | 4.28% | |
| 4. | Perthshire South and Kinross-shire | Mid Scotland and Fife | 1,948 | 4.42% | |
| 5. | Aberdeenshire East | North East Scotland | 1,889 | 4.60% | |
| 6. | Moray | Highlands and Islands | 3,164 | 7.69% | |
| 7. | Angus North and Mearns | North East Scotland | 3,509 | 9.95% | |
| 8. | Perthshire North | Mid Scotland and Fife | 4,053 | 10.10% | |
| 9. | Edinburgh Pentlands | Lothian | 3,897 | 10.19% | |
| 10. | Clydesdale | South Scotland | 4,578 | 11.24% | |
| 11. | Edinburgh Central | Lothian | 4,732 | 11.34% | |
| 12. | Carrick, Cumnock and Doon Valley | South Scotland | 4,337 | 12.18% | |
| 13. | Angus South | North East Scotland | 6,117 | 15.84% | |
| 14. | Midlothian South, Tweeddale and Lauderdale | South Scotland | 6,826 | 15.86% | |
| 15. | Stirling | Mid Scotland and Fife | 6,895 | 16.86% | |
| 16. | East Lothian | South Scotland | 8,498 | 18.56% | |
| 17. | Inverness and Nairn | Highlands and Islands | 9,114 | 19.93% | |
| 18. | Aberdeen Central | North East Scotland | 6,594 | 20.84% | |
| 19. | Cunninghame North | West Scotland | 7,776 | 20.91% | |
| 20. | Clackmannanshire and Dunblane | Mid Scotland and Fife | 7,551 | 21.61% | |
| 21. | Renfrewshire North and West | West Scotland | 8,970 | 23.50% | |
| 22. | Strathkelvin and Bearsden | West Scotland | 11,484 | 24.83% | |
| 23. | Aberdeen Donside | North East Scotland | 9,026 | 25.14% | |
| 24. | Argyll and Bute | Highlands and Islands | 8,963 | 26.71% | |
| 25. | Falkirk East | Central Scotland | 10,799 | 27.80% | |
| 26. | Linlithgow | Lothian | 13,221 | 28.20% | |
| 27. | Cunninghame South | West Scotland | 8,587 | 28.51% | |
| 28. | Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse | Central Scotland | 10,429 | 28.74% | |
| 29. | Caithness Sutherland and Ross | Highlands and Islands | 10,719 | 29.06% | |
| 30. | Kilmarnock and Irvine Valley | South Scotland | 13,123 | 32.31% | |
View Conservative held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Scottish Parliament election.
Below is the list of Conservative target seats for the 2026 Senedd election. The list is ordered from the smallest to the largest swing needed for the seat to change hands.
View Conservative held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Senedd election.
| Rank | Constituency | Region | Majority over CON | Percent Majority | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Wrexham | North Wales | 1,350 | 5.97% | |
| 2. | Vale of Glamorgan | South Wales Central | 3,270 | 7.62% | |
| 3. | Clwyd South | North Wales | 2,913 | 12.03% | |
| 4. | Newport West | South Wales East | 3,906 | 13.20% | |
| 5. | Bridgend | South Wales West | 4,064 | 13.79% | |
| 6. | Delyn | North Wales | 3,711 | 14.03% | |
| 7. | Gower | South Wales West | 4,795 | 14.46% | |
| 8. | Newport East | South Wales East | 3,584 | 15.48% | |
| 9. | Cardiff North | South Wales Central | 6,593 | 16.22% | |
| 10. | Alyn and Deeside | North Wales | 4,378 | 16.94% | |
| 11. | Pontypridd | South Wales Central | 5,853 | 21.24% | |
| 12. | Torfaen | South Wales East | 5,321 | 22.21% | |
| 13. | Carmarthen East and Dinefwr | Mid and West Wales | 7,510 | 22.58% | |
| 14. | Islwyn | South Wales East | 6,068 | 24.79% | |
| 15. | Swansea West | South Wales West | 6,521 | 27.18% | |
| 16. | Neath | South Wales West | 7,559 | 27.41% | |
| 17. | Caerphilly | South Wales East | 8,276 | 28.62% | |
| 18. | Cardiff South and Penarth | South Wales Central | 10,606 | 29.15% | |
| 19. | Llanelli | Mid and West Wales | 8,983 | 29.73% | |
| 20. | Dwyfor Meirionnydd | Mid and West Wales | 7,096 | 29.80% | |
View Conservative held marginal seats vulnerable at the next Senedd election.